2. JOHNMAYNARDKEYNES(1883-1946)
He is an English
Economist, Journalist and
Financier, best known for his
economic theories. He is
widely considered to be one of
the most influential economists
and founder of modern
macroeconomics theory. His
ideas are the basis for the
school of thought of Keynesian
Economics.
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4. • Employment = Output = Income. As employment increases
output and income increases proportionately.
• Volume of employment depends upon effective demand which
in turn is determined by aggregate supply function and
aggregate demand function.
• Aggregate demand function is governed by consumption
expenditure and investment expenditure.
• Consumption expenditure depends upon size of income and
propensity to consume. It is fairly stable in the short period
because propensity to consume does not change quickly. 4
5. • MEC is based on yield and supply price. Marginal
efficiency of capital(profitability of capital) and ROI
determines Investment expenditure.
• Rate of Interest depends on supply of money(quantity of
money) and demand for money(liquidity preference).
• Transaction, precautionary and speculative motives
determine liquidity preference which along with quantity
of money determines ROI.
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6. EFFECTIVE DEMAND:
It simply means desire, ability and willingness to buy
i.e., actual expenditure.
Aggregate demand function indicates different amounts
of money which the entrepreneurs expect to get from the sale of
output at varying level of employment.
Aggregate supply function indicates different levels of
income(output and employment) which entrepreneurs will
supply at different levels of expenditure(C+I). The intersection
of ADF and ASF indicates the effective demand.
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7. CONSUMPTION FUNCTION or PSYCHOLOGICAL
LAW OF CONSUMPTION
Keynes says that psychology of the community is such
that when aggregate real income is increased, aggregate
consumption is also increased but not by so much as
income.
C = f(Y) C = a+bY
This law contains the following propositions:
a. When aggregate income increases, aggregate
consumption also increases, but by a smaller amount.
b. An increment of income will be divided in some ratio
between saving and consumption.
c. Both saving and consumption will increase as a result of
increase in income. 7
8. TECHNICAL ATTRIBUTES
1. Marginal Propensity to Consume(MPC): It refers to the
ratio of a small change in consumption to a small change
in income. MPC indicates the slope of the consumption
curve. MPC=∆C/ ∆Y
2. Marginal Propensity to Save(MPS): It is the ratio of
change in savings to change in income. MPS=∆S/ ∆Y
MPS=∆S/ ∆Y MPC+MPS=1
3. Average Propensity to Consume(APC): It is the ratio of
absolute consumption to absolute income. It tells the level
of consumption at a given level of income.
APC=C/Y 8
9. THE MULTIPLIER
• This concept was initially developed by F.A.Kahn and
later modified by Keynes.
• The size of MPC is key to the size of multiplier.
• Multiplier expresses a quantitative relationship between
aggregate income and the investment.
• It is the ratio of increase in income to the increase in
investment.
k=∆Y/∆I
• Multiplier indicates how many times the income
increases as a result of an initial increase in investment.
• Greater the MPC, higher the rate of investment.
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10. INVESTMENT FUNCTION
Marginal Efficiency of Capital(MEC) is the expected rate of
return from the employment of a new capital asset and ROI
indicates the cost of investment.
According to Keynes if MEC is greater than ROI, investment
will increase, while decrease if MEC is less than ROI and
investment will stop if MEC is equal to the ROI.
MEC depends on yield from capital asset i.e. returns from output
of the asset and supply price which indicates the cost of
producing the asset.
Thus investment function indicates the relationship between
volume of investment and MEC. It also says that when
investment in capital asset increases, MEC decreases because
yield will fall and supply price increases.
As a whole volume of employment depends on propensity to
consume and inducement to invest.
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11. THEORY OF INTEREST
ROI depends on quantity of money and liquidity
preference.
Keynes developed monetary theory of interest and said
interest is determined by demand and supply of money.
Demand depends on desire to hold wealth in liquid form
and interest is the reward for parting with it.
The stronger the liquidity preference, higher the ROI and
vice-versa.
Why people want to hold cash????...
1. Transaction Motive
2. Precautionary Motive
3. Speculative Motive 11
12. KEYNES THEORY OF INTEREST
a. Given the liquidity preference , the rate of interest falls as
the supply of money increases and vice-versa.
b. Given the supply of money, the rate of interest rises as
liquidity preference increases and falls as the liquidity
preference decreases.
BUSINESS CYCLE: His theory of employment provides a
general explanation of the cyclical nature of the changes in
employment.
ECONOMIC POLICIES: His theory of employment also
indicated the programme of solving the problem of
unemployment through Taxation Policy, Investment Policy
and Public Investment.
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13. KEYNESANDMERCANTILISTS
Almost every important idea on which Keynes founded his
theoretical system was present in the earlier literature and
were used by the writers in the past.
Mercantilists were the earlier anticipators of Keynes.
Mercantilists had realized that the economic system did not
automatically bring a state of full employment.
Mercantilists proposed huge spending on luxury goods by the
rich and public works program by state as a means to achieve
full employment.
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14. KEYNESANDCLASSICALECONOMICS
1. Assumption of full employment:
• Non-existence of involuntary unemployment.
• There is possibility of frictional unemployment and it will
disappear in the long run and tend towards full employment.
Criticisms by Keynes:
• He argued that there is a possibility of underemployment .
• Wages and prices do not adjust each as fast as the classical
economists assumed.
• He concluded that when liquidity preference become perfectly
elastic as a result of investor’s expectation that rate of interest
will not fall further.
• When inevstment function become interest elastic Even though
there is increase in income in price, they will not invest.
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15. 2. Say’s law of market:
• It says supply creates its own demand.
• When a factor of production is employed, it results in
production of good and generates income. This income is
spent on purchase of other goods.
• The employment of a factor pays its own way.
• It defines that increase in employment, increases income and
this is spent on either consumer goods or investment goods.
Criticism by Keynes:
• Keynes said that a part of increased income is spent on
consumer goods and the other is saved and there is no
guarantee that the saved income will be spent on investment.
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16. CRITICISMSONKEYNESIANECONOMICS
Pigou Effect: Pigou was the chief defender of neo-classical
economics’. He said that given flexible wages and prices, an
economy does automatically tend towards the full
employment level and this was popularly known as Pigou
Effect’.
No determinate relationship between effective demand and
employment:
There is no direct relationship between ED and level of
employment and said everything depends on
interrelationship between wage rates, prices and money
supply.
Wholly aggregative in nature:
the aggregative concepts do not explain the economic
problems of individual firms, individual consumption etc.
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