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SOCIAL MEDIA MANIPULATION
Center for Media Pluralism and Media Freedom | 26 June 2019
Samantha Bradshaw
Oxford Internet Institute
Algorithms, Bots and Computational Propaganda
Summer School for Journalists and Media Practitioners
Social media has become a primary
source of news around the world
DIGITAL MEDIA
LITERACY
THE SPREAD OF DISINFORMATION
ON SOCIAL MEDIA
DATA-DRIVEN ADVERTISING
& CAMPAIGNING
FOREIGN INFLUENCE
OPERATIONS
POLITICAL BOTS AND AUTOMATION
SUSTAINABLE
JOURNALISM MODELS
TROLLS AND ONLINE HARASSMENT
DATA PROTECTION AND PRIVACY
PLATFORM BLACKBOXES
DECLINING TRUST AND
INCREASING POLARIZATION
WHAT EXACTLY IS THE PROBLEM HERE?
AUTOMATED
ACCOUNTS
DATA-RICH
PERSONALIZATION
ALGORITHMIC
AMPLIFICATION
PATRIOTIC
TROLLING
COMPUTATIONAL PROPAGANDA
WHAT’S NEW?
Gaming algorithms to amplify
conspiracy, propaganda, and
disinformation about political
parties or important political
issues.
Bot accounts designed to
mimic human behaviour to
amplify junk content and
opinions at the fringe of
the political spectrum.
Purchasing advertisements
and deploying analytics to
target citizens with “dark
posts” to suppress voter
turnout.
Paid political commentators
who bully, harass and prey
on political dissidents or
members of the opposition.
DEFINING
DISINFORMATION
The study of “fake news” presents several
epistemological and methodological challenges:
• Encompasses a spectrum of information types;
• Limited nuance to binary distinction;
• Used to delegitimize political opponents and
mainstream media.
JUNK NEWS TYPOLOGY
PROFESSIONALISM STYLEBIAS CREDIBILITY COUNTERFEIT
JUNK NEWS DOMAINS
TOP 29 WEBSITES PRODUCING JUNK NEWS ABOUT US POLITICS, 2016-2019
JUNK NEWS IN SWING STATES
Swing states in the United States shared higher levels
of junk news
2016 2017 2017 2018
Junk News Shared on Twitter in National Elections, 2016-2018
PROFESSIONAL NEWS: JUNK NEWS
PROFESSIONAL NEWS: JUNK NEWS
EUROPEAN ELECTIONS
Low levels of junk overall (< 4%),
expect in the Polish sphere (21%)
Links to professional news outlets top traffic (34 %)
especially in the French & Swedish spheres (>50 %)
AVERAGE FACEBOOK INTERACTIONS, PER STORY
Junk news stories tend to attract more engagement….
TOTAL FACEBOOK INTERACTIONS
…but professional outlets still dominate
THE PERFORMANCE OF JUNK NEWS DOMAINS ON GOOGLE
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
May'15
Jul'15
Sep'15
Nov'15
Jan'16
Mar'16
May'16
Jul'16
Sep'16
Nov'16
Jan'17
Mar'17
May'17
Jul'17
Sep'17
Nov'17
Jan'18
Mar'18
May'18
Jul'18
Sep'18
Nov'18
Jan'19
Mar'19
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
May'15
Jul'15
Sep'15
Nov'15
Jan'16
Mar'16
May'16
Jul'16
Sep'16
Nov'16
Jan'17
Mar'17
May'17
Jul'17
Sep'17
Nov'17
Jan'18
Mar'18
May'18
Jul'18
Sep'18
Nov'18
Jan'19
Mar'19
TOP 29 JUNK NEWS DOMAINS MAINSTREAM MEDIA WEBSITES
WHAT’S UP WHATSAPP?
ONE THIRD
OF ALL IMAGES SHARED
OVER WHATSAPP WERE
CONSPIRITORIAL,
POLARIZING, OR JUNK
ONLY FOUR
OF THE 50 TOP SHARED
IMAGES ON WHATSAPP
WERE FACK CHECKED AS
TRUE.
WHO PRODUCES COMPUTATIONAL PROPAGANDA?
