SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 14
Descargar para leer sin conexión
1q 2012 | Market overview


research & forecast report

pHILIPPINE real estate market




                             Executive Summary
                             Economy
                             While the average GDP growth across the ASEAN countries slowed to 4,8% from 6.9%, the
                             Philippine economy manageably grew at 3.7% last year. Despite the fact that government spending
                             on infrastructure was belatedly pushed last year, and while fishing production and exports have
                             consistently declined, the resilient performance in the services sector, and the strong consumer
                             spending, compensated for last year’s sluggish growth. Outlook by most multilateral institution on
                             the Philippine economy is to grow 3.5% to 4.0% this year.

                             Office
                             Office space options are currently narrow across Metro Manila mainly due to the strong demand
                             coming from the O&O industry. At present, IT-related and BPO firms, with immediate, sizeable
                             requirements, have alternatively resorted to plug & play options either for normal operations or
                             as an incubation space. In 1Q 2012, the vacancy rate in the Makati CBD grew slightly by 0.3% to
                             4.43%, yet remained within the sub-4% level over the last two quarters. The increase in vacancy
                             is mainly attributed to Grade B offices which grew by around 1.02% to 4.83% breaching the 3%
                             level of last year.

                             residential
market indicators            In Metro Manila, supply remains considerably high across condominiums with some 33,000 units
                             completed and over 50,000 units launched last year. Completion grew by over 48% annually
             OFFICE          while some 40,000 units more are expected towards the end of 2013. Premium vacancy rate
                             in Makati consistently evened out at the sub-6% level since the second quarter of last year.
        RESIDENTIAL          Meanwhile, three-bedroom rental rates went up in the first quarter by over 4% to an average of
                             P660 per sq m.
             rETAIL
                             retail
                             At present, there is about 5.2 million sq m of leasable retail space, 2.11% higher than in the fourth
                             quarter of last year. Vacancy rates, in both super-regional and regional malls across Metro Manila
                             slightly increased by .07% yet occupancy rates remain at the 99% level. In an aim to further
                             increase foot traffic and slacken competition, major mall developers are currently turning away
                             from the traditional mall configuration, and are presently geared towards improving the shopping
                             experience through the integration of new technologies, attractions and natural parks.




www.colliers.com
PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE



                                                                                     ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                                                                              2005               2006                   2007                 2008            2009            2010        2011
                    Gross National Product                                       3.5                  4.8                   6.1               6.0             6.5             8.4        2.60

                    Gross Domestic Product                                      4.8                   5.2                   6.6               4.2              1.1            7.6         3.70

                    Personal Consumption Expenditure                            4.4                   4.2                   4.6               3.7             2.3             3.4         6.10

                    Government Expenditure                                       2.1                  10.6                  6.9               0.3             10.9            4.0        -0.70

                    Capital Formation                                          2.96%             -15.12%                -0.47%               23.36%          -8.68%          31.61%      11.10%

                    Exports                                                     5.0                   12.6                  6.7               -2.7            -7.8            21.0       -3.80

                    Imports                                                      3.3                  3.5                   1.7               1.6             -8.1            22.5        1.90

                    Agriculture                                                 2.2                   3.6                   4.7               3.2             -0.7            -0.2       2.60

                    Industry                                                    4.2                   4.6                   5.8               4.8             -1.9            11.6        1.90

                    Services                                                    5.8                   6.0                   7.6               4.0             3.4             7.2        5.00

                    Average Inflation (Full Year %)                              7.6                  6.2                   2.8               9.3             3.2             6.65       4.80

                    Budget Deficit (Billion Pesos)                             146.8              62.2                      12.4              68.1           298.5           314.4       197.7

                    P: US$ (Average) %                                          55.0                  51.3                  46.1              44.7            47.6           45.10       43.31

                    Average 91-Day T-Bill Rates %                               6.4%              5.3%                      3.4%             5.2%            4.0%            3.70%        1.37

                   * At constant prices (based on 2000 level)




 ECONOMY
 While the average GDP growth across the ASEAN countries slowed to 4,8% from 6.9%, the Philippine economy manageably grew at 3.7% last
 year. Though at a meagre growth rate, the country was able to withstand the weak global demand derived from external economic tribulations.


 Despite the fact that government spending on infrastructure was belatedly pushed last year, and while fishing production and exports have
 consistently declined, the resilient performance in the services sector, and the strong consumer spending, compensated for last year’s sluggish
 growth. Specifically, services under the Real Estate sub-sector grew annually by 17.0%, while Renting and Other Business Activities increased
 by 9.6%. Last year, the services sector contributed more than 40% of the country’s gross national income which reached over P7.7 trillion
 (+2.6%). Meanwhile, consumer spending increased by 6.1% in 4Q 2011. OFW remittances which posted over US$20.1 billion are expected to
 continually bolster consumption. The same increased over a billion in the last two years. Furthermore, inflation rate further contracted to 2.7%
 pushing lending rates at its lowest regime from 5%-8%. Outlook by most multilateral institution on the Philippine economy is to grow 3.5% to
 4.0% this year.


                                                                                              OFW Remittances

                                                       25,000

                                                       20,000
                               In Million US Dollars




                                                       15,000

                                                       10,000

                                                        5,000

                                                           -
                                                                2000

                                                                       2001

                                                                              2002

                                                                                       2003

                                                                                               2004

                                                                                                         2005

                                                                                                                     2006

                                                                                                                             2007

                                                                                                                                      2008

                                                                                                                                              2009

                                                                                                                                                      2010

                                                                                                                                                             2011

                                                                                                                                                                      2012




                                                                                                 1Q             2Q          3Q       4Q




                                                                                                                                  Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
                                                                                                                                                      * As of January 2012




                                                                                                                                                                              p. 2    | Colliers International
PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE



LAND VALUES
As of 1Q 2012, implied land values in the Makati CBD appreciated by 2.26% to an average of P284,130 per sq m. This is expected to increase
by 6% in the next twelve months and may reach P300,000 per sq m, higher than its historic peak in early 2009. In Ortigas Center, land values
grew by 1.5% to P130,783 per sq m and are expected to grow by 4% by the end of the first quarter next year. The highest growth was registered
in Fort Bonfiacio at 28% year-on-year (YoY) driven by the continuous interest in developable land and properties. Currently, it is pegged at
P189,000 per sq m and is projected to grow by 17% over the next twelve months.




                               Makati CBD, Ortigas & Fort Bonifacio Average Land Values

                                                           500,000

                                                           400,000
                                  pesos per square meter




                                                           300,000

                                                           200,000

                                                           100,000

                                                                -
                                                                     1Q97

                                                                            1Q98

                                                                                   1Q99

                                                                                          1Q00

                                                                                                 1Q01

                                                                                                        1Q02

                                                                                                               1Q03

                                                                                                                      1Q04

                                                                                                                             1Q05

                                                                                                                                    1Q06

                                                                                                                                            1Q07

                                                                                                                                                   1Q08

                                                                                                                                                          1Q09

                                                                                                                                                                 1Q10

                                                                                                                                                                        1Q11

                                                                                                                                                                                1Q12F

                                                                                                                                                                                        1Q13F
                                                                                                        Makati CBD            Ortigas Ctr            BGC



                                                                                                               Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                                                                            COMPARATIVE LAND VALUES
    PESO / SQ M                         1Q 12                                                    4Q 11                       % CHANGE (QoQ)                                             1Q 13F              % CHANGE (YoY)
    MAKATI CBD              271,501 - 296,759                                      266,177 - 289,521                                        2.26                               290,218-315,800                    6.64
    ORTIGAS CENTER           97,952 - 163,614                                       96,504 - 161,196                                         1.50                              101,870-170,519                    4.00
    BGC                     154,500 - 225,145                                      150,000 - 220,730                                        2.40                               191,215-253,200                    17.00

                                                                                                                                                                               Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




  LICENSES TO SELL
  Overall residential licenses issued by the HLURB contracted for the third consecutive year. Last year, about 164,487 licenses were registered,
  13% lower than in 2010. The socialised and economic housing segments consistently dropped by 32 and 30% to 35,682 and 45,207 units,
  respectively. On a lesser magnitude, issuances on mid-income housing numbered 32,300 units, slightly down by -0.7%.


  Meanwhile, across the high-rise residential sector, licences continually increased to about 51,298 units, a growth of over 30% compared to
  2010. While developers continue to favour high-density projects, the presence of Grade B condominiums continues to augment the number
  of issued licenses. In 2011, over 50,000 units were launched in Metro Manila. This gives a major indication that licenses in this segment may
  continue to rise over the remainder of the year. As of February of this year, some of the projects which recently obtained licenses are The
  Chelsea Residences (704 units) in Alabang, Sorrento Oasis (690 units) in Pasig, 8 Adriatico (922 units) and One Archers Place (655 units)
  in Manila.




                                                                                                                                                                                                p. 3   | Colliers International
PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE


                                                                                 HLURB LICENCES TO SELL
                     UNITS                                                         JAN - DEC                                 JAN - DEC                               % CHANGE YOY
                                                                                         2011                                      2010
                     Socialised Housing                                                35,682                                    52,602                                         -32.2
                     Low-Cost Housing                                                  45,207                                    64,537                                         -30.0
                     Mid-Income Housing                                                32,300                                    32,541                                         -0.7
                     High-Rise Residential                                             51,298                                    38,936                                         31.7
                     Commercial Condominium                                              786                                      2,622                                         -70.0
                     Farm Lot                                                            444                                       225                                          97.3
                     Memorial Park                                                     136,174                                   116,645                                        16.7
                     Industrial Subdivision                                               30                                            35                                      -14.3
                     Commercial Subdivision                                              495                                        374                                         32.4
                     Total (Philippines)                                               304,427                                   310,527                                        -2.0

                                                                                                                          Source: Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board


                                                                                       HLURB Licenses

                                  160,000                                                                                                                                   140,000

                                  140,000                                                                                                                                   120,000

                                  120,000
                                                                                                                                                                            100,000
                                  100,000




                                                                                                                                                                                        units
                                                                                                                                                                            80,000
                          units




                                   80,000
                                                                                                                                                                            60,000
                                   60,000
                                                                                                                                                                            40,000
                                   40,000

                                   20,000                                                                                                                                   20,000

                                       -                                                                                                                                    -
                                            1Q99

                                                   4Q99

                                                          3Q00

                                                                 2Q01

                                                                         1Q02

                                                                                4Q02

                                                                                       3Q03

                                                                                              2Q04

                                                                                                     1Q05

                                                                                                            4Q05

                                                                                                                   3Q06

                                                                                                                          2Q07

                                                                                                                                 1Q08

                                                                                                                                         4Q08

                                                                                                                                                3Q09

                                                                                                                                                       2Q10

                                                                                                                                                              1Q11

                                                                                                                                                                     4Q11




                                                                        Quarterly Approvals                         Moving 12-Month Average (RHS)




                                                                                                                    Source: Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board



OFFICE SECTOR
Supply
Office space options are currently narrow across Metro Manila mainly due to the strong demand coming from the O&O industry. Consequently,
developers continue to catch up by bringing in roughly over 1.2 million sq m of new office space in the span of two years. At present, IT-related
and BPO firms, with immediate, sizeable requirements, have alternatively resorted to plug & play options either for normal operations or as an
incubation space. Furthermore, based on inquiries recently received by Colliers, several interests in areas outside Metro Manila consistently
surface. These particularly include Cebu, Davao and Ilo-ilo which subsequently are key expansion sites among major developers.


