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Special report by epic research 22 january 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
22st JANUARY. 2013
Global markets at a glance
Asian share markets struggled for inspiration on Wednesday, hampered by expectations of further reductions in
the U.S. Federal Reserve's stimulus and ahead of central
bank meetings in Japan and Thailand. Japan's Nikkei was
almost flat .N225, while MSCI's broadest index of AsiaPacific shares outside Japan .. Australian shares fell 0.8
percent.AXJO, extending losses after an unexpectedly large
spike in inflation reduced the prospects of a rate cut,
though the data also helped to lift the Australian currency
0.6 percent to $0.8855. In a mixed day on Wall Street the
Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX rose 0.28 percent and
the Nasdaq Composite Index .
World Indices
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
Wall Street Update
U.S. stocks mostly rose on Tuesday, with the S&P 500
snapping a two-session decline as the materials sector rallied, though the Dow fell on disappointing earnings by
three of its components. Trading was volatile, with the
S&P fluctuating between positive and negative territory
throughout the session, while the Dow moved between
modest and solid losses and the Nasdaq swung between
modest and strong gains.
Previous day Roundup
ICICIBANK
1079.65
35.65
3.41
TATASTEEL
386.00
11.45
3.06
TATAMOTORS
384.25
9.35
2.49
48.45
1.10
2.32
1188.80
25.60
2.20
CMP
Change
% Chg
705.30
169.65
262.65
2285.25
479.50
-22.85
-4.25
-6.50
-52.95
-10.50
-3.14
-2.44
-2.41
-2.26
-2.14
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
410.50
23.50
5.72
HCLTECH
1430.60
12.40
0.87
INFY
3749.30
8.70
0.23
DIVISLAB
1296.30
4.70
0.36
356.90
24.30
6.81
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
CMP
Change
% Chg
6313.80
21251.12
9.85
46.07
0.16
0.22
The market closed on a flat note but the Nifty managed to
hold above 6300. The Nifty ended up 9.85 points at
6313.80 while the Sensex was up 46.07 points to close at
21251.12. About 1364 shares have advanced, 1240 shares
declined, and 239 shares are unchanged. Banking and auto
stocks supported the market with Bank Nifty gaining 1.5
percent. It stocks were under pressure in today's trade.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in yesterday session where
Bankex and Bank Nifty both closed almost flat (up 1.55%
and UP 1.49% respectively). Among the sartorial indices
almost the sectors which were down are; Healthcare
[down-10.66 pts], IT[down-66.18 pts], TECK [down–
33.41pts]. FMCG [down-12.02 pts] PSU [down-10.85 pts],
Oil & Gas [down-46.24 pts], Power [down –52.85pts], and
the index advanced were Consumer Durables [up
29.77pts], Capital Goods [UP 61.99 pts], AUTO [up 125.28
pts], Metals [UP 74.19 pts], Realty [up171.95 pts],
Index
Value
% Change
16414.44
-0.27
S&P 500
1843.80
+0.28
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4225.76
3153.08
6834.26
+0.67
-0.00
-0.04
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
15801.14
23056.10
+0.03
+0.10
DJl
Top Gainers
JPASSOCIAT
AXISBANK
Top Losers
Company
KOTAKBANK
BHEL
COALINDIA
TCS
ASIANPAINT
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
AUROPHARMA
INFOTECENT
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
--
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
YOUR MINTVISORY
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2. DAILY REPORT
22st JANUARY. 2013
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. BIOCON FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. VAIBHAV GLOBAL
BIOCON FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up
has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
480 levels. We advise buying around 480 levels with strict
stop loss 474 for the targets of 486-494 levels.
2. TATA MOTOR FUTURE
VAIBHAV GLOBAL is looking strong on charts. We advice
buying above 740 levels with strict stop loss of 710 for the
targets of 770-790 levels.
