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If You See Something, Write
Something
Roddy	
  Boyd,	
  founder	
  
Southern	
  Inves3ga3ve	
  Repor3ng	
  Founda3on	
  
	
  
	
  
SABEW	
  conference,	
  Bal3more,	
  Md.,	
  March	
  27,	
  2014	
  
Boyd
Roddy
Investigative reporter and founder of the
Southern Investigative Reporting Foundation.
He has worked for Fortune Magazine, the New
York Post,The New York Sun and Institutional
Investor News; founded The Financial
Investigator website; and wrote "Fatal Risk," on
the collapse of AIG.
An independent nonprofit, SIRF provides
document-driven investigative and
accountability reporting on publicly traded
companies.
Twitter: @boydroddy	
  
Web: SIRF-online.org
What is corporate fraud?
A few kinds of corporate fraud
• Securities fraud
• Ripping off investors
• Consumer fraud
• Ripping off (retail) customers
• Tax fraud
• Ripping off taxpayers (that’s you)
Bottom line:
Fraud boils down to to saying one thing and doing another, for profit.
One definition:
“Business fraud is, very simply, fraud
in any business activity that resorts
to deceitful practices to cause
economic injury.”
-- Cochran law firm (plaintiffs’
attorneys)
Things That Make You Go Hmmm
•  Logic Leaps
•  Cash is King
•  Manias of the Moment
•  We Take Care of our Own
Image:	
  Wikimedia.org	
  
Logic Leaps
Save Suspension of Disbelief For The
Movies
Does What They Say Make Sense?
• Spectacular Results
• Taking on Entrenched Competitors
• What The Hell?
Spectacular Results
It’s not easy for large companies to grow massively
• Ex: Merrill Lynch 2005 earnings
• http://tinyurl.com/kg7racw
• 33% Rev boost = Massive risk!
Common Sense is most uncommon
Image:	
  Jack-­‐Benny,	
  hJp://flic.kr/p/ePdxxP	
  
Dancing With The Big Boys
•  Watch for WCOM: Fast Rising in Brutal Industries
•  How Come No One Thought of it Before?
•  Are Independent Experts Wowed or Impressed?
•  Common Sense: Killing a King Ain’t Terribly Easy
Cash Is King
!	
  
No doubt about it, companies not generating cash over time are
in hot water.
At some level, the inability to generate cash is involved in 99% of
frauds.
Image:	
  Jack-­‐Benny,	
  hJp://flic.kr/p/ePdxxP	
  
Basics: Cash Flows
Key points:
• Find Statement of Cash Flows in 10-K, 10-Q
• Check to see if company can generate cash
• Look to see if company is “living in the market”
• Discern trends, if possible
Example
• United Continental’s Conundrum (p.62): http://tinyurl.com/qx4r2yw	
  
Example:
• Google’s sweet spot: http://tinyurl.com/pgxymdf
When the Cash Generator Breaks...
When companies can’t, over time, generate cash they have to:
• Access the markets by stock and debt sales
• Dilution, interest expense and debt loads
• Markets shut down (1989, 1994, 1998 & 2007-2008)
• Asset Sales
• Delayed Investments (Lower Cap-Ex, Maintenance)
• Expense cuts
Manias and Fads
Companies in Manias are definitionally at a higher risk for
wrongdoing
• Pressure to last beyond boom cycle
• End of a mania is a brutal reckoning
• Watch for late stage mania co’s e.g. Pets.com
• Manias are funding grabs, pure and simple
Look for incongruities
We Take Care of Our Own
•  Related Party Transactions
•  10-Ks and especially Proxy (Def-14A) filings
•  Why have an RP for SOP deals?
•  Major red flag: RP receivables
•  Don’t sweat a relative (usually)
•  Look for “once removed” RPs, like real estate
•  Hidden RPs: board consulting deals
Son of Related Parties: Perks
•  Rank Excessiveness
•  Hidden Comp: Well into six figures annually
•  ProTip: Look for “Gross Up,” or paying tax bill
•  Compare to others CEOs, corp. Stock Px Perf.
•  Disclosure vs. Non-Disclosure
•  Has the company been in a period of downsizing?
•  Unexplained & poorly explained capital raises

