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Turnaround- and Crisis
     Management
              concepts and principles for
                successful resolution

                        PM Summit 2012, Clemens Frowein




HLP entwicklungspartner GbR . Voltastraße 31 . D-60486 Frankfurt . info@hlp-entwicklungspartner.de
Telefon: 0049(69)43 00 820-00 . Telefax: 0049(69)43 00 820-10 . www.hlp-entwicklungspartner.de
Turnaround and Crisis Management



    "Crisis" (Greek): 1. a stage in a sequence of events at which the trend of all future
events, especially for better or for worse, is determined; turning point. 2. a condition of
instability or danger, as in social, economic, political, or international affairs, leading to
   a decisive change. 3. a dramatic emotional or circumstantial upheaval in a person's
 life. 4. the point in a play or story at which hostile elements are most tensely opposed
                                          to each other.


In Chinese, to set the font symbol for crisis together from 2 characters:
                            "Danger" and "opportunity"

                   70% !
Crisis is a subjective state after a suddenly occurring, life-changing event that, where
      affected humans often are (temporarily) overwhelmed with the resolution.



                                                                                                 2
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 Most common causes for corporate crisis


     Liquidity problems                                                  73,9%

     Decrease in sales                                              69,6%

     Endangered equity                                       65,2%

     Uncompetitive cost base                           60,9%
     Strategic reorientation                       56,5%
     Drop in prices                        43,5%
     Negative earnings                     43,5%
     Earnings lower than target    8,7%


                                                      Roland Berger Study, 2006




                                                                                  3
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 Dynamic and logic of corporate crisis

                               Urgency
           Small                                                              Large
                                                          INSOLVENCY



                                                          LIQUIDITY
            Scope for Action




                                                            CRISIS




                                                                                Need for Action
                                               EARNINGS
                                                CRISIS


                                   STRATEGIC
                                     CRISIS
          Large                                                               Small
                                                                       Time


                                                                                                  4
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 How to tackle the challenge: The turnaround resolution cycle


                                         Get in
                                      crisis state


                  Root-cause
                 understanding       Turnaround
                                      Resolution        Learning &
                                        Cycle            moving
                       Phase 1
                    the tough cuts
                          first            Phase 2
                                         new capacity
                                           building
                                                                     5
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 Root cause unterstanding: External and internal causes

 External causes of crisis               Internal causes of crisis

   Structural change, e.g. due to         Management problems
      Globalization                        Ignoring the signs of crisis
      Integration                          Lack of ability to act
      Technology leaps                     Wrong HR policy
      Shareholder value orientation
                                          Wrong focus: on sales rather
   Cyclical problems                      than profit
     Drop in demand
     Change in the dynamics of            Growth trap or overambitious
     competition                          cost saving efforts
     Sales channel switch
                                          Increasing complexity of the
   Unpredictable changes to the           product portfolio, regions, and
   market/competitive framework           customer segments
     Drop in public-sector demand
     Ban on certain products              Insufficient transparency for
                                          corporate control
                                                                            6
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 Root cause unterstanding: Challenges of diagnosis

    Problems are so different and situations so complex, there can
    be no universal remedies for corporate crisis.
    Knowing the strategic and operative causes is key to success
    and the basis for effective counter-action.
    Major decisions of the diagnosis must be made under extreme
    time pressure.
    Management must be self-critical and open-minded: in the final
    analysis, most corporate crises are down the management
    mistakes.
    The diagnosis is the success critical – all interventions build upon


                                                                           7
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 Root cause unterstanding: Diagnosis in three areas

 1                                     2                                      3
            Financials                           Operations                               Strategy
  Revenue and cost                     Structures                             Product portfolio
     Revenue, cost and profits by          Departments (structure/heads)          Product mix
     products, markets, customers          Hierarchical levels                    Complexity
     Benchmarking by cost type             Regional coverage                      Innovation
     (material, operation, overhead)       Holding structure (subsidiaries)       Pricing model
     Main causes of losses/risks
                                       Key processes                          Market and customers
  Cash flow                                Decision-making/ reporting             Market segment development
     Monthly develop. /forecast            Value chain (in/outsourcing)           Trends & key success factors
     Accounts receivable                   Sales/marketing efficiency             Market access and distribution
     Inventory                             Purchasing efficiency                  Customer and order structure
     Investment/divestment                 Production efficiency
                                           Logistics efficiency               Competitive position
  Capital structure                                                               Existing and potential
     Excessive debt/loss of equity     Management/ personnel                      competition profiles
     Hidden risks in balance sheet         Qualification                          Relative positioning (market
     Need for „fresh money“                Motivation                             share, success factors)