MACRO NEWS
India is likely to clock an economic growth rate of 4.6
percent this financial year and the expansion may improve to 5.4 percent in 2014-15, the International Monetary Fund said
specified Undertaking of UTI (SUUTI) has appointed three
merchant bankers for sale of its stake in Axis Bank . The
three merchant bankers selected for the stake sale are JP
Morgan, Citigroup Global Markets and JM Financial Consultants,
TRAI Chairman Rahul Khullar yesterday held discussions
with heads of telecom companies on spectrum trading
and said the regulator is likely to release detailed recommendations on the matter before inter-ministerial panel
meeting on January 25.
TATA MOTOR FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build
up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains
above 382 levels. We advise buying around 382-384 levels
with strict stop loss 378 for the targets of 389-394 levels.
YOUR MINTVISORY
:Monetary policymaking in India will move closer to the
model followed by the USFederal Reserve and the Bank
of England if recommendations of a panel headed
by Urjit Patel, a deputy governor of the RBI,
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
22st JANUARY. 2013
STOCKS IN NEWS
Sasken Communication will pay special dividend of
Rs 25/s
Bank of America Merrill Lynch reiterates buy rating
on Aurobindo Pharma and raises target price to Rs
525
Asian Paints' Q3 consolidated net profit fell to Rs
329.3 crore versus Rs 335.2 crore (YoY)
NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
PE
6,300
40.5
3,57,151 54,37,600
NIFTY
PE
6,200
15.15
2,94,137 66,17,450
BANKNIFTY
PE
11,000
72.75
23,934
2,45,225
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,800
31
15,402
1,68,525
TCS
PE
2,300
37.5
6,216
2,52,000
TCS
PE
2,250
15.7
4,898
4,40,500
INFY
PE
3,700
18.35
4,575
7,44,500
PE
SBIN
1,650
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
23
4,505
3,30,625
Symbol
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
NIFTY
CE
6,400
23.4
3,67,701 47,40,750
NIFTY
CE
6,300
67.9
3,25,308 48,02,650
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,200
148.2
29,177
2,73,275
BANKNIFTY
CE
11,500
51.9
28,843
4,01,675
SBIN
CE
1,700
16.4
9,930
7,43,000
TCS
CE
2,350
14
5,812
TCS
CE
2,300
29.1
5,737
SBIN
CE
1,650
36
5,617
TCS
CE
2,200
58.60
1,357
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
Open
Interest
Nifty Future closed in the green in the last trading ses3,69,250 sion. We advise buying around 6290-6300 levels with
2,83,250 strict stop loss of 6270 for the targets of 6340-6370 lev7,07,500 els.
1,70,000
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
58587
1814.63
61820
1915.78
452884
14141.69
-101.15
INDEX OPTIONS
391476
12065.71
406282
12508.91
1280862
40064.95
-443.20
STOCK FUTURES
69802
2259.78
63674
2029.28
1070597
33801.76
230.50
STOCK OPTIONS
52687
1614.55
55254
1686.61
99756
3263.33
-72.06
TOTAL
-385.91
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6220.81
6262.38
6284.91
6326.48
6349.01
NIFTYJUNIOR
12270.84
12371.05
12426.25
12526.45
12581.65
BANK NIFTY
10822.53
10915.01
10968.73
11061.21
11114.93
YOUR MINTVISORY
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4. DAILY REPORT
22st JANUARY. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
MCX Copper futures continue to witness a very thin movement. The global price action remains dull after the Chinese
data yesterday. The copper futures have been moving in a
very tight range this week on COMEX after the metal edged
up from its three week low last week. The COMEX Copper
futures are quoting at $3.3325, down 0.36% on the day.
MCX Copper is quoting at Rs 455.40, down Rs 1.05 per kg or
0.23% on the day.
