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Implications of the Soft Housing Market on Suppliers of Building Products   CABA’s Internet Home Alliance Research Council Family Ecosystem Forum October 30, 2007 Benton Harbor, MI
NAHB Research Center Overview ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Completed June 2007 State-of-the-Art Lab & Market Research Facility
Recent Cycle of  U.S. Housing Production ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Sources:  Census
New Residential Housing Permits Source:  U.S. Census Bureau (through September 2007) 2007 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2001
Source:  U.S. Census Bureau (through August 2007)
2007 Study:  “Implications of the Soft Housing Market on Suppliers of Building Products” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Study Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc.
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 5 on a scale of 1 to 5
Share of respondents rating a 5 on a scale of 1 to 5
Share of respondents rating a 5 on a scale of 1 to 5
Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc.
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 5 on a 5 point scale
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 5 on a 5 point scale
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Implications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc.
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
Residential Improvements  and Repairs Expenditures Source:  U.S. Department of Commerce Recession Source:  U.S. Census Bureau
Source:  NAHB Research Center, Inc.
Change in Size of New  Single Family Homes Source:  Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 3,620  2,363  1,631  2,420  2006 0% -2% -1% +2% Change 3,608  SFD Luxury 2,410  SFD Move-up 1,651  SFD Starter 2,382  Average SFD 2005
Change in Distribution of New Single Family Homes by Price-Point Source:  Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 100% 100% 100% Total 21.6% 46.5% 31.9% 2006 +3% -1% -2% Change 18.3% Luxury 47.7% Move-up 34.0% Starter 2005
Kitchen Countertop Material Usage in New SFD Homes  Source:  Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. +2% 3% 1% Other natural stone +9% 40% 31% Granite +2% 3% 1% Engineered stone 4% 36% 13% 2006 -4% -4% -4% Change 9% Ceramic Tile 40% Laminate 17% Solid Surfacing 2005
Exterior Finish Materials In New SFD Homes Source:  Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. -0.2% 14.2% 14.4% Fiber Cement -0.3% 22.7% 23.0% Vinyl 21.4% 7.4% 21.2% 2006 -2.8% +1.6% +0.3% Change 24.2% Stucco 5.7% Stone 20.8% Brick 2005
Share of New SFD Homes with Home Electronics Systems Source:  Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 6% 10% 5% Built-in Home Theater 5% 4% 4% Whole-house Video Access 10% 10% 8% Whole-house Audio System 11% 12% 10% Monitored fire / toxic gas alarm system 1% 1% 1% Communicating Thermostat 2% 4% 2% Lighting control system 21% 19% 20% Monitored Security System 27% 24% 24% Non-Monitored Security System 3% 1% 7% 2005 2% 1% 5% 2006 2% Whole home automation 1% Video Entrance Phone 5% Intercom / Entrance Phone 2004
Share of New SFD Homes with Home Electronics Systems Source:  Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 15% 4% 1% Built-in Home Theater 15% 2% 2% Whole-house Video Access 27% 7% 5% Whole-house Audio System 23% 9% 7% Monitored fire / toxic gas alarm system 2% 1% 1% Communicating Thermostat 6% 1% 1% Lighting control system 36% 20% 10% Monitored Security System 32% 31% 19% Non-Monitored Security System 1% 1% 5% Moveup 6% 4% 12% Luxury 1% Whole home automation 0% Video Entrance Phone 2% Intercom / Entrance Phone Starter
Price per Square Foot for U.S. Homes by Category Source:  Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. $190  $182  $160  Luxury $124  $104  $135  2005 $134  $108  $148  2006 $114  Moveup $101  Starter $124  All SFD Homes 2004
Shares of SFD Homes with Structured Wiring Source:  Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 58% 61% 54% Luxury 46% 31% 42% 2005 46% 25% 41% 2006 38% Moveup 31% Starter 39% All SFD Homes 2004
Going Forward… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ed Hudson Director, Market Research Division NAHB Research Center 400 Prince George’s Blvd      Upper Marlboro, MD 20774 (toll-free) 800-638-8556      (fax) 301-430-6180 www.nahbrc.org

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Caba Soft Market Vshort

  • 1. Implications of the Soft Housing Market on Suppliers of Building Products CABA’s Internet Home Alliance Research Council Family Ecosystem Forum October 30, 2007 Benton Harbor, MI
  • 2.
