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Upstream-Downstream
Connections in the
Delaware Basin
Stephanie P. Dalke
October 28, 2013
Pinchot Institute for Conservation
• Dedicated in 1963 at Grey
Towers National Historic Site,
Milford, PA
• Forges science-based &
collaborative solutions to
natural resource problems
• Serving the greatest good of
the greatest number in the
long run
• Non-profit and non-partisan
conservation thought, policy,
& action
“He was more than a forester, he was the father of American conservation. . . .It is far
more fitting and proper, rather than merely honor what he [Gifford Pinchot] did, to
dedicate this Institute to active work today. . .because we are reaching the limits of
our fundamental needs of water to drink, of fresh air to breathe, of open space to
enjoy, of abundant sources of energy to make life easier.” – John F. Kennedy, 1963
The clean, reliable water of the Delaware depends on
healthy, intact forests at its source.*
*This relationship could use further clarification
Delaware River Basin
•
•
•
•

Upper Basin: ~4,500 mi2
High levels of forest cover (80%)
Mostly privately owned
Development pressure and
forest loss
• “Next Generation” of sediment
in the Basin
Trends that threaten source water
Pollution: point & non-point sources
Impervious surface
Variability in precipitation: climate change
Forests: losing 100 acres/week
Forest health: insects & disease
Investment in source water protection
Trends that threaten source water
Forests in the Upper Basin
25%

Protected
Unprotected
75%

*Excluding NYC watershed

Private landowners:
• Few $ incentives to keep
their land forested
• Under increasing pressure to
sell or develop their land

Nearly 70% of all land
conversion (between 19962002) took place on previously
forested landscapes.
- DRBC 2008 State of the Basin
Report
SLEUTH Development Model
Dr. Claire Jantz, Shippensburg University
Mid-Century Streamflow Models
Dr. Ray Najjar, Pennsylvania State University

Which outcome is likely?
• Low flow in summer, early spring
melt, salinity, discharge of cooling water
• High flows in late fall/winter, higher intensity
events, flooding
Common Waters Partnership
A regional partnership of public and non-profit organizations and
agencies who recognize the importance of protecting and managing the
Upper Basin’s resources for many beneficiaries downstream.
Brodhead Watershed Association
Building Consensus for Sustainability
Catskill Forest Association
Delaware Highlands Conservancy
Delaware River Basin Commission
Environmental Protection Agency
Lacawac Sanctuary
League of Women Voters, Pennsylvania
Monroe County Conservation District
National Audubon Society
National Fish and Wildlife Foundation
National Parks Conservation Association
National Park Service, Delaware Water Gap National Recreation
Area
National Park Service, Rivers and Trails Conservation Assistance
National Park Service, Upper Delaware Scenic and Recreational
River
Natural Lands Trust
Natural Resources Conservation Service
New Jersey Forest Service
New Jersey Water Supply Authority
New York Department of Environmental Conservation
Orange County, NY Department of Planning
Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources
Pennsylvania Environmental Council
Pike County Conservation District
Pike County, PA Office of Community Planning
Pinchot Institute for Conservation
Pocono Environmental Education Center
Pocono Resource Conservation and Development Council

Sullivan County, NY Division of Planning and Environmental
Management
Sussex County Soil Conservation District
Sussex County, NJ Department of GIS Management
Sussex County, NJ Planning Division
The Nature Conservancy, National Headquarters
The Nature Conservancy, New Jersey
The Nature Conservancy, Pennsylvania
Upper Delaware Council
Upper Delaware River Roundtable
US Forest Service, Grey Towers National Historic Site
US Forest Service, State and Private Forestry
Wayne Conservation District
Consensus Priorities for Investment
Priority areas, v.2 (May 2012)

Natural Lands Trust, The Nature
Conservancy, US Forest Service, National Park
Service
Reaching Private Forest Owners
Incentivize forest protection in priority areas
• Stewardship plans & practices
• Conservation Easements
Reaching Private Forest Owners
Incentivize forest protection in priority areas
“In working with my family in this effort, I
have an opportunity to be a leader in saving
and preserving the forest that is so essential
to us, our children, and grandchildren. The
Common Waters Fund’s assistance with the
Stewardship Plan has been a significant
driver in making this happen.”
— Gary Carr
Acquisitions