Data out yesterday showed that China's GDP rose 7.7% in
the fourth quarter from a year ago, slower than the 7.8% it
posted in the third quarter, according to data released
Monday by China's National Bureau of Statistics. For the
year it also posted 7.7% growth, matching 2012
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 44700 TGTS 44900/45200 SL 44350
SELL SILVER BELOW 44350 TGTS 44150/43850 SL 44700
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29300 TGTS 29380/29480 SL 29290
SELL GOLD BELOW 29190 TGTS 29110/29010 SL 29300
YOUR MINTVISORY
MCX Gold futures came off their highs in intraday trades as
the global prices corrected from recent six week highs on
ideas that the US the Fed is on track to trim its bond-buying
program and a further reduction could as soon as the central bank's meeting around this month-end. The US dollar
strengthened and hovered around its seven week high and
COMEX Gold broke under $1250 per ounce. The metal
quotes at $1244.10, down $7.80 per ounce on the day. MCX
Gold futures also eased from intraday highs near Rs 29300
per 10 grams and currently quote at Rs 29260, down Rs 28
per 10 grams on the day.
LME Copper remained in a same gloomy self, even after
reports from China showing a sharp rise in imports in the
month of December 2013. The prices of LME remained trading down on the back of Chinese economy growth slowing
to 7.7% in the fourth quarter, slower than the 7.8% recorded in the third quarter. Industrial production growth
slowed in December to 9.7%, the second straight monthly
drop The growth in new manufacturing orders in UK was
the strongest since April 2011, according to the latest CBI
quarterly Industrial Trends Survey. The business organization said during the three months to January 2014, domestic orders rose, uncertainty about demand fell and investment intentions for the year ahead picked up.
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5. DAILY REPORT
22st JANUARY. 2013
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed
4335
0.00
Chana
3047
-0.59
Coriander
8436
3.99
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1571
0.00
12750
-0.06
Maize– Feed/ Industrial grade
1216
-0.08
Mustard seed
3415
-0.12
Soy Bean
3754
0.16
Turmeric
6760
0.42
Jeera
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4385 TGTS 4415,4465 SL 4335
SELL CASTORSEED FEB BELOW 4315 TGTS 4285,4235 SL 4365
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Rubber futures at Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM)
has fallen to a five-month low as China demand is expected
to weaken on slower GDP growth while Indian prices have
fallen sharply by 7.5% in January till date to a low of Rs
15000 per 100 kg on global cues, weak automobile sales
growth and higher inventory of rubber on increased imports.
At TOCOM, June delivery contract has fallen to 252.1 Yuan
per kg ($2,413 per metric ton) and trading in 251.8-254.6
range. Rubber market has been impacted by China manufacturing and GDP growth data which points a negative picture regarding demand from automotive industry. nnual car
sales in India declined for the first time in 11 years in 2013,
posting a 9.59 percent fall, Futures for May delivery on the
Shanghai Futures Exchange lost 1.4 percent to 16,660 yuan
($2,753) a ton. Stockpiles monitored by the bourse increased 5.6 percent to 200,815 tons, the largest since October 2004, exchange data showed on Jan. 17. It was the seventh straight week of gain.
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8485 TGTS 8515,8565 SL 8435
SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8345 TGTS 8315,8265 SL 8395
YOUR MINTVISORY
Stockiest liquidation continued in guarseed futures on the
heels of higher production estimates in the current year
along with strong arrivals in major mandies. The NCDEX futures declined by 1.50% .
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6. DAILY REPORT
22st JANUARY. 2013
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
61.5355 Yen-100
Euro
83.3750 GBP
EUR/INR
BUY EUR/INR ABOVE 83.98 TGTS 84.13,84.28 SL 83.63.
SELL EUR/INR BELOW 83.48 TGTS 83.34,83.20 SL 83.83.
JPY/INR
BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 59.25 TGTS 59.38,59.52 SL 58.95.
SELL JPY/INR BELOW 58.83 TGTS 58.70,58.56SL 59.13.
YOUR MINTVISORY
Rate
58.8700
101.0844
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
Indian rupee started off Tuesday's trade with marginal gains
of 9 paise at 61.53 per dollar as against previous day's closing value of 61.62 per dollar. the dollar-rupee pair has been
moving in a very narrow range. "The market has witnessed
oil and other demand getting offset by good FII flows, and
consistent intervention by RBI during times of volatility the
dollar index is little changed above 81.11, having drifted off
a two-month high of 81.296 yesterday in subdued trading
due in part to the US holiday. Against the yen, the greenback edged up to 104.16 from 103.865.
