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HOLIDAY 
HYSTERIA: 
Plan 
For 
Perfec8on 
But 
Prepare 
For 
Pandemonium 
Presented by Sponsored by
About 
Holiday 
CCS 
2014 
ü 7 Webinars, 4 Days 
ü Sessions covering Store 
Ops, X-Channel, Loyalty, 
Big Data & more 
#HolidayCCS 
ü Featuring industry 
analysts and consultants 
ü Free for Retail executives 
http://ccs.retailtouchpoints.com/holiday-2014
Follow 
The 
Webcast 
On 
Twi=er 
#HolidayCCS 
#HolidayCCS 
@ConnectConsumer 
@Bronto 
@RTouchPoints
About 
Retail 
TouchPoints 
ü Launched in 2007 
ü More than 28,000 subscribers 
ü Provide executives with relevant, 
insightful content 
ü Free Resources such as White 
Papers, E-book, Webinars, 
Research and Podcasts 
www.RetailTouchPoints.com 
#HolidayCCS
#HolidayCCS 
BrightTALK
#HolidayCCS 
Today’s 
Panelists 
Jim Davidson 
Director of Research, 
Bronto Software 
MODERATOR 
Alicia Fiorletta 
Senior Editor, 
Retail TouchPoints
Holiday Hysteria: 
Plan For Perfection But 
Prepare For 
Pandemonium 
Jim Davidson 
Director of Research 
@JimSaidIt #HolidayCCS 
bronto.com/holidays
Today 
ééé 
-­‐73 
Days
Today 
ééé 
-­‐73 
Days 
+73 
Days 
êêê
Caffeinating the Consumer
Caffeinating the Consumer
Caffeinating the Consumer
Caffeinating the Consumer
Caffeinating the Consumer
Caffeinating the Consumer 
Today
Stores 
Open 
GiEs 
Under 
$20 
Shop 
by 
Price 
Doorbusters 
GiE 
Guides 
Online 
Only 
Stores 
Open 
Late 
Days 
of 
Saving 
Stores 
Closed 
Shop 
for 
Him/Her 
Guaranteed 
Delivery 
Shipping 
Deadlines 
In-­‐Store 
Only 
GiE 
Cards 
Flash 
Sale
But 
I 
Don’t 
Wanna!!!
Thanksgiving, Black Friday & Cyber Monday Sales 
$633 
$1,042 
$1,465 
$766 
$1,198 
$1,735 
Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 28) Black Friday (Nov. 29) Cyber Monday (Dec. 2) 
2012 2013 comScore, 2013
TG, BF, CM Sales: Year-Over-Year Changes 
32% 
comScore, 2013 
2011-12 Change 2012-13 Change 
28% 
17% 
21% 
15% 
18% 
Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 28) Black Friday (Nov. 29) Cyber Monday (Dec. 2)
TG, BF, CM Sales: Year-Over-Year Changes 
32% 
comScore, 2013 
2011-12 Change 2012-13 Change 
28% 
17% 
21% 
15% 
18% 
Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 28) Black Friday (Nov. 29) Cyber Monday (Dec. 2)
TG, BF, CM Sales: Year-Over-Year Changes 
32% 
comScore, 2013 
2011-12 Change 2012-13 Change 
28% 
17% 
21% 
15% 
18% 
Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 28) Black Friday (Nov. 29) Cyber Monday (Dec. 2)
Thanksgiving
Thanksgiving 
Black Friday
Thanksgiving 
Black Friday 
Cyber Monday
Thanksgiving
Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 
0% 
5% 
10% 
15% 
20% 
25% 
-­‐180 
-­‐176 
-­‐172 
-­‐168 
-­‐164 
-­‐160 
-­‐156 
