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Astro-Bio-Geodynamics – a
      transdisciplinary approach to
        Lovelock’s Gaia Hypothesis
                         Dr. Florin Munteanu
                         Center for Complexity Studies
                         Romanian Academiy, Institute of Geopdynamics




“ Nuanţele raţiunii umane pot contribui la raţiunea
globală a umanităţii pentru constituirea unui model
ontologic care să explice mai corect lumea materială şi
să îndrume ştiinţa spre noi explorări şi cunoaştere
riguroasă.”
                                                    Blaga
In the framework of the Institute, activities
are performed by work groups directing
their efforts to:
    •The study of space-time evolution of the relative displacements
    between blocks which are in contact in the Vrancea
    geodynamically active area, with a special concern for the
    Tulnici-Gresu profile;

    •The design of the methodology for an optimal emplacement of
    sensors able to highlight physical parameters causally linked to
    stress cumulating/ triggering in geodinamically active areas;

    •The study of geomagnetic, gravity and geothermal fields space-
    time evolution; implications in Geodynamics;

    •The study of possibilities to use information provided by the
    natural variations of the electromagnetic field, for a better
    knowledge of the tectonic blocks geometry, concerning
    especially certain geodynamically active areas;

    •The study of the connections between volcanism and
    geodynamically active processes, with a special concern for
    connections with major tectonic sutures;

    •Nonlinear analysis of geodynamic systems;

    •Tectonic hazard studies.
Vreancea zone- a geophysical natural laboratory

                   Prediction = Position+ Intensity + Time

                            Short-term prediction (hours to
                            weeks) was successful in very few
                            cases where precursory phenomena
                            were evident
                            Intermediate-term prediction (one
                            month to 10 years) is considered fair
                            for well monitored regions.
                            Long-term prediction (10-30 years)
                            is considered good for high slip rate
                            faults but poor for very low slip rate
                            tectonic provinces.
Earthquakes are the expression of “geocomplexity”

“the existence of periodic and irregular temporal windows in a specific seismically
    active region would imply that the degree of predictability itself changes with
    time” (Goltz, 1997, p. 158). So earthquakes are the expression of
    “geocomplexity” (Rundle et al., 2000) …..
                                                                          Undecidability in earthquake faulting: a review
                                                  A. Ribeiro 1, 2; J. Cabral 1; R. Taborda 1; L. Matias3, R. Caranova 1




                A new approach: Complexity science


  “ Complexity is not a methodology or a set of tools (although it does provide
  both). It certenly is not a “management fad”. The Science of Complexity
  provides a conceptual framework, a way of thinking, a way of seeing
  the World”
                                                                                Eve Mitleton – Kelly,
                                    Complexity Reasearch Programme, London school of Economics
Latin word complexus, which signifies
  "entwined", "twisted together". This
  may be interpreted in the following
  way: in order to have a complex you
  need two or more components,
  which are joined in such a way that it
  is difficult to separate them. Similarly,
  the Oxford Dictionary defines
  something as "complex" if it is "made
  of (usually several) closely
  connected parts".
Order, Predictability        Disipative systems
Analitical approach                -Patterns       Disorder, Randomness,
                                   -Bifurcations   Statistical approach
                                   -INFORMATION…
                             = COMPLEXITY



•sensitivity to initial
conditions
•self-organize criticality
•context dependency
•synchronizations of
chaotic oscillators
……
•new models
•new tools
•new techniques
To improve the earthquake prediction
we need more information


       ASTRO-GEOPHYSICS




          - Electromagnetic survey (VAN)
          - Ionospheric perturbations before an earthquake
          - Earthquakes triggered by earth tide
To improve the earthquake prediction
we need MORE information… + BIO
Bioelectronics
Biology bring a new insight…
form energy and matter to… information
20th century life sciences have been characterised by two major trends:
    molecular and genetic reductionism.
    semiotisation of nature.
        semiotic processes were prevalent at the biochemical level (endosemiotics)
        semiotic processes linked to communications between organisms
        (exosemiotics)
                  ( data, information, meaning, knowledge, wisdom )
                                  Semantic processor


Infodynamics – Brooks and Wiley, 1986; Weber, et al., 1989; Weber and Depew, 1995; Goodwin, 1989;
    Salthe, 1993;
           - Sahleanu, 1972 (eseu de biologie informationala), Draganescu 1973 (Ortofizica)

        information capacity increases spontaneously in developing systems, being produced
        along with physical entropy as the system grows and differentiates (the MEST law).

