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Dr. Kathryn Sullivan
Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation &
Prediction and Acting Chief Scientist | NOAA
June 7, 2012
EXTREME EVENT PROGRESS




        SHORT-FUSE EVENTS                                                           FORECAST CLIMATE &
                                                                                  ANALYZE ENVIRONMENTAL
                                                                                          TRENDS
2   Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
Local and immediate – i.e. Hampton tornado Friday

    To Regional and Decadal and further




3   Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
Monthly State of      Annual State of     National
                          Drought Monitor                     the Climate          the Climate        Climate
    National                    –                               Reports              Reports         Assessment
                             Agriculture                           –                    –                 –
    & Global
                                                                Decision            Decision           Decision
                                                                Makers              Makers             Makers

                                                               Heat Wave             Drought           Climate
                          Hurricane Tracks                     Prediction                              Normals
                                                                                     Outlook
                                 –                                 –                                      –
                                                                                        –
Regional                     Emergency                       Public Health         Agriculture       Construction,
                              Planners                         Officials                            Infrastructure,
                                                                                                      Agriculture

                         Tornado Warnings                   Heating & Cooling     Temperature &
                                 –                                                 Precipitation       Extreme
                                                              Degree Days
                                                                                     Outlooks         Detection &
                          General Public,                           –
       Local               Most sectors                      Energy Sector               –            Attribution
                                                                                                           –
                                                                                   Agriculture
                                                                                                      Insurance



                                 Weekly                         Monthly         Seasonal – Annual      Decadal
4      Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
16.3M Tons of Cargo = $36.1B




    Updated Norfolk Harbor
    Nautical Chart
5     Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
Composite image of
         backscatter and partially
         transparent bathymetry data
         collected by the NOAA
         Chesapeake Bay Office with
         historic oyster boundaries and
         recent monitoring sites in the
         Great Wicomico River, Virginia
6   Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
The mean sea level trend is 4.44 millimeters/year with a 95% confidence interval of +/- 0.27 mm/yr based on
    monthly mean sea level data from 1927 to 2006 which is equivalent to a change of 1.46 feet in 100 years.


7     Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
Continuously Operating
                                                                Reference Station (CORS)




    Flooding In Norfolk
                                                            NOAA's National Water Level
                                                           Observation Network (NWLON)


8     Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
1. Grow Number Of Users




                                                         2. Scale our data assimilation
                                                            systems to meet rising
                                                            demand



9   Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
OBSERVATIONS                                                              PEOPLE




     COMPUTATION &                                            CRITICAL
     MODELING                                              ENVIRONMENTAL   RESEARCH
                                                            INTELLIGENCE



10    Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
Dr. Kathryn Sullivan
Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation &
Prediction and Acting Chief Scientist | NOAA
January 23, 2012

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Environmental Intelligence for Coastal Communities

  • 1. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation & Prediction and Acting Chief Scientist | NOAA June 7, 2012
  • 2. EXTREME EVENT PROGRESS SHORT-FUSE EVENTS FORECAST CLIMATE & ANALYZE ENVIRONMENTAL TRENDS 2 Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
  • 3. Local and immediate – i.e. Hampton tornado Friday To Regional and Decadal and further 3 Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
  • 4. Monthly State of Annual State of National Drought Monitor the Climate the Climate Climate National – Reports Reports Assessment Agriculture – – – & Global Decision Decision Decision Makers Makers Makers Heat Wave Drought Climate Hurricane Tracks Prediction Normals Outlook – – – – Regional Emergency Public Health Agriculture Construction, Planners Officials Infrastructure, Agriculture Tornado Warnings Heating & Cooling Temperature & – Precipitation Extreme Degree Days Outlooks Detection & General Public, – Local Most sectors Energy Sector – Attribution – Agriculture Insurance Weekly Monthly Seasonal – Annual Decadal 4 Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
  • 5. 16.3M Tons of Cargo = $36.1B Updated Norfolk Harbor Nautical Chart 5 Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
  • 6. Composite image of backscatter and partially transparent bathymetry data collected by the NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office with historic oyster boundaries and recent monitoring sites in the Great Wicomico River, Virginia 6 Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
  • 7. The mean sea level trend is 4.44 millimeters/year with a 95% confidence interval of +/- 0.27 mm/yr based on monthly mean sea level data from 1927 to 2006 which is equivalent to a change of 1.46 feet in 100 years. 7 Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
  • 8. Continuously Operating Reference Station (CORS) Flooding In Norfolk NOAA's National Water Level Observation Network (NWLON) 8 Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
  • 9. 1. Grow Number Of Users 2. Scale our data assimilation systems to meet rising demand 9 Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
  • 10. OBSERVATIONS PEOPLE COMPUTATION & CRITICAL MODELING ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH INTELLIGENCE 10 Environmental Intelligence For Coastal Communities
  • 11. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Environmental Observation & Prediction and Acting Chief Scientist | NOAA January 23, 2012