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Growth Projections
GDP growth projections by various agencies......
Compiled by
The SurgeRS
(SURGE Research Support)
http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/
Updated 12 November 2019
6.80
5.80
7.00
7.20
6.90
7.60
7.50
7.40
6.90
7.60
7.30
7.40
7.20
7.10
6.90
7.30
7.50
7.20
7.80
7.20
7.20
7.40
6.90
7.60
7.30
7.60
7.20
2018-19 1st PE (CSO)
2018-19 Q4 (CSO)
ADB**
Bloomberg
BofA-ML
CARE
CII
CitiGroup
CMIE
Credit Suisse
CRISIL
Deutsche Bank
EconomicSurvey
Ernst&Young
Ficci Poll
Fitch**
GoldmanSachs
HDFC
HSBC*
ICICI Bank
IMF**
Ind-Ratings**
JPMorgan
MoodysAnalytics*
MorganStanley
NCAER
Nomura (H1)
OECD**
OPEC*
PWC
RBI
Reuters Poll (Q3)
S&P
UBS
UN
World Bank**
India:Growth Projections
FY2018-19
Note: Growth rate of GDP (%, per year); Forecasts as of November 12, 2019;
*: Calendar year 2019 & 2020, **Projected within the last three months.
5.00
6.50
5.80
7.40
8.30
6.90
6.20
7.00
7.20
6.90
5.50
6.00
7.00
6.10
5.80
6.20
6.20
6.50
4.90
5.90
6.10
5.00
6.30
7.50
6.00
6.00
2019-20Q1
ADB**
Bloomberg Survey
BofA-ML
CARE
CII
CitiGroup
CMIE
Credit Suisse
CRISIL**
DBS**
Economic Survey
EIU The Economist
Ernst&Young
Ficci Poll**
Fitch**
GoldmanSachs
HDFC
IHS Markit
IMF**
Ind-Ratings**
JPMorgan
MoodysAnalytics**
MorganStanley*
NCAER**
NITI Ayog**
Nomura**
OECD**
PWC
RBI**
Reuters Poll (Q1)
SBI Research**
S&P**
UBS
UNCTAD*/**
World Bank**
India:Growth Projections
FY2019-20
Global Growth Projections
Growth rate of GDP (% per year)
3.0
3.4
1.2
1.4
2.4
2.1
2.9
3
1.1
1.0
2.4
2
3.0
3.0
1.9
1.9
2.5
2.0
2.6
2.7
1.2
1.4
2.5
1.7
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5
2019
2020
2019
2020
2019
2020
WorldEuroAreaUS
WB—GEP June 2019
UN—WESP January 2019
OECD—Interim EO
September 2019
IMF—WEO October 2019
India & China
Growth rate of GDP (% per year)
6.5
7.2
6.2
6.0
6.1
7.0
6.1
5.8
5.9
6.3
6.1
5.7
7.6
7.4
6.3
6.2
7.5
7.5
6.2
6.1
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0
2019
2020
2019
2020
India*China
WB—GEP June 2019
UN—WESP January
2019
OECD—Interim EO
September 2019
IMF—WEO October
2019
ADB—ADO Update
September 2019
*Fiscal year starting April.
for Global growth projections
More resources on Indian & Global growth, inflation & trade & financial
markets………..
EUpDates—A Monthly e-Bulletin of Economic/Financial Market
Indicators
https://www.yumpu.com/en/document/view/62916575/eupdates-a-monthly-statistical-bulletin-of-
economic-indicators
http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/
ADB: Asian Development Outlook
IMF: World Economic Outlook
OECD: Interim Economic Assessment
United Nations: World Economic Situation and Prospects
World Bank: Global Economic Prospects

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Indian & Global GDP Growth Projections 2019 & 2020

  • 1. Growth Projections GDP growth projections by various agencies...... Compiled by The SurgeRS (SURGE Research Support) http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/ Updated 12 November 2019
  • 2. 6.80 5.80 7.00 7.20 6.90 7.60 7.50 7.40 6.90 7.60 7.30 7.40 7.20 7.10 6.90 7.30 7.50 7.20 7.80 7.20 7.20 7.40 6.90 7.60 7.30 7.60 7.20 2018-19 1st PE (CSO) 2018-19 Q4 (CSO) ADB** Bloomberg BofA-ML CARE CII CitiGroup CMIE Credit Suisse CRISIL Deutsche Bank EconomicSurvey Ernst&Young Ficci Poll Fitch** GoldmanSachs HDFC HSBC* ICICI Bank IMF** Ind-Ratings** JPMorgan MoodysAnalytics* MorganStanley NCAER Nomura (H1) OECD** OPEC* PWC RBI Reuters Poll (Q3) S&P UBS UN World Bank** India:Growth Projections FY2018-19 Note: Growth rate of GDP (%, per year); Forecasts as of November 12, 2019; *: Calendar year 2019 & 2020, **Projected within the last three months. 5.00 6.50 5.80 7.40 8.30 6.90 6.20 7.00 7.20 6.90 5.50 6.00 7.00 6.10 5.80 6.20 6.20 6.50 4.90 5.90 6.10 5.00 6.30 7.50 6.00 6.00 2019-20Q1 ADB** Bloomberg Survey BofA-ML CARE CII CitiGroup CMIE Credit Suisse CRISIL** DBS** Economic Survey EIU The Economist Ernst&Young Ficci Poll** Fitch** GoldmanSachs HDFC IHS Markit IMF** Ind-Ratings** JPMorgan MoodysAnalytics** MorganStanley* NCAER** NITI Ayog** Nomura** OECD** PWC RBI** Reuters Poll (Q1) SBI Research** S&P** UBS UNCTAD*/** World Bank** India:Growth Projections FY2019-20
  • 3. Global Growth Projections Growth rate of GDP (% per year) 3.0 3.4 1.2 1.4 2.4 2.1 2.9 3 1.1 1.0 2.4 2 3.0 3.0 1.9 1.9 2.5 2.0 2.6 2.7 1.2 1.4 2.5 1.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 2019 2020 2019 2020 2019 2020 WorldEuroAreaUS WB—GEP June 2019 UN—WESP January 2019 OECD—Interim EO September 2019 IMF—WEO October 2019
  • 4. India & China Growth rate of GDP (% per year) 6.5 7.2 6.2 6.0 6.1 7.0 6.1 5.8 5.9 6.3 6.1 5.7 7.6 7.4 6.3 6.2 7.5 7.5 6.2 6.1 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 2019 2020 2019 2020 India*China WB—GEP June 2019 UN—WESP January 2019 OECD—Interim EO September 2019 IMF—WEO October 2019 ADB—ADO Update September 2019 *Fiscal year starting April.
  • 5. for Global growth projections More resources on Indian & Global growth, inflation & trade & financial markets……….. EUpDates—A Monthly e-Bulletin of Economic/Financial Market Indicators https://www.yumpu.com/en/document/view/62916575/eupdates-a-monthly-statistical-bulletin-of- economic-indicators http://www.ecofin-surge.co.in/ ADB: Asian Development Outlook IMF: World Economic Outlook OECD: Interim Economic Assessment United Nations: World Economic Situation and Prospects World Bank: Global Economic Prospects