Meanwhile in the Makati CBD, supply remains limited. Delayed for completion by over a quarter, Zuelling Building (57,000 sq m), the only office
due for delivery in the Makati CBD this year, is set to be operational in the next couple of months. Alphaland Makati Tower (38,400 sq m), and
the Glorietta 1 and 2 BPO buildings (27,800 sq m each) are the only new office spaces to become available in 2013. Furthermore, all over Metro
Manila, supply stock in net usable space increased marginally in 1Q 2012 to 5.8 million sq m. This includes Science Hub 2 (19,000 sq m) in
McKinley Hill and the SM Megamall Car Park Extension (13,000 sq m) in Mandaluyong. Techno Plaza Two (35,800 sq m) and A Place, previously
named One Coral Way, (7,500 sq m), are expected to be available in the early part of the second quarter.




                                                                                                                                                                                p. 4      | Colliers International
PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | OFFICE



                                                                    Makati CBD vs. Metro Manila Office Stock

                                                                                         Makati Vs, Metro Manila Stock
                              8,000,000
                              7,000,000                                                                                                                                                                            600,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 600,000
                              7,000,000
                              6,000,000                                                                                                                                                                            500,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 500,000
                              6,000,000
                              5,000,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   400,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 400,000
                              5,000,000
                   in sq.m.
                   in sq.m.




                              4,000,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                in sq.m.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                in sq.m.
                              4,000,000                                                                                                                                                                          300,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   300,000
                              3,000,000
                              3,000,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 200,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   200,000
                              2,000,000
                              2,000,000
                              1,000,000                                                                                                                                                                          100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   100,000
                              1,000,000
                                         -
                                         -                                                                                                                                                                       0 0




                                                     2011F
                                                     2012F
                                                     2013F
                                                      1990
                                                      1991
                                                      1992
                                                      1993
                                                      1994
                                                      1995
                                                      1996
                                                      1997
                                                      1998
                                                      1999
                                                      2000
                                                      2001
                                                      2002
                                                      2003
                                                      2004
                                                      2005
                                                      2006
                                                      2007
                                                      2008
                                                      2009
                                                      2010
                                                     1990
                                                     1991
                                                     1992
                                                     1993
                                                     1994
                                                     1995
                                                     1996
                                                     1997
                                                     1998
                                                     1999
                                                     2000
                                                     2001
                                                     2002
                                                     2003
                                                     2004
                                                     2005
                                                     2006
                                                     2007
                                                     2008
                                                     2009
                                                     2010
                                                     2011
                                                    2012F
                                                    2013F
                                                                         Metro Manila Stock                                Makati CBD                               YoY Change (RHS)
                                                                          Metro Manila Stock                                 Makati CBD                                    YoY Change (RHS)




                                                                                                                                                      Source: Colliers International Philippines Research


OFFICE SECTOR
Demand
In 1Q 2012, the vacancy rate in the Makati CBD grew slightly by 0.3% to 4.43%, yet remained within the sub-4% level over the last two quarters.
The increase is mainly attributed to Grade B offices which grew by around 1.02% to 4.83% ̶ breaching the 3% level of last year. On the other
hand, vacancies contracted across the Premium and Grade A segments, down by 2.14% and 0.52% to 3.38% and 3.63%, respectively. Take-up
rates are expected to drop this year by 26% to 27,800 sq m, mainly attributed to the limited office space and a negligible increase in supply.




                                                                         Makati CBD Office Supply and Demand

                              270,000                                                                                                                                                                                         20%


                              220,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              15%
                              170,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              10%
                   in sq.m.




                              120,000


                               70,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              5%

                               20,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              0%
                              (30,000)


                              (80,000)                                                                                                                                                                                        -5%
                                             1989
                                                    1990
                                                           1991
                                                                  1992
                                                                         1993
                                                                                1994
                                                                                       1995
                                                                                              1996
                                                                                                     1997
                                                                                                            1998
                                                                                                                   1999
                                                                                                                          2000
                                                                                                                                 2001
                                                                                                                                        2002
                                                                                                                                               2003
                                                                                                                                                      2004
                                                                                                                                                             2005
                                                                                                                                                                    2006
                                                                                                                                                                           2007
                                                                                                                                                                                  2008
                                                                                                                                                                                         2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                              2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2013F




                                                                   New Supply During Year                                  Take-Up During Year                                Vacancy at Year End (RHS)




                                                                                                                                                       Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                                                                                                                                                                                              p. 5            | Colliers International
PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | OFFICE



                                             MAKATI CBD COMPARATIVE OFFICE VACANCY RATES (%)
                                                                   1Q 12                 4Q 11                1Q 2013F
                             PREMIUM                               3.38                  5.52
                             GRADE A                               3.63                   4.15
                             GRADE B & BELOW                       4.83                   3.81
                             ALL GRADES                            4.42                  4.08                   4.00

                                                                        Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                                           FORECAST OFFICE NEW SUPPLY
              LOCATION                    End-2010              2011                    2012                     2013                  2014
              MAKATI CBD                 2,699,696                 -                   80,353                   64,837                   -
              ORTIGAS                     1,126,018            19,332                       -                   64,000                   -
              FORT BONIFACIO                 485,693          106,579                 218,391                   244,123               88,562
              EASTWOOD                       252,979          39,840                   35,765                       -                    -
              ALABANG                     234,305              31,247                       -                   33,560                   -
              OTHER LOCATIONS*            685,362              81,007                 199,803                   98,729                71,934
              TOTAL                      5,484,053            278,005                 519,749                   517,643                  -

                                                                                                 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research
                                                                                                   *Manila, Pasay, Mandaluyong, and Quezon City




Rents
Premium rental rates in the Makati CBD consistently increased quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) by 2.8% to about P875 per sq m on average. This is
projected to grow by 6% over the next twelve months and will exceed the P900 per sq m level last seen in early 2007. Meanwhile, both Grade
A and B rents grew marginally by 0.22 and 0.42% to P698 per sq m and P483 per sq m, respectively. Running at an average of P720 per sq
m, Grade A rental rates in Bonifacio Global City have continuously surpassed that of Makati since 2Q 2011. While most firms remain wedded to
Makati mainly due to familiarity and brand, Grade A rents are expected to grow by 7.5% in 1Q 2013 and will eventually level off to that of BGC at
P750 per sq m.




                                      COMPARATIVE OFFICE RENTAL RATES (PESO / SQM / MONTH)
                                                MAKATI CBD (BASED ON NET USEABLE AREA)
                                     1Q 12                 4Q 11              % CHANGE (QOQ)                   1Q13F            % CHANGE (YOY)
  PREMIUM                         825 - 922              788 - 912                    2.8                   860 - 990                   5.9
  GRADE A                         500 - 895              497 - 895                    0.2                   575 - 925                   7.5
 GRADE B                           455 - 510             451 - 510                    0.4                   480 - 545                   2.1


                                                                                                    Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                                                                                                    p. 6   | Colliers International
PHILIPPINES |           1Q 2012 | OFFICE




                                                                             NOTABLE LEASING DEALS

                                           Building                                                               Area                                                      Size (sq m)

                             Net Lima                                                                            Taguig                                                         8,364.00
                             Science Hub Tower 2                                                                 Taguig                                                         4,250.00

                             Insular Life Corporate Center                                                   Alabang                                                            3,200.00


                                                                                               Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                                                                                                 Makati CBD Office Capital Values
Capital Values
                                                                           150,000
In 1Q 2013, premium building capital values
continually went up to their current P114,840                              130,000

per sq m (+5.54%). As the completion of                                    110,000
                                                      in peso per sq.m.




Zuellig Tower approaches, average values are
expected to grow around 7.0%, the highest                                   90,000

quarterly increase that could transpire in the
                                                                            70,000
business district. To a much lesser degree,
capital values on the Grade A and B segments                                50,000
grew by 1.52 and 1.35% to P82,680 and
                                                                            30,000
P55,745 per sq m, respectively. Both




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    3Q12F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1Q13F
                                                                                     1Q00
                                                                                            3Q00
                                                                                                   1Q01
                                                                                                          3Q01
                                                                                                                 1Q02
                                                                                                                        3Q02
                                                                                                                               1Q03
                                                                                                                                      3Q03
                                                                                                                                             1Q04
                                                                                                                                                    3Q04
                                                                                                                                                           1Q05
                                                                                                                                                                  3Q05
                                                                                                                                                                         1Q06
                                                                                                                                                                                3Q06
                                                                                                                                                                                       1Q07
                                                                                                                                                                                              3Q07
                                                                                                                                                                                                     1Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                                            3Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               1Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q12
segments are expected to grow modestly by
3% to 5% in the next twelve months                                                                                                    Premium                              Grade A                            Grade B/B-




                                                                                                                                                              Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                        COMPARATIVE OFFICE CAPITAL VALUES (PESOS / SQM)
                                           MAKATI CBD (BASED ON NET USEABLE AREA)
                              1Q 12                                       4Q 11                            % CHANGE (QOQ)                                                                     1Q 13F                                       % CHANGE (YOY)
 PREMIUM                104,569 - 125,113        100,443 - 117,190                                                              5.5                                             119,886 - 131,188                                                              9.3
 GRADE A                 70,091 - 95,267          69,933 - 92,950                                                               1.5                                             72,697 - 100,846                                                               5.0
 GRADE B                 48,060 - 63,430         47,000 - 63,000                                                                1.4                                             49,200 - 65,910                                                                3.3


                                                                                                                                                                         Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                                                                                                                                                                                        p. 7              | Colliers International
PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL
RESIDENTIAL SECTOR
Supply
In Metro Manila, supply remains considerably high across condominiums with some 33,000 units completed and over 50,000 units launched last
year. Completion grew by over 48% annually while some 40,000 units more are expected towards the end of 2013. Contrary to over a decade
ago, the low lending rates, easy access to credit and affordable payment schemes, made intrinsic components for high-take up rates mainly in
the smaller-unit segment. Moreover, supply has largely been augmented by the strong presence of high density projects across the metro area,
where the primary inventory mix favours studio and one-bedroom units.