-­‐152 
-­‐148 
-­‐144 
-­‐140 
-­‐136 
-­‐132 
-­‐128 
-­‐124 
-­‐120 
-­‐116 
-­‐112 
-­‐108 
-­‐104 
-­‐100 
-­‐96 
-­‐92 
-­‐88 
-­‐84 
-­‐80 
-­‐76 
-­‐72 
-­‐68 
-­‐64 
-­‐60 
-­‐56 
-­‐52 
-­‐48 
-­‐44 
-­‐40 
-­‐36 
-­‐32 
-­‐28 
-­‐24 
-­‐20 
-­‐16 
-­‐12 
-­‐8 
-­‐4 
0 
4 
8 
12 
16 
20 
24 
28 
32 
2011
Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 
0% 
5% 
10% 
15% 
20% 
25% 
-­‐180 
-­‐176 
-­‐172 
-­‐168 
-­‐164 
-­‐160 
-­‐156 
-­‐152 
-­‐148 
-­‐144 
-­‐140 
-­‐136 
-­‐132 
-­‐128 
-­‐124 
-­‐120 
-­‐116 
-­‐112 
-­‐108 
-­‐104 
-­‐100 
-­‐96 
-­‐92 
-­‐88 
-­‐84 
-­‐80 
-­‐76 
-­‐72 
-­‐68 
-­‐64 
-­‐60 
-­‐56 
-­‐52 
-­‐48 
-­‐44 
-­‐40 
-­‐36 
-­‐32 
-­‐28 
-­‐24 
-­‐20 
-­‐16 
-­‐12 
-­‐8 
-­‐4 
0 
4 
8 
12 
16 
20 
24 
28 
32 
2011 
2012
Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 
0% 
5% 
10% 
15% 
20% 
25% 
-­‐180 
-­‐176 
-­‐172 
-­‐168 
-­‐164 
-­‐160 
-­‐156 
-­‐152 
-­‐148 
-­‐144 
-­‐140 
-­‐136 
-­‐132 
-­‐128 
-­‐124 
-­‐120 
-­‐116 
-­‐112 
-­‐108 
-­‐104 
-­‐100 
-­‐96 
-­‐92 
-­‐88 
-­‐84 
-­‐80 
-­‐76 
-­‐72 
-­‐68 
-­‐64 
-­‐60 
-­‐56 
-­‐52 
-­‐48 
-­‐44 
-­‐40 
-­‐36 
-­‐32 
-­‐28 
-­‐24 
-­‐20 
-­‐16 
-­‐12 
-­‐8 
-­‐4 
0 
4 
8 
12 
16 
20 
24 
28 
32 
2011 
2012 
2013
Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 
0% 
5% 
10% 
15% 
20% 
25% 
-­‐180 
-­‐176 
-­‐172 
-­‐168 
-­‐164 
-­‐160 
-­‐156 
-­‐152 
-­‐148 
-­‐144 
-­‐140 
-­‐136 
-­‐132 
-­‐128 
-­‐124 
-­‐120 
-­‐116 
-­‐112 
-­‐108 
-­‐104 
-­‐100 
-­‐96 
-­‐92 
-­‐88 
-­‐84 
-­‐80 
-­‐76 
-­‐72 
-­‐68 
-­‐64 
-­‐60 
-­‐56 
-­‐52 
-­‐48 
-­‐44 
-­‐40 
-­‐36 
-­‐32 
-­‐28 
-­‐24 
-­‐20 
-­‐16 
-­‐12 
-­‐8 
-­‐4 
0 
4 
8 
12 
16 
20 
24 
28 
32 
2011 
2012 
2013
Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
-­‐30 
-­‐29 
-­‐28 
-­‐27 
-­‐26 
-­‐25 
-­‐24 
-­‐23 
-­‐22 
-­‐21 
-­‐20 
-­‐19 
-­‐18 
-­‐17 
-­‐16 
-­‐15 
-­‐14 
-­‐13 
-­‐12 
-­‐11 
-­‐10 
-­‐9 
-­‐8 
-­‐7 
-­‐6 
-­‐5 
-­‐4 
-­‐3 
-­‐2 
-­‐1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
2011
Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
-­‐30 
-­‐29 
-­‐28 
-­‐27 
-­‐26 
-­‐25 
-­‐24 
-­‐23 
-­‐22 
-­‐21 
-­‐20 
-­‐19 
-­‐18 
-­‐17 
-­‐16 
-­‐15 
-­‐14 
-­‐13 
-­‐12 
-­‐11 
-­‐10 
-­‐9 
-­‐8 
-­‐7 
-­‐6 
-­‐5 
-­‐4 
-­‐3 
-­‐2 
-­‐1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
2011 
2012
Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
-­‐30 
-­‐29 
-­‐28 
-­‐27 
-­‐26 
-­‐25 
-­‐24 
-­‐23 
-­‐22 
-­‐21 
-­‐20 
-­‐19 
-­‐18 
-­‐17 
-­‐16 
-­‐15 
-­‐14 
-­‐13 
-­‐12 
-­‐11 
-­‐10 
-­‐9 
-­‐8 
-­‐7 
-­‐6 
-­‐5 
-­‐4 
-­‐3 
-­‐2 
-­‐1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
2011 
2012 
2013
Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 