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Detecting Corporate Fraud - SABEW Conference Session by Roddy Boyd

  • 1. Title Slide If You See Something, Write Something Roddy  Boyd,  founder   Southern  Inves3ga3ve  Repor3ng  Founda3on       SABEW  conference,  Bal3more,  Md.,  March  27,  2014  
  • 2. Boyd Roddy Investigative reporter and founder of the Southern Investigative Reporting Foundation. He has worked for Fortune Magazine, the New York Post,The New York Sun and Institutional Investor News; founded The Financial Investigator website; and wrote "Fatal Risk," on the collapse of AIG. An independent nonprofit, SIRF provides document-driven investigative and accountability reporting on publicly traded companies. Twitter: @boydroddy   Web: SIRF-online.org
  • 3. What is corporate fraud? A few kinds of corporate fraud • Securities fraud • Ripping off investors • Consumer fraud • Ripping off (retail) customers • Tax fraud • Ripping off taxpayers (that’s you) Bottom line: Fraud boils down to to saying one thing and doing another, for profit. One definition: “Business fraud is, very simply, fraud in any business activity that resorts to deceitful practices to cause economic injury.” -- Cochran law firm (plaintiffs’ attorneys)
  • 4. Things That Make You Go Hmmm •  Logic Leaps •  Cash is King •  Manias of the Moment •  We Take Care of our Own Image:  Wikimedia.org  
  • 5. Logic Leaps Save Suspension of Disbelief For The Movies Does What They Say Make Sense? • Spectacular Results • Taking on Entrenched Competitors • What The Hell?
  • 6. Spectacular Results It’s not easy for large companies to grow massively • Ex: Merrill Lynch 2005 earnings • http://tinyurl.com/kg7racw • 33% Rev boost = Massive risk! Common Sense is most uncommon Image:  Jack-­‐Benny,  hJp://flic.kr/p/ePdxxP  
  • 7. Dancing With The Big Boys •  Watch for WCOM: Fast Rising in Brutal Industries •  How Come No One Thought of it Before? •  Are Independent Experts Wowed or Impressed? •  Common Sense: Killing a King Ain’t Terribly Easy
  • 8. Cash Is King !   No doubt about it, companies not generating cash over time are in hot water. At some level, the inability to generate cash is involved in 99% of frauds. Image:  Jack-­‐Benny,  hJp://flic.kr/p/ePdxxP  
  • 9. Basics: Cash Flows Key points: • Find Statement of Cash Flows in 10-K, 10-Q • Check to see if company can generate cash • Look to see if company is “living in the market” • Discern trends, if possible Example • United Continental’s Conundrum (p.62): http://tinyurl.com/qx4r2yw   Example: • Google’s sweet spot: http://tinyurl.com/pgxymdf
  • 10. When the Cash Generator Breaks... When companies can’t, over time, generate cash they have to: • Access the markets by stock and debt sales • Dilution, interest expense and debt loads • Markets shut down (1989, 1994, 1998 & 2007-2008) • Asset Sales • Delayed Investments (Lower Cap-Ex, Maintenance) • Expense cuts
  • 11. Manias and Fads Companies in Manias are definitionally at a higher risk for wrongdoing • Pressure to last beyond boom cycle • End of a mania is a brutal reckoning • Watch for late stage mania co’s e.g. Pets.com • Manias are funding grabs, pure and simple
  • 13. We Take Care of Our Own •  Related Party Transactions •  10-Ks and especially Proxy (Def-14A) filings •  Why have an RP for SOP deals? •  Major red flag: RP receivables •  Don’t sweat a relative (usually) •  Look for “once removed” RPs, like real estate •  Hidden RPs: board consulting deals
  • 14. Son of Related Parties: Perks •  Rank Excessiveness •  Hidden Comp: Well into six figures annually •  ProTip: Look for “Gross Up,” or paying tax bill •  Compare to others CEOs, corp. Stock Px Perf. •  Disclosure vs. Non-Disclosure •  Has the company been in a period of downsizing? •  Unexplained & poorly explained capital raises