In the Makati CBD, the gap between the small unit sizes (studio and one-bedroom) and the large unit sizes (two-bedroom and above) started to
widen in 2002 and is expected to grow continuously over the next three years. With the 15,500-unit stock at present, the majority or roughly
60% belongs to the 30 to 60 sq m range as against 40% in the 70 to 230 sq m range. Consequently, stock is still expected to grow annually by
15% in the span of two years driven by projects in the Grade A and B sectors. Meanwhile, some of the condominiums that have started turning
over are Eton Residences Greenbelt (302 units), Eton Parkview Greenbelt (236 units), and One Pacific Place (240 units).

                                                                             Makati CBD Residential Stock

                                        20,000                                                                                                                                                                                                  25%

                                        18,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                20%
                                        16,000

                                        14,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                15%
                                        12,000
                             in units




                                        10,000                                                                                                                                                                                                  10%

                                         8,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                5%
                                         6,000

                                         4,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0%
                                         2,000

                                            -                                                                                                                                                                                                   -5%
                                                 1Q00
                                                        3Q00
                                                               1Q01
                                                                      3Q01
                                                                             1Q02
                                                                                    3Q02
                                                                                           1Q03
                                                                                                  3Q03
                                                                                                         1Q04
                                                                                                                3Q04
                                                                                                                       1Q05
                                                                                                                              3Q05
                                                                                                                                     1Q06
                                                                                                                                            3Q06
                                                                                                                                                   1Q07
                                                                                                                                                          3Q07
                                                                                                                                                                 1Q08
                                                                                                                                                                        3Q08
                                                                                                                                                                               1Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                      3Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                    3Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                           1Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1Q12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                3Q12F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1Q13F
                                                                                                   Residential Stock                                                     YoY Change (RHS)




                                                                                                                              Source: Colliers International Philippines Research



                                                                                                                   FORECAST

                                                                                             RESIDENTIAL NEW SUPPLY

         LOCATION            (cumulative) 2010                                             2011                                       2012                                            2013                                       2014                        TOTAL


         MAKATI CBD                     13,076                                         1,659                                         2,204                                        2,105                                            473                       19,517

         ROCKWELL                       2,382                                          1,336                                                -                                            -                                         441                       4,159

         FORT BONIFACIO                 10,709                                         1,365                                         4,819                                        1,684                                           1276                       19,853

         ORTIGAS                        7,481                                          2,389                                           672                                            262                                          792                       11,596

         EASTWOOD                       5,735                                                 -                                        558                                            977                                          278                       7,548

         TOTAL                          39,383                                         6,749                                         8,253                                        5,028                                         3,260                        62,673

                                                                                                                                                                                      Source: Colliers International Philippines Research
Demand


In Makati, landed property remains the preferred lease option in the expatriate market. However, due to the narrow options across exclusive
villages, demand alternatively settles on premium condominiums. Despite this, the lack of larger units has consistently evened out premium
vacancies at the sub-6% level since the second quarter of last year. On the other hand, vacancy across other grades continues to increase by
slightly over 2% quarterly and is currently at 12.4%. Specifically, Grade A vacancy rose by 2% to 10.44% in 1Q 2012. Meanwhile, at 14.62%,
vacancy in Grade B condominiums remains the highest across all segments.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                p. 8   | Colliers International
PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL

                                                                                                                        Makati CBD Residential Vacancy

                                            18%
                                           18%
                                            16%
                                           16%
                                            14%
                                           14%
                                            12%
                                           12%
                                            10%
                                           10%
                                             8%
                                            8%
                                             6%
                                            6%
                                             4%
                                            4%
                                             2%
                                            2%
                                                                                            1Q98
                                                                                            3Q98
                                                                                            1Q99
                                                                                            3Q99
                                                                                            1Q00
                                                                                            3Q00
                                                                                            1Q01
                                                                                            3Q01
                                                                                            1Q02
                                                                                            3Q02
                                                                                            1Q03
                                                                                            3Q03
                                                                                            1Q04
                                                                                            3Q04
                                                                                            1Q05
                                                                                            3Q05
                                                                                            1Q06
                                                                                            3Q06
                                                                                            1Q07
                                                                                            3Q07
                                                                                            1Q08
                                                                                            3Q08
                                                                                            1Q09
                                                                                            3Q09
                                                                                            1Q10
                                                                                            3Q10
                                                                                            1Q11
                                                                                            3Q11
                                                                                            1Q12
                                                                                           3Q12F
                                                                                           1Q98
                                                                                           4Q98
                                                                                           3Q99
                                                                                           2Q00
                                                                                           1Q01
                                                                                           4Q01
                                                                                           3Q02
                                                                                           2Q03
                                                                                           1Q04
                                                                                           4Q04
                                                                                           3Q05
                                                                                           2Q06
                                                                                           1Q07
                                                                                           4Q07
                                                                                           3Q08
                                                                                           2Q09
                                                                                           1Q10
                                                                                           4Q10
                                                                                           3Q11
                                                                                          2Q12F
                                                                                                                                                Source: Colliers International Philippines Research


                                                                                                                                             MAKATI CBD
                                                                                                           COMPARATIVE RESIDENTIAL VACANCY RATES (%)
                                                                                                                                  1Q 12                                     4Q 11                                                1Q 13F
                          LUXURY                                                                                                  6.0                                        6.2
                          OTHERS                                                                                                  12.4                                      10.9

                          ALL GRADES                                                                                              11.7                                      10.5                                                     11.0


                                                                                                                                                       Source: Colliers International Philippines Research

Rents


Luxury three-bedroom rental rates in both the Makati CBD and Bonfiacio Global City went up in the first quarter by over 4% to an average of
P660 per sq m and P685 per sq m, respectively. The gap between the rental rates of the two districts is expected to narrow over the next twelve
months as the completion of Raffles Residences in Makati may cause upward pressure on the average premium rates. In particular, this brings
a projected annual growth of over 8%, higher than the 6% in Bonfiacio Global City; this will level out at the P710 to P715 per sq m range. In
Rockwell Center, rates grew modestly at 1.30% to an average of P780 per sq m and will breach the P800 per sq m mark by the end of this year.



                                                                                                           Makati CBD, Rockwell, Bonifacio Global City
                                                                                                              Prime 3BR Units Residential Rents
                                                                                              900
                                                                                 900
                                                                                              800
                                                                                 800
                                                                                    700
                                                            in peso per sq.m. per month




                                                                                 700
                              in peso per sq.m. per month




                                                                                    600
                                                                                 600
                                                                                    500
                                                                                 500
                                                                                    400
                                                                                 400
                                                                                    300
                                                                                 300

                                                                                 200200

                                                                                 100100

                                                                                          -    -
                                                                                                          1Q01
                                                                                                                 3Q01
                                                                                                                    1Q02
                                                                                                                        3Q02
                                                                                                                           1Q03
                                                                                                                               3Q03
                                                                                                                                   1Q04
                                                                                                                                         3Q04
                                                                                                                                             1Q05
                                                                                                                                                3Q05
                                                                                                                                                    1Q06
                                                                                                                                                           3Q06
                                                                                                                                                                  1Q07
                                                                                                                                                                         3Q07
                                                                                                                                                                                1Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                       3Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                              1Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                     3Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                            1Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   3Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1Q12F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                3Q12F
                                                                                                   1Q01
                                                                                                          3Q01
                                                                                                                 1Q02
                                                                                                                    3Q02
                                                                                                                        1Q03
                                                                                                                           3Q03
                                                                                                                               1Q04
                                                                                                                                   3Q04
                                                                                                                                         1Q05
                                                                                                                                             3Q05
                                                                                                                                                1Q06
                                                                                                                                                       3Q06
                                                                                                                                                              1Q07
                                                                                                                                                                     3Q07
                                                                                                                                                                            1Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                   3Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                          1Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                        1Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                               3Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1Q12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3Q12F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1Q13F




                                                                                                                               Makati CBD
                                                                                                                                Makati CBD             Rockwell
                                                                                                                                                       Rockwell                      Bonifacio Global City
                                                                                                                                                                                    Bonifacio Global City




                                                                                                                                                       Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            p. 9           | Colliers International
PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL




                                            METRO MANILA RESIDENTIAL CONDOMINIUM
                                            COMPARATIVE LUXURY 3BR RENTAL RATES
                                         1Q 12              4Q 11            % CHANGE (QOQ)               1Q 13F            % CHANGE (YOY)
 MAKATI CBD                           455 - 860           415 - 840                4.78                 502 - 919                     8.06
 ROCKWELL                             665 - 890           660 - 875                1.30                 696 - 936                     4.97
 BONIFACIO GLOBAL CITY                555 - 812           543 - 768                4.27                 577 - 877                     6.33

                                                                                               Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                             COMPARATIVE RESIDENTIAL LEASE RATES
                                            THREE-BEDROOM PREMIUM, SEMI-FURNISHED
                                                           MINIMUM                     AVERAGE                        MAXIMUM
             Apartment Ridge / Roxas Triangle
                 Rental Range *                                  90,000                    145,000                       250,000
                 Average Size **                                      210                       280                           330
             Salcedo Village
                 Rental Range                                    60,000                      93,000                       135,000
                 Average Size                                         170                       190                           330
             Legaspi Village
                 Rental Range                                       65,000                 190,000                       250,000
                 Average Size                                         120                       210                           280
             Rockwell
                 Rental Range                                   150,000                    200,000                       300,000
                 Average Size                                         200                       260                           330
             Fort Bonifacio
                 Rental Range                                    60,000                    150,000                       280,000
                 Average Size                                         130                       200                           300


              * in pesos per month                                              Source: Colliers International Philippines Research
             ** in square meters




Capital Values
Average capital values for a premium three-bedroom unit in the Makati CBD surpassed that of Bonifacio Global City over the last two quarters.
The prior’s capital values reached P114,000 per sq m last quarter or an annual growth of 10%, higher than the 8% growth with the latter’s
P112,900 per sq m. On a quarterly basis, the Makati CBD capital values increased by 4.8% and will eventually exceed the P120,000 per sq m
level by 1Q 2013. Meanwhile, in Rockwell Center, the completion of one Rockwell East pushed capital values to rise by 5.2% to an average of
P140,000 per sq m. Despite the dearth in supply, outlook on secondary prices is expected to grow by 9.9% in the next twelve months.