• Earlier buzz 
• YoY references dip Thanksgiving Week 
• 2013 midway between previous years 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
-­‐30 
-­‐29 
-­‐28 
-­‐27 
-­‐26 
-­‐25 
-­‐24 
-­‐23 
-­‐22 
-­‐21 
-­‐20 
-­‐19 
-­‐18 
-­‐17 
-­‐16 
-­‐15 
-­‐14 
-­‐13 
-­‐12 
-­‐11 
-­‐10 
-­‐9 
-­‐8 
-­‐7 
-­‐6 
-­‐5 
-­‐4 
-­‐3 
-­‐2 
-­‐1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
2011 
2012 
2013
Thanksgiving References: Year-Over Year Changes 
0.0% 
-0.9% 
0.0% 
-2.3% 
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 
0.7% 
-1.6% 
0.2% 
-0.2% 
0.0% 
-0.4% 
-0.9% 
-1.6% 
-1.3% 
0.7% 
1.3% 
5.0% 
0.0% 
1.3% 
-1.5% 
0.7% 
-1.4% 
0.4% 
-1.4% -1.5% -1.7% -1.7% 
-3.6% 
-1.2% 
-6.1% 
-0.3% 
-1.9% 
• Stronger early 
push 
• Bigger bumps -10 
Days 
• More dedicated 
emails on 
Thanksgiving Day 
2012 vs 2011
Thanksgiving References: Year-Over Year Changes 
0.0% 
-0.9% 
0.0% 
-2.3% 
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 
0.7% 
-1.6% 
0.2% 
-0.2% 
0.0% 
-0.4% 
-0.9% 
-1.6% 
-1.3% 
0.7% 
1.3% 
5.0% 
0.0% 
1.3% 
-1.5% 
0.7% 
-1.4% 
0.4% 
-1.4% -1.5% -1.7% -1.7% 
-3.6% 
-1.2% 
-6.1% 
-0.3% 
-1.9% 
0.5% 
1.1% 
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 
1.9% 
1.9% 
0.3% 
0.8% 
0.7% 
-0.5% 
2.4% 
1.6% 
0.5% 
-0.2% 
-0.6% 
0.3% 
-1.4% 
-3.5% 
1.4% 
1.0% 
-1.0% 
1.9% 
-1.2% 
1.1% 
-0.3%-0 .2% 
1.1% 
-1.7% 
3.5% 
0.1% 
-0.3% 
1.8% 
-30 
-29 
-28 
-27 
-26 
-25 
-24 
-23 
-22 
-21 
-20 
-19 
-18 
-17 
-16 
-15 
-14 
-13 
-12 
-11 
-10 
-9 
-8 
-7 
-6 
-5 
-4 
-3 
-2 
-1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
• Stronger early 
push 
• Bigger bumps -10 
Days 
• More dedicated 
emails on 
Thanksgiving Day 
2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011
Thanksgiving References: Year-Over Year Changes 
0.0% 
-0.9% 
0.0% 
-2.3% 
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 
0.7% 
-1.6% 
0.2% 
-0.2% 
0.0% 
-0.4% 
-0.9% 
-1.6% 
-1.3% 
0.7% 
1.3% 
5.0% 
0.0% 
1.3% 
-1.5% 
0.7% 
-1.4% 
0.4% 
-1.4% -1.5% -1.7% -1.7% 
-3.6% 
-1.2% 
-6.1% 
-0.3% 
-1.9% 
0.5% 
1.1% 
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 
1.9% 
1.9% 
0.3% 
0.8% 
0.7% 
-0.5% 
2.4% 
1.6% 
0.5% 
-0.2% 
-0.6% 
0.3% 
-1.4% 
-3.5% 
1.4% 
1.0% 
-1.0% 
1.9% 
-1.2% 
1.1% 
-0.3%-0 .2% 
1.1% 
-1.7% 
3.5% 
0.1% 
-0.3% 
1.8% 
-30 
-29 
-28 
-27 
-26 
-25 
-24 
-23 
-22 
-21 
-20 
-19 
-18 
-17 
-16 
-15 
-14 
-13 
-12 
-11 
-10 
-9 
-8 
-7 
-6 
-5 
-4 
-3 
-2 
-1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
• Stronger early 
push 
• Bigger bumps -10 
Days 
• More dedicated 
emails on 
Thanksgiving Day 
2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011
Early November Thanksgiving Promotions 