                                              H + I = ct ????
    The novelty is constantly and autonomously generated by the requirements of the
       second law of thermodynamics
The role of the observer
 a science of the subjective

For several centuries, achievements in comprehending and applying the principles and
    mechanics of matter and energy had proceeded under the premise that subjective
    experience was at best irrelevant and frequently an obstruction to the practice of
    rigorous objective quantification.


Quantum physics + Artificial Inteligence + Complexity Science +
   information controls system dynamics.
  Cognitive Science = a transdisciplinary approach to Nature

A question that need an answer: how to accommodate the classical approach with issues of
    context and meaning, both of which are inherently subjective yet critical aspects of
    pragmatic information.
the observation of consciousness-related anomalies emerging in the behavior of complex
    physical or biological systems has provided evidence that the prevailing models of these
    regimes are inherently incomplete, and must be expanded to accommodate a
    participatory role for the observing mind.
Astro & Geo & Bio
a holistic view named GAIA

  Global self-regulation is a natural consequence of the
  interactions between the biota and the physical world;
  The holistic approach of viewing Gaia as one entity and
  comparing Gaia to a living organism seems to be legitimate and
  it has a practical use

      Lovelock, J. E. 1987. Gaia: A New Look at Life on Earth.

Remarks:
- Living organisms and especial the MAN, are crucial parts in the
  behavior of GAIA (informational processors, quantum physics);
- Geodynamical events, ecological events, social and economic
  behavior, are aspects of the GAIA life…
- Understanding the GAIA phenomenon is crucial for defining a
  sustainable development on mankind.
To explore the Gaia, in a coherent info -
energo - mater frame, it is necessary:

 To improve the quality of academic level by:
   Promoting science of Complexity, computing techniques,
   cognitive abilities ( a mind up-grade);
   A special team training for scientists in order to
   understand and apply in a creative way a pluri, inter
   and trans-disciplinary approach (new skills)

   UNESCO CHAIR in GEODYNAMICA
 To develop new experimental setups, according to
 this new vision.
The Geodynamic
Observatory -
CALDARUSANI


    A laboratory for the studies of the Quality of a
    Natural environment by the use of complexity
    science tools


-Noise can synchronize biochemical reactions
-Synergic behavior of parts can define the quality of the
whole system
-Chaotic resonance can play an important role in the
biorhythms of living systems (an interesting coupling
between living and nonliving systems – the Gaia view)
Artificial Intelligence &
Seismic monitoring system
Obs:
Each seismic event modifies irreversibly the system’s
   structure; a new re-assessment of the situation
   and re-adaptation of the analytical model has to be
   carried out permanently; MULTIMODEL


Multimodel – An assembly of models (dynamic
   systems) and computational simulations employing
   cellular automata (intelligent agents) capable to
   discriminate/classify the data flux (streaming)
   provided by the sensors from the monitored reality.
Artificial Intelligence &
Seismic monitoring system
Obs:
Each seismic event provides new initial conditions. The result is a
    reduced predictability, yet not impossible;

                        ni
                                   Log(ni)
                                                       Ni ~ miD
 Per Bak                     statistics         mi
 (SOC)


                                             Log(mi)
Artificial Intelligence &
Seismic monitoring system
Obs:
The energy discharged by each seismic event is radiated/transferred to
     neighboring systems of equal or inferior hierarchical position.

To understand the evolution of a seismic region it is necessary a network
    of complex monitoring system.
Artificial Intelligence &
Seismic monitoring system
Obs:
Gaia as a complex system; the nead of monitoring the energy
     exchange, and other types of exchanges, between adjacent
     and subordinated systems, both living or not; .
data acquisition + complex network of different types of sensors +
     multimodel + processing block + neural network = an novel
     type of monitoring system
     (intelligent and self-adaptive, i.e. self-learning, capable to
     dynamically evaluate the on-ground situation in real-time)

a system with artificial intelligence that itself behaves chaotically
     will, under the influence of a specific flux of data/stimuli,
     synchronize itself with the monitored Reality
Understanding natural structures: new
sensors, new experimental setups


                              Dr. Adrian Bejan
Developing a “new mind processor “
for transdisciplinary approach
Thank you for your attention!