                                                                                                              p. 10    | Colliers International
PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL



                                                                                Makati CBD Residential Capital Values
                                                         140,000
                                                          120,000
                                                         130,000
                                                          110,000
                                                         120,000


                                 in peso per sq.m.
                                          in peso per sq.m.
                                                          100,000
                                                         110,000

                                                         100,000
                                                           90,000
                                                              90,000
                                                               80,000
                                                              80,000
                                                               70,000
                                                              70,000

                                                              60,000
                                                               60,000
                                                                         1Q01
                                                                             3Q01
                                                                                  1Q02
                                                                                          3Q02
                                                                                                  1Q03
                                                                                                          3Q03
                                                                                                                  1Q04
                                                                                                                          3Q04
                                                                                                                                  1Q05
                                                                                                                                          3Q05
                                                                                                                                                  1Q06
                                                                                                                                                          3Q06
                                                                                                                                                                  1Q07
                                                                                                                                                                          3Q07
                                                                                                                                                                                  1Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                                  1Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1Q12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3Q12F
                                                                        1Q01
                                                                            3Q01
                                                                                 1Q02
                                                                                         3Q02
                                                                                                 1Q03
                                                                                                         3Q03
                                                                                                                 1Q04
                                                                                                                         3Q04
                                                                                                                                 1Q05
                                                                                                                                         3Q05
                                                                                                                                                 1Q06
                                                                                                                                                         3Q06
                                                                                                                                                                 1Q07
                                                                                                                                                                         3Q07
                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q08
                                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q09
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q11
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q11F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  1Q12F
                                                                                                 Makati CBD                                    Rockwell                                      Bonifacio Global City
                                                                                                 Makati CBD                                  Rockwell                                    Bonifacio Global City



                                                                                                                                    Source: Colliers International Philippines Research




                                                              METRO MANILA RESIDENTIAL CONDOMINIUM
                                                        COMPARATIVE LUXURY 3BR CAPITAL VALUES (PESOS / SQ M)
                                                                1Q 12                                        4Q 11                                           % CHANGE (QOQ)                                                                   1Q 13F                    % CHANGE (YOY)
 MAKATI CBD                         78,000 - 150,121                                        74,230 - 144,200                                                                       4.8                                           89,454 - 157,301                             8.2
 ROCKWELL                           98,421 - 140,551                                         94,069 - 133,041                                                                      5.2                                           103,122 - 159,493                             9.9
 BONIFACIO GLOBAL CITY             90,658 - 135,125                                          89,212 - 127,533                                                                      4.2                                           92,208 - 146,815                             5.9

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Source: Colliers International Philippines Research


RETAIL
Supply
Over the last six months, Metro Manila retail stock improved, brought about by the newly completed retail developments. At present, there is
about 5.2 million sq m of leasable retail space, 2.11% higher than in the fourth quarter of last year. Supply mainly increased across super-regional
malls by 3.67% or an additional leasable space of over 100,000 sq m driven by the completion of Lucky China Town Mall in Binondo Manila.
Meanwhile, some other developments which were completed over the last two quarters include BHS Central East Block in Fort Bonfacio which
covers 10,000 sq m and Two Shopping Center in Pasay which covers 50,000 sq m.


In an aim to further increase foot traffic and slacken competition, major mall developers are currently turning away from the traditional mall
configuration, and are presently geared towards improving the shopping experience through the integration of new technologies, attractions and
natural parks. The introduction of 3D devices in cinemas and the inclusion of pocket gardens and theme parks evidently became a major trend
especially across major entertainment districts.


These are most likely to increase as retail developers plan major facelifts and continuous retrofitting over the long haul. Filinvest’s Festival Mall
is expected to undergo a revamp which includes a new wing of about 50% of its leasable area. Besides the new open spaces, the mall will utilise
its existing creek as a major waterway attraction. At a separate location, the company’s seafront SRP in Cebu will similarly use its beachside
ambiance as the retail’s water feature. Likewise, SM Baguio is also set for an upgrade. Apart from an additional space of some 76,000 sq m, it
is geared to obtain LEED certification followed by its integration of new open-air retail spaces, roof gardens, and landscapes of native plant
materials. Meanwhile, Ayala Land is continually banking on its cultural districts emphasized by its upcoming retail development at the Santa Ana
racetrack property.


Besides the on-site upgrades and improvements, expansion plans remains persistent across geographic reach. Robinsons Land has recently
opened its 30th mall in Calasio, Pangasinan. Besides this, the developer is also set to open Robinsons Place Palawan and Robinsons Magnolia
this year. In Bacolod, SM Prime ramps up its expansion with the SM City Bacolod annex which will offer an additional space of over 80,000 sq
m towards the end of 2014. Beyond regional level, SM Tianjin (530,000 sq m), branded as the world’s largest freestanding shopping centre, is
set to be completed by the end of 2013. Moreover, Ayala Land plans to reopen Glorietta 1 and 2 towards the third or fourth quarter of this year.
After the Abreeza Mall in Davao, the developer is also on track with its Centrio Mall (44,000 sq m), which is set to open by October.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           p. 11   | Colliers International
Real estatemarketreport 1q12
Real estatemarketreport 1q12
Real estatemarketreport 1q12

Más contenido relacionado

La actualidad más candente

Sectoral Economic Development Strategy
Sectoral Economic Development StrategySectoral Economic Development Strategy
Sectoral Economic Development Strategyedunetwork
 
Korea Fund, Inc. Second Quarter 2012
Korea Fund, Inc. Second Quarter 2012Korea Fund, Inc. Second Quarter 2012
Korea Fund, Inc. Second Quarter 2012Company Spotlight
 
2012년 hci 실적_발표자료_eng
2012년 hci 실적_발표자료_eng2012년 hci 실적_발표자료_eng
2012년 hci 실적_발표자료_engHyundai Finance
 
2005 - 5th Us Analyst And Investor Meeting Financials
2005 - 5th Us Analyst And Investor Meeting   Financials2005 - 5th Us Analyst And Investor Meeting   Financials
2005 - 5th Us Analyst And Investor Meeting FinancialsEmbraer RI
 
Economic Outlook and International Markets (Miami, November 2012)
Economic Outlook and International Markets (Miami, November 2012)Economic Outlook and International Markets (Miami, November 2012)
Economic Outlook and International Markets (Miami, November 2012)Nar Res
 
Connecting Dubai to Global Markets-Dubai Exports
Connecting Dubai to Global Markets-Dubai  ExportsConnecting Dubai to Global Markets-Dubai  Exports
Connecting Dubai to Global Markets-Dubai ExportsDubaiExports
 
analyst_present_q2_2006
analyst_present_q2_2006analyst_present_q2_2006
analyst_present_q2_2006finance21
 
2007 - 7th Analysts And Investors Meeting Results & Performance
2007 - 7th Analysts And Investors Meeting   Results & Performance2007 - 7th Analysts And Investors Meeting   Results & Performance
2007 - 7th Analysts And Investors Meeting Results & PerformanceEmbraer RI
 
Economic Highlights Presentation, Q2 2011
Economic Highlights Presentation, Q2 2011Economic Highlights Presentation, Q2 2011
Economic Highlights Presentation, Q2 2011Assaf Luxembourg
 
WEG 2Q10 Results Conference Call Presentation
WEG 2Q10 Results Conference Call PresentationWEG 2Q10 Results Conference Call Presentation
WEG 2Q10 Results Conference Call PresentationWEG
 
2Q08 Presentation
2Q08 Presentation 2Q08 Presentation
2Q08 Presentation Gafisa RI !
 

La actualidad más candente (16)

Sectoral Economic Development Strategy
Sectoral Economic Development StrategySectoral Economic Development Strategy
Sectoral Economic Development Strategy
 
Korea Fund, Inc. Second Quarter 2012
Korea Fund, Inc. Second Quarter 2012Korea Fund, Inc. Second Quarter 2012
Korea Fund, Inc. Second Quarter 2012
 
2012년 hci 실적_발표자료_eng
2012년 hci 실적_발표자료_eng2012년 hci 실적_발표자료_eng
2012년 hci 실적_발표자료_eng
 
2009 Real Gdp
2009 Real Gdp2009 Real Gdp
2009 Real Gdp
 
2005 - 5th Us Analyst And Investor Meeting Financials
2005 - 5th Us Analyst And Investor Meeting   Financials2005 - 5th Us Analyst And Investor Meeting   Financials
2005 - 5th Us Analyst And Investor Meeting Financials
 
Development strategies: middle income countries
Development strategies: middle income countriesDevelopment strategies: middle income countries
Development strategies: middle income countries
 
Economic Outlook and International Markets (Miami, November 2012)
Economic Outlook and International Markets (Miami, November 2012)Economic Outlook and International Markets (Miami, November 2012)
Economic Outlook and International Markets (Miami, November 2012)
 
Connecting Dubai to Global Markets-Dubai Exports
Connecting Dubai to Global Markets-Dubai  ExportsConnecting Dubai to Global Markets-Dubai  Exports
Connecting Dubai to Global Markets-Dubai Exports
 
Oct City Dipp
Oct City DippOct City Dipp
Oct City Dipp
 
FY 2011 IFRS Results
FY 2011 IFRS ResultsFY 2011 IFRS Results
FY 2011 IFRS Results
 
analyst_present_q2_2006
analyst_present_q2_2006analyst_present_q2_2006
analyst_present_q2_2006
 
2007 - 7th Analysts And Investors Meeting Results & Performance
2007 - 7th Analysts And Investors Meeting   Results & Performance2007 - 7th Analysts And Investors Meeting   Results & Performance
2007 - 7th Analysts And Investors Meeting Results & Performance
 
Economic Highlights Presentation, Q2 2011
Economic Highlights Presentation, Q2 2011Economic Highlights Presentation, Q2 2011
Economic Highlights Presentation, Q2 2011
 
WEG 2Q10 Results Conference Call Presentation
WEG 2Q10 Results Conference Call PresentationWEG 2Q10 Results Conference Call Presentation
WEG 2Q10 Results Conference Call Presentation
 
2Q08 Presentation
2Q08 Presentation 2Q08 Presentation
2Q08 Presentation
 
TBC Bank 2011 Q2
TBC Bank 2011 Q2TBC Bank 2011 Q2
TBC Bank 2011 Q2
 

Destacado

C1115第十五周班级周刊
C1115第十五周班级周刊C1115第十五周班级周刊
C1115第十五周班级周刊mikeyzm
 
Arts Open Program: March 8-10th 2014, Castlemaine, Australia
Arts Open Program: March 8-10th 2014, Castlemaine, AustraliaArts Open Program: March 8-10th 2014, Castlemaine, Australia
Arts Open Program: March 8-10th 2014, Castlemaine, AustraliaWe Push Buttons
 
azad r.m hall
azad r.m hallazad r.m hall
azad r.m hallazadalig
 
Crowd Funding for Art Galleries and Museums
Crowd Funding for Art Galleries and MuseumsCrowd Funding for Art Galleries and Museums
Crowd Funding for Art Galleries and MuseumsWe Push Buttons
 
百度嗅嗅1
百度嗅嗅1百度嗅嗅1
百度嗅嗅1yuehui
 
Real estatemarketreport 1q12
Real estatemarketreport 1q12Real estatemarketreport 1q12
Real estatemarketreport 1q12Dennis_De_Vera
 
