The Mount Polley mine tailings dam failure in 2014 released about 25 million cubic meters of mining waste and wastewater into nearby waterways. An investigation found the failure was likely due to inadequate design and construction of the dam given the foundation conditions. Key lessons from the failure include the need for more stringent dam design, construction and monitoring practices, as well as improved water management, to prevent such catastrophic failures from occurring. The failure had wide-ranging environmental, social, economic and reputational impacts, costing at least $50 million but potentially billions due to lost salmon habitat and the mining company's damaged brand.
Major Fail: Lessons from the Dam Breach at Mount Polley Mine, British Columbia
1. Major Fail: Lessons from the Dam Breach at
Mount Polley Mine, British Columbia
Dylan McFarlane
2. Check Back in January
Dirk Van Zyl
Norbert Morgenstern
Steven Vick
Sources
• KP Reports (2009, 2010)
• Websites (Miner & Regulator)
• Media
• Blogs (ithinkmining.com)
21. 1997
Operation
2001 – 2005
Closure -
Restart
2005 – 2006
Expansion &
Dam Review
2010
Human
Failures
2009 – 2012
Water
Surplus
2014
Disaster
Closure
Review risk classification
Dam breach and inundation analysis
10-15 m tension crack stability assessment
Lacustrine unit 4mm displacement, buttress
Poor beach development (since 2008)
40% piezometers failed (since 2006)
Lack of monitoring phreatic surface, flows
Water surplus stochastic analysis
85 Mt ultimate storage capacity exceeded
22. 1997
Operation
2001 – 2005
Closure -
Restart
2005 – 2006
Expansion &
Dam Review
2010
Human
Failures
2009 – 2012
Water
Surplus
2013/2014
Disaster
Closure
Review water surplus issue
Structural engineer needed
Sedimentation ponds
Groundwater monitoring
Emergency preparedness
Liberal BC Premier Gordon Campbell
Regulatory staff cut 20%
Risk burden consultants
23. 1997
Operation
2001 – 2005
Closure -
Restart
2005 – 2006
Expansion &
Dam Review
2010
Human
Failures
2009 – 2012
Water
Surplus
2014
Disaster
Closure
Gerald MacBurney:
Dam foreman, whistleblower
2013: AMEC said 5 Mt rock buttress
needed but less than 1 Mt received
2014:
Media frenzy
Eco-babble
26. Materials Description Amount
Water Supernatant water 10.6 Mm3
Slurry Tailings solids 7.3 Mm3
Interstitial water 6.5 Mm3
Construction Soil, gravel, agg. 0.6 Mm3
Total 25.0 Mm3
Non-acid generating (ave. pH 8.5)
Acute exceedances in total metal contents:
• Cu, Fe…..Zn, Se, Cr, V
Chronic exceedances: turbidity, suspended solids
Physical impacts
• Erosion and scour
• Deposition of trees and woody debris
• Deposition of tailings and eroded earth
Plume 25 – 35m below surface extending for tens of
square kilometres
• Deep station (65 m) = highest concentration (>200
μg Cu vs. Aquatic Life WQG 7 μg)
LUCKY!!!
No ARD
No dissolved, bioavailable metals
No impacts beyond Quesnel
28. The Response
Mount Polley Mining Company
Indefinite care and maintenance
Conceptual Interim Erosion and Sediment
Control Plan
• Improve water quality
• Reduce re-mobilization potential
• Manage TSF flows to Springer Pit
Ask for money!
Mount Polley funding Red Chris Dev.
Regulators
Order, Emergency, Water Ban
Independent Expert Engineering Review
Dam Safety Inspections for all permitted
mines in BC including:
Review of Consequence risk classification
Provide a lot of information!
44. Jack Caldwell’s Ideas
Upstream failure
Piping
Embankment crack due to soil creep
Embankment crack due to differential foundation deformation
Ithinkmining.com
53. Events Leading to Failure
Weak lacustrine FOUNDATION (artesian?) creep, deformation; unstable
Tailings rise too fast, poor beaching
TOO MUCH WATER
Poor adherence to OSM (Operation, Maintenance and Surveillance) manual
Overtopping incidents weaken structure (+/- piping)
Borrow pit excavation weakens foundation
POOR MANAGEMENT
Buttress: too little, too late
Overtopping, slip failure, collapse
54. Weak, wet foundation soils?
Artesian
Foundation
Main Embankment 4mm Displacement Buttress Required
2013: Buttressing Perimeter Embankment
55. Water Surplus – No Beaching
2011 2012 2013
May 2014 June 2014 July 2014
56. Incidents & Violations since 2012 (from MoE)
2012
Failure to report height exceedance for tailings pond
August: Overflow of 150 m3 water
Groundwater monitoring well data not submitted (twice)
2013
May: Dam breach (unreported, unverified)
2014
April: Overflow (spring freshet – pump blockage)
May: Pond height exceedance
57. Global Mining
British Columbia
Community
MPMC
• Tarnished brand image
• Social license to operate
• Attracting young talent
• Reputation, Trust, Legacy
• Mandatory regulations
• Blockades, permitting
• Economic stress
• Cultural loss
• Sediment Plume – Salmon
• Job losses
• Bankruptcy
Impacts
58. How many salmon will die?
Sediment Plume
Tens of kilometres square near Hazeltine and
Raft Creek
Mostly deep (< 65m)
Turbidity, suspended solids: milky, opaque
25 – 35m plume mobilized by sill…?
