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BREAKOUT >>
THE WORLD OF SOCIAL
SIMEON SPEARMAN
SENIOR INNOVATION STRATEGIST, RESIDENT FUTURIST
@SRSPEAR
SOCIAL HARDWARE
Technologies that make it easier for
humans to connect, share, and
communicate with people, things,
and systems.
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends
Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Demographics
314,000,000 people in the U.S.
23.5% under the age of 18
50.8% Female
13.1% African American
16.9% Hispanic
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
We are a tech-centric society.
At least 56% of U.S. adults own smartphones
34% of U.S. adults own tablets
Microsoft Kinect currently holds the record for most rapidly
adopted consumer technology.
Every new iPhone that comes out outsells the previous device.
Of the 15% of the U.S. who don’t have Internet access, 90% of
those people indicate they have no intention of getting it.
Technology Adoption
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Technology Adoption
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Every year, people are sharing
twice as much information as the
previous year.
This “law” has held since 2008.
Zuckerberg’s Law
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
SOCIAL
HARDWARE
IS MADE OF
PEOPLE!
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Technology
Moore’s
Law
Koomey’s
Law
Nielsen’s
Law
Metcalfe’s
Law
Bell’s
Law
The number of transistors on
integrated circuits doubles
approximately every two years.
Often quoted as 18 months and
applied to chip performance overall.
Computers keep getting faster.
Moore’s Law
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
The number of computations per
joule of energy dissipated has been
doubling approximately every 1.57
years.
Battery life keeps improving.
Up to 5 hours of talk, video, and browsing.
2h39m in battery stress test.
Up to 10 hours of talk, video, and browsing.
4h24m in battery stress test.
Koomey’s Law
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Network connection speeds for
high-end home users double every
21 months.
User experience is determined by
bandwidth constraints.
Nielsen’s Law
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Roughly every decade a new, lower
priced computer class forms based on
a new programming platform,
network, and interface resulting in
new usage and establishment of new
industries.
The last computer class to launch
under this framework was wireless
sensor networks.
Bell’s Law of Computer
Classes
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
The value of a telecommunications network
is proportional to the square of the number
of connected users of the system.
Networks are exponentially more valuable as
the number of entities in the network grows.
Metcalfe’s Law
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Smart
Glasses
Brainwave
Readers
Smart
Textiles
Fitness
Wristbands
Smart
Watches
Wearable
Cameras
Wearable Technology
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION
Virtual Assistants
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
The Actual Environment
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
The smartest person in the room is the room.
The Evolution of the Home
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
The Evolution of Retail
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
The Evolution of the Car
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Millennials suffer a 16.1%
unemployment rate, the highest of
any other generation.
The average millennial has $45,000
worth of debt, primarily from
student loans.
However, 15% of millennials are
already managers as of 2012. By
2014, millennials will make up 36% of
the U.S. workforce.
Economic Recession
and Recovery
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
The peer-to-peer rental market
alone is estimated to be worth $26
billion.
Revenue in the sharing economy is
expected to reach $3.5 billion in
2013, at a 25% annual growth rate.
Room for growth.
Example: Boston cab market
generates $21 million revenue per
month on average, Uber is currently
at $600,000.
Collaborative Economy
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Public Safety - Hands/Eyes Free
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
Resilience
Governance and Infrastructure
Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
...how exactly will this affect
my marketing?
Two Critical Uncertainties:
‣ Consumer Adoption
‣ Marketing ROI
Where are we headed?
Four Scenarios
Sensor-driven Marketing
Low
Mktg
ROI
High Consumer
Adoption
Low Consumer
Adoption
High
Mktg
ROI
Hakuna Matata
Total Customer Awareness
Boardrooms to Living Rooms
Q&A
SIMEON SPEARMAN
SENIOR INNOVATION STRATEGIST, RESIDENT FUTURIST
@SRSPEAR

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World of Social Hardware

  • 1. BREAKOUT >> THE WORLD OF SOCIAL SIMEON SPEARMAN SENIOR INNOVATION STRATEGIST, RESIDENT FUTURIST @SRSPEAR
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. SOCIAL HARDWARE Technologies that make it easier for humans to connect, share, and communicate with people, things, and systems.
  • 5.
  • 6. Society Technology Environment Economy Politics Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends
  • 7. Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 8. Demographics 314,000,000 people in the U.S. 23.5% under the age of 18 50.8% Female 13.1% African American 16.9% Hispanic Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 9. We are a tech-centric society. At least 56% of U.S. adults own smartphones 34% of U.S. adults own tablets Microsoft Kinect currently holds the record for most rapidly adopted consumer technology. Every new iPhone that comes out outsells the previous device. Of the 15% of the U.S. who don’t have Internet access, 90% of those people indicate they have no intention of getting it. Technology Adoption Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 10. Technology Adoption Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 11. Every year, people are sharing twice as much information as the previous year. This “law” has held since 2008. Zuckerberg’s Law Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 12. SOCIAL HARDWARE IS MADE OF PEOPLE! Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 13. Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 15. The number of transistors on integrated circuits doubles approximately every two years. Often quoted as 18 months and applied to chip performance overall. Computers keep getting faster. Moore’s Law Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 16. The number of computations per joule of energy dissipated has been doubling approximately every 1.57 years. Battery life keeps improving. Up to 5 hours of talk, video, and browsing. 2h39m in battery stress test. Up to 10 hours of talk, video, and browsing. 4h24m in battery stress test. Koomey’s Law Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 17. Network connection speeds for high-end home users double every 21 months. User experience is determined by bandwidth constraints. Nielsen’s Law Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 18. Roughly every decade a new, lower priced computer class forms based on a new programming platform, network, and interface resulting in new usage and establishment of new industries. The last computer class to launch under this framework was wireless sensor networks. Bell’s Law of Computer Classes Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 19. The value of a telecommunications network is proportional to the square of the number of connected users of the system. Networks are exponentially more valuable as the number of entities in the network grows. Metcalfe’s Law Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 21. LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION Virtual Assistants Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 22. Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 23. The Actual Environment Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 24. The smartest person in the room is the room. The Evolution of the Home Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 25. The Evolution of Retail Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 26. The Evolution of the Car Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 27. Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 28. Millennials suffer a 16.1% unemployment rate, the highest of any other generation. The average millennial has $45,000 worth of debt, primarily from student loans. However, 15% of millennials are already managers as of 2012. By 2014, millennials will make up 36% of the U.S. workforce. Economic Recession and Recovery Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 29. The peer-to-peer rental market alone is estimated to be worth $26 billion. Revenue in the sharing economy is expected to reach $3.5 billion in 2013, at a 25% annual growth rate. Room for growth. Example: Boston cab market generates $21 million revenue per month on average, Uber is currently at $600,000. Collaborative Economy Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 30. Exploring The Future Through STEEP Trends Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 31. Public Safety - Hands/Eyes Free Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 32. Resilience Governance and Infrastructure Society Technology Environment Economy Politics
  • 33. ...how exactly will this affect my marketing? Two Critical Uncertainties: ‣ Consumer Adoption ‣ Marketing ROI
  • 34. Where are we headed? Four Scenarios Sensor-driven Marketing Low Mktg ROI High Consumer Adoption Low Consumer Adoption High Mktg ROI Hakuna Matata Total Customer Awareness Boardrooms to Living Rooms
  • 35. Q&A SIMEON SPEARMAN SENIOR INNOVATION STRATEGIST, RESIDENT FUTURIST @SRSPEAR