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Food security use case in ExtremeEarth-phiweek19
1.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 1 Florian Appel, Markus Muerth, Heike Bach – VISTA Remote Sensing in Geosciences GmbH Claudia Paris, Lorenzo Buzzone - Department of Information Engineering and Computer Science, University of Trento (Italy) The Food Security Use Case Extreme Data Analytics to Manage an Extremely Dynamic Planet
2.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 2 Landwirtschaft • Erntevorhersage • Precision Farming • Bewässerungsplanung • Bio-Zertifizierung Data Assimilation Snow Cover Snow Water Equivalent Snow & Water Balance Modeling Hydrologie • Schneemonitoring • Wasserhaushalt • Abflussvorhersage • Wasserkraftproduktion VISTA Remote Sensing in Geosciences GmbH Gegründet: 1995 in München Mitarbeiter: 28 Seit Juli 2017: BayWa AG hält 51 % operational Services Satelliten und Modell basierte Anwendungen für die Landwirtschaft und Hydrologie S N S S O W E EN YPSILON Yield Prediction by Satellite Roll in „Extreme Earth“: Food Security Use Case & Innovation Management R&D Projects
3.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 3 ExtremeEarth Objectives & Concept Use Cases WP4 and WP5 Copernicus and DIASs WP1 Impact WP6 Thematic Exploitation Platforms Food Security TEP Polar TEP WP2 and WP3 Deep Learning & Linked Open Data HOPS WP3 and WP2
4.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 4 ExtremeEarth Applications The Food Security Use Case o FOOD SECURITY IS ONE OF THE MOST CHALLENGING ISSUES OF THIS CENTURY (ESPECIALLY IN A CHANGING EARTH ENVIRONMENT) o POPULATION GROWTH, INCREASED FOOD CONSUMPTION AND CHALLENGES OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND INCREASED VARIABILITIES WILL EXPAND OVER THE NEXT DECADES • Biomass production and yield will need to be increased • Risks of yield loss even under extreme environmental conditions need to be minimized • Irrigation requires reliable water resources either from ground water or surface water • Large portion fresh water is linked to snowfall, snow/ice storage and seasonal release of the water • Water Availability Maps as EO based product • Information to support farmers decision making and irrigation management
5.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 5 Need of Water Polar TEP EO Processing Sentinel-1 Snow Parameters Medium Resolution Modelling: Water Balance Parameters High Resolution Modelling: Crop Growth Food Security TEP EO Processing Sentinel-2 Crop Parameters … for secure food production Water Availability for Irrigation • Surface Water • Soil Moisture • Groundwater Origin of the Water Water from seasonal snow … The Food Security Use Case Tools and Methods
6.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 6 Polar TEP EO Processing Sentinel-1 Snow Parameters Medium Resolution Modelling: Water Balance Parameters Water from seasonal snow … Building Blocks of Part 1 „Water from seasonal snow storage“: • In-Situ Snow Measurements • methods developed within ESA IAP SnowSense • Earth Observation • methods applied within ESA GSE Polar View and now applied on the Polar TEP • Water Balance Modelling • methods applied within ESA GSE Polar View and general tool of VISTAs hydrological activities The Food Security Use Case Tools and Methods In-Situ Snow Measurements Meteo Data and NWP
7.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 7 Building Blocks of Part 2 „Efficient and intelligent use of water“ • Earth Observation • Sentinel 2 maximum exploitation • methods applied in various activities of VISTAs agricultural services • Leaf Monitoring / Biomass / Drought • Plant Dynamics Modelling • methods applied in various activities of VISTAs agricultural services • Soil Moisture Simulations • Irrigation recommendations The Food Security Use Case Tools and Methods High Resolution Modelling: Crop Growth Soil Moisture Food Security TEP EO Processing Sentinel-2 Crop Parameters … for secure food production Deep Learning Algorithms and Results • Field Boundaries / Crop Types / Irrigation
8.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 8 For the first stage of the project, the Danube catchment was chosen. The criteria for the selection of test areas for the development and demonstration of the new application were: • Variability in water supply due to changing precipitation patterns leading to more extremes, such as floods and droughts • Significant portion of irrigated agriculture • Significant water supply from water storage in the cryosphere • Interest of Demo Users and Stakeholder • Strong societal and political linkage • Future demo area under discussion (Spain! Italy? Germany?) The Food Security Use Case Regions of Application
9.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 9 Regional / Catchment Scale Local Scale / Field Level Wasserverfügbarkeit • Schnee im Gebirge • Flüsse & (Stau-)Seen • Trinkwasser • Bewässerung Wasserentnahme Beispiel Donau 817.000 km2 The Food Security Use Case The Danube Catchment Basin shared by 20 countries • Mean annual precipitation: ~750 mm • Mean outlet discharge (MQ): 6 550 m³/s • Intensive agricultural use in lower reaches • Irrigation (increasing) • Navigation / Transport • Hydro Power • Water Supply
10.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 10 10 EO Training and Service Development Danube Catchment Austrian Crop Type Map
11.