C1115班级周刊15
C1115班级周刊15C1115班级周刊15
C1115班级周刊15mikeyzm
 
C1115班级周刊15
C1115班级周刊15C1115班级周刊15
C1115班级周刊15mikeyzm
 
azad alam alig
 azad alam alig azad alam alig
azad alam aligazadalig
 
The effects of popular culture
The effects of popular cultureThe effects of popular culture
The effects of popular cultureaustinjh94
 

Destacado (16)

SAHUARIPA
SAHUARIPASAHUARIPA
SAHUARIPA
 
C1115第十五周班级周刊
C1115第十五周班级周刊C1115第十五周班级周刊
C1115第十五周班级周刊
 
Arts Open Program: March 8-10th 2014, Castlemaine, Australia
Arts Open Program: March 8-10th 2014, Castlemaine, AustraliaArts Open Program: March 8-10th 2014, Castlemaine, Australia
Arts Open Program: March 8-10th 2014, Castlemaine, Australia
 
azad r.m hall
azad r.m hallazad r.m hall
azad r.m hall
 
Muz sir1
Muz sir1Muz sir1
Muz sir1
 
Conectores
ConectoresConectores
Conectores
 
Crowd Funding for Art Galleries and Museums
Crowd Funding for Art Galleries and MuseumsCrowd Funding for Art Galleries and Museums
Crowd Funding for Art Galleries and Museums
 
百度嗅嗅1
百度嗅嗅1百度嗅嗅1
百度嗅嗅1
 
Question7
Question7Question7
Question7
 
Real estatemarketreport 1q12
Real estatemarketreport 1q12Real estatemarketreport 1q12
Real estatemarketreport 1q12
 
C1115班级周刊15
C1115班级周刊15C1115班级周刊15
C1115班级周刊15
 
Lineas peruanas
Lineas peruanasLineas peruanas
Lineas peruanas
 
C1115班级周刊15
C1115班级周刊15C1115班级周刊15
C1115班级周刊15
 
Mark twainsynth
Mark twainsynthMark twainsynth
Mark twainsynth
 
azad alam alig
 azad alam alig azad alam alig
azad alam alig
 
The effects of popular culture
The effects of popular cultureThe effects of popular culture
The effects of popular culture
 

Similar a Real estatemarketreport 1q12

Real Estate Market Report 1st qtr 2011
Real Estate Market Report 1st qtr 2011Real Estate Market Report 1st qtr 2011
Real Estate Market Report 1st qtr 2011creba_nar
 
MacroEconomics Of India - Fiscal & Monetary Outlook 2007 - SPJCM
MacroEconomics Of India - Fiscal & Monetary Outlook 2007 - SPJCMMacroEconomics Of India - Fiscal & Monetary Outlook 2007 - SPJCM
MacroEconomics Of India - Fiscal & Monetary Outlook 2007 - SPJCMApurva Chiranewala
 
Earnings Release 4 Q07
Earnings Release 4 Q07Earnings Release 4 Q07
Earnings Release 4 Q07Profarma
 
Earnings Release 4Q07 Presentation
Earnings Release 4Q07 PresentationEarnings Release 4Q07 Presentation
Earnings Release 4Q07 PresentationProfarma
 
Highlights 2010 11 Economic Outlook
Highlights 2010 11 Economic OutlookHighlights 2010 11 Economic Outlook
Highlights 2010 11 Economic Outlookgauravkakran
 
Profarma 4 q11
Profarma 4 q11Profarma 4 q11
Profarma 4 q11Profarma
 
Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012
Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012
Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012Assaf Luxembourg
 
Banco Sabadell FY10 Results
Banco Sabadell FY10 ResultsBanco Sabadell FY10 Results
Banco Sabadell FY10 ResultsBanco Sabadell
 
Profarma 4 q12
Profarma 4 q12Profarma 4 q12
Profarma 4 q12Profarma
 
Ernings Release 4 Q08
Ernings Release 4 Q08Ernings Release 4 Q08
Ernings Release 4 Q08Profarma
 
Earnings Release 4Q08 Presentation
Earnings Release 4Q08 PresentationEarnings Release 4Q08 Presentation
Earnings Release 4Q08 PresentationProfarma
 
csx 2008_Citigroup Conference
csx  2008_Citigroup Conferencecsx  2008_Citigroup Conference
csx 2008_Citigroup Conferencefinance27
 
2008 Shanghai Compensation and Benefits Study
2008 Shanghai Compensation and Benefits Study2008 Shanghai Compensation and Benefits Study
2008 Shanghai Compensation and Benefits Studydacare
 
Earnings Release 3Q07 Presentation
Earnings Release 3Q07 PresentationEarnings Release 3Q07 Presentation
Earnings Release 3Q07 PresentationProfarma
 

Similar a Real estatemarketreport 1q12 (20)

Real Estate Market Report 1st qtr 2011
Real Estate Market Report 1st qtr 2011Real Estate Market Report 1st qtr 2011
Real Estate Market Report 1st qtr 2011
 
MacroEconomics Of India - Fiscal & Monetary Outlook 2007 - SPJCM
MacroEconomics Of India - Fiscal & Monetary Outlook 2007 - SPJCMMacroEconomics Of India - Fiscal & Monetary Outlook 2007 - SPJCM
MacroEconomics Of India - Fiscal & Monetary Outlook 2007 - SPJCM
 
Earnings Release 4 Q07
Earnings Release 4 Q07Earnings Release 4 Q07
Earnings Release 4 Q07
 
Earnings Release 4Q07 Presentation
Earnings Release 4Q07 PresentationEarnings Release 4Q07 Presentation
Earnings Release 4Q07 Presentation
 
Highlights 2010 11 Economic Outlook
Highlights 2010 11 Economic OutlookHighlights 2010 11 Economic Outlook
Highlights 2010 11 Economic Outlook
 
Budget 2013 Special Report Preview
Budget 2013 Special Report PreviewBudget 2013 Special Report Preview
Budget 2013 Special Report Preview
 
Profarma 4 q11
Profarma 4 q11Profarma 4 q11
Profarma 4 q11
 
Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012
Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012
Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012
 
Banco Sabadell FY10 Results
Banco Sabadell FY10 ResultsBanco Sabadell FY10 Results
Banco Sabadell FY10 Results
 
Earnings Release Report 2Q10
Earnings Release Report 2Q10Earnings Release Report 2Q10
Earnings Release Report 2Q10
 
Profarma 4 q12
Profarma 4 q12Profarma 4 q12
Profarma 4 q12
 
Piaggio Group - Full Year 2011 Financial Results
Piaggio Group - Full Year 2011 Financial ResultsPiaggio Group - Full Year 2011 Financial Results
Piaggio Group - Full Year 2011 Financial Results
 
Ernings Release 4 Q08
Ernings Release 4 Q08Ernings Release 4 Q08
Ernings Release 4 Q08
 
Earnings Release 4Q08 Presentation
Earnings Release 4Q08 PresentationEarnings Release 4Q08 Presentation
Earnings Release 4Q08 Presentation
 
Earnings Release Report 1Q10
Earnings Release Report 1Q10Earnings Release Report 1Q10
Earnings Release Report 1Q10
 
Korea fund4q presentation
Korea fund4q presentationKorea fund4q presentation
Korea fund4q presentation
 
csx 2008_Citigroup Conference
csx  2008_Citigroup Conferencecsx  2008_Citigroup Conference
csx 2008_Citigroup Conference
 
2008 Shanghai Compensation and Benefits Study
2008 Shanghai Compensation and Benefits Study2008 Shanghai Compensation and Benefits Study
2008 Shanghai Compensation and Benefits Study
 
Earnings Release Report 4Q10
Earnings Release Report 4Q10Earnings Release Report 4Q10
Earnings Release Report 4Q10
 
Earnings Release 3Q07 Presentation
Earnings Release 3Q07 PresentationEarnings Release 3Q07 Presentation
Earnings Release 3Q07 Presentation
 

Último

Call Girls In Sahibabad Ghaziabad ❤️8860477959 Low Rate Escorts Service In 24...
Call Girls In Sahibabad Ghaziabad ❤️8860477959 Low Rate Escorts Service In 24...Call Girls In Sahibabad Ghaziabad ❤️8860477959 Low Rate Escorts Service In 24...
Call Girls In Sahibabad Ghaziabad ❤️8860477959 Low Rate Escorts Service In 24...lizamodels9
 
Ajmera Prive at Juhu, Mumbai E-Brochure.pdf
Ajmera Prive at Juhu, Mumbai  E-Brochure.pdfAjmera Prive at Juhu, Mumbai  E-Brochure.pdf
Ajmera Prive at Juhu, Mumbai E-Brochure.pdfManishSaxena95
 
DLF Plots Sriperumbudur in Chennai E Brochure Pdf
DLF Plots Sriperumbudur in Chennai E Brochure PdfDLF Plots Sriperumbudur in Chennai E Brochure Pdf
DLF Plots Sriperumbudur in Chennai E Brochure Pdfashiyadav24
 
Rustomjee The Panorama At Pali Hill, Bandra West, Mumbai - Brochure.pdf
Rustomjee The Panorama At Pali Hill, Bandra West, Mumbai - Brochure.pdfRustomjee The Panorama At Pali Hill, Bandra West, Mumbai - Brochure.pdf
Rustomjee The Panorama At Pali Hill, Bandra West, Mumbai - Brochure.pdfmonikasharma630
 
Low Rate Call Girls in Lajpat Nagar Delhi Call 9990771857
Low Rate Call Girls in Lajpat Nagar Delhi Call 9990771857Low Rate Call Girls in Lajpat Nagar Delhi Call 9990771857
Low Rate Call Girls in Lajpat Nagar Delhi Call 9990771857delhimodel235
 
83770-87607 ۞Call Girls In Near The Park Hotel (Cp) Delhi
83770-87607 ۞Call Girls In Near The Park Hotel (Cp) Delhi83770-87607 ۞Call Girls In Near The Park Hotel (Cp) Delhi
83770-87607 ۞Call Girls In Near The Park Hotel (Cp) Delhidollysharma2066
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Noida Sector 1 Noida (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Noida Sector 1 Noida (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Noida Sector 1 Noida (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Noida Sector 1 Noida (Call Girls) Delhidelhimodel235
 
Dynamic Netsoft A leader In Property management Software
Dynamic Netsoft A leader In Property management SoftwareDynamic Netsoft A leader In Property management Software
Dynamic Netsoft A leader In Property management SoftwareDynamic Netsoft
 
SSPL The Strand Abodes Kharadi Pune Brochure.pdf
SSPL The Strand Abodes Kharadi Pune Brochure.pdfSSPL The Strand Abodes Kharadi Pune Brochure.pdf
SSPL The Strand Abodes Kharadi Pune Brochure.pdfabbu831446
 
Call Girls in Pitampura Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Pitampura Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Pitampura Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Pitampura Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝soniya singh
 