Nov 9 SL: “Thanksgiving sale PLUS 20% off everything” Nov 22 SL: “Extra 25% OFF Thanksgiving Preview Sale! Order 
Early for A Stress-Free Holiday”
Thanksgiving Day: Email Volume 
0% 
2% 
4% 
6% 
8% 
10% 
12% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Thanksgiving Day: Email Volume 
0% 
2% 
4% 
6% 
8% 
10% 
12% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Thanksgiving Day: Email Volume 
0% 
2% 
4% 
6% 
8% 
10% 
12% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Thanksgiving Day: Email Volume 
0% 
2% 
4% 
6% 
8% 
10% 
12% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Thanksgiving Day Email Volume: YoY Changes 
+0.5% 
-2.6% 
-0.6% 
+0.2% 
-1.7% 
-2.2% 
+3.4% 
-3.5% 
+1.1% 
-0.2% 
-0.6% 
+0.8% 
-0.1% 
+1.2% 
+1.5% 
-0.9% 
+0.4% 
-2.8% 
+5.0% 
+0.8% 
+0.3% 
+0.2% 
-0.9% 
+0.8% 
5% 
3% 
1% 
-1% 
-3% 
-5% 
12AM 
01AM 
02AM 
03AM 
04AM 
05AM 
06AM 
07AM 
08AM 
09AM 
10AM 
11AM 
12PM 
01PM 
02PM 
03PM 
04PM 
05PM 
06PM 
07PM 
08PM 
09PM 
10PM 
11PM
Thanksgiving Day Email Volume: YoY Changes 
+0.5% 
-2.6% 
-0.6% 
+0.2% 
-1.7% 
-2.2% 
+3.4% 
-3.5% 
+1.1% 
-0.2% 
-0.6% 
+0.8% 
-0.1% 
+1.2% 
+1.5% 
-0.9% 
+0.4% 
-2.8% 
+5.0% 
+0.8% 
+0.3% 
+0.2% 
-0.9% 
+0.8% 
5% 
3% 
1% 
-1% 
-3% 
-5% 
12AM 
01AM 
02AM 
03AM 
04AM 
05AM 
06AM 
07AM 
08AM 
09AM 
10AM 
11AM 
12PM 
01PM 
02PM 
03PM 
04PM 
05PM 
06PM 
07PM 
08PM 
09PM 
10PM 
11PM
Thanksgiving Early AM 
7am SL: “50% Off One Item! Happy Thanksgiving!”
Thanksgiving Early AM 
7am SL: “50% Off One Item! Happy Thanksgiving!” 
7am SL: “Online Exclusive - Enjoy up to 20% Off During our 
Thanksgiving Sale + Enjoy 30% Off Select Men's and Women's 
Sweaters”
Thanksgiving Early AM 
7am SL: “50% Off One Item! Happy Thanksgiving!” 
7am SL: “Online Exclusive - Enjoy up to 20% Off During our 
Thanksgiving Sale + Enjoy 30% Off Select Men's and Women's 
Sweaters”
Thanksgiving Evening 
6:05pm SL: “Psst! 50% OFF Everything + FREE Ship, 
No Min Starts TONIGHT!” 
6:40pm SL: “Black Friday Starts NOW! Get 50% Off Everything 
+ Freebies!”
Thanksgiving Evening 
6:05pm SL: “Psst! 50% OFF Everything + FREE Ship, 
No Min Starts TONIGHT!” 
6:40pm SL: “Black Friday Starts NOW! Get 50% Off Everything 
+ Freebies!” 
Store hours? 
Store Locators?
Thanksgiving Day: Emails Sent per Retailer 
2 
1.5 
1 
0.5 
0 
Thanksgiving Black Friday Cyber Monday 
2011 2012 2013
Thanksgiving Day: Emails Sent per Retailer 
82% 
17% 
1% 1% 
71% 
27% 
1% 0% 
68% 
26% 
4% 2% 
1 2 3 4 
2011 2012 2013
Thanksgiving Day: Emails Sent per Retailer 
82% 
17% 
1% 1% 
71% 
27% 
1% 0% 
68% 
26% 
4% 2% 
1 2 3 4 
2011 2012 2013
Thanksgiving Day: Emails Sent per Retailer 
82% 
17% 
1% 1% 
71% 
27% 
1% 0% 
68% 
26% 
4% 2% 
1 2 3 4 
2011 2012 2013
A 4-Email Thanksgiving 
Sent 
From 
Subject 
Line 
06:12 
AM 
Jos. 
