8. EnvSALab, GIEE, NTU
人類圈的新陳代謝(1)
From Giljum et al. 2012. Green economies around the world ? Implications of resource use
for development and the environment
• 過往30年間,人均物質消費量由8噸,增加至10噸。
• 而Giljum et al. (2012) 指出,若要達成永續發展目標,2050年需削減至5噸,
17. EnvSALab, GIEE, NTU
海燕颱風
World Bank
“No nation will be immune to the impacts of climate change,”
“However, the distribution of impacts is likely to be inherently unequal and
tilted against many of the world’s poorest regions, which have the least
economic, institutional, scientific and technical capacity to cope and adapt.”
25. EnvSALab, GIEE, NTU
台灣整合性環境評估模型
1
[ ] [ ]
T
p pp dp ip p
d pd dd id d
i pi di ii i
T
h h
B A A A F
E B A I A A F
B A A I A F
B F
Dynamic Hybrid Multi-Region Inventory analysis(DHMRI) : 整合環境延伸多區
域投入產出分析以及生命週期盤查分析方法,並應用時間相關性(time-dependent)
污染物排放以及資源耗用係數,以俾評估總體政策所誘發的效率提升、結構改變、
進出口結構調整、最終需求的增長等要素對基本流之影響。
效率提升 θ 結構變動 R
貿易結構變動
C, M