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Astro-bio-geodynamics

  • 1. Astro-Bio-Geodynamics – a transdisciplinary approach to Lovelock’s Gaia Hypothesis Dr. Florin Munteanu Center for Complexity Studies Romanian Academiy, Institute of Geopdynamics “ Nuanţele raţiunii umane pot contribui la raţiunea globală a umanităţii pentru constituirea unui model ontologic care să explice mai corect lumea materială şi să îndrume ştiinţa spre noi explorări şi cunoaştere riguroasă.” Blaga
  • 2. In the framework of the Institute, activities are performed by work groups directing their efforts to: •The study of space-time evolution of the relative displacements between blocks which are in contact in the Vrancea geodynamically active area, with a special concern for the Tulnici-Gresu profile; •The design of the methodology for an optimal emplacement of sensors able to highlight physical parameters causally linked to stress cumulating/ triggering in geodinamically active areas; •The study of geomagnetic, gravity and geothermal fields space- time evolution; implications in Geodynamics; •The study of possibilities to use information provided by the natural variations of the electromagnetic field, for a better knowledge of the tectonic blocks geometry, concerning especially certain geodynamically active areas; •The study of the connections between volcanism and geodynamically active processes, with a special concern for connections with major tectonic sutures; •Nonlinear analysis of geodynamic systems; •Tectonic hazard studies.
  • 3. Vreancea zone- a geophysical natural laboratory Prediction = Position+ Intensity + Time Short-term prediction (hours to weeks) was successful in very few cases where precursory phenomena were evident Intermediate-term prediction (one month to 10 years) is considered fair for well monitored regions. Long-term prediction (10-30 years) is considered good for high slip rate faults but poor for very low slip rate tectonic provinces.
  • 4. Earthquakes are the expression of “geocomplexity” “the existence of periodic and irregular temporal windows in a specific seismically active region would imply that the degree of predictability itself changes with time” (Goltz, 1997, p. 158). So earthquakes are the expression of “geocomplexity” (Rundle et al., 2000) ….. Undecidability in earthquake faulting: a review A. Ribeiro 1, 2; J. Cabral 1; R. Taborda 1; L. Matias3, R. Caranova 1 A new approach: Complexity science “ Complexity is not a methodology or a set of tools (although it does provide both). It certenly is not a “management fad”. The Science of Complexity provides a conceptual framework, a way of thinking, a way of seeing the World” Eve Mitleton – Kelly, Complexity Reasearch Programme, London school of Economics
  • 5. Latin word complexus, which signifies "entwined", "twisted together". This may be interpreted in the following way: in order to have a complex you need two or more components, which are joined in such a way that it is difficult to separate them. Similarly, the Oxford Dictionary defines something as "complex" if it is "made of (usually several) closely connected parts".
  • 6. Order, Predictability Disipative systems Analitical approach -Patterns Disorder, Randomness, -Bifurcations Statistical approach -INFORMATION… = COMPLEXITY •sensitivity to initial conditions •self-organize criticality •context dependency •synchronizations of chaotic oscillators …… •new models •new tools •new techniques
  • 7. To improve the earthquake prediction we need more information ASTRO-GEOPHYSICS - Electromagnetic survey (VAN) - Ionospheric perturbations before an earthquake - Earthquakes triggered by earth tide
  • 8. To improve the earthquake prediction we need MORE information… + BIO
  • 10. Biology bring a new insight… form energy and matter to… information 20th century life sciences have been characterised by two major trends: molecular and genetic reductionism. semiotisation of nature. semiotic processes were prevalent at the biochemical level (endosemiotics) semiotic processes linked to communications between organisms (exosemiotics) ( data, information, meaning, knowledge, wisdom ) Semantic processor Infodynamics – Brooks and Wiley, 1986; Weber, et al., 1989; Weber and Depew, 1995; Goodwin, 1989; Salthe, 1993; - Sahleanu, 1972 (eseu de biologie informationala), Draganescu 1973 (Ortofizica) information capacity increases spontaneously in developing systems, being produced along with physical entropy as the system grows and differentiates (the MEST law). H + I = ct ???? The novelty is constantly and autonomously generated by the requirements of the second law of thermodynamics
