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Managing the Data Deluge
        Nick Adamo, SVP, Global Service Provider Market Segment
        Cisco Systems
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Cisco Confidential
                                                                                                     Internal Use Only    1
In
   global mobile
    data traffic grew



Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine
 © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011                                       September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   2
In
                                                                                            traffic will grow
                                                                                                  with
                                                                                            of mobile device usage
                                                                                           indoors, home and office

Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine
 © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011                                       September 2011               Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   3
In
                                               of smartphone
                                                 traffic was
                                                  offloaded;




 of tablet traffic was offloaded
       to Wi-Fi networks
Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine
 © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011                                       September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   4
By
                                                                                                    or
                                                                                           of all fixed and mobile
                                                                                           devices will be

Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine
 © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011                                       September 2011              Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   5
iPads sold in
                                                                              ;
    more than ALL Mac
    sales in                                                              !
Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine
 © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011                                               September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   6
Mobile Apps
                                                                                           will be Downloaded
                                                                                           per year
                                                                                           =                            in ARPU

Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine
 © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011                                       September 2011              Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   7
Addressing        Managing      Monetizing
                                               Spectrum          Traffic           and
                                             Requirements        Growth      Differentiating




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.    September 2011             Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   8
26x Growth                         Macro
                                                                                                                                           2G/3G/4G
                                                                                                    Macro
                  1000                                                                              Capacity

                                                                                                    Average
                   100                                                                              Macro Cell
         Growth




                                                                                                    Efficiency

                    10                                                                              Spectrum


                     1                                                                                                  Consumer           Business              Community
                         1990                  1995        2000   2005   2010               2015                                   Wi-Fi
                                                                                                      Source: Agilent              Femto



                                                                                                                          Small Cells Increase
                  Overall Capacity Not Keeping Pace with Data Demand
                                                                                                                           Existing Capacity


© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                   September 2011                                                  Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   9
• Mobile data traffic expected to increase
      26x from 2010 to 2015*
• Usage consumption patterns are shifting

• Majority consumption occurs indoors
      (home, office, venues)
• Wi-Fi coverage is readily available
      at most locations
• According to Millennial Media, 1/3 of
      impressions comes from Smartphones
      connected over Wi-Fi networks


       Source: Strategy Analytics
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   10
―We’re entering the post-macrocell
                                                            era where radio type no longer
                                                            defines the network architecture—
                                                            and small cells are critical in delivering
                                                            the mobile Internet.‖
                                                                                                    John Chambers
                                                                                    Chairman and CEO, Cisco Systems




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.           September 2011                      Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   11
Key SP Wi-Fi
                                                                           Requirements

                                                           Mobility, Carrier-Grade, Scalability, Security



                                                 Intelligent        Unified                 Seamless     Converged
                                                   Radio          Architecture              Experience     Core



                                                                     Cisco Solution Pillars


© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                   September 2011                      Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   12
• Mobile Internet Demand is non-uniform

• Peaks of demand in certain hotspots
      can exceed cell capacity
• Baseball stadium deployment—5500
      devices generating 52 Mbps traffic
                                                                                                                  Spatial Traffic Distribution

• 12,000 devices attached to Wi-Fi                                                               100
                                                                                                 90

      during Superbowl XLV                                                                       80




                                                                            Cumulative Traffic
                                                                                                 70


• How to scale metro—continuing splitting
                                                                                                 60
                                                                                                 50
                                                                                                                                                       Mobile Voice (Mins)

      cells or do something different?                                                           40
                                                                                                 30
                                                                                                                                                       WiFi (Clients)

                                                                                                                                                       Mobile Broadband (MB)
                                                                                                 20
                                                                                                 10
                                                                                                   0
                                                                                                       0   20           40           60                  80                    100

                                                                                                                Percentage Geographic Area Covered
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   September 2011                                                        Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only          13
Addressing        Managing      Monetizing
                                               Spectrum          Traffic           and
                                             Requirements        Growth      Differentiating




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.    September 2011             Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   14
Data Cap
                            Reached
                                                           BYOD


