Presentation made by Keith Cressman at the 40th session of the FAO Desert Locust Control Committee (DLCC) on the Desert Locust outlook for 2012 (19 June 2012).

1. the Desert Locust outlook for the Sahel this summer is ALARMING
DANGER

2. early summer rains
summer breeding (July onwards)
locust numbers increase (Aug-Sep)
CENTRAL REGION
winter breeding depends on rainfall (Red Sea)
CAUTION

3. SUMMER BREEDING
(JULY-OCTOBER)
WINTER BREEDING
(NOV-MAY)
POTENTIAL
THREAT
(JUNE)
EGYPT
SUDAN
SAUDI
ARABIA
N SOMALIA
YEMEN
OMAN
CALM

4. 1 generation monsoon breeding
locust numbers increase slightly
decline after October
SW ASIA REGION
CALM

5. INDIA
PAKISTAN
SUMMER BREEDING
(JULY-OCTOBER)
MONSOON RAINS
SUMMER ADULT
MIGRATION
(OCT-DEC)
SPRING BREEDING
(MAR-MAY)
CALM

6. 2 generations of breeding (June-October)
dramatic increase in locust numbers
threat to crops & food security
swarm invasion of NW Africa (Oct-Nov)
ALARMING
WESTERN REGION

7. EGG-LAYING
HOPPERS & BANDS
ADULTS & SWARMS
EGG-LAYING
HOPPER BANDS
SWARMS
JUNE JULY AUG SEP OCT 2012

8. CROPS
CROPS
CROPS
LIBYA
ALGERIA
MOROCCO
SUDAN
JUNE 2012
NIGER
INSECURE
MALI
CHAD
MAURITANIA
THREAT

9. CHAD
LIBYA
ALGERIA
MOROCCO
SUDAN
OCTOBER - NOVEMBER 2012
NIGER
MAURITANIA
MALI
DANGER

10. mobilize survey & control teams (Niger, Mali)
start summer surveys (Chad, Mauritania)
initiate public awareness campaigns
pesticide deployment
plan for 2 generations of control ops (June-Oct)
plan for swarm invasion of NW Africa (Oct-Nov)
UN emergency funds & external assistance
ACT NOW !