  • 11. The role of the observer a science of the subjective For several centuries, achievements in comprehending and applying the principles and mechanics of matter and energy had proceeded under the premise that subjective experience was at best irrelevant and frequently an obstruction to the practice of rigorous objective quantification. Quantum physics + Artificial Inteligence + Complexity Science + information controls system dynamics. Cognitive Science = a transdisciplinary approach to Nature A question that need an answer: how to accommodate the classical approach with issues of context and meaning, both of which are inherently subjective yet critical aspects of pragmatic information. the observation of consciousness-related anomalies emerging in the behavior of complex physical or biological systems has provided evidence that the prevailing models of these regimes are inherently incomplete, and must be expanded to accommodate a participatory role for the observing mind.
  • 12. Astro & Geo & Bio a holistic view named GAIA Global self-regulation is a natural consequence of the interactions between the biota and the physical world; The holistic approach of viewing Gaia as one entity and comparing Gaia to a living organism seems to be legitimate and it has a practical use Lovelock, J. E. 1987. Gaia: A New Look at Life on Earth. Remarks: - Living organisms and especial the MAN, are crucial parts in the behavior of GAIA (informational processors, quantum physics); - Geodynamical events, ecological events, social and economic behavior, are aspects of the GAIA life… - Understanding the GAIA phenomenon is crucial for defining a sustainable development on mankind.
  • 13. To explore the Gaia, in a coherent info - energo - mater frame, it is necessary: To improve the quality of academic level by: Promoting science of Complexity, computing techniques, cognitive abilities ( a mind up-grade); A special team training for scientists in order to understand and apply in a creative way a pluri, inter and trans-disciplinary approach (new skills) UNESCO CHAIR in GEODYNAMICA To develop new experimental setups, according to this new vision.
  • 14. The Geodynamic Observatory - CALDARUSANI A laboratory for the studies of the Quality of a Natural environment by the use of complexity science tools -Noise can synchronize biochemical reactions -Synergic behavior of parts can define the quality of the whole system -Chaotic resonance can play an important role in the biorhythms of living systems (an interesting coupling between living and nonliving systems – the Gaia view)
  • 15. Artificial Intelligence & Seismic monitoring system Obs: Each seismic event modifies irreversibly the system’s structure; a new re-assessment of the situation and re-adaptation of the analytical model has to be carried out permanently; MULTIMODEL Multimodel – An assembly of models (dynamic systems) and computational simulations employing cellular automata (intelligent agents) capable to discriminate/classify the data flux (streaming) provided by the sensors from the monitored reality.
  • 16. Artificial Intelligence & Seismic monitoring system Obs: Each seismic event provides new initial conditions. The result is a reduced predictability, yet not impossible; ni Log(ni) Ni ~ miD Per Bak statistics mi (SOC) Log(mi)
  • 17. Artificial Intelligence & Seismic monitoring system Obs: The energy discharged by each seismic event is radiated/transferred to neighboring systems of equal or inferior hierarchical position. To understand the evolution of a seismic region it is necessary a network of complex monitoring system.
  • 18. Artificial Intelligence & Seismic monitoring system Obs: Gaia as a complex system; the nead of monitoring the energy exchange, and other types of exchanges, between adjacent and subordinated systems, both living or not; . data acquisition + complex network of different types of sensors + multimodel + processing block + neural network = an novel type of monitoring system (intelligent and self-adaptive, i.e. self-learning, capable to dynamically evaluate the on-ground situation in real-time) a system with artificial intelligence that itself behaves chaotically will, under the influence of a specific flux of data/stimuli, synchronize itself with the monitored Reality
  • 19. Understanding natural structures: new sensors, new experimental setups Dr. Adrian Bejan
  • 20. Developing a “new mind processor “ for transdisciplinary approach
  • 21. Thank you for your attention!