                                90%




 Lifestyle Devices                                                   App Freedom                   Internet of Things
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.          September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   15
Lifestyle Devices                                            App Freedom                   Internet of Things
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   16
100M Subscribers




                                                                                                                                               10M Subscribers




                                                                                                                                                                 1M Subscribers
                                                           Voice Signaling   Data Signaling          Roaming Signaling    Keep alive Signaling




                                                                                                                                                             100s of signals
                                                                                                                                                               in minutes
                                                            Phone Call         Browser               Phone in Motion         Multiple Apps                    by one user

                                                                                                                     Unpredictable
 Lifestyle Devices                                                                     App Freedom                                                     Internet of Things
                                                                                                                       Signaling
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                            September 2011                                     Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   17
Customer
                                                           Sodas LOW                       Preferences
                                                                             Maintenance




                                                                                               Engine Usage




 Lifestyle Devices                                                        App Freedom                                         Internet of Things
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.               September 2011                         Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   18
Old Normal            New Normal

            User                                              People            People and Things

            Access                                         Homogeneous           Heterogeneous

            Services                                       Voice and Data         Experiences

            Usage                                           Predictable           Unpredictable

            Architecture                                       Static                Elastic



© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.       September 2011            Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   19
3G                         Bearer                            Sessions




                                                            4G                        Signaling                   Transactions

                                Small Cell                       Services                          Throughput


                           Lifestyle Devices                     App Freedom                      Internet of Things
                                        3G to 4G and WiFI           Unpredictable Signaling           Machine to Machine




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.           September 2011                               Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   20
Signaling and Bearer                                          Services

                                                                                          3G


                                                                  3G

                                                                                               GGSN
                                                                       SGSN         LTE


                                                           LTE                                                                 FW     PCRF
                                                                                          SGW

                                                                 MME          LTE                                      IPsec                 IMS

                                                                                                                                    DPI
                                                                                    PGW




                                                           Any Access, Any Service, Any Analytics, Auto Sizing

© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                              September 2011                               Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   21
Mobile Cloud Services
                                                                                                     Elastic
                                                                                             Intelligent Network
                                                                Elastic                                Core                   Elastic
                                                               Computing                          Evolved                    Computing
                                                                                                Packet Core
                                                               Video                                                         Cloud Services
                                                                         Resource            IP Edge and Core        Resource
                                                                        Optimization                                Optimization
                                                                              Network
                                                                            Virtualization
                                                                                              Unified Mobile
                                                                                                Backhaul

                                                                                        HETEROGENEOUS ACCESS
                                                           Unlicensed Small Cell                 Macro Radio             Licensed Small Cell
                                                                 (SP WiFi)                   (2G, 3G, LTE, A-LTE)             (Femto)




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                                     September 2011                                    Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   22
Addressing        Managing      Monetizing
                                               Spectrum          Traffic           and
                                             Requirements        Growth      Differentiating




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.    September 2011             Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   23
Subscriber



                                                                             Network



                                                                            Application




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   September 2011           Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   24
Dwell Time                                      Typical Path Taken
        on Laurel Street Time at
                     Dwell
                     Coffee Shops
         7:00–9:00am:
          4 minutes, 7:00–9:00am:
          22 seconds 4 minutes,
                      22 seconds




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.    September 2011      Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   25
Airport
                                                                     Airport
                                                                        Airport
                                                                 Traveler Paths
                                                               Traveler Density
                                                                     Travelers
                                                           Capacity
                                                           Targets    LocatedStatus
                                                                    Location
                                                                     Devices  Percentage
                                                            20/50     Location A       OPEN
                                                              1         2315           60.01
                                                           100/100
                                                              2      8:00–10:00am
                                                                      Location B
                                                                         834          CLOSED
                                                                                       21.62
                                                             3            709          18.38




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.             September 2011            Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   26
Elastic
                                                                         Architecture
                                                                        Addressing       Managing      Monetizing
                                                                         Spectrum         Traffic           and
                                                                       Requirements       Growth      Differentiating




                                                   Elastic     Resource                                            Network        Heterogeneous
                                                                                       Elastic Core              Virtualization      Access
                                                  Computing   Optimization




 Lifestyle Devices                                                                    App Freedom                                                         Internet of Things
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.                         September 2011                                           Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   27
Thank you.




