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2010 Commercial Real EstateForecast
1. 2010 California Commercial Real Estate Market ForecastOctober 7, 2009 Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D.Deputy Chief EconomistCalifornia Association of REALTORS®
31. Sales of Existing Detached Homes and Pacific West Consumer Confidence California, August 2009 Sales: 526,970 Units, Up 38.2% YTD, Up 9.0% YTY INDEX UNITS SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®; The Conference Board *Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualized
32. Median Price of Existing Detached Homes California, August 2009: $292,960, Down 16.9% YTY SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
39. First-time Buyer Housing Affordability Index California Vs. U.S. 2000-2009 % OF HOUSEHOLDS THAT CAN BUY SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
40. Median Price to Median HH Income Ratio California Average Over Years Shown: 6:1 Ratio SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
41. Asking Rents for Class A&B Apartments California, 2009 Q2: $1,382, Down 4.5% YTY Asking Rents SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®; REALFACTS
42. NODs & Trustees Deeds Filed in California 2005 - 2009 No. of Defaults or TDs Source: DataQuick Information Systems
43. Mortgage Rates SOURCE: Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation
44. California Foreclosure Activity September 18, 2008: Paulson asks For TARP Funds September 2008: Senate Bill 1137 Takes Effect Government Intervention March 4, 2009: HAMP February 20, 2009: CA Foreclosure Prevention Act February 11 2009: Frank’s Moratorium Request SOURCE: ForeclosureRadar.com
45. CA Mortgage Foreclosure & Delinquency Rates California: Q2-2009, NSA Delinquencies: Long Run Average: 4.1% Foreclosure Rate: Long Run Average: 1.0% SOURCE: Mortgage Bankers Association
46. California Subprime & Alt A Loans As of May 2009 SOURCE: FirstAmerican CoreLogic, LoanPerformance Data, U.S. Census Bureau, and Federal Reserve Bank of New York, compiled by C.A.R.
95. Population Percent Changes California (1971 - 2008) SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau; California Department of Finance; California Association of REALTORS®
96. Sources of Population Growth California (1981-2008) THOUSANDS SOURCE: CA Dept. of Finance
97. New Housing Permits California, August 2009: 2,911 Units, Down 48.8% YTD SOURCE: Construction Industry Research Board
113. California Housing Market Outlook Forecast Date: October 2009 Source: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® SOURCE: California Association of REALTORS®
114.
115. Better in LA and San Francisco than elsewhere in US