                                                                                                                   8
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 1. Phase of the program: The „tough cuts“

                    Liquidity                                       Profitability
                                                         Sales up
     Reduce investments to absolute                      - Increase prices where possible
     minimum                                             - Focus sales efforts on customers
     (only essential repairs/replacements)               - Speed up new product launches
     Reduce inventories                                  Reduce procurement costs
     - Lower safety stocks                   Survive &   - Lower material/service standard
     - Dispose of slow movers                 Regain     - Negotiate with suppliers
     - Increase quality in delivery                      - Change suppliers
                                               Value     Reduce personnel costs
     Reduce accounts receivable
     - Intensify claim management                        - Layoffs/part-time employment
     - Speed up settlement                               - Reduce/waive salary
     - Push for faster payment terms or                  - Stop employment
       advance payments                                  - Reduce overtime
                                                         Reduce overhead costs
     Sell fixed assets
                                                         - Cut travel budgets
     - Real estate
                                                         - Reduce perks
     - Machinery
                                                         - Negotiate interest relief
     - Holdings
                                                                                              9
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 2. Phase new capabilities: The path back to value

      Restructure weak setup’s       Identify extra sales and   Focus on the profitable
                                     earnings potential         elements of the value chain
      Reduce complexity costs        - Focus on quality of
      - Eliminate unprofitable         customer handling        Develop a business model
      products                       - Enter complementary      that creates value
      - Reduce no. of product          markets
         variants
      - Introduce a modular system
                                                                Optimize business units/
                                     Choose unusual market      jettison non-core business
      Reorganize Processes           entry or exit strategy     segments

      Involve employees




          Organization                  Target markets             Business model

                                                                                              10
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 Use the ep Transformation Canvas: Change is critical




   ep Transformation
         Canvas




                                                        11
Turnaround and Crisis Management



 Critical success factors of turnaround management

 1.   MANAGEMENT COMMITMENT & LEADERSHIP
      The most important success factor in restructuring – implementation has
      room for improvement

      HOLISTIC CONCEPT – Strategic, Operational and Financial
 2.   Very important (P&L, balance sheet, cashflow, strategy, systems) – implementation has
      improvement potential


 3.   QUICK IMPLEMENTATION – Speed is of essence
      Rated as very important; but low rate of early warning systems implementation



 4.   TRANSFORMATION MANAGEMENT – without Change no results
      Create the energy and build new capabilities with involvement and up-skilling




                                                                                              12
Turnaround and Crisis Management




 Überblick: Experten in Reorganisation / Turnaround
                     Clemens Frowein

                     Studium des Wirtschaftingenieur-wesens und der Betriebswirtschaft an
                     den Universitäten TH Darmstadt und JWG Frankfurt / Main. Assistent des
                     Vorstands bei einem führenden Systemhaus.

                     Von 2004 bis 2010 war er Gesellschafter bei HLP Hirzel Leder & Partner,
                     seit 2011 Partner bei HLP entwicklungspartner GbR.

  Clemens Frowein berät mit den Schwerpunkten Unternehmens- und Geschäftsfeld-
  strategie, Innovationsmanagement, Projektmanagement und Organisationsentwicklung.
  Nach Branchen liegen die Erfahrungen in der Konsumgüterbranche, Chemische Industrie,
  Dienstleistungsbereich, bei ITC Diensten und auch im landwirtschaftlichen Bereich. Er
  unterstützt Unternehmen in der Orientierung, der Geschäfts- und Organisations-
  entwicklung, wobei in besonderer Weise „harte“ Faktoren (Geschäftslogik) kombiniert mit
  „weichen“ Faktoren (Dynamik der Menschen und Organisation) in den Blick genommen
  werden. Veröffentlichung zahlreicher Artikeln und Beiträgen sowie Vorträge zu den Themen
  Strategie und Innovation.

