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Life Science Trends
                                           February 2012




Strictly Private and Confidential
Within Healthcare, Slowing Revenue Outlook For Nearly Every Subsector
                                                                                                                                                           (1)
                                                                                                                                          Change in CAGR
                                                                                                                       22%
            Generics
                                                                                                            19%                                     -
                                                                                                                20%
   Managed Care
                                                      5%                                                                                            -
                                                                                                            19%
      Healthcare IT
                                                                                                                                    25%          +
                                                                                                         18%
                  CROs
                                                 4%                                                                                                 -
                                                                                                     17%
                 Biotech
                                                                    8%                                                                              -
                                                                                                   16%
            MedTech
                                                          6%                                                                                        -
                                                                                             14%
Specialty Pharma
                                                                                                   16%                                           +
                                                                                       12%
      Supply Chain
                                                                    8%                                                                              -
                                                                                  11%
             Facilities
                                                                    8%                                                                              -
                                                               7%
Life Science Tools
                                                 4%                                                                                                 -
                                                      5%
      Major Pharma
                                   1%                                                                                                               -
                          0%                      5%                    10%                  15%            20%               25%             30%

                                                                    2004-2008 Revenue CAGR                 2008-2012 Revenue CAGR
  1    Source:    Wall Street Research.
       (1)        Represents growth trend when comparing periods 2004-2008 to 2008-2012.
Declining R&D Productivity
NME approval peaked in the mid 1990’s, followed by a period of decline starting around 2000; while R&D
spend continued to grow.



                                        $50                                                                                                                               60

                                         45
    In du stry R & D S pe nd ( $ bn )




                                                                                                                                                                          50
                                         40

                                         35




                                                                                                                                                                               F D A N M E A pp ro va ls
                                                                                                                                                                          40
                                         30

                                         25                                                                                                                               30

                                         20
                                                                                                                                                                          20
                                         15




                                                                                                                                                                                                    (1)
                                         10
                                                                                                                                                                          10
                                          5

                                          0                                                                                                                               0
                                              1970                 1975                 1980                 1985                 1990               1995   2000   2005


                                                                                                              Number of FDA NME Approvals




2    Source:                              Rodney Zenmmel, PhD., McKinsey & Company, FDA, PhRMA.
     (1)                                  Includes NCEs and BLAs. BLAs included 1986 onward; biologic approvals in prior years assumed negligible.
Life Science IPOs Since 2003
The financial crisis clearly impacted the biotech IPO market as volumes are off significantly over the past
few years. Valuations continue to be challenged as does the short term aftermarket performance.


 # of Biotech IPOs Per Year Since 2003                                                           Average Performance Offer + 30 Days
                                                                                                                8.8%                 7.3%
                 21
                                       19
                                                                                                                                                0.1%         N/A               0.8%             N/A

                                                  14
                                                                                                                          (5.5%)                                                       (4.0%)
                            10                                                                      (9.1%)
                                                                            9
                                                                                   7
       6


                                                                     1                    1
                                                              0
                                                                                                                                                                     (31.5%)
                                                                                                     2003       2004       2005      2006       2007         2008      2009    2010    2011     2012
      2003      2004       2005       2006       2007        2008   2009   2010   2011   2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                      Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




 Average Market Cap At Pricing Over Last Ten Years                                               Average Offering Size Over Last Ten Years
     $273       $279                             $278                      $285
                           $260                                                                                                                                                 $78
                                                                                                                            $72
                                                                                                      $65                                        $66                   $68               $65
                                                                    $213                 $207                    $62
                                      $202
                                                                                                                                                                                                  $55
                                                                                                                                      $52
                                                                                  $157




                                                             N/A                                                                                              N/A

     2003       2004       2005       2006       2007        2008   2009   2010   2011   2012         2003      2004       2005       2006       2007         2008     2009     2010     2011    2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                      Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




3
Life Science IPOs (Cont’d)
The majority of IPOs continue to be priced below the marketing ranges, with particular valuation sensitivity
experienced over the past 2 years. Later stage assets are dominating the IPO landscape currently.