Ryan Mahoney - How Property Technology Is Altering the Real Estate Market
Ryan Mahoney - How Property Technology Is Altering the Real Estate MarketRyan Mahoney - How Property Technology Is Altering the Real Estate Market
Ryan Mahoney - How Property Technology Is Altering the Real Estate MarketRyan Mahoney
 
Namrata 7 Plumeria Drive Pimpri Chinchwad Pune Brochure.pdf
Namrata 7 Plumeria Drive Pimpri Chinchwad Pune Brochure.pdfNamrata 7 Plumeria Drive Pimpri Chinchwad Pune Brochure.pdf
Namrata 7 Plumeria Drive Pimpri Chinchwad Pune Brochure.pdfPrachiRudram
 
Call Girls in Inderpuri Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Inderpuri Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Inderpuri Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Inderpuri Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝soniya singh
 
Purva Palm Hills Devanahalli, Bangalore E- Brochure.pdf
Purva Palm Hills Devanahalli, Bangalore E- Brochure.pdfPurva Palm Hills Devanahalli, Bangalore E- Brochure.pdf
Purva Palm Hills Devanahalli, Bangalore E- Brochure.pdffaheemali990101
 
call girls in Shahdara (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Shahdara (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in Shahdara (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Shahdara (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
 
Nanke Area Estate commercial ( Dir. Kat Kuo)
Nanke Area Estate commercial ( Dir. Kat Kuo)Nanke Area Estate commercial ( Dir. Kat Kuo)
Nanke Area Estate commercial ( Dir. Kat Kuo)jessica288382
 
Covid 19 and Market Impact during the Pandemic
Covid 19 and Market Impact during the PandemicCovid 19 and Market Impact during the Pandemic
Covid 19 and Market Impact during the PandemicTim Wilmath
 
Managed Farmland Brochures to get more in
Managed Farmland Brochures to get more inManaged Farmland Brochures to get more in
Managed Farmland Brochures to get more inknoxdigital1
 

Último (20)

Call Girls In Sahibabad Ghaziabad ❤️8860477959 Low Rate Escorts Service In 24...
Call Girls In Sahibabad Ghaziabad ❤️8860477959 Low Rate Escorts Service In 24...Call Girls In Sahibabad Ghaziabad ❤️8860477959 Low Rate Escorts Service In 24...
Call Girls In Sahibabad Ghaziabad ❤️8860477959 Low Rate Escorts Service In 24...
 
Ajmera Prive at Juhu, Mumbai E-Brochure.pdf
Ajmera Prive at Juhu, Mumbai  E-Brochure.pdfAjmera Prive at Juhu, Mumbai  E-Brochure.pdf
Ajmera Prive at Juhu, Mumbai E-Brochure.pdf
 
DLF Plots Sriperumbudur in Chennai E Brochure Pdf
DLF Plots Sriperumbudur in Chennai E Brochure PdfDLF Plots Sriperumbudur in Chennai E Brochure Pdf
DLF Plots Sriperumbudur in Chennai E Brochure Pdf
 
Rustomjee The Panorama At Pali Hill, Bandra West, Mumbai - Brochure.pdf
Rustomjee The Panorama At Pali Hill, Bandra West, Mumbai - Brochure.pdfRustomjee The Panorama At Pali Hill, Bandra West, Mumbai - Brochure.pdf
Rustomjee The Panorama At Pali Hill, Bandra West, Mumbai - Brochure.pdf
 
Low Rate Call Girls in Lajpat Nagar Delhi Call 9990771857
Low Rate Call Girls in Lajpat Nagar Delhi Call 9990771857Low Rate Call Girls in Lajpat Nagar Delhi Call 9990771857
Low Rate Call Girls in Lajpat Nagar Delhi Call 9990771857
 
83770-87607 ۞Call Girls In Near The Park Hotel (Cp) Delhi
83770-87607 ۞Call Girls In Near The Park Hotel (Cp) Delhi83770-87607 ۞Call Girls In Near The Park Hotel (Cp) Delhi
83770-87607 ۞Call Girls In Near The Park Hotel (Cp) Delhi
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Noida Sector 1 Noida (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Noida Sector 1 Noida (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Noida Sector 1 Noida (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Noida Sector 1 Noida (Call Girls) Delhi
 
Dynamic Netsoft A leader In Property management Software
Dynamic Netsoft A leader In Property management SoftwareDynamic Netsoft A leader In Property management Software
Dynamic Netsoft A leader In Property management Software
 
SSPL The Strand Abodes Kharadi Pune Brochure.pdf
SSPL The Strand Abodes Kharadi Pune Brochure.pdfSSPL The Strand Abodes Kharadi Pune Brochure.pdf
SSPL The Strand Abodes Kharadi Pune Brochure.pdf
 
young call girls in Lajpat Nagar,🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Service
young call girls in Lajpat Nagar,🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Serviceyoung call girls in Lajpat Nagar,🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Service
young call girls in Lajpat Nagar,🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Service
 
Call Girls in Pitampura Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Pitampura Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Pitampura Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Pitampura Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
 
Ryan Mahoney - How Property Technology Is Altering the Real Estate Market
Ryan Mahoney - How Property Technology Is Altering the Real Estate MarketRyan Mahoney - How Property Technology Is Altering the Real Estate Market
Ryan Mahoney - How Property Technology Is Altering the Real Estate Market
 
Namrata 7 Plumeria Drive Pimpri Chinchwad Pune Brochure.pdf
Namrata 7 Plumeria Drive Pimpri Chinchwad Pune Brochure.pdfNamrata 7 Plumeria Drive Pimpri Chinchwad Pune Brochure.pdf
Namrata 7 Plumeria Drive Pimpri Chinchwad Pune Brochure.pdf
 
Call Girls in Inderpuri Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Inderpuri Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Inderpuri Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Inderpuri Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
 
Purva Palm Hills Devanahalli, Bangalore E- Brochure.pdf
Purva Palm Hills Devanahalli, Bangalore E- Brochure.pdfPurva Palm Hills Devanahalli, Bangalore E- Brochure.pdf
Purva Palm Hills Devanahalli, Bangalore E- Brochure.pdf
 
Hot call girls in Moti Bagh🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Service
Hot call girls in Moti Bagh🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort ServiceHot call girls in Moti Bagh🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Service
Hot call girls in Moti Bagh🔝 9953056974 🔝 escort Service
 
call girls in Shahdara (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Shahdara (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in Shahdara (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Shahdara (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
 
Nanke Area Estate commercial ( Dir. Kat Kuo)
Nanke Area Estate commercial ( Dir. Kat Kuo)Nanke Area Estate commercial ( Dir. Kat Kuo)
Nanke Area Estate commercial ( Dir. Kat Kuo)
 
Covid 19 and Market Impact during the Pandemic
Covid 19 and Market Impact during the PandemicCovid 19 and Market Impact during the Pandemic
Covid 19 and Market Impact during the Pandemic
 
Managed Farmland Brochures to get more in
Managed Farmland Brochures to get more inManaged Farmland Brochures to get more in
Managed Farmland Brochures to get more in
 