Permanent
Non-permanent

Permanent
Easements
(Purchased)

COST

Permanent Easements
(Bargain Sales)
Permanent Easements (Donated –
Pay for Associated Costs)
Term Easements, Contracts for Annual
Payments or NPV Lump Payments,
Farmland Retirement, CREP, etc
Incentives for Stewardship Plans, Forest
Management Practices, Agricultural BMPs
Education, Estate Planning Assistance, Income
Diversification/Marketing Local Forest Products (incl.
carbon), Tax Credits/Preferential Assessment, etc

# LANDOWNERS PARTICIPATING

TIME TO ACHIEVE

Land Protection
Strategies
Technical Assistance & Capacity Building
• Regional land-use planning
• Climate change adaptation
• Stewardship & estate
planning workshops
• Cross-boundary collaboration
Who Benefits from Upstream Forests?
Million People Served
(% State Population)
New Jersey
Pennsylvania

5.5 (43%)

New York

4.2 (22%)

Delaware

The Delaware supplies drinking
water to >15 million

5.8 (66%)

0.7 (74%)
In-Basin Water Use
All Other
Thermoelectric
Non-agricultural Irrigation
Industrial
Agriculture

Hydroelectric
Public Water Supply
Mining
Self-supplied Domestic

8,000
7,000

mgd

6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
Source: Delaware
River Basin
Commission

2,000
1,000
Upper & Central Region Lower & Bay Region
Downstream Beneficiaries
• Sectors and facilities face different risks
• Floods
• Drought
• Water quality

• Energy
• Drinking water
• Industrial use

"When the well's
dry, we know the
worth of water."
-- Benjamin Franklin
Downstream Beneficiaries
• How “make the case” for investment in existing forests?
– Scientific justification (modeling etc.)
– Economic justification (cost-benefit analyses etc.)

Source: Natural Infrastructure: Investing in Forested Landscapes for Source Water Protection in the United
States, World Resources Institute, 2013
Upstream-Downstream Connections

How link upstream “suppliers”
with downstream beneficiaries &
stakeholders?
• Water-related risks & needs
• Value of forests
• Challenges & opportunities
Thank You!
Stephanie P. Dalke
202-797-6530
spdalke@pinchot.org
Will Price
301-943-5100
willprice@pinchot.org
www.commonwatersfund.org

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Upstream-Downstream Connections in the Delaware Basin by Stephanie P. Dalke

