34. Analyze total but distribute local
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The accuracy of his November 2008 presidential election predictions—he correctly predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states—won Silver further attention and commendation. The only state he missed was Indiana, which went for Barack Obama by one percentage point. He correctly predicted the winner of all 35 U.S. Senate races that year.Data has more capability to prove the short term, but not necessarily the long term. A Binary Outcome.
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