 Above / Below / Within Range                                                                                     Average File-to-Offer (%) Per Year
                 10%       10%          5%
                                                                                                 14%                                                                             N/A                              N/A
                                        16%
                 19%                                  36%
                                                                                                                       (8%)                                                                (9%)
                           40%
                                                                                                                                             (14%)
     100%                                                                       100%    100%             100%                                                       (19%)
                                        79%                                                      86%
                 71%
                                                      64%                                                                           (27%)              (27%)
                           50%




      2003       2004      2005         2006          2007       2008           2009     2010    2011    2012                                                                                             (43%)
                                                                                                                                                                                                  (46%)
                                        Below     Within Range        Above                                            2003         2004     2005      2006         2007         2008     2009     2010   2011    2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                                       Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




 Clinical Stage at IPO Since 2003                                                                                 NBI Annual Performance Over Last Ten Years
                                                                                                                       46%

                   1

                                          5
                  12                                   2                                                                                                                                          16%     15%
                                          5                                                                                                                                                                        12%
                             1                         5                                                                              6%                                    5%
                                                                                           1                                                    3%
                             4                                                                     1                                                           1%
                   6         2            9            6                                   8
        6                                                                                          6
                   2         3
                                                       1                          1                        1
      2003       2004      2005         2006          2007        2008          2009      2010    2011    2012                                                                          (13%)
                                                                                                                       2003           2004      2005       2006             2007        2008      2009    2010    2011
                                  I or Pre-Clinical    II    III or NDA Filed     Commercial

Source: SEC filings.                                                                                             Source: Factset.




4
Life Science FOs Since 2003
Although the biotech follow-on market has experienced strong volume, deal size has declined in recent
years as has the market cap of the average issuer. Follow-ons have tended to perform well in aftermarket.


 # of Biotech Follow-Ons Per Year Since 2003                                                      Average Performance Offer + 30 Days
                                                                                                      17.7%
                           49                                                       49
                                                                            45
                 43                                                  42
      40
                                      36
                                                 33

                                                                                                                                                                                   8.6%

                                                                                                                                                                     5.6%   6.1%
                                                              14
                                                                                                                 4.3%       4.4%       3.9%
                                                                                           7                                                     2.2%         2.6%

                                                                                                                                                                                          N/A

     2003       2004      2005       2006       2007         2008   2009    2010   2011   2012         2003      2004       2005       2006       2007        2008   2009   2010   2011   2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                       Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




 Average Market Cap At Pricing Over Last Ten Years                                                Average Offering Size Over Last Ten Years
                                               $1852
                                                                                                                                       $156      $154                $158

                                     $1466                          $1500
                                                                                                                            $130


                                                                                                       $94        $94                                         $95                  $94
                           $837                              $879
                                                                                                                                                                            $74
     $582       $641                                                               $610                                                                                                   $60
                                                                            $559
                                                                                          $353




      2003      2004       2005      2006       2007         2008   2009    2010   2011   2012        2003       2004       2005       2006      2007         2008   2009   2010   2011   2012

Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.                                       Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds.




5
Life Science M&A Transactions: 2007 – 2012 YTD
M&A over the past 5 years highlighted important trends, including pharma’s need for greater access to
antibody platforms, larger biopharmas buying their partners, and pharma’s need for enhanced pipelines.
Public and Private Life Science Acquisitions, 2007-2012 YTD
(total transaction value in billions of USD, # of transactions)




                           $300                                                                                                                                              40


                                                                                                                                                                             35
                             250
                                                                                                                $228
                                                                                                                  8                                                          30
Transaction Value ($bn)




                             200
                                                                                                                                                                             25




                                                                                                                                                                                   # Transactions
                             150                                                                                                                                             20



                                                                                                                 220                                                         15
                             100
                                                                                                                                                          $83
                                                                                                                                 $71
                                                                                                                                                                             10
                                                                                                                                 11                       31
                                                 $48                                  $47
                              50                                                                    2
                                                  12                                                                                                                         5
                                                                                                                                  59                      52
                                                  36                                  45
                               0                                                                                                                                             0
                                                 -
                                                2007                                  -
                                                                                     2008                        -
                                                                                                                2009             -
                                                                                                                                2010                   2011-- YTD


                                             Public Acquisitions           Private Acquisitions         Total # Acquisitions   # Public Acquisitions      # Private Acquisitions




6                         Source:   MergerMarket, EvaluatePharma, Company information.
                          Note:     Public and Private transaction values include earn-outs and CVRs.
Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel
Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel
Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel
Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel

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Life Science Trends, presented by Chris Hite on Financing Panel

