Presentation by Julien Groenenboom (Deltares) at the Seminar Models and decision-making in the wake of climate uncertainties, during the Deltares Software Days South-East Asia 2023. Wednesday, 22 February 2023, Singapore.
2. Content of this presentation
2/21
• Background of the study
• Model setup
• Model calibration
• Model validation
• Recent model improvements
• Conclusions
Victoria Harbour
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
3. Background of this study
3/21
• Area description
• Deltares is involved in Hong Kong
modelling studies for more than 25 years
• Aim: setup of a 3D hydrodynamic model
that is suitable for water quality modelling
• Study with/for ERM Hong Kong and EPD
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
Hong Kong SAR
4. Model setup – Model coverage and grid generation
4/21
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
• Compared to previous model (shown in red), we applied an
extended model domain with the aim to:
− Improve the modelled residual currents and their variability
− Improve the modelled surge
• Courant grid approach
− The resolution of the network increases with decreasing
water depths
Grid resolution in
Hong Kong waters ≤ 300 m
5. Model setup – Model coverage and grid generation
• Fine resolution where needed (physics and area of interest)
− Previous model (in red): structured grid
− New model (in blue): unstructured grid
• Compared to previous grid, the resolution has increased substantially!
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
5/21
6. Model setup – Scenario modelling
• Grids adjustments can easily be made using Delft3D Flexible Mesh
− Possible future reclamations
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
6/21
7. Model setup – Grid generation – Convergence tests
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
7/21
• Curvilinear vs. squared cells
• Convergence tests to determine
required resolution
• Resolutions: 150, 75, 37.5 m
• Conclusion:
Discharges through cross-sections
converged after applying a resolution of
75 m
• Final grid
− Courant-grid approach
− Curvilinear at selected locations
− Resolution:
Hong Kong waters ≤ 300 m
Hong Kong coastal zones ≤ 75 m
8. Model setup – Bathymetry and boundary conditions
Bathymetry
• GEBCO
• Hong Kong local data
Open boundaries
• Water level (astronomical components)
− FES2012
− Inverse Barometer Correction (IBC)
• Salinity and temperature
− WOA2013
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
8/21
9. Model setup – Rivers and meteorological forcing
Discharge-points
• River discharges
− eartH2Observe
Meteorological forcing
• Composite heat-flux model
• ECMWF’s ERA5 dataset
− Spatially- and time-varying: Hourly interval, on a 0.25˚ by 0.25˚
resolution grid
− Wind speed (u- and v-direction), atmospheric pressure and
Charnock coefficient
− Dew point temperature, cloud coverage and air temperature (in
addition to the wind speed) are used as input for the heat-flux
model.
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
9/21
10. Model setup – Model characteristics
Simulation period
• Four-year period (first year is considered spin-up)
Computational grid
• About 110.000 computational cells
• Resolution varies from approx. 5 km at open boundaries
to about 75 m
• Curvilinear grid in selected area and rivers
• Vertical grid: 20 equidistant sigma-layers
Runtime
• 20 partitions (5 nodes with 4 partitions per node)
− Intel quad-core e3-1276 v3 processor (4 cores per node with 3.6 GHz per core)
• 3.1 days per simulation-year (= 12.3 minutes per simulation-day)
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
10/21
11. Model calibration
• Spatially uniform bottom roughness → tidal amplitudes
• Horizontal/vertical viscosity and diffusivity → horizontal spreading and vertical mixing of salinity and
temperature
− Using the Smagorinsky sub-grid parameterisation
• Solar annual constituent SA and the solar semiannual constituent SSA → seasonal variation in the
water level
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
11/21
12. Model validation – Water levels
• The tidal part of the total water level was derived by
performing a harmonic analysis
• “Surge” = “total water level” minus “tide”
• Good agreement between observed and modelled
tide and water levels
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
12/21
Cheung Chau
13. Model validation – Transport patterns
• According to literature and common knowledge, there is a residual offshore current …
− … to the southwest during the winter monsoon (dry season)
− … to the northeast during the summer monsoon (wet season)
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
13/21
14. Model validation – Transport patterns – Dry season
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
14/21
Zoomed-out Zoomed-in
Surfaace
Bottom
Surfaace
15. Model validation – Transport patterns – Wet season
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
15/21
Zoomed-out Zoomed-in
Surfaace
Bottom
16. Model validation – Timeseries of salinity
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
16/21
17. Model validation – Timeseries of temperature
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
17/21
18. Coastal upwelling
Coastal upwelling
• In the summer (wet season), the SW monsoon
causes coastal upwelling. As a result, colder
oceanic water is transported towards the Hong
Kong waters.
Recent in-house model improvements
• Boundary conditions: WOA2013 → CMEMS
• Enhanced meteorological forcing
• Z-sigma-layering
• Adjusted grid
• Numerical settings
• In next slides referred to as “Run A → Run B”
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
18/21
21. Conclusions
• A 3D hydrodynamic model of the Hong Kong waters was generated, validated and now applied in
hydrodynamic (and water quality) studies
• Using Delft3D FM’s unstructured grid, we were able to cover a large model domain
− Resolution in area of interest and where needed
− Capture more physics in enlarged model domain
• The model is forced using available data from open global products (FES, ERA5, WOA2013, CMEMS)
• The model validation shows satisfactory results
• Over the last couple of years, the model approach has been successfully applied in other regions as
well
• Recent model updates result in an improvements of:
− The temperature ‘dip’ in summer/coastal upwelling is now (better) reproduced by the model
− There is an improvement of the modelled total water levels due to an improvement of both the tidal-
and surge-component.
3D
hydrodynamic
modelling
of
the
Hong
Kong
waters
21/21