  • 3. Completed June 2007 State-of-the-Art Lab & Market Research Facility
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  • 5. New Residential Housing Permits Source: U.S. Census Bureau (through September 2007) 2007 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2001
  • 6. Source: U.S. Census Bureau (through August 2007)
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc.
  • 10. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 5 on a scale of 1 to 5
  • 11. Share of respondents rating a 5 on a scale of 1 to 5
  • 12. Share of respondents rating a 5 on a scale of 1 to 5
  • 13.
  • 14. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 15. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 16.
  • 17.  
  • 18. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc.
  • 19. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 20. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 21. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 22. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 23.
  • 24. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 25. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 26. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 27.
  • 28. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 29. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 30.
  • 31. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc.
  • 32. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc. Share of respondents rating a 4 or 5 on a 5 point scale
  • 33. Residential Improvements and Repairs Expenditures Source: U.S. Department of Commerce Recession Source: U.S. Census Bureau
  • 34. Source: NAHB Research Center, Inc.
  • 35. Change in Size of New Single Family Homes Source: Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 3,620 2,363 1,631 2,420 2006 0% -2% -1% +2% Change 3,608 SFD Luxury 2,410 SFD Move-up 1,651 SFD Starter 2,382 Average SFD 2005
  • 36. Change in Distribution of New Single Family Homes by Price-Point Source: Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 100% 100% 100% Total 21.6% 46.5% 31.9% 2006 +3% -1% -2% Change 18.3% Luxury 47.7% Move-up 34.0% Starter 2005
  • 37. Kitchen Countertop Material Usage in New SFD Homes Source: Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. +2% 3% 1% Other natural stone +9% 40% 31% Granite +2% 3% 1% Engineered stone 4% 36% 13% 2006 -4% -4% -4% Change 9% Ceramic Tile 40% Laminate 17% Solid Surfacing 2005
  • 38. Exterior Finish Materials In New SFD Homes Source: Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. -0.2% 14.2% 14.4% Fiber Cement -0.3% 22.7% 23.0% Vinyl 21.4% 7.4% 21.2% 2006 -2.8% +1.6% +0.3% Change 24.2% Stucco 5.7% Stone 20.8% Brick 2005
  • 39. Share of New SFD Homes with Home Electronics Systems Source: Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 6% 10% 5% Built-in Home Theater 5% 4% 4% Whole-house Video Access 10% 10% 8% Whole-house Audio System 11% 12% 10% Monitored fire / toxic gas alarm system 1% 1% 1% Communicating Thermostat 2% 4% 2% Lighting control system 21% 19% 20% Monitored Security System 27% 24% 24% Non-Monitored Security System 3% 1% 7% 2005 2% 1% 5% 2006 2% Whole home automation 1% Video Entrance Phone 5% Intercom / Entrance Phone 2004
  • 40. Share of New SFD Homes with Home Electronics Systems Source: Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 15% 4% 1% Built-in Home Theater 15% 2% 2% Whole-house Video Access 27% 7% 5% Whole-house Audio System 23% 9% 7% Monitored fire / toxic gas alarm system 2% 1% 1% Communicating Thermostat 6% 1% 1% Lighting control system 36% 20% 10% Monitored Security System 32% 31% 19% Non-Monitored Security System 1% 1% 5% Moveup 6% 4% 12% Luxury 1% Whole home automation 0% Video Entrance Phone 2% Intercom / Entrance Phone Starter
  • 41. Price per Square Foot for U.S. Homes by Category Source: Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. $190 $182 $160 Luxury $124 $104 $135 2005 $134 $108 $148 2006 $114 Moveup $101 Starter $124 All SFD Homes 2004
  • 42. Shares of SFD Homes with Structured Wiring Source: Annual Builder Practices Reports, NAHB Research Center, Inc. 58% 61% 54% Luxury 46% 31% 42% 2005 46% 25% 41% 2006 38% Moveup 31% Starter 39% All SFD Homes 2004
  • 43.
  • 44. Ed Hudson Director, Market Research Division NAHB Research Center 400 Prince George’s Blvd  Upper Marlboro, MD 20774 (toll-free) 800-638-8556  (fax) 301-430-6180 www.nahbrc.org