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Impacts of Multi-Fiber Arrangement Removal  on Textile & Cotton Trade Slide Presentation of a Poster Presented at the Annual Meetings of the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Orlando, Florida – February 6-8, 2006 Yan Xia, and Parr Rosson Center for North American Studies Dept. of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University
Multi-Fiber Arrangement (MFA) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Objective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The United States ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
U.S. Cotton Textile Trade
U.S. Cotton Exports & Share of World Trade
U.S. Cotton Mill Use
People’s Republic of China ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
U.S. Farm Program ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Scenario 1:Removal of MFA quota   U.S. import demand for textiles  (.2396, .2416)  U.S. import demand for apparel  (.3513, .3524)  U.S. domestic demand for textiles  (-.0382, -.0374)  U.S. domestic demand for apparel  (-.2593, -.2591)  U.S. import price of textiles  (-.1863, -.1855)  U.S. import price of apparel  (-.2213, -.2194)  China textiles export supply  (.3455, .3454)  China apparel export supply  (.30, .3165)  U.S. cotton price  (-.0169, .0028) World adjusted cotton price  (.0043, .0201)  U.S. cotton supply  (-.0079, .0013)  U.S. demand for domestic cotton  (-.1281, -.1217)  China’s demand for U.S. cotton  (.1037, .1737)  AO’s demand for US cotton  (.0942, .1014)
Scenario 2:Removal of MFA, and 3% decrease in LDP   U.S. import demand for textiles  (.244, .2604) U.S. import demand for apparel  (.3419, .3503) U.S. domestic demand for textiles  (-.046, -.039) U.S. domestic demand for apparel  (-.2607, -.2595) U.S. import price of textiles  (-.1847, -.1786) U.S. import price of apparel  (-.2175, -.2030) China textiles export supply  (.344, .360) China apparel export supply  (.332, .458) U.S. cotton price  (.0243, .1794) World adjusted cotton price  (.035, .156) U.S. cotton supply  (-.019, .054) U.S. demand for domestic cotton  (-.179, -.132) China’s demand for U.S. cotton  (.112, .651) AO’s demand for US cotton  (.057, .104)
Scenarios 3: Removal of MFA,  5% increase in foreign cotton supply U.S. import demand for textiles  (.234, .2405) U.S. import demand for apparel  (.3538, .354) U.S. domestic demand for textiles  (-.0376, -.0374) U.S. domestic demand for apparel  (-.2602, -.26) U.S. import price of textiles  (-.1868, -.1866) U.S. import price of apparel  (-.2223, -.2219) China textiles export supply  (.3682, .3704) China apparel export supply  (.2807, .2831) U.S. cotton price  (-.0186, -.014) World adjusted cotton price  (-.0143, -.012) U.S. cotton supply  (-.044, -.0332) U.S. demand for domestic cotton  (-.1311, -.1248)  China’s demand for U.S. cotton  (.0003, .0597) AO’s demand for US cotton  (.0461, .0493)
Scenario 4: Removal of MFA, 3 % decrease in LDP   & 5% increase in foreign cotton supply  U.S. import demand for textiles  (.2413, .2416) U.S. import demand for apparel  (.3535, .3537) U.S. domestic demand for textiles  (-.038, -.0379) U.S. domestic demand for apparel  (-.2605, -.2604)  U.S. import price of textiles  (-.1865, -.1863) U.S. import price of apparel  (-.2215, -.2212) China textiles export supply  (.3736, .3748) China apparel export supply  (.286, .2874) U.S. cotton price  (-.0073, -.0048) World adjusted cotton price  (-.0092, -.0078) U.S. cotton supply  (-.0473, -.0413) U.S. demand for domestic cotton  (-.133, -.1305) China’s demand for U.S. cotton  (.0099, .0442) AO’s demand for US cotton  (.0315, .0361)
Conclusions – Textile & Apparel Market  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions – Cotton Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
More Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
For More Information, Please Contact  Yan Xia at  sonataxia@tamu.edu,  or Parr Rosson at  prosson@tamu.edu

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Saea06posterdoris

  • 1. Impacts of Multi-Fiber Arrangement Removal on Textile & Cotton Trade Slide Presentation of a Poster Presented at the Annual Meetings of the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Orlando, Florida – February 6-8, 2006 Yan Xia, and Parr Rosson Center for North American Studies Dept. of Agricultural Economics, Texas A&M University
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 6. U.S. Cotton Exports & Share of World Trade
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Scenario 1:Removal of MFA quota U.S. import demand for textiles (.2396, .2416) U.S. import demand for apparel (.3513, .3524) U.S. domestic demand for textiles (-.0382, -.0374) U.S. domestic demand for apparel (-.2593, -.2591) U.S. import price of textiles (-.1863, -.1855) U.S. import price of apparel (-.2213, -.2194) China textiles export supply (.3455, .3454) China apparel export supply (.30, .3165) U.S. cotton price (-.0169, .0028) World adjusted cotton price (.0043, .0201) U.S. cotton supply (-.0079, .0013) U.S. demand for domestic cotton (-.1281, -.1217) China’s demand for U.S. cotton (.1037, .1737) AO’s demand for US cotton (.0942, .1014)
  • 11. Scenario 2:Removal of MFA, and 3% decrease in LDP U.S. import demand for textiles (.244, .2604) U.S. import demand for apparel (.3419, .3503) U.S. domestic demand for textiles (-.046, -.039) U.S. domestic demand for apparel (-.2607, -.2595) U.S. import price of textiles (-.1847, -.1786) U.S. import price of apparel (-.2175, -.2030) China textiles export supply (.344, .360) China apparel export supply (.332, .458) U.S. cotton price (.0243, .1794) World adjusted cotton price (.035, .156) U.S. cotton supply (-.019, .054) U.S. demand for domestic cotton (-.179, -.132) China’s demand for U.S. cotton (.112, .651) AO’s demand for US cotton (.057, .104)
  • 12. Scenarios 3: Removal of MFA, 5% increase in foreign cotton supply U.S. import demand for textiles (.234, .2405) U.S. import demand for apparel (.3538, .354) U.S. domestic demand for textiles (-.0376, -.0374) U.S. domestic demand for apparel (-.2602, -.26) U.S. import price of textiles (-.1868, -.1866) U.S. import price of apparel (-.2223, -.2219) China textiles export supply (.3682, .3704) China apparel export supply (.2807, .2831) U.S. cotton price (-.0186, -.014) World adjusted cotton price (-.0143, -.012) U.S. cotton supply (-.044, -.0332) U.S. demand for domestic cotton (-.1311, -.1248) China’s demand for U.S. cotton (.0003, .0597) AO’s demand for US cotton (.0461, .0493)
  • 13. Scenario 4: Removal of MFA, 3 % decrease in LDP & 5% increase in foreign cotton supply U.S. import demand for textiles (.2413, .2416) U.S. import demand for apparel (.3535, .3537) U.S. domestic demand for textiles (-.038, -.0379) U.S. domestic demand for apparel (-.2605, -.2604) U.S. import price of textiles (-.1865, -.1863) U.S. import price of apparel (-.2215, -.2212) China textiles export supply (.3736, .3748) China apparel export supply (.286, .2874) U.S. cotton price (-.0073, -.0048) World adjusted cotton price (-.0092, -.0078) U.S. cotton supply (-.0473, -.0413) U.S. demand for domestic cotton (-.133, -.1305) China’s demand for U.S. cotton (.0099, .0442) AO’s demand for US cotton (.0315, .0361)
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. For More Information, Please Contact Yan Xia at sonataxia@tamu.edu, or Parr Rosson at prosson@tamu.edu