A. 
Bank 
Happy 
Thanksgiving 
-­‐ 
Enjoy 
Over 
30 
BLACK 
FRIDAY 
DOORBUSTERS 
Today 
with 
FREE 
Shipping, 
No 
Minimum! 
10:40 
AM 
Jos. 
A. 
Bank 
Select 
from 
Over 
30 
DOORBUSTERS 
Plus 
Enjoy 
FREE 
Shipping, 
No 
Minimum! 
03:32 
PM 
Jos. 
A. 
Bank 
FREE 
Shipping, 
No 
Minimum 
on 
BLACK 
FRIDAY 
DOORBUSTERS 
07:43 
PM 
Jos. 
A. 
Bank 
Enjoy 
Incredible 
Black 
Friday 
Prices 
Now 
-­‐ 
with 
FREE 
Shipping, 
No 
Minimum!
A 4-Email Thanksgiving 
Sent 
From 
Subject 
Line 
06:12 
AM 
Jos. 
A. 
Bank 
Happy 
Thanksgiving 
-­‐ 
Enjoy 
Over 
30 
BLACK 
FRIDAY 
DOORBUSTERS 
Today 
with 
FREE 
Shipping, 
No 
Minimum! 
10:40 
AM 
Jos. 
A. 
Bank 
Select 
from 
Over 
30 
DOORBUSTERS 
Plus 
Enjoy 
FREE 
Shipping, 
No 
Minimum! 
03:32 
PM 
Jos. 
A. 
Bank 
FREE 
Shipping, 
No 
Minimum 
on 
BLACK 
FRIDAY 
DOORBUSTERS 
07:43 
PM 
Jos. 
A. 
Bank 
Enjoy 
Incredible 
Black 
Friday 
Prices 
Now 
-­‐ 
with 
FREE 
Shipping, 
No 
Minimum!
Black Friday
Black Friday 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 
0% 
10% 
20% 
30% 
40% 
50% 
-­‐181 
-­‐177 
-­‐173 
-­‐169 
-­‐165 
-­‐161 
-­‐157 
-­‐153 
-­‐149 
-­‐145 
-­‐141 
-­‐137 
-­‐133 
-­‐129 
-­‐125 
-­‐121 
-­‐117 
-­‐113 
-­‐109 
-­‐105 
-­‐101 
-­‐97 
-­‐93 
-­‐89 
-­‐85 
-­‐81 
-­‐77 
-­‐73 
-­‐69 
-­‐65 
-­‐61 
-­‐57 
-­‐53 
-­‐49 
-­‐45 
-­‐41 
-­‐37 
-­‐33 
-­‐29 
-­‐25 
-­‐21 
-­‐17 
-­‐13 
-­‐9 
-­‐5 
-­‐1 
3 
7 
11 
15 
19 
23 
27 
31 
2011 
2012
Black Friday 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 
0% 
10% 
20% 
30% 
40% 
50% 
-­‐181 
-­‐177 
-­‐173 
-­‐169 
-­‐165 
-­‐161 
-­‐157 
-­‐153 
-­‐149 
-­‐145 
-­‐141 
-­‐137 
-­‐133 
-­‐129 
-­‐125 
-­‐121 
-­‐117 
-­‐113 
-­‐109 
-­‐105 
-­‐101 
-­‐97 
-­‐93 
-­‐89 
-­‐85 
-­‐81 
-­‐77 
-­‐73 
-­‐69 
-­‐65 
-­‐61 
-­‐57 
-­‐53 
-­‐49 
-­‐45 
-­‐41 
-­‐37 
-­‐33 
-­‐29 
-­‐25 
-­‐21 
-­‐17 
-­‐13 
-­‐9 
-­‐5 
-­‐1 
3 
7 
11 
15 
19 
23 
27 
31 
2011 
2012 
2013
Black Friday 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
-­‐30 
-­‐29 
-­‐28 
-­‐27 
-­‐26 
-­‐25 
-­‐24 
-­‐23 
-­‐22 
-­‐21 
-­‐20 
-­‐19 
-­‐18 
-­‐17 
-­‐16 
-­‐15 
-­‐14 
-­‐13 
-­‐12 
-­‐11 
-­‐10 
-­‐9 
-­‐8 
-­‐7 
-­‐6 
-­‐5 
-­‐4 
-­‐3 
-­‐2 
-­‐1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
2011 
2012 
2013
Black Friday 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
