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Agile Metrics; Velocity is NOT the Goal - ScrumGathering 2013
1.
Velocity Agile Metricsisnot goal the
2.
Velocity Agile Metrics isnot goal the @DocOnDev Michael “Doc”
Norton doc@groupon.com Director of Engineering
3.
Velocity Agile Metrics isnot goal the
4.
Velocity AgileWhat is ?
5.
Time Work UnitsO V
E R
6.
lagging Indicator
7.
Velocity Planning with
8.
0 125 250 375 500 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Ideal
9.
0 6 12 18 24 30 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 22 26 25 24 27 30 25 Actual
10.
Velocity theWhat is ?next
11.
Yesterday’sWeather
12.
0 6 12 18 24 30 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 22 26 25 30 27 30 25 26 25 30 27 30 25 30 Yesterday’s Weather Weather Actual
13.
0 125 250 375 500 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Ideal Actual Weather Yesterday’s Weather
14.
RollingAverage
15.
0 6 12 18 24 30 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 22 26 25 30 27 30 25 2727 29 2727 25 30 26 25 30 27 30 25 30 Rolling Average Weather Rolling Actual
16.
0 125 250 375 500 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Ideal Actual Rolling Rolling Average
17.
Weather Rolling -vs- 0 125 250 375 500 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Ideal Actual Rolling Weather
18.
&Precise Inaccurate
19.
Standard Deviation
20.
Standard Deviation 2.66
21.
Rolling Std. Deviation with 0 125 250 375 500 1 2
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Ideal Actual Rolling Deviation
22.
Two Velocities OfA Tale
23.
Set A: 10, 11,
9, 10 Set B: 10, 14, 9, 7
24.
Mean: 10 Mean:
10 Set A: 10, 11, 9, 10 Set B: 10, 14, 9, 7
25.
Rolling: 10 Rolling:
10 Mean: 10 Mean: 10 Set A: 10, 11, 9, 10 Set B: 10, 14, 9, 7
26.
Deviation: 0.7 Deviation:
2.5 Rolling: 10 Rolling: 10 Mean: 10 Mean: 10 Set A: 10, 11, 9, 10 Set B: 10, 14, 9, 7
27.
Deviation: 0.7 Deviation:
2.5 Rolling: 10 Rolling: 10 Mean: 10 Mean: 10 Set A: 10, 11, 9, 10 Set B: 10, 14, 9, 7 Vel: 9.3-10.7 Vel: 7.5-12.5
28.
?Velocity What doesVariable tell us
29.
Distractions
30.
Story Poor Composition
31.
Too MuchWork In Process
32.
DependencyOn Other Teams
33.
Velocity goal as the
34.
Goodhart’s Law Any observed statistical
regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for control purposes.
35.
Goodhart’s Law Making a target
for a metric destroys the metric (and the target)
36.
“What matters is
not setting quantitative goals but fixing the method by which those goals are attained.” - Dr. W. Edwards Deming
37.
Fixingthe Method
38.
ScatterDiagrams
39.
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 0 2 4
6 8 PurchasePrice Age
40.
Velocity Complexity 0 12.5 25 37.5 50 0 25 50
75 100
41.
Velocity Value 0 12.5 25 37.5 50 0 10000 20000
30000 40000
42.
Velocity Coverage 0 12.5 25 37.5 50 0 22.5 45
67.5 90
43.
CumulativeFlow
44.
Backlog Sample
45.
46.
47.
0 5 10 15 20 1 2 3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Velocity ?What doesthistell us
48.
SameTeam Data Different Perspective
49.
?What doesthistell us 0 25 50 75 100 1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Deployed Ready for Approval In Testing In Progress Ready To Start
50.
The Hawthorn Effect That which
is measured, will improve (at a cost)
51.
Many Things Measure
52.
Many Things Measure 0 4 8 12 16 1 2
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Velocity
53.
Many Things Measure 0 4 8 12 16 1 2
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 0 12.5 25 37.5 50 Velocity Quality
54.
Many Things Measure 0 4 8 12 16 1 2
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 0 12.5 25 37.5 50 Velocity Quality Avg. Hours
55.
Many Things Measure 0 4 8 12 16 1 2
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 0 12.5 25 37.5 50 Velocity Quality Avg. Hours Team Joy
56.
We really do
this. Yes
57.
Velocity with Deviation
58.
Burn with Deviation
59.
Cumulative Flow
60.
Employee Joy
61.
thing Onelast
62.
for Managers Metricsare NOT
63.
for Teams Metricsare
64.
Velocity Agile Metrics isnot goal the @DocOnDev Michael “Doc”
Norton doc@groupon.com Director of Engineering Thank You!