  • 1. Life Science Trends February 2012 Strictly Private and Confidential
  • 2. Within Healthcare, Slowing Revenue Outlook For Nearly Every Subsector (1) Change in CAGR 22% Generics 19% - 20% Managed Care 5% - 19% Healthcare IT 25% + 18% CROs 4% - 17% Biotech 8% - 16% MedTech 6% - 14% Specialty Pharma 16% + 12% Supply Chain 8% - 11% Facilities 8% - 7% Life Science Tools 4% - 5% Major Pharma 1% - 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2004-2008 Revenue CAGR 2008-2012 Revenue CAGR 1 Source: Wall Street Research. (1) Represents growth trend when comparing periods 2004-2008 to 2008-2012.
  • 3. Declining R&D Productivity NME approval peaked in the mid 1990’s, followed by a period of decline starting around 2000; while R&D spend continued to grow. $50 60 45 In du stry R & D S pe nd ( $ bn ) 50 40 35 F D A N M E A pp ro va ls 40 30 25 30 20 20 15 (1) 10 10 5 0 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Number of FDA NME Approvals 2 Source: Rodney Zenmmel, PhD., McKinsey & Company, FDA, PhRMA. (1) Includes NCEs and BLAs. BLAs included 1986 onward; biologic approvals in prior years assumed negligible.
  • 4. Life Science IPOs Since 2003 The financial crisis clearly impacted the biotech IPO market as volumes are off significantly over the past few years. Valuations continue to be challenged as does the short term aftermarket performance. # of Biotech IPOs Per Year Since 2003 Average Performance Offer + 30 Days 8.8% 7.3% 21 19 0.1% N/A 0.8% N/A 14 (5.5%) (4.0%) 10 (9.1%) 9 7 6 1 1 0 (31.5%) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Average Market Cap At Pricing Over Last Ten Years Average Offering Size Over Last Ten Years $273 $279 $278 $285 $260 $78 $72 $65 $66 $68 $65 $213 $207 $62 $202 $55 $52 $157 N/A N/A 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. 3
  • 5. Life Science IPOs (Cont’d) The majority of IPOs continue to be priced below the marketing ranges, with particular valuation sensitivity experienced over the past 2 years. Later stage assets are dominating the IPO landscape currently. Above / Below / Within Range Average File-to-Offer (%) Per Year 10% 10% 5% 14% N/A N/A 16% 19% 36% (8%) (9%) 40% (14%) 100% 100% 100% 100% (19%) 79% 86% 71% 64% (27%) (27%) 50% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (43%) (46%) Below Within Range Above 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Clinical Stage at IPO Since 2003 NBI Annual Performance Over Last Ten Years 46% 1 5 12 2 16% 15% 5 12% 1 5 6% 5% 1 3% 4 1 1% 6 2 9 6 8 6 6 2 3 1 1 1 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (13%) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 I or Pre-Clinical II III or NDA Filed Commercial Source: SEC filings. Source: Factset. 4
  • 6. Life Science FOs Since 2003 Although the biotech follow-on market has experienced strong volume, deal size has declined in recent years as has the market cap of the average issuer. Follow-ons have tended to perform well in aftermarket. # of Biotech Follow-Ons Per Year Since 2003 Average Performance Offer + 30 Days 17.7% 49 49 45 43 42 40 36 33 8.6% 5.6% 6.1% 14 4.3% 4.4% 3.9% 7 2.2% 2.6% N/A 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Average Market Cap At Pricing Over Last Ten Years Average Offering Size Over Last Ten Years $1852 $156 $154 $158 $1466 $1500 $130 $94 $94 $95 $94 $837 $879 $74 $582 $641 $610 $60 $559 $353 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. Source: Dealogic. Excludes offerings < $25 mm in proceeds. 5
  • 7. Life Science M&A Transactions: 2007 – 2012 YTD M&A over the past 5 years highlighted important trends, including pharma’s need for greater access to antibody platforms, larger biopharmas buying their partners, and pharma’s need for enhanced pipelines. Public and Private Life Science Acquisitions, 2007-2012 YTD (total transaction value in billions of USD, # of transactions) $300 40 35 250 $228 8 30 Transaction Value ($bn) 200 25 # Transactions 150 20 220 15 100 $83 $71 10 11 31 $48 $47 50 2 12 5 59 52 36 45 0 0 - 2007 - 2008 - 2009 - 2010 2011-- YTD Public Acquisitions Private Acquisitions Total # Acquisitions # Public Acquisitions # Private Acquisitions 6 Source: MergerMarket, EvaluatePharma, Company information. Note: Public and Private transaction values include earn-outs and CVRs.