-­‐30 
-­‐29 
-­‐28 
-­‐27 
-­‐26 
-­‐25 
-­‐24 
-­‐23 
-­‐22 
-­‐21 
-­‐20 
-­‐19 
-­‐18 
-­‐17 
-­‐16 
-­‐15 
-­‐14 
-­‐13 
-­‐12 
-­‐11 
-­‐10 
-­‐9 
-­‐8 
-­‐7 
-­‐6 
-­‐5 
-­‐4 
-­‐3 
-­‐2 
-­‐1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
2011 
2012 
2013
Black Friday References: Year-Over Year Changes 
1% 
0% 
-1% 
0% 0% 0% 0% 
0% 
0% 0% 
1% 
1% 
1% 1% 
0% 
-1% 
2% 
1% 
-1% 
1% 
1% 
1% 
5% 
2% 2% 
0% 
1% 
-2% 
8% 
-1% 
0% 
7% 
-1% 
0% 
2012 vs 2011 
• More stable 
rumble 
• Steady march to 
actual day 
• Sharper post-BF 
decline
Black Friday References: Year-Over Year Changes 
1% 
0% 
-1% 
0% 0% 0% 0% 
0% 
0% 0% 
1% 
1% 
1% 1% 
0% 
-1% 
2% 
1% 
-1% 
1% 
1% 
1% 
5% 
2% 2% 
0% 
1% 
-2% 
8% 
-1% 
0% 
7% 
-1% 
0% 
-1% 
0% 
0% 
0% 
1% 
1% 
1% 
-1% 
1% 
-1% -1% -1% 
0% 
1% 
0% 1% 
2% 
1% 
2% 
1% 
0% 
3% 
3% 3% 
7% 
5% 
8% 
9% 
8% 
0% 
1% 1% 
-2% 
0% 
-30 
-29 
-28 
-27 
-26 
-25 
-24 
-23 
-22 
-21 
-20 
-19 
-18 
-17 
-16 
-15 
-14 
-13 
-12 
-11 
-10 
-9 
-8 
-7 
-6 
-5 
-4 
-3 
-2 
-1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011 
• More stable 
rumble 
• Steady march to 
actual day 
• Sharper post-BF 
decline
Black Friday References: Year-Over Year Changes 
1% 
0% 
-1% 
0% 0% 0% 0% 
0% 
0% 0% 
1% 
1% 
1% 1% 
0% 
-1% 
2% 
1% 
-1% 
1% 
1% 
1% 
5% 
2% 2% 
0% 
1% 
-2% 
8% 
-1% 
0% 
7% 
-1% 
0% 
-1% 
0% 
0% 
0% 
1% 
1% 
1% 
-1% 
1% 
-1% -1% -1% 
0% 
1% 
0% 1% 
2% 
1% 
2% 
1% 
0% 
3% 
3% 3% 
7% 
5% 
8% 
9% 
8% 
0% 
1% 1% 
-2% 
0% 
-30 
-29 
-28 
-27 
-26 
-25 
-24 
-23 
-22 
-21 
-20 
-19 
-18 
-17 
-16 
-15 
-14 
-13 
-12 
-11 
-10 
-9 
-8 
-7 
-6 
-5 
-4 
-3 
-2 
-1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011 
• More stable 
rumble 
• Steady march to 
actual day 
• Sharper post-BF 
decline
Early November Black Friday Emails 
Nov 1 SL: “Online Only: Shop Early Black Friday & Save Up To 40%!”
Early November Black Friday Emails 
Nov 1 SL: “Online Only: Shop Early Black Friday & Save Up To 40%!”
Early November Black Friday Emails 
Nov 1 SL: “Online Only: Shop Early Black Friday & Save Up To 40%!” Nov 3 SL: “Let's Fast-Forward to BLACK FRIDAY Savings!”
Early November Black Friday Emails 
Nov 1 SL: “Online Only: Shop Early Black Friday & Save Up To 40%!” Nov 3 SL: “Let's Fast-Forward to BLACK FRIDAY Savings!”