Real estatemarketreport 1q12

  • 1. 1q 2012 | Market overview research & forecast report pHILIPPINE real estate market Executive Summary Economy While the average GDP growth across the ASEAN countries slowed to 4,8% from 6.9%, the Philippine economy manageably grew at 3.7% last year. Despite the fact that government spending on infrastructure was belatedly pushed last year, and while fishing production and exports have consistently declined, the resilient performance in the services sector, and the strong consumer spending, compensated for last year’s sluggish growth. Outlook by most multilateral institution on the Philippine economy is to grow 3.5% to 4.0% this year. Office Office space options are currently narrow across Metro Manila mainly due to the strong demand coming from the O&O industry. At present, IT-related and BPO firms, with immediate, sizeable requirements, have alternatively resorted to plug & play options either for normal operations or as an incubation space. In 1Q 2012, the vacancy rate in the Makati CBD grew slightly by 0.3% to 4.43%, yet remained within the sub-4% level over the last two quarters. The increase in vacancy is mainly attributed to Grade B offices which grew by around 1.02% to 4.83% breaching the 3% level of last year. residential market indicators In Metro Manila, supply remains considerably high across condominiums with some 33,000 units completed and over 50,000 units launched last year. Completion grew by over 48% annually OFFICE while some 40,000 units more are expected towards the end of 2013. Premium vacancy rate in Makati consistently evened out at the sub-6% level since the second quarter of last year. RESIDENTIAL Meanwhile, three-bedroom rental rates went up in the first quarter by over 4% to an average of P660 per sq m. rETAIL retail At present, there is about 5.2 million sq m of leasable retail space, 2.11% higher than in the fourth quarter of last year. Vacancy rates, in both super-regional and regional malls across Metro Manila slightly increased by .07% yet occupancy rates remain at the 99% level. In an aim to further increase foot traffic and slacken competition, major mall developers are currently turning away from the traditional mall configuration, and are presently geared towards improving the shopping experience through the integration of new technologies, attractions and natural parks. www.colliers.com
  • 2. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMIC INDICATORS 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Gross National Product 3.5 4.8 6.1 6.0 6.5 8.4 2.60 Gross Domestic Product 4.8 5.2 6.6 4.2 1.1 7.6 3.70 Personal Consumption Expenditure 4.4 4.2 4.6 3.7 2.3 3.4 6.10 Government Expenditure 2.1 10.6 6.9 0.3 10.9 4.0 -0.70 Capital Formation 2.96% -15.12% -0.47% 23.36% -8.68% 31.61% 11.10% Exports 5.0 12.6 6.7 -2.7 -7.8 21.0 -3.80 Imports 3.3 3.5 1.7 1.6 -8.1 22.5 1.90 Agriculture 2.2 3.6 4.7 3.2 -0.7 -0.2 2.60 Industry 4.2 4.6 5.8 4.8 -1.9 11.6 1.90 Services 5.8 6.0 7.6 4.0 3.4 7.2 5.00 Average Inflation (Full Year %) 7.6 6.2 2.8 9.3 3.2 6.65 4.80 Budget Deficit (Billion Pesos) 146.8 62.2 12.4 68.1 298.5 314.4 197.7 P: US$ (Average) % 55.0 51.3 46.1 44.7 47.6 45.10 43.31 Average 91-Day T-Bill Rates % 6.4% 5.3% 3.4% 5.2% 4.0% 3.70% 1.37 * At constant prices (based on 2000 level) ECONOMY While the average GDP growth across the ASEAN countries slowed to 4,8% from 6.9%, the Philippine economy manageably grew at 3.7% last year. Though at a meagre growth rate, the country was able to withstand the weak global demand derived from external economic tribulations. Despite the fact that government spending on infrastructure was belatedly pushed last year, and while fishing production and exports have consistently declined, the resilient performance in the services sector, and the strong consumer spending, compensated for last year’s sluggish growth. Specifically, services under the Real Estate sub-sector grew annually by 17.0%, while Renting and Other Business Activities increased by 9.6%. Last year, the services sector contributed more than 40% of the country’s gross national income which reached over P7.7 trillion (+2.6%). Meanwhile, consumer spending increased by 6.1% in 4Q 2011. OFW remittances which posted over US$20.1 billion are expected to continually bolster consumption. The same increased over a billion in the last two years. Furthermore, inflation rate further contracted to 2.7% pushing lending rates at its lowest regime from 5%-8%. Outlook by most multilateral institution on the Philippine economy is to grow 3.5% to 4.0% this year. OFW Remittances 25,000 20,000 In Million US Dollars 15,000 10,000 5,000 - 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas * As of January 2012 p. 2 | Colliers International
  • 3. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE LAND VALUES As of 1Q 2012, implied land values in the Makati CBD appreciated by 2.26% to an average of P284,130 per sq m. This is expected to increase by 6% in the next twelve months and may reach P300,000 per sq m, higher than its historic peak in early 2009. In Ortigas Center, land values grew by 1.5% to P130,783 per sq m and are expected to grow by 4% by the end of the first quarter next year. The highest growth was registered in Fort Bonfiacio at 28% year-on-year (YoY) driven by the continuous interest in developable land and properties. Currently, it is pegged at P189,000 per sq m and is projected to grow by 17% over the next twelve months. Makati CBD, Ortigas & Fort Bonifacio Average Land Values 500,000 400,000 pesos per square meter 300,000 200,000 100,000 - 1Q97 1Q98 1Q99 1Q00 1Q01 1Q02 1Q03 1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 1Q11 1Q12F 1Q13F Makati CBD Ortigas Ctr BGC Source: Colliers International Philippines Research COMPARATIVE LAND VALUES PESO / SQ M 1Q 12 4Q 11 % CHANGE (QoQ) 1Q 13F % CHANGE (YoY) MAKATI CBD 271,501 - 296,759 266,177 - 289,521 2.26 290,218-315,800 6.64 ORTIGAS CENTER 97,952 - 163,614 96,504 - 161,196 1.50 101,870-170,519 4.00 BGC 154,500 - 225,145 150,000 - 220,730 2.40 191,215-253,200 17.00 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research LICENSES TO SELL Overall residential licenses issued by the HLURB contracted for the third consecutive year. Last year, about 164,487 licenses were registered, 13% lower than in 2010. The socialised and economic housing segments consistently dropped by 32 and 30% to 35,682 and 45,207 units, respectively. On a lesser magnitude, issuances on mid-income housing numbered 32,300 units, slightly down by -0.7%. Meanwhile, across the high-rise residential sector, licences continually increased to about 51,298 units, a growth of over 30% compared to 2010. While developers continue to favour high-density projects, the presence of Grade B condominiums continues to augment the number of issued licenses. In 2011, over 50,000 units were launched in Metro Manila. This gives a major indication that licenses in this segment may continue to rise over the remainder of the year. As of February of this year, some of the projects which recently obtained licenses are The Chelsea Residences (704 units) in Alabang, Sorrento Oasis (690 units) in Pasig, 8 Adriatico (922 units) and One Archers Place (655 units) in Manila. p. 3 | Colliers International
  • 4. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | THE KNOWLEDGE HLURB LICENCES TO SELL UNITS JAN - DEC JAN - DEC % CHANGE YOY 2011 2010 Socialised Housing 35,682 52,602 -32.2 Low-Cost Housing 45,207 64,537 -30.0 Mid-Income Housing 32,300 32,541 -0.7 High-Rise Residential 51,298 38,936 31.7 Commercial Condominium 786 2,622 -70.0 Farm Lot 444 225 97.3 Memorial Park 136,174 116,645 16.7 Industrial Subdivision 30 35 -14.3 Commercial Subdivision 495 374 32.4 Total (Philippines) 304,427 310,527 -2.0 Source: Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board HLURB Licenses 160,000 140,000 140,000 120,000 120,000 100,000 100,000 units 80,000 units 80,000 60,000 60,000 40,000 40,000 20,000 20,000 - - 1Q99 4Q99 3Q00 2Q01 1Q02 4Q02 3Q03 2Q04 1Q05 4Q05 3Q06 2Q07 1Q08 4Q08 3Q09 2Q10 1Q11 4Q11 Quarterly Approvals Moving 12-Month Average (RHS) Source: Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board OFFICE SECTOR Supply Office space options are currently narrow across Metro Manila mainly due to the strong demand coming from the O&O industry. Consequently, developers continue to catch up by bringing in roughly over 1.2 million sq m of new office space in the span of two years. At present, IT-related and BPO firms, with immediate, sizeable requirements, have alternatively resorted to plug & play options either for normal operations or as an incubation space. Furthermore, based on inquiries recently received by Colliers, several interests in areas outside Metro Manila consistently surface. These particularly include Cebu, Davao and Ilo-ilo which subsequently are key expansion sites among major developers. Meanwhile in the Makati CBD, supply remains limited. Delayed for completion by over a quarter, Zuelling Building (57,000 sq m), the only office due for delivery in the Makati CBD this year, is set to be operational in the next couple of months. Alphaland Makati Tower (38,400 sq m), and the Glorietta 1 and 2 BPO buildings (27,800 sq m each) are the only new office spaces to become available in 2013. Furthermore, all over Metro Manila, supply stock in net usable space increased marginally in 1Q 2012 to 5.8 million sq m. This includes Science Hub 2 (19,000 sq m) in McKinley Hill and the SM Megamall Car Park Extension (13,000 sq m) in Mandaluyong. Techno Plaza Two (35,800 sq m) and A Place, previously named One Coral Way, (7,500 sq m), are expected to be available in the early part of the second quarter. p. 4 | Colliers International
  • 5. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | OFFICE Makati CBD vs. Metro Manila Office Stock Makati Vs, Metro Manila Stock 8,000,000 7,000,000 600,000 600,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 500,000 500,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 400,000 400,000 5,000,000 in sq.m. in sq.m. 4,000,000 in sq.m. in sq.m. 4,000,000 300,000 300,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 200,000 200,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 100,000 1,000,000 - - 0 0 2011F 2012F 2013F 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F 2013F Metro Manila Stock Makati CBD YoY Change (RHS) Metro Manila Stock Makati CBD YoY Change (RHS) Source: Colliers International Philippines Research OFFICE SECTOR Demand In 1Q 2012, the vacancy rate in the Makati CBD grew slightly by 0.3% to 4.43%, yet remained within the sub-4% level over the last two quarters. The increase is mainly attributed to Grade B offices which grew by around 1.02% to 4.83% ̶ breaching the 3% level of last year. On the other hand, vacancies contracted across the Premium and Grade A segments, down by 2.14% and 0.52% to 3.38% and 3.63%, respectively. Take-up rates are expected to drop this year by 26% to 27,800 sq m, mainly attributed to the limited office space and a negligible increase in supply. Makati CBD Office Supply and Demand 270,000 20% 220,000 15% 170,000 10% in sq.m. 120,000 70,000 5% 20,000 0% (30,000) (80,000) -5% 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F 2013F New Supply During Year Take-Up During Year Vacancy at Year End (RHS) Source: Colliers International Philippines Research p. 5 | Colliers International
  • 6. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | OFFICE MAKATI CBD COMPARATIVE OFFICE VACANCY RATES (%) 1Q 12 4Q 11 1Q 2013F PREMIUM 3.38 5.52 GRADE A 3.63 4.15 GRADE B & BELOW 4.83 3.81 ALL GRADES 4.42 4.08 4.00 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research FORECAST OFFICE NEW SUPPLY LOCATION End-2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 MAKATI CBD 2,699,696 - 80,353 64,837 - ORTIGAS 1,126,018 19,332 - 64,000 - FORT BONIFACIO 485,693 106,579 218,391 244,123 88,562 EASTWOOD 252,979 39,840 35,765 - - ALABANG 234,305 31,247 - 33,560 - OTHER LOCATIONS* 685,362 81,007 199,803 98,729 71,934 TOTAL 5,484,053 278,005 519,749 517,643 - Source: Colliers International Philippines Research *Manila, Pasay, Mandaluyong, and Quezon City Rents Premium rental rates in the Makati CBD consistently increased quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) by 2.8% to about P875 per sq m on average. This is projected to grow by 6% over the next twelve months and will exceed the P900 per sq m level last seen in early 2007. Meanwhile, both Grade A and B rents grew marginally by 0.22 and 0.42% to P698 per sq m and P483 per sq m, respectively. Running at an average of P720 per sq m, Grade A rental rates in Bonifacio Global City have continuously surpassed that of Makati since 2Q 2011. While most firms remain wedded to Makati mainly due to familiarity and brand, Grade A rents are expected to grow by 7.5% in 1Q 2013 and will eventually level off to that of BGC at P750 per sq m. COMPARATIVE OFFICE RENTAL RATES (PESO / SQM / MONTH) MAKATI CBD (BASED ON NET USEABLE AREA) 1Q 12 4Q 11 % CHANGE (QOQ) 1Q13F % CHANGE (YOY) PREMIUM 825 - 922 788 - 912 2.8 860 - 990 5.9 GRADE A 500 - 895 497 - 895 0.2 575 - 925 7.5 GRADE B 455 - 510 451 - 510 0.4 480 - 545 2.1 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research p. 6 | Colliers International