  • 1. Upstream-Downstream Connections in the Delaware Basin Stephanie P. Dalke October 28, 2013
  • 2. Pinchot Institute for Conservation • Dedicated in 1963 at Grey Towers National Historic Site, Milford, PA • Forges science-based & collaborative solutions to natural resource problems • Serving the greatest good of the greatest number in the long run • Non-profit and non-partisan conservation thought, policy, & action “He was more than a forester, he was the father of American conservation. . . .It is far more fitting and proper, rather than merely honor what he [Gifford Pinchot] did, to dedicate this Institute to active work today. . .because we are reaching the limits of our fundamental needs of water to drink, of fresh air to breathe, of open space to enjoy, of abundant sources of energy to make life easier.” – John F. Kennedy, 1963
  • 3. The clean, reliable water of the Delaware depends on healthy, intact forests at its source.* *This relationship could use further clarification
  • 4. Delaware River Basin • • • • Upper Basin: ~4,500 mi2 High levels of forest cover (80%) Mostly privately owned Development pressure and forest loss • “Next Generation” of sediment in the Basin
  • 5. Trends that threaten source water Pollution: point & non-point sources Impervious surface Variability in precipitation: climate change Forests: losing 100 acres/week Forest health: insects & disease Investment in source water protection
  • 6. Trends that threaten source water Forests in the Upper Basin 25% Protected Unprotected 75% *Excluding NYC watershed Private landowners: • Few $ incentives to keep their land forested • Under increasing pressure to sell or develop their land Nearly 70% of all land conversion (between 19962002) took place on previously forested landscapes. - DRBC 2008 State of the Basin Report
  • 7. SLEUTH Development Model Dr. Claire Jantz, Shippensburg University
  • 8. Mid-Century Streamflow Models Dr. Ray Najjar, Pennsylvania State University Which outcome is likely? • Low flow in summer, early spring melt, salinity, discharge of cooling water • High flows in late fall/winter, higher intensity events, flooding
  • 9. Common Waters Partnership A regional partnership of public and non-profit organizations and agencies who recognize the importance of protecting and managing the Upper Basin’s resources for many beneficiaries downstream. Brodhead Watershed Association Building Consensus for Sustainability Catskill Forest Association Delaware Highlands Conservancy Delaware River Basin Commission Environmental Protection Agency Lacawac Sanctuary League of Women Voters, Pennsylvania Monroe County Conservation District National Audubon Society National Fish and Wildlife Foundation National Parks Conservation Association National Park Service, Delaware Water Gap National Recreation Area National Park Service, Rivers and Trails Conservation Assistance National Park Service, Upper Delaware Scenic and Recreational River Natural Lands Trust Natural Resources Conservation Service New Jersey Forest Service New Jersey Water Supply Authority New York Department of Environmental Conservation Orange County, NY Department of Planning Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources Pennsylvania Environmental Council Pike County Conservation District Pike County, PA Office of Community Planning Pinchot Institute for Conservation Pocono Environmental Education Center Pocono Resource Conservation and Development Council Sullivan County, NY Division of Planning and Environmental Management Sussex County Soil Conservation District Sussex County, NJ Department of GIS Management Sussex County, NJ Planning Division The Nature Conservancy, National Headquarters The Nature Conservancy, New Jersey The Nature Conservancy, Pennsylvania Upper Delaware Council Upper Delaware River Roundtable US Forest Service, Grey Towers National Historic Site US Forest Service, State and Private Forestry Wayne Conservation District
  • 10. Consensus Priorities for Investment Priority areas, v.2 (May 2012) Natural Lands Trust, The Nature Conservancy, US Forest Service, National Park Service
  • 11. Reaching Private Forest Owners Incentivize forest protection in priority areas • Stewardship plans & practices • Conservation Easements
  • 12. Reaching Private Forest Owners Incentivize forest protection in priority areas “In working with my family in this effort, I have an opportunity to be a leader in saving and preserving the forest that is so essential to us, our children, and grandchildren. The Common Waters Fund’s assistance with the Stewardship Plan has been a significant driver in making this happen.” — Gary Carr
  • 13. Acquisitions Permanent Non-permanent Permanent Easements (Purchased) COST Permanent Easements (Bargain Sales) Permanent Easements (Donated – Pay for Associated Costs) Term Easements, Contracts for Annual Payments or NPV Lump Payments, Farmland Retirement, CREP, etc Incentives for Stewardship Plans, Forest Management Practices, Agricultural BMPs Education, Estate Planning Assistance, Income Diversification/Marketing Local Forest Products (incl. carbon), Tax Credits/Preferential Assessment, etc # LANDOWNERS PARTICIPATING TIME TO ACHIEVE Land Protection Strategies
  • 14. Technical Assistance & Capacity Building • Regional land-use planning • Climate change adaptation • Stewardship & estate planning workshops • Cross-boundary collaboration
  • 15. Who Benefits from Upstream Forests? Million People Served (% State Population) New Jersey Pennsylvania 5.5 (43%) New York 4.2 (22%) Delaware The Delaware supplies drinking water to >15 million 5.8 (66%) 0.7 (74%)
  • 16. In-Basin Water Use All Other Thermoelectric Non-agricultural Irrigation Industrial Agriculture Hydroelectric Public Water Supply Mining Self-supplied Domestic 8,000 7,000 mgd 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 Source: Delaware River Basin Commission 2,000 1,000 Upper & Central Region Lower & Bay Region
  • 17. Downstream Beneficiaries • Sectors and facilities face different risks • Floods • Drought • Water quality • Energy • Drinking water • Industrial use "When the well's dry, we know the worth of water." -- Benjamin Franklin
  • 18. Downstream Beneficiaries • How “make the case” for investment in existing forests? – Scientific justification (modeling etc.) – Economic justification (cost-benefit analyses etc.) Source: Natural Infrastructure: Investing in Forested Landscapes for Source Water Protection in the United States, World Resources Institute, 2013
  • 19. Upstream-Downstream Connections How link upstream “suppliers” with downstream beneficiaries & stakeholders? • Water-related risks & needs • Value of forests • Challenges & opportunities
  • 20. Thank You! Stephanie P. Dalke 202-797-6530 spdalke@pinchot.org Will Price 301-943-5100 willprice@pinchot.org www.commonwatersfund.org