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   28
Tablet             = 1.2 X (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic)
                                  64-bit Laptop/PC                            = 2.0 X (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic)
           Internet-Enabled HDTV                                              = 4.1 X (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic)
                              Gaming Consoles                                 = 3.2 X          (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic)



   Internet-Enabled 3DTV                                                      = 3.4 X          (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic)


Source: Cisco VNI Global Forecast, 2011–2016
© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.            September 2011                              Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   29
Industry’s first Elastic Architecture for the Next Gen Mobile Internet

An Elastic Architecture addressing the New Normal
Introducing the Elastic Packet Core
      •      Expanding the ASR 5000 to ASR 5000 Series
      •      ASR 5500 for the next decade: superior economics,
             incremental monetization

Customer Momentum:
      •      TBC




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.         September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   30
Industry’s first Elastic Architecture for the Next Gen Mobile Internet

An Elastic Architecture for the New Normal
Introducing the Elastic Packet Core
      •      Expanding the ASR 5000 to ASR 5000 Series
      •      ASR 5500 for the next decade: superior economics,
             incremental monetization

Customer Momentum:
      •      TBC




© 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.         September 2011   Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only   31

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Managing the Mobile Data Deluge with Small Cell Offload

  • 1. Managing the Data Deluge Nick Adamo, SVP, Global Service Provider Market Segment Cisco Systems © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Cisco Confidential Internal Use Only 1
  • 2. In global mobile data traffic grew Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011 September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 2
  • 3. In traffic will grow with of mobile device usage indoors, home and office Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011 September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 3
  • 4. In of smartphone traffic was offloaded; of tablet traffic was offloaded to Wi-Fi networks Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011 September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 4
  • 5. By or of all fixed and mobile devices will be Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011 September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 5
  • 6. iPads sold in ; more than ALL Mac sales in ! Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011 September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 6
  • 7. Mobile Apps will be Downloaded per year = in ARPU Source: and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Study, CIO Magazine © 2011 Cisco State of the CIO 2011 September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 7
  • 8. Addressing Managing Monetizing Spectrum Traffic and Requirements Growth Differentiating © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 8
  • 9. 26x Growth Macro 2G/3G/4G Macro 1000 Capacity Average 100 Macro Cell Growth Efficiency 10 Spectrum 1 Consumer Business Community 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Wi-Fi Source: Agilent Femto Small Cells Increase Overall Capacity Not Keeping Pace with Data Demand Existing Capacity © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 9
  • 10. • Mobile data traffic expected to increase 26x from 2010 to 2015* • Usage consumption patterns are shifting • Majority consumption occurs indoors (home, office, venues) • Wi-Fi coverage is readily available at most locations • According to Millennial Media, 1/3 of impressions comes from Smartphones connected over Wi-Fi networks Source: Strategy Analytics © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 10
  • 11. ―We’re entering the post-macrocell era where radio type no longer defines the network architecture— and small cells are critical in delivering the mobile Internet.‖ John Chambers Chairman and CEO, Cisco Systems © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 11
  • 12. Key SP Wi-Fi Requirements Mobility, Carrier-Grade, Scalability, Security Intelligent Unified Seamless Converged Radio Architecture Experience Core Cisco Solution Pillars © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 12