HATE GROUPS CONSPIRACY
THEORISTS
FOREIGN
STATES
POLITICIANS CLICK BAITERS
MULTI-DIMENSIONAL
CHALLENGES
ACROSS MULTIPLE
PLATFORMS
WITHIN A VARIETY OF
COUNTRY CONTEXTS
TAKE AWAYS
Computational Propaganda is a Symptom of
much Deeper Problems.
How Have Social Media Companies
Responded?
Platform Algorithm
changes /AI
Fact checking
and flagging
Enhance
reporting
Human
content
moderation
Enforcement Partnerships
and research
Media
literacy
programs
Supporting
quality
journalism
Improved
transparency
Data
protection
measures
Facebook, n= 80
28 19 16 23 42 28 9 8 31 16
Google, n=26
17 9 1 3 6 19 9 15 11 4
Twitter, n=19
8 1 1 4 16 7 3 1 9 1
Total, n= 125
53 29 18 30 64 54 21 24 51 21
CATEGORIZING INDUSTRY RESPONSES
EMERGENT &
REACTIVE
TERMS OF SERVICE:
ENFORCEMENT
ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE
CONTENT
MODERATION
PLATFORM RESPONSES
GOVERNMENT RESPONSES, 2016-2018
SINCE 2016, MORE THAN 42 GOVERNMENTS
HAVE INTRODUCED NEW LEGISLATION
DESIGNED TO TACKLE “FAKE NEWS”
SOCIAL MEDIA
PLATFORMS
GOVERNMENT RESPONSES, 2016-2018
OFFENDERS
GOVERNMENT CAPACITY
CITIZENS AND CIVIL SOCIETY
Criminalization of “Fake News”
Redefinition of Illegal Content
Content Take-Down
Data Protection Legislation
Advertising Transparency
Media Literacy and Watchdogs
Media Accreditation and Journalistic Controls
Parliamentary Inquiries
Security and Defence Investments
Monitoring and Reporting Portals
UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES
OF REGULATORY INTERVENTION
CHILLING EFFECT
on digital public discourse
LEARNING CURVE
for authoritarian regimes
FOCUS ON SYMPTOMS
While systemic challenges remain unaddressed
DEEP THREATS TO DEMOCRACY
ARE AHEAD OF US, NOT BEHIND US

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Social media manipulation: algorithms, bots and computational propaganda

  • 1. SOCIAL MEDIA MANIPULATION Center for Media Pluralism and Media Freedom | 26 June 2019 Samantha Bradshaw Oxford Internet Institute Algorithms, Bots and Computational Propaganda Summer School for Journalists and Media Practitioners
  • 2.
  • 3. Social media has become a primary source of news around the world
  • 4. DIGITAL MEDIA LITERACY THE SPREAD OF DISINFORMATION ON SOCIAL MEDIA DATA-DRIVEN ADVERTISING & CAMPAIGNING FOREIGN INFLUENCE OPERATIONS POLITICAL BOTS AND AUTOMATION SUSTAINABLE JOURNALISM MODELS TROLLS AND ONLINE HARASSMENT DATA PROTECTION AND PRIVACY PLATFORM BLACKBOXES DECLINING TRUST AND INCREASING POLARIZATION WHAT EXACTLY IS THE PROBLEM HERE?
  • 5. AUTOMATED ACCOUNTS DATA-RICH PERSONALIZATION ALGORITHMIC AMPLIFICATION PATRIOTIC TROLLING COMPUTATIONAL PROPAGANDA WHAT’S NEW? Gaming algorithms to amplify conspiracy, propaganda, and disinformation about political parties or important political issues. Bot accounts designed to mimic human behaviour to amplify junk content and opinions at the fringe of the political spectrum. Purchasing advertisements and deploying analytics to target citizens with “dark posts” to suppress voter turnout. Paid political commentators who bully, harass and prey on political dissidents or members of the opposition.
  • 6. DEFINING DISINFORMATION The study of “fake news” presents several epistemological and methodological challenges: • Encompasses a spectrum of information types; • Limited nuance to binary distinction; • Used to delegitimize political opponents and mainstream media.