                                                                                               13
Thank You




 HLP entwicklungspartner GbR . Voltastraße 31 . D-60486 Frankfurt . info@hlp-entwicklungspartner.de
 Telefon: 0049(69)43 00 820-00 . Telefax: 0049(69)43 00 820-10 . www.hlp-entwicklungspartner.de

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Turnaround and crisis management [kompatibilitätsmodus]

  • 1. Turnaround- and Crisis Management concepts and principles for successful resolution PM Summit 2012, Clemens Frowein HLP entwicklungspartner GbR . Voltastraße 31 . D-60486 Frankfurt . info@hlp-entwicklungspartner.de Telefon: 0049(69)43 00 820-00 . Telefax: 0049(69)43 00 820-10 . www.hlp-entwicklungspartner.de
  • 2. Turnaround and Crisis Management "Crisis" (Greek): 1. a stage in a sequence of events at which the trend of all future events, especially for better or for worse, is determined; turning point. 2. a condition of instability or danger, as in social, economic, political, or international affairs, leading to a decisive change. 3. a dramatic emotional or circumstantial upheaval in a person's life. 4. the point in a play or story at which hostile elements are most tensely opposed to each other. In Chinese, to set the font symbol for crisis together from 2 characters: "Danger" and "opportunity" 70% ! Crisis is a subjective state after a suddenly occurring, life-changing event that, where affected humans often are (temporarily) overwhelmed with the resolution. 2
  • 3. Turnaround and Crisis Management Most common causes for corporate crisis Liquidity problems 73,9% Decrease in sales 69,6% Endangered equity 65,2% Uncompetitive cost base 60,9% Strategic reorientation 56,5% Drop in prices 43,5% Negative earnings 43,5% Earnings lower than target 8,7% Roland Berger Study, 2006 3
  • 4. Turnaround and Crisis Management Dynamic and logic of corporate crisis Urgency Small Large INSOLVENCY LIQUIDITY Scope for Action CRISIS Need for Action EARNINGS CRISIS STRATEGIC CRISIS Large Small Time 4
  • 5. Turnaround and Crisis Management How to tackle the challenge: The turnaround resolution cycle Get in crisis state Root-cause understanding Turnaround Resolution Learning & Cycle moving Phase 1 the tough cuts first Phase 2 new capacity building 5
  • 6. Turnaround and Crisis Management Root cause unterstanding: External and internal causes External causes of crisis Internal causes of crisis Structural change, e.g. due to Management problems Globalization Ignoring the signs of crisis Integration Lack of ability to act Technology leaps Wrong HR policy Shareholder value orientation Wrong focus: on sales rather Cyclical problems than profit Drop in demand Change in the dynamics of Growth trap or overambitious competition cost saving efforts Sales channel switch Increasing complexity of the Unpredictable changes to the product portfolio, regions, and market/competitive framework customer segments Drop in public-sector demand Ban on certain products Insufficient transparency for corporate control 6
  • 7. Turnaround and Crisis Management Root cause unterstanding: Challenges of diagnosis Problems are so different and situations so complex, there can be no universal remedies for corporate crisis. Knowing the strategic and operative causes is key to success and the basis for effective counter-action. Major decisions of the diagnosis must be made under extreme time pressure. Management must be self-critical and open-minded: in the final analysis, most corporate crises are down the management mistakes. The diagnosis is the success critical – all interventions build upon 7
  • 8. Turnaround and Crisis Management Root cause unterstanding: Diagnosis in three areas 1 2 3 Financials Operations Strategy Revenue and cost Structures Product portfolio Revenue, cost and profits by Departments (structure/heads) Product mix products, markets, customers Hierarchical levels Complexity Benchmarking by cost type Regional coverage Innovation (material, operation, overhead) Holding structure (subsidiaries) Pricing model Main causes of losses/risks Key processes Market and customers Cash flow Decision-making/ reporting Market segment development Monthly develop. /forecast Value chain (in/outsourcing) Trends & key success factors Accounts receivable Sales/marketing efficiency Market access and distribution Inventory Purchasing efficiency Customer and order structure Investment/divestment Production efficiency Logistics efficiency Competitive position Capital structure Existing and potential Excessive debt/loss of equity Management/ personnel competition profiles Hidden risks in balance sheet Qualification Relative positioning (market Need for „fresh money“ Motivation share, success factors) 8