1 million salmon fry – sensitive at 2 μg Cu
59. Costs 1: Direct Remediation and Reclamation
Respected geotechnical engineers: $50 – 500 M
Imperial Metals estimate:
Closure bond $ 14.5 M (of $38 M)
Total assets (minus liabilities) ~ $ 443 M ( - 50% )
Financing $ 115 M financing
Insurance proceeds ??? ~~~ $150 M ???
Minus Red Chris mine commissioning costs ~ $70 M
~ $60 - 300 M
60. Costs 2: Indirect Reputational, Social, Political
Minimum $ 500 M
My Starting Guess: $ 1 – 20 Billion
Some Costs: Access, Permitting, Delays, Blockades, SLO,
Management, External Relations
69. Failure Rates Improved but are they
Acceptable?
(Oboni & Oboni 2014)
3.5 MAJOR dams breach
on average per year
(1974 – 1984)
0.7 MAJOR dams breach
on average per year
(1994 – 2004)
70. In the long term, the probability of
failure of all tailings dams is one.
Therefore in quantifying risks, all we
need to consider is consequence.
Steve Vick at Tailings and Mine Waste 2014
71. Disclosure, Discounts & Dry Stacks
Disclose Data & Reports Online SOCIAL AUDIT
Practice of Discounting Closure Costs Bad (10% 30 Year LoM = ~ $ 0)
Closure Costs Routinely Underestimated
Long-term Performance Uncertainty
Dry Stacked Tailings Good: Filter, Stack Soil
High CAPEX but Communities Love It!
La Coipa, Chile 18ktpd
Long-term Value Comparable only if Discount Practice Changes
72. Conclusion
Mount Polley was a human failure – Managers, Engineers, Regulators
Entirely Preventable
We, Salmon, are Lucky it wasn’t Worse
A Picture Says a Thousand Words
Indirect Impacts in $$$ Billions
Towards Sustainable Mining – Not Quite Yet
Managing Mine Wastes Requires Holistic, Long-Term Approach
Notas del editor
Not really research, but some thoughts and musings on this extraordinary, upsetting, unfortunate failure event.
The Failure
How did it happen? Geotechnical
Why did it happen? Human failures leading up to the event
Impacts
Costs
Lessons
Failure Rates
Engineering Responsibility
Managing Mine Wastes
?
Risk
Uncertainty
Future Costs & Solutions
For most of you uninterested in F-N curves and risk tolerability this will all be pretty boring so hopefully I’ve included enough pretty pictures for you. Feel free to interrupt at any time.
Quesnel Lake ~160m deep (up to 600m) largest lake BC. Fjord/glacial lake, with a sill 20km west of lake outlet
Importance of water flows and managing the water balance
Dam length ~ 4 kilometers
Scale and north area and labels!
BC climate – wet. Deep glacial fjord lakes and watercourses support fishing, tourism, and logging industries.
BC climate – wet. Deep glacial fjord lakes and watercourses support fishing, tourism, and logging industries.
BC climate – wet. Deep glacial fjord lakes and watercourses support fishing, tourism, and logging industries.
Drains measured only once since June 2009, instead of weekly as Operation, Maintenance and Surveillance Manual recommends.
Piezometer monthly, or weekly during construction.
Williams Lake “opposed to any
Gerald MacBurney
“Eco-babble” – This Twittered fish caught in a lake ~400km South, off the Fraser River. “skinned peeled off like never before, sick”.
Dam length ~ 4 kilometers
52% drop in value
Latest empirical evidence suggests 40m dam breach result in 80 – 120 m wide section, but it is much wider, and different morphology.
Could easily look at latent and active failures. All human error in engineering or management judgement
Environmental – not so bad
Social – pretty bad
Political – very bad, fallout for Liberal party in BC
Financial – very bad for Imperial, pretty bad for North America, bad for global mining projects
Geotechnical Engineering – bad for AMEC
Regulatory – very bad failed oversight
No significant, adverse, long term impacts, but uncertainty about sediment plume (monitoring)
All the stuff nobody wants. Negative connotation. (Waste rock, tailings, low grade and spent ore – leach operation). Geologists say it’s not ore, Metallurgists send it out the mill, Engineers don’t want to see it, and in doesn’t make money for Managers. May also includes industrial wastes (fly ash from coal plants) top soil or overburden (non-reactive), etc.
Mine Wastes are not inspiring. When 3rd years do a feasibility study, wastes understandably receive limited attention. Planning and operation typically employs the “observational approach”. Let’s see what happens.
NOBODY WANTS RESPONSIBILITY FOR IT. Usually the aspect of development plans that communities protest
The importance of mine wastes. Contain all the stuff that we don’t want. The largest risk at mine sites. Facilities much larger than pits and mine infrastructure. Very costly to manage responsibly (managers often cut resources during market downturns). Risk that lasts in “perpetuity” (activist phrase) ie FOREVER. Acid and metal leaching potential. Very complex to design, build, operate, and close. And in long term (as all geos and geotechs here can appreciate), these structures will all fail into soup and flow into our rivers. Managing the risks of mine wastes is paramount to any notion of “responsible” or “sustainable” mining.