  • 7. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | OFFICE NOTABLE LEASING DEALS Building Area Size (sq m) Net Lima Taguig 8,364.00 Science Hub Tower 2 Taguig 4,250.00 Insular Life Corporate Center Alabang 3,200.00 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research Makati CBD Office Capital Values Capital Values 150,000 In 1Q 2013, premium building capital values continually went up to their current P114,840 130,000 per sq m (+5.54%). As the completion of 110,000 in peso per sq.m. Zuellig Tower approaches, average values are expected to grow around 7.0%, the highest 90,000 quarterly increase that could transpire in the 70,000 business district. To a much lesser degree, capital values on the Grade A and B segments 50,000 grew by 1.52 and 1.35% to P82,680 and 30,000 P55,745 per sq m, respectively. Both 3Q12F 1Q13F 1Q00 3Q00 1Q01 3Q01 1Q02 3Q02 1Q03 3Q03 1Q04 3Q04 1Q05 3Q05 1Q06 3Q06 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 segments are expected to grow modestly by 3% to 5% in the next twelve months Premium Grade A Grade B/B- Source: Colliers International Philippines Research COMPARATIVE OFFICE CAPITAL VALUES (PESOS / SQM) MAKATI CBD (BASED ON NET USEABLE AREA) 1Q 12 4Q 11 % CHANGE (QOQ) 1Q 13F % CHANGE (YOY) PREMIUM 104,569 - 125,113 100,443 - 117,190 5.5 119,886 - 131,188 9.3 GRADE A 70,091 - 95,267 69,933 - 92,950 1.5 72,697 - 100,846 5.0 GRADE B 48,060 - 63,430 47,000 - 63,000 1.4 49,200 - 65,910 3.3 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research p. 7 | Colliers International
  • 8. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL RESIDENTIAL SECTOR Supply In Metro Manila, supply remains considerably high across condominiums with some 33,000 units completed and over 50,000 units launched last year. Completion grew by over 48% annually while some 40,000 units more are expected towards the end of 2013. Contrary to over a decade ago, the low lending rates, easy access to credit and affordable payment schemes, made intrinsic components for high-take up rates mainly in the smaller-unit segment. Moreover, supply has largely been augmented by the strong presence of high density projects across the metro area, where the primary inventory mix favours studio and one-bedroom units. In the Makati CBD, the gap between the small unit sizes (studio and one-bedroom) and the large unit sizes (two-bedroom and above) started to widen in 2002 and is expected to grow continuously over the next three years. With the 15,500-unit stock at present, the majority or roughly 60% belongs to the 30 to 60 sq m range as against 40% in the 70 to 230 sq m range. Consequently, stock is still expected to grow annually by 15% in the span of two years driven by projects in the Grade A and B sectors. Meanwhile, some of the condominiums that have started turning over are Eton Residences Greenbelt (302 units), Eton Parkview Greenbelt (236 units), and One Pacific Place (240 units). Makati CBD Residential Stock 20,000 25% 18,000 20% 16,000 14,000 15% 12,000 in units 10,000 10% 8,000 5% 6,000 4,000 0% 2,000 - -5% 1Q00 3Q00 1Q01 3Q01 1Q02 3Q02 1Q03 3Q03 1Q04 3Q04 1Q05 3Q05 1Q06 3Q06 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12F 1Q13F Residential Stock YoY Change (RHS) Source: Colliers International Philippines Research FORECAST RESIDENTIAL NEW SUPPLY LOCATION (cumulative) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 TOTAL MAKATI CBD 13,076 1,659 2,204 2,105 473 19,517 ROCKWELL 2,382 1,336 - - 441 4,159 FORT BONIFACIO 10,709 1,365 4,819 1,684 1276 19,853 ORTIGAS 7,481 2,389 672 262 792 11,596 EASTWOOD 5,735 - 558 977 278 7,548 TOTAL 39,383 6,749 8,253 5,028 3,260 62,673 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research Demand In Makati, landed property remains the preferred lease option in the expatriate market. However, due to the narrow options across exclusive villages, demand alternatively settles on premium condominiums. Despite this, the lack of larger units has consistently evened out premium vacancies at the sub-6% level since the second quarter of last year. On the other hand, vacancy across other grades continues to increase by slightly over 2% quarterly and is currently at 12.4%. Specifically, Grade A vacancy rose by 2% to 10.44% in 1Q 2012. Meanwhile, at 14.62%, vacancy in Grade B condominiums remains the highest across all segments. p. 8 | Colliers International
  • 9. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL Makati CBD Residential Vacancy 18% 18% 16% 16% 14% 14% 12% 12% 10% 10% 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1Q98 3Q98 1Q99 3Q99 1Q00 3Q00 1Q01 3Q01 1Q02 3Q02 1Q03 3Q03 1Q04 3Q04 1Q05 3Q05 1Q06 3Q06 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12F 1Q98 4Q98 3Q99 2Q00 1Q01 4Q01 3Q02 2Q03 1Q04 4Q04 3Q05 2Q06 1Q07 4Q07 3Q08 2Q09 1Q10 4Q10 3Q11 2Q12F Source: Colliers International Philippines Research MAKATI CBD COMPARATIVE RESIDENTIAL VACANCY RATES (%) 1Q 12 4Q 11 1Q 13F LUXURY 6.0 6.2 OTHERS 12.4 10.9 ALL GRADES 11.7 10.5 11.0 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research Rents Luxury three-bedroom rental rates in both the Makati CBD and Bonfiacio Global City went up in the first quarter by over 4% to an average of P660 per sq m and P685 per sq m, respectively. The gap between the rental rates of the two districts is expected to narrow over the next twelve months as the completion of Raffles Residences in Makati may cause upward pressure on the average premium rates. In particular, this brings a projected annual growth of over 8%, higher than the 6% in Bonfiacio Global City; this will level out at the P710 to P715 per sq m range. In Rockwell Center, rates grew modestly at 1.30% to an average of P780 per sq m and will breach the P800 per sq m mark by the end of this year. Makati CBD, Rockwell, Bonifacio Global City Prime 3BR Units Residential Rents 900 900 800 800 700 in peso per sq.m. per month 700 in peso per sq.m. per month 600 600 500 500 400 400 300 300 200200 100100 - - 1Q01 3Q01 1Q02 3Q02 1Q03 3Q03 1Q04 3Q04 1Q05 3Q05 1Q06 3Q06 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12F 3Q12F 1Q01 3Q01 1Q02 3Q02 1Q03 3Q03 1Q04 3Q04 1Q05 3Q05 1Q06 3Q06 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12F 1Q13F Makati CBD Makati CBD Rockwell Rockwell Bonifacio Global City Bonifacio Global City Source: Colliers International Philippines Research p. 9 | Colliers International
  • 10. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL METRO MANILA RESIDENTIAL CONDOMINIUM COMPARATIVE LUXURY 3BR RENTAL RATES 1Q 12 4Q 11 % CHANGE (QOQ) 1Q 13F % CHANGE (YOY) MAKATI CBD 455 - 860 415 - 840 4.78 502 - 919 8.06 ROCKWELL 665 - 890 660 - 875 1.30 696 - 936 4.97 BONIFACIO GLOBAL CITY 555 - 812 543 - 768 4.27 577 - 877 6.33 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research COMPARATIVE RESIDENTIAL LEASE RATES THREE-BEDROOM PREMIUM, SEMI-FURNISHED MINIMUM AVERAGE MAXIMUM Apartment Ridge / Roxas Triangle Rental Range * 90,000 145,000 250,000 Average Size ** 210 280 330 Salcedo Village Rental Range 60,000 93,000 135,000 Average Size 170 190 330 Legaspi Village Rental Range 65,000 190,000 250,000 Average Size 120 210 280 Rockwell Rental Range 150,000 200,000 300,000 Average Size 200 260 330 Fort Bonifacio Rental Range 60,000 150,000 280,000 Average Size 130 200 300 * in pesos per month Source: Colliers International Philippines Research ** in square meters Capital Values Average capital values for a premium three-bedroom unit in the Makati CBD surpassed that of Bonifacio Global City over the last two quarters. The prior’s capital values reached P114,000 per sq m last quarter or an annual growth of 10%, higher than the 8% growth with the latter’s P112,900 per sq m. On a quarterly basis, the Makati CBD capital values increased by 4.8% and will eventually exceed the P120,000 per sq m level by 1Q 2013. Meanwhile, in Rockwell Center, the completion of one Rockwell East pushed capital values to rise by 5.2% to an average of P140,000 per sq m. Despite the dearth in supply, outlook on secondary prices is expected to grow by 9.9% in the next twelve months. p. 10 | Colliers International
  • 11. PHILIPPINES | 1Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL Makati CBD Residential Capital Values 140,000 120,000 130,000 110,000 120,000 in peso per sq.m. in peso per sq.m. 100,000 110,000 100,000 90,000 90,000 80,000 80,000 70,000 70,000 60,000 60,000 1Q01 3Q01 1Q02 3Q02 1Q03 3Q03 1Q04 3Q04 1Q05 3Q05 1Q06 3Q06 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11 1Q12 3Q12F 1Q01 3Q01 1Q02 3Q02 1Q03 3Q03 1Q04 3Q04 1Q05 3Q05 1Q06 3Q06 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11F 1Q12F Makati CBD Rockwell Bonifacio Global City Makati CBD Rockwell Bonifacio Global City Source: Colliers International Philippines Research METRO MANILA RESIDENTIAL CONDOMINIUM COMPARATIVE LUXURY 3BR CAPITAL VALUES (PESOS / SQ M) 1Q 12 4Q 11 % CHANGE (QOQ) 1Q 13F % CHANGE (YOY) MAKATI CBD 78,000 - 150,121 74,230 - 144,200 4.8 89,454 - 157,301 8.2 ROCKWELL 98,421 - 140,551 94,069 - 133,041 5.2 103,122 - 159,493 9.9 BONIFACIO GLOBAL CITY 90,658 - 135,125 89,212 - 127,533 4.2 92,208 - 146,815 5.9 Source: Colliers International Philippines Research RETAIL Supply Over the last six months, Metro Manila retail stock improved, brought about by the newly completed retail developments. At present, there is about 5.2 million sq m of leasable retail space, 2.11% higher than in the fourth quarter of last year. Supply mainly increased across super-regional malls by 3.67% or an additional leasable space of over 100,000 sq m driven by the completion of Lucky China Town Mall in Binondo Manila. Meanwhile, some other developments which were completed over the last two quarters include BHS Central East Block in Fort Bonfacio which covers 10,000 sq m and Two Shopping Center in Pasay which covers 50,000 sq m. In an aim to further increase foot traffic and slacken competition, major mall developers are currently turning away from the traditional mall configuration, and are presently geared towards improving the shopping experience through the integration of new technologies, attractions and natural parks. The introduction of 3D devices in cinemas and the inclusion of pocket gardens and theme parks evidently became a major trend especially across major entertainment districts. These are most likely to increase as retail developers plan major facelifts and continuous retrofitting over the long haul. Filinvest’s Festival Mall is expected to undergo a revamp which includes a new wing of about 50% of its leasable area. Besides the new open spaces, the mall will utilise its existing creek as a major waterway attraction. At a separate location, the company’s seafront SRP in Cebu will similarly use its beachside ambiance as the retail’s water feature. Likewise, SM Baguio is also set for an upgrade. Apart from an additional space of some 76,000 sq m, it is geared to obtain LEED certification followed by its integration of new open-air retail spaces, roof gardens, and landscapes of native plant materials. Meanwhile, Ayala Land is continually banking on its cultural districts emphasized by its upcoming retail development at the Santa Ana racetrack property. Besides the on-site upgrades and improvements, expansion plans remains persistent across geographic reach. Robinsons Land has recently opened its 30th mall in Calasio, Pangasinan. Besides this, the developer is also set to open Robinsons Place Palawan and Robinsons Magnolia this year. In Bacolod, SM Prime ramps up its expansion with the SM City Bacolod annex which will offer an additional space of over 80,000 sq m towards the end of 2014. Beyond regional level, SM Tianjin (530,000 sq m), branded as the world’s largest freestanding shopping centre, is set to be completed by the end of 2013. Moreover, Ayala Land plans to reopen Glorietta 1 and 2 towards the third or fourth quarter of this year. After the Abreeza Mall in Davao, the developer is also on track with its Centrio Mall (44,000 sq m), which is set to open by October. p. 11 | Colliers International