  • 9. Turnaround and Crisis Management 1. Phase of the program: The „tough cuts“ Liquidity Profitability Sales up Reduce investments to absolute - Increase prices where possible minimum - Focus sales efforts on customers (only essential repairs/replacements) - Speed up new product launches Reduce inventories Reduce procurement costs - Lower safety stocks Survive & - Lower material/service standard - Dispose of slow movers Regain - Negotiate with suppliers - Increase quality in delivery - Change suppliers Value Reduce personnel costs Reduce accounts receivable - Intensify claim management - Layoffs/part-time employment - Speed up settlement - Reduce/waive salary - Push for faster payment terms or - Stop employment advance payments - Reduce overtime Reduce overhead costs Sell fixed assets - Cut travel budgets - Real estate - Reduce perks - Machinery - Negotiate interest relief - Holdings 9
  • 10. Turnaround and Crisis Management 2. Phase new capabilities: The path back to value Restructure weak setup’s Identify extra sales and Focus on the profitable earnings potential elements of the value chain Reduce complexity costs - Focus on quality of - Eliminate unprofitable customer handling Develop a business model products - Enter complementary that creates value - Reduce no. of product markets variants - Introduce a modular system Optimize business units/ Choose unusual market jettison non-core business Reorganize Processes entry or exit strategy segments Involve employees Organization Target markets Business model 10
  • 11. Turnaround and Crisis Management Use the ep Transformation Canvas: Change is critical ep Transformation Canvas 11
  • 12. Turnaround and Crisis Management Critical success factors of turnaround management 1. MANAGEMENT COMMITMENT & LEADERSHIP The most important success factor in restructuring – implementation has room for improvement HOLISTIC CONCEPT – Strategic, Operational and Financial 2. Very important (P&L, balance sheet, cashflow, strategy, systems) – implementation has improvement potential 3. QUICK IMPLEMENTATION – Speed is of essence Rated as very important; but low rate of early warning systems implementation 4. TRANSFORMATION MANAGEMENT – without Change no results Create the energy and build new capabilities with involvement and up-skilling 12
  • 13. Turnaround and Crisis Management Überblick: Experten in Reorganisation / Turnaround Clemens Frowein Studium des Wirtschaftingenieur-wesens und der Betriebswirtschaft an den Universitäten TH Darmstadt und JWG Frankfurt / Main. Assistent des Vorstands bei einem führenden Systemhaus. Von 2004 bis 2010 war er Gesellschafter bei HLP Hirzel Leder & Partner, seit 2011 Partner bei HLP entwicklungspartner GbR. Clemens Frowein berät mit den Schwerpunkten Unternehmens- und Geschäftsfeld- strategie, Innovationsmanagement, Projektmanagement und Organisationsentwicklung. Nach Branchen liegen die Erfahrungen in der Konsumgüterbranche, Chemische Industrie, Dienstleistungsbereich, bei ITC Diensten und auch im landwirtschaftlichen Bereich. Er unterstützt Unternehmen in der Orientierung, der Geschäfts- und Organisations- entwicklung, wobei in besonderer Weise „harte“ Faktoren (Geschäftslogik) kombiniert mit „weichen“ Faktoren (Dynamik der Menschen und Organisation) in den Blick genommen werden. Veröffentlichung zahlreicher Artikeln und Beiträgen sowie Vorträge zu den Themen Strategie und Innovation. 13
  • 14. Thank You HLP entwicklungspartner GbR . Voltastraße 31 . D-60486 Frankfurt . info@hlp-entwicklungspartner.de Telefon: 0049(69)43 00 820-00 . Telefax: 0049(69)43 00 820-10 . www.hlp-entwicklungspartner.de