Black Friday: Email Volume 
0% 
5% 
10% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Black Friday: Email Volume 
0% 
5% 
10% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Black Friday: Email Volume 
0% 
5% 
10% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Black Friday: Email Volume 
0% 
5% 
10% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Black Friday Email Volume: YoY Changes 
-1.2% 
-1.6% 
-1.8% 
+1.5% 
-0.1% 
-1.9% 
+0.8% 
+0.4% 
+2.7% 
-0.6% 
+1.5% 
-0.2%-0 .3% 
-0.2% 
-2.3% 
+1.9%+1 .8% 
+0.5% 
0.0% 
+0.7% 
-0.4%-0 .3%-0 .3% 
-0.6% 
3% 
2% 
1% 
0% 
-1% 
-2% 
-3% 
12AM 
01AM 
02AM 
03AM 
04AM 
05AM 
06AM 
07AM 
08AM 
09AM 
10AM 
11AM 
12PM 
01PM 
02PM 
03PM 
04PM 
05PM 
06PM 
07PM 
08PM 
09PM 
10PM 
11PM
Black Friday Email Volume: YoY Changes 
-1.2% 
-1.6% 
-1.8% 
+1.5% 
-0.1% 
-1.9% 
+0.8% 
+0.4% 
+2.7% 
-0.6% 
+1.5% 
-0.2%-0 .3% 
-0.2% 
-2.3% 
+1.9%+1 .8% 
+0.5% 
0.0% 
+0.7% 
-0.4%-0 .3%-0 .3% 
-0.6% 
3% 
2% 
1% 
0% 
-1% 
-2% 
-3% 
12AM 
01AM 
02AM 
03AM 
04AM 
05AM 
06AM 
07AM 
08AM 
09AM 
10AM 
11AM 
12PM 
01PM 
02PM 
03PM 
04PM 
05PM 
06PM 
07PM 
08PM 
09PM 
10PM 
11PM
Black Friday Peak Hours 
From 
Subject 
Line 
TigerDirect.com 
Take 
$30 
Off 
Your 
Order 
+ 
100 
More 
Black 
Friday 
Deals 
Added 
UlXmate 
Outlet 
Up 
to 
90% 
Off 
Black 
Friday 
Special! 
Shop 
PBS 
Black 
Friday 
Savings: 
20% 
Off 
+ 
Free 
Shipping! 
Casa.com 
site 
Black 
Friday 
deals 
| 
15% 
-­‐ 
60% 
off 
cookware, 
decor, 
storage, 
bedding 
& 
more 
Burts 
Bees 
FREE 
Body 
Bar 
with 
your 
$20 
Black 
Friday 
purchase! 
Cooking.com 
Black 
Friday 
Blow-­‐Out! 
9am
Black Friday Peak Hours 
From 
Subject 
Line 
From 
Subject 
Line 
Linens-­‐N-­‐Things 
Last 
Chance 
to 
Save 
on 
Black 
Friday 
Deals 
| 
Croscill 
Bedding 
Sets 
Overstock.com 
FINAL 
HOURS 
BLACK 
FRIDAY 
-­‐ 
15% 
off 
Coupon 
Sephora 
Black 
Friday 
Online 
Deals 
-­‐ 
all 
weekend 
long! 
Target.com 
TODAY 
ONLY: 
Black 
Friday 
Sale 
now 
+ 
20% 
off 
coupon 
later 
NorthernTool.com 
Final 
Hours 
Black 
Friday 
Sale 
-­‐ 
Don't 
Miss 
Out 
On 
Big 
Savings! 
Bakers 
Shoes 
12 
HOURS 
LEFT!!! 
30% 
OFF 
ENTIRE 
SITE 
BLACK 
FRIDAY 
SALE!! 
Rakuten 
(Buy.com) 
Last 
Chance 
to 
Shop 
Black 
Friday 
Deals 
+ 
Save 
Up 
to 
75% 
| 
SHOP 
NOW 
TigerDirect.com 
Take 
$30 
Off 
Your 
Order 
+ 
100 
More 
Black 
Friday 
Deals 
Added 
UlXmate 
Outlet 
Up 
to 
90% 
Off 
Black 
Friday 
Special! 
Shop 
PBS 
Black 
Friday 
Savings: 
20% 
Off 
+ 
Free 
Shipping! 
Casa.com 
site 
Black 
Friday 
deals 
| 
15% 
-­‐ 
60% 
off 
cookware, 
decor, 
storage, 
bedding 
& 
more 
Burts 
Bees 
FREE 
Body 
Bar 
with