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PROOF OF FAILURE
Clare Corthell
Machine Learning Engineer & Data Scientist
@clarecorthell
www.datasciencemasters.org
Deal Intelligence Platform

find and evaluate private companies
Machine Learning Need
• Very little structured information
• Disaggregated data
• Need for categorization
=> Data Structuring & Creation
WHAT DOES THE COMPANY DO?
“industry” dimension
INDUSTRIES AS BINARY CATEGORIES
you’re in or out
inputs outputsmodel
decision:
• reinforce
• ship
PERFECTION!
UTOPIA!
HUMAN INFERENCE WITHOUT HUMANS!
and 60 fewer people on payroll
- $4.2m / yr
ANALYSTS
the user is not the database
EXAMPLE 1: WIND TURBINES
WindTurbines.
definition
EXAMPLE 2: WEARABLES
on your body?
electronic?
new materials?
what are they?
definition
REINFORCEMENT
doesn’t always work
REINFORCEMENT PITFALLS
- (Technical) Overfitting
- Humans have to question their own assumptions
- Dimensional encoding issues (is this expressible
in features?)
- Human definitions is inadequate
SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO…
SVM > neural nets
things I’ve heard recently
WHY IS SVM BETTER?
Feature inspectability
• sometimes for debugging
• mostly for humans
Humans don’t know what transformation the black box
exerts on inputs. But sometimes, they need to know.
Their investors, their customers, their data analysts, their
operators, their CEO — all want to know.
MONSTERS IN THE BLACK BOX
because
HUMANS SHOULD BE HUMANS
COMPUTERS SHOULD BE COMPUTERS.
Sometimes, our identities get a little mixed up.
1. Set Expectations
make sure the organization understands failures
2. Reduce the “Trickery”*
We build systems for humans.
They need to understand how the levers and knobs
affect the outcome
*h/t SeanTaylor
datasciencemasters.org
github@clarecorthell.com
@clarecorthell
mattermark.com

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