  • 13. • Mobile Internet Demand is non-uniform • Peaks of demand in certain hotspots can exceed cell capacity • Baseball stadium deployment—5500 devices generating 52 Mbps traffic Spatial Traffic Distribution • 12,000 devices attached to Wi-Fi 100 90 during Superbowl XLV 80 Cumulative Traffic 70 • How to scale metro—continuing splitting 60 50 Mobile Voice (Mins) cells or do something different? 40 30 WiFi (Clients) Mobile Broadband (MB) 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Percentage Geographic Area Covered © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 13
  • 14. Addressing Managing Monetizing Spectrum Traffic and Requirements Growth Differentiating © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 14
  • 15. Data Cap Reached BYOD 90% Lifestyle Devices App Freedom Internet of Things © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 15
  • 16. Lifestyle Devices App Freedom Internet of Things © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 16
  • 17. 100M Subscribers 10M Subscribers 1M Subscribers Voice Signaling Data Signaling Roaming Signaling Keep alive Signaling 100s of signals in minutes Phone Call Browser Phone in Motion Multiple Apps by one user Unpredictable Lifestyle Devices App Freedom Internet of Things Signaling © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 17
  • 18. Customer Sodas LOW Preferences Maintenance Engine Usage Lifestyle Devices App Freedom Internet of Things © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 18
  • 19. Old Normal New Normal User People People and Things Access Homogeneous Heterogeneous Services Voice and Data Experiences Usage Predictable Unpredictable Architecture Static Elastic © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 19
  • 20. 3G Bearer Sessions 4G Signaling Transactions Small Cell Services Throughput Lifestyle Devices App Freedom Internet of Things 3G to 4G and WiFI Unpredictable Signaling Machine to Machine © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 20
  • 21. Signaling and Bearer Services 3G 3G GGSN SGSN LTE LTE FW PCRF SGW MME LTE IPsec IMS DPI PGW Any Access, Any Service, Any Analytics, Auto Sizing © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 21
  • 22. Mobile Cloud Services Elastic Intelligent Network Elastic Core Elastic Computing Evolved Computing Packet Core Video Cloud Services Resource IP Edge and Core Resource Optimization Optimization Network Virtualization Unified Mobile Backhaul HETEROGENEOUS ACCESS Unlicensed Small Cell Macro Radio Licensed Small Cell (SP WiFi) (2G, 3G, LTE, A-LTE) (Femto) © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 22
  • 23. Addressing Managing Monetizing Spectrum Traffic and Requirements Growth Differentiating © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 23
  • 24. Subscriber Network Application © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 24
  • 25. Dwell Time Typical Path Taken on Laurel Street Time at Dwell Coffee Shops 7:00–9:00am: 4 minutes, 7:00–9:00am: 22 seconds 4 minutes, 22 seconds © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 25
  • 26. Airport Airport Airport Traveler Paths Traveler Density Travelers Capacity Targets LocatedStatus Location Devices Percentage 20/50 Location A OPEN 1 2315 60.01 100/100 2 8:00–10:00am Location B 834 CLOSED 21.62 3 709 18.38 © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 26
  • 27. Elastic Architecture Addressing Managing Monetizing Spectrum Traffic and Requirements Growth Differentiating Elastic Resource Network Heterogeneous Elastic Core Virtualization Access Computing Optimization Lifestyle Devices App Freedom Internet of Things © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 27
  • 28. Thank you. © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 28
  • 29. Tablet = 1.2 X (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic) 64-bit Laptop/PC = 2.0 X (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic) Internet-Enabled HDTV = 4.1 X (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic) Gaming Consoles = 3.2 X (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic) Internet-Enabled 3DTV = 3.4 X (monthly 32-bit laptop fixed traffic) Source: Cisco VNI Global Forecast, 2011–2016 © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 29
  • 30. Industry’s first Elastic Architecture for the Next Gen Mobile Internet An Elastic Architecture addressing the New Normal Introducing the Elastic Packet Core • Expanding the ASR 5000 to ASR 5000 Series • ASR 5500 for the next decade: superior economics, incremental monetization Customer Momentum: • TBC © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 30
  • 31. Industry’s first Elastic Architecture for the Next Gen Mobile Internet An Elastic Architecture for the New Normal Introducing the Elastic Packet Core • Expanding the ASR 5000 to ASR 5000 Series • ASR 5500 for the next decade: superior economics, incremental monetization Customer Momentum: • TBC © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. September 2011 Cisco Confidential – For Internal Use Only 31