  • 7. JUNK NEWS TYPOLOGY PROFESSIONALISM STYLEBIAS CREDIBILITY COUNTERFEIT
  • 8. JUNK NEWS DOMAINS TOP 29 WEBSITES PRODUCING JUNK NEWS ABOUT US POLITICS, 2016-2019
  • 9. JUNK NEWS IN SWING STATES Swing states in the United States shared higher levels of junk news
  • 10. 2016 2017 2017 2018 Junk News Shared on Twitter in National Elections, 2016-2018 PROFESSIONAL NEWS: JUNK NEWS
  • 11. PROFESSIONAL NEWS: JUNK NEWS EUROPEAN ELECTIONS Low levels of junk overall (< 4%), expect in the Polish sphere (21%) Links to professional news outlets top traffic (34 %) especially in the French & Swedish spheres (>50 %)
  • 12. AVERAGE FACEBOOK INTERACTIONS, PER STORY Junk news stories tend to attract more engagement….
  • 13. TOTAL FACEBOOK INTERACTIONS …but professional outlets still dominate
  • 14. THE PERFORMANCE OF JUNK NEWS DOMAINS ON GOOGLE 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 May'15 Jul'15 Sep'15 Nov'15 Jan'16 Mar'16 May'16 Jul'16 Sep'16 Nov'16 Jan'17 Mar'17 May'17 Jul'17 Sep'17 Nov'17 Jan'18 Mar'18 May'18 Jul'18 Sep'18 Nov'18 Jan'19 Mar'19 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 2,000,000 May'15 Jul'15 Sep'15 Nov'15 Jan'16 Mar'16 May'16 Jul'16 Sep'16 Nov'16 Jan'17 Mar'17 May'17 Jul'17 Sep'17 Nov'17 Jan'18 Mar'18 May'18 Jul'18 Sep'18 Nov'18 Jan'19 Mar'19 TOP 29 JUNK NEWS DOMAINS MAINSTREAM MEDIA WEBSITES
  • 15.
  • 16. WHAT’S UP WHATSAPP? ONE THIRD OF ALL IMAGES SHARED OVER WHATSAPP WERE CONSPIRITORIAL, POLARIZING, OR JUNK ONLY FOUR OF THE 50 TOP SHARED IMAGES ON WHATSAPP WERE FACK CHECKED AS TRUE.
  • 17.
  • 18. WHO PRODUCES COMPUTATIONAL PROPAGANDA? HATE GROUPS CONSPIRACY THEORISTS FOREIGN STATES POLITICIANS CLICK BAITERS
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. MULTI-DIMENSIONAL CHALLENGES ACROSS MULTIPLE PLATFORMS WITHIN A VARIETY OF COUNTRY CONTEXTS TAKE AWAYS
  • 22. Computational Propaganda is a Symptom of much Deeper Problems.
  • 23. How Have Social Media Companies Responded?
  • 24. Platform Algorithm changes /AI Fact checking and flagging Enhance reporting Human content moderation Enforcement Partnerships and research Media literacy programs Supporting quality journalism Improved transparency Data protection measures Facebook, n= 80 28 19 16 23 42 28 9 8 31 16 Google, n=26 17 9 1 3 6 19 9 15 11 4 Twitter, n=19 8 1 1 4 16 7 3 1 9 1 Total, n= 125 53 29 18 30 64 54 21 24 51 21 CATEGORIZING INDUSTRY RESPONSES
  • 25. EMERGENT & REACTIVE TERMS OF SERVICE: ENFORCEMENT ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE CONTENT MODERATION PLATFORM RESPONSES
  • 26. GOVERNMENT RESPONSES, 2016-2018 SINCE 2016, MORE THAN 42 GOVERNMENTS HAVE INTRODUCED NEW LEGISLATION DESIGNED TO TACKLE “FAKE NEWS”
  • 27. SOCIAL MEDIA PLATFORMS GOVERNMENT RESPONSES, 2016-2018 OFFENDERS GOVERNMENT CAPACITY CITIZENS AND CIVIL SOCIETY Criminalization of “Fake News” Redefinition of Illegal Content Content Take-Down Data Protection Legislation Advertising Transparency Media Literacy and Watchdogs Media Accreditation and Journalistic Controls Parliamentary Inquiries Security and Defence Investments Monitoring and Reporting Portals
  • 28. UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF REGULATORY INTERVENTION CHILLING EFFECT on digital public discourse LEARNING CURVE for authoritarian regimes FOCUS ON SYMPTOMS While systemic challenges remain unaddressed
  • 29. DEEP THREATS TO DEMOCRACY ARE AHEAD OF US, NOT BEHIND US