1. Big Opportunities in India!
! Presented at Transforming Transportation 2013!
! Madhav Pai!
! Director!
! EMBARQ India!
Transforming Transportation 2013!

2. Big
Opportuni,es
in
India

3. 200-230 Million !
New Urban Residents
by 2030!

4. Rapid Urbanization!
Source: McKinsey, 2010

5. 12 Million !
New 2 Wheelers!
(2012)!

7. Accelerated Motorization!
Source: IIHS, 2011

8. 120,000 India
1,200,000 Worldwide
(Road Fatalities 2008)!

9. 0
100
200
300
400
Ahmedabad
Amritsar
Kolkata
Ludhiana
2009
2001
Mumbai
Patna
Hyderabad
Surat
Vadodara
Chennai
Rajkot
Madurai
Kochi
Delhi
Bangalore
Nagpur
Pune
Asansol
Jamshedpur
Jabalpur
Indore
Nasik
Bhopal
Coimbatore
Varanasi
Dhanbad
Fatalities per million population (major Indian cities)
Jaipur
Lucknow
Kanpur
Faridbad
Vijaywada
Meerut
Road Fatalities Comparison (2001 – 2009)!
Vizag
Agra
Allahabad

10. 712,000 South Asia
2,100,000 Worldwide
(Outdoor Air pollution
Related Deaths)!

12. Urban transport
energy use,
emissions will
increase 5-7 fold in
the next 20 years!

13. Urban Transport – 2030 Scenarios
7
Rail 27% Less Energy as
6 compared with
Buses
2030 BAU
EJ Total Delivered Energy
5 3 Wheelers
4 2 Wheelers
Cars
3
2
1
0
1980 2000 2030: BAU 2030 Fuel 2030: 2030: SUT 2030 Extra
Eff. TWW Effort
Schipper L. Banerjee I. and Ng W.S. “CO2 Emissions from Land Transport in India Scenarios of the
Uncertain”, TRB Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, January 2009

14. AHMEDABAD!

15. Rapid Urban Growth!
3.3 million 1992! 6.4 million 2011!

16. Potential to Limit Urban Sprawl
Today 2041
Automobility Sustainable
Transport
Ahmedabad
Population
(millions) 5.4 13.2 13.2
Trips (millions/yr) 5.6 39.75 39.75
Area
(Sq.
Km.) 1330 6484 3242
Emissions
(million
Tons
CO2/yr) 0.33 12.32 1.97
Traffic
Fatalities
(per
yr) 175 5,232 1,225

17. Transport Infrastructure Investment Estimates
0.4 Billion 0.6 Billion
USD/Year USD/Year
10 Million
2030
0.8 Billion 1.2 Billion
USD/Year USD/Year
Source: CEPT University, 12FYP, 2011

18. JnNURM!

19. ! 1.1 Billion – Bus Rapid Transit!
! 1 Billion – Buses for Cities!
! 0.4 Billion – Support Technology +
Infrastructure for Transit!
! 19 Billion – Rail Metro!

20. Draft 12 th5
Year Plan
2013-2018!

21. 20 Year Horizon

22. Urban
Transport
Investment
Estimates

23. Q1
–
Is
this
enough
to
adequate
build
public
transport
?

24.
Q2
–
What
policies,
instruments
will
we
need
to
ensure
land-­‐use
transport
integra,on?
!

25. Thank You!

26. Transforming Transportation 2013!
! Co-organized by EMBARQ and The World Bank!
! More information at:!
! EMBARQ.org!
! worldbank.org/transport!
! Questions? Comments? Contact us at embarq@wri.org!
! Follow us on Twitter: @EMBARQnetwork!
Transforming Transportation 2013!