The dollar strengthened on Tuesday in tandem with U.S.
Treasury yields, which rose on speculation the Federal Reserve would soon reduce its bond-buying stimulus further.
The euro fell to a low against the dollar of $1.3525 after
Germany's ZEW economic sentiment indicator for January
came in below forecasts. It was last trading at $1.3530, still
down on the day. Traders sold into rallies on expectations
the European Central Bank will keep policy accommodative
and may even cut rates if money markets tighten.
"The focus is more on the ECB's liquidity operations, and
unless that is addressed, we expect the euro/dollar to remain a pain trade, staying in a range," . While the euro rose
against the yen, it was the U.S. dollar's advance that was
grabbing attention. The dollar was up 0.5 percent at 104.72
yen, bringing it closer to possible resistance near 104.92
yen, an intraday high hit on Jan. 16. The dollar/yen pair has
a robust correlation with rate-sensitive U.S. two-year yields.
the Fed may announce a further reduction to its monthly
bond purchases at its Jan. 28-29 policy meeting, to $65 billion from the current $75 billion. The New Zealand dollar
gave up gains made in Asia after inflation data strengthened
the case for higher interest rates at home. Some traders
said investors have been too aggressive in pricing in rate
hikes in New Zealand, leading to a correction in the currency.
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7. DAILY REPORT
22st JANUARY. 2013
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
21/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
BUY
29350
29430-29530
29250
NOT EXECUTED
21/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
SELL
29250
29170-29070
29350
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
21/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
BUY
45300
45500-45800
44950
NOT EXECUTED
21/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
SELL
44950
44750-44450
45300
NOT EXECUTED
21/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
FEB.
BUY
4380
4410-4460
4330
SL TRIGGERED
21/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
FEB.
SELL
4315
4285-4235
4365
NOT EXECUTED
21/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEB.
BUY
8190
8220-8270
8140
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
21/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEB.
BUY
8090
8070-8020
8140
NOT EXECUTED
21/01/14
USD/INR
JAN.
SELL
61.82
61.95-62.09
61.52
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
21/01/14
USD/INR
JAN.
BUY
61.47
61.34-61.18
61.77
NOT EXECUTED
21/01/14
GBP/INR
JAN.
BUY
101.61
101.75-101.90
101.26
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
21/01/14
GBP/INR
JAN.
SELL
101.05
100.92-100.76
101.46
SL TRIGGERED
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy
Entry Level
Date
Scrip
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
21/01/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
BUY
6290
6340-6370
6270
NOT EXECUTED
21/01/14
ITC
FUTURE
BUY
332
337-339
327
CALL OPEN
21/01/14
RCOM
FUTURE
BUY
130
134-135
127
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
21/01/14
RELIANCE MEDIAWORK
CASH
BUY
55
59-62
51
CALL OPEN
20/01/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
6290
6240-6200
6350
CALL OPEN
20/01/14
BJAAJ AUTO
FUTURE
BUY
1950
1900-2040
1890
CALL OPEN
17/01/14
GITANJALI
CASH
BUY
70
75-85
65
CALL OPEN
YOUR MINTVISORY
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8. DAILY REPORT
22st JANUARY. 2013
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JAN 20
MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. DAY
NONE SCHEDULED
TUESDAY, JAN 21
NONE SCHEDULED
WEDNESDAY, JAN.22
NONE SCHEDULED
THURSDAY, JAN. 23
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
1/18
N/A
N/A
9 AM
MARKIT "FLASH" PMI
JAN.
--
55.0
9 AM
FHFA HOME PRICES
NOV.
--
8.2% Y-O-Y
10 AM
EXISTING HOME SALES
DEC.
4.95 MLN
4.90 MLN
10 AM
LEADING INDICATORS
DEC.
--
0.8%
FRIDAY, JAN. 24
NONE SCHEDULED
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