© VISTA 2019
www.vista-geo.de No. 11 Tools and Methods Mapping and Modelling Existing Crop Type Maps Long TS of Sentinel 2 images Large Training Database Definition Deep Architecture for Agricultural Mapping Crop type map Crop boundaries Biophysical Crop Parameter Database Biomass Plant productivity Water use Hydrological Modelling ‘Water’ Crop Growth Modelling ‘Plant’ Snow Storage River / Reservoirs Water availability
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www.vista-geo.de No. 12 Large Training Database Definition - Basics PreProcessing Unsupervised Deep Feature Extraction Pool of weak Labeled Samples PreProcessing Weak Labeled Samples Selection WEAK LABELED SAMPLES EXTRACTION Unsupervised Deep Clustering Time Series of Sentinel 2 Images Crop Type Maps 𝑋 𝑅 ✓ In computer vision, millions of annotated images are used for the training of deep networks architecture. ✓ In remote sensing such databases are not available. The deep architectures proposed for Sentinel 2 images are typically trained on a relatively small number of labeled samples. 𝑋 𝑅 ✓ A large database of weak labeled samples will be extracted from uncertain and obsolete crop type maps available at country level in an unsupervised way. Active learning strategies will be used for optimizing the definition of the database of labeled samples and integrate it with reliable samples.
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www.vista-geo.de No. 13 25th March 2018 16th September 201827th August 2018 12nd August 2018 22nd August 2018 07th August 2018 Ground Through Last Years Map Forage/Grass Maize Oat Sugarbeet Potato Winter Barley Winter Wheat Soy Large Training Database Definition – Snapshot Extracting labeled samples existing thematic product is not straightforward: • they are not completely reliable (outdated or not accurate); • they are typically aggregated at polygon level (polygon labels do not necessarily correspond to spectrally homogeneous areas)
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www.vista-geo.de No. 14 14 Map Legend Challenges Semantic Aggregation I D Extensive Grassland Intensive Grassland Maize (Silage) Forage Legumes Maize (Corn) Oat Sugarbeet Potato Rye Set Aside Sugarbeet Summer Barley Summer Wheat Winter Barley Winter Wheat Soy Sunflower Vegetables (foiled) Greenhouses Tree Plantation Wine Fruits Flowers/ornamental plants other crop useful plant hemp 20180809 Crop Types covered for use case & service (Preliminary)
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www.vista-geo.de No. 15 15 Map Legend Challenges Similar Spectral Signature I D Extensive Grassland Intensive Grassland Maize (Silage) Forage Legumes Maize (Corn) Oat Sugarbeet Potato Rye Set Aside Sugarbeet Summer Barley Summer Wheat Winter Barley Winter Wheat Soy Sunflower Vegetables (foiled) Greenhouses Tree Plantation Wine Fruits Flowers/ornamental plants other crop useful plant hemp Crop Types covered for use case & service (Preliminary)
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www.vista-geo.de No. 16 Deep Architecture for Agricultural Mapping ✓ High resolution multispectral optical images such as Sentinel 2 allow for the characterization of the phenological parameters of different crop types due to their spectral properties. ✓ Most of the deep architectures for remote sensing focus on very high resolution (VHR) optical images. The ad-hoc architectures for Sentinel 2 data are typically trained on a relatively small number of samples and tested on few benchmark images without assessing their real generalization ability. ✓ A deep network architecture tailored to Sentinel 2 images will be defined to: • take advantage of the spatial, spectral, temporal properties of these data; • process very dense time series of images to capture the phenological behavior of the different crops; • take into account possible limitations on the amount of reliable labeled training data. Example of Sentinel 2 Time Series of Images
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www.vista-geo.de No. 17 17 Food Security Use Case Deep Learning Architecture Driving criteria for the design of the deep architecture that has to be effective at such large scale for the complex agricultural mapping task: ✓ Focus on the specific spatial, temporal and spectral properties of Sentinel 2 with the aim of performing agricultural mapping (e.g., RNN, ConvLSTM). ✓ Define architecture that may take advantage of: • Available pre-trained networks; • Weak labeled data; • Reliable labeled data. ✓ Optimize the generalization capability of the architectures and the fine tuning for the analysis of very large heterogeneous areas. ✓ Define a deep architecture being able to work at large scale with both high accuracy and good generalizations capabilities. Semi-supervised Learning Transfer Learning Domain Adaptation Deep Learning Architectures
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www.vista-geo.de No. 18 Food Security: Focus on Water Availability and Irrigation „ Globally, the major use of water (70%) is in the agricultural sector. In developing countries, whose income mainly depends on agricultural products, water use in agriculture can occupy up to 90 percent of all water withdrawals (FAO, 2010)“