Notas del editor

  1. Healthy forests = clean water.
  2. Our program, which is called the Common Waters Fund, is focused on the Upper Basin, from the Water Gap north to just below NYC’s reservoirs. This area has pretty high levels of forest cover and is mostly privately owned. It’s also under high development pressure –the fastest-growing counties in each of these three states are within the Upper Basin.It’s one of the most important watersheds for drinking water in the Northeast or Midwest, as we’ve seen from the USFS Forests to Faucets analysis. It serves over 16.2 million people – about 8 million of those are within the watershed, and another 7 million are outside the Basin in NYC and NJ.IMPORTANT CONTEXTUAL NOTE (we will discuss the implications of this more later): Few storage reservoirs! Much of this water is taken from the river directly!
  3. Mid-Century Streamflow predictions based on eight Global Climate Models downscaled for the Delaware River Basin [Dr. Ray Najjar, Penn State University]
  4. CW backgroundFund is currently facilitated by the Pinchot Institute for Conservation with help from a wide range of local partners
  5. NLT = Natural Lands TrustTNC = The Nature ConservancyUSFS = U.S. Forest ServiceNLT Source Water Protection ModelNLT Smart Conservation Aquatic AssessmentTNC Priority Forest AreasUSFS Forests, Water, & People Assessment (APCW)TNC’s Basin-wide freshwater assessmentA quick word on how we’ve set our priorities:We combined several existing studies to find the areas that really stood out as being important for water quality. Only landowners in these areas will be eligible.We do plan to get some modeling work and other research done to help us set on-the-ground goals (and to get an idea for how much $ is needed to be successful). This information will also help us establish a value for the resource – especially if we can look at the potential changes in water treatment costs due to forest loss.
  6. DISCUSS PROCESS (committees, workgroups etc)Right now we have $1 million to put on the ground into:Stewardship planningImplementation of management practicesEasementsPortable timber bridgesWe would also like to implement a CREP-style annual payments model – but we still have some details to work out there.Yes, some of this is just replicating state and federal cost share programs – but this is what the workgroups identified as high priority for the area – because of funding gaps and also b/c it’s a good way to get private landowners “in the door.” And, now we have a program going on the ground to make these concepts more concrete to potential downstream investors.
  7. DISCUSS PROCESS (committees, workgroups etc)Right now we have $1 million to put on the ground into:Stewardship planningImplementation of management practicesEasementsPortable timber bridgesWe would also like to implement a CREP-style annual payments model – but we still have some details to work out there.Yes, some of this is just replicating state and federal cost share programs – but this is what the workgroups identified as high priority for the area – because of funding gaps and also b/c it’s a good way to get private landowners “in the door.” And, now we have a program going on the ground to make these concepts more concrete to potential downstream investors.
  8. Stephanie P. Dalke, Pinchot Institute for Conservation
  9. DISCUSS PROCESS (committees, workgroups etc)Right now we have $1 million to put on the ground into:Stewardship planningImplementation of management practicesEasementsPortable timber bridgesWe would also like to implement a CREP-style annual payments model – but we still have some details to work out there.Yes, some of this is just replicating state and federal cost share programs – but this is what the workgroups identified as high priority for the area – because of funding gaps and also b/c it’s a good way to get private landowners “in the door.” And, now we have a program going on the ground to make these concepts more concrete to potential downstream investors.
  10. How do we pay for source water protection in the short- and long-term, while avoiding too many free riders?Rate-payers = very low cost per capita -- In many cases, don’t need TOO much $ from users (see: UNC’s dashboard, other examples)What else do we need to know? -- Data/science gapsWho else needs to be involved? -- Political will / rate change process -- Partners, decisionmakers, utility commissionsHow do we get the scientific information we need to support these efforts?How does the percentage of forested land correspond with water quality in a watershed?Need local models that people can trustGrey infra.Learn to speak their languageGet them thinking about “green infrastructure”Build in source water protection costsCultivate demand
  11. Nature of the problemDevelopment - many decisions that take place at the local level; lots of regional coordination neededComplex economic and social forces that affect land use changeAlso:Capacity – internal and in the Upper Basin