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www.vista-geo.de No. 19 Food Security Use Case User Requirements to Technical Requirements User Requirement Technical Planning Water availability Basin-wide information layers: • Soil moisture • River run-off • Reservoir conditions • Current snow storage Crop conditions Basin-wide crop-type specific information layers: • Crop type map of most widely planted crops • Leaf area development (LAI) • Drought stress • Phenological development (e.g. early ripening) Irrigation recommendations Field-specific delivery for specific demo users: • Recommendation when and how much to irrigate • Yield forecast with and without optimized irrigation plan MAPs Info ExtremeEarthUserRequirements 1stUserWorkshopMarch2019inMunich
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www.vista-geo.de No. 20 Copernicus Land Services Linked Open Data Water Availability Information to Irrigation Recommendation Modell & EO & DL PRODUCTS Soil Moisture Snow Cover Ground- water Run- Off ReservoirsLakes Crop Type Crop Mask NDVI LAI Drought Stress Phenology EO DIAS Big Data MODEL IRR REC etc EO MAPs Snow In-Situ MODELEO
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www.vista-geo.de No. 21 Precipitation Soil Moisture 1. Layer Soil Moisture Soil Moisture 2. Layer 3. Layer Daily Values Sep-Oct 2017 Germany The Food Security Use Case Water Storage in the soil / high variance Example of Water Availability: Precipitation driven soil moisture medium resolution
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www.vista-geo.de No. 22 Yield (t/ha) Effect of optimal irrigation Regional - example Danube = rainfeed = Maize = irrigated • Irrigation for the catchment area has increased efficiency by 50% • Corresponds to 30 million tons increase in corn • Corresponds to 5 billion euros in sales • Means 5.3 billion m³ of water evaporates • Excessive impact on the ecology Great potential to increase the efficiency of water use through knowledge and information!!
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www.vista-geo.de No. 23 Supporting Sustainable Food Production from Space New Business Model offer for private companies Access to ready-to-use products or customized services Access to tools to derive agricultural and aquacultural products Technical support for platform use Ability to easily develop new services, with the ability to share processors and outputs only with selected user groups Provision on request of high- accuracy, quality checked vegetation parameters (LAI, fAPAR, etc), suitable for use in operational scenarios. Interact with a range of users through a dedicated forum Access to key satellite products and ancillary data, backed up by a scalable processing infrastructure
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www.vista-geo.de No. 24 Building blocks of data, resources, tools & services
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www.vista-geo.de No. 25 Processing power Mobile visualization of biophysical parameters in the field Customized products & services Satellite data (mainly Copernicus) Open expert interface User generated results knowledge & algorithms tools Service provider User data Toolbox {api} User input User data The Food Security TEP 2019
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www.vista-geo.de No. 26 Main platform functionality The Food Security TEP main platform functionalities: ➢ Exploring EO data, products & user data as well as applications & processing services ➢ Developing your own services as Docker applications ➢ Managing & Sharing your data, services & jobs ➢ Visualization of products in the Analyst ➢ Account management
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www.vista-geo.de No. 27 Complementary data for analysis Upcoming: • HWSD and ESDB Soil maps • Population data • Precipitation data documentation
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www.vista-geo.de No. 28 Apps / toolboxes on Food Security TEP Run your scripts in parallel mode!
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www.vista-geo.de No. 29 Devloping new services
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www.vista-geo.de No. 30 Food Security TEP Analyst View: Browser based visualization Green leaf area of agricultural areas near Berlin, Germany showing the decrease of plant health during the summer drought 2018
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www.vista-geo.de No. 31 Specific EO product collections: Coastal aquaculture example
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www.vista-geo.de No. 32 fAPAR, calculated from Sent-2 on FS-TEP Temperature – Rainfall – fAPAR: time profile for a specific potato field Rainfall, from KNMI Customized Frontends: Potato monitoring example
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www.vista-geo.de No. 33 Food Security Use Case Messages ✓ EE will strengthen the TEPs by providing Deep Learning to Polar TEP and Food Security TEP ✓ Crop type monitoring will be available as a front end service after training activities ✓ Customized services for water availability mapping potentially applicable globally ✓ The Food Security TEP is open to additional public or customized services ✓ Different business model (including access to ESAs EO Network of Resources and H2020 OCRE) ✓ Enlarges your customer base and boost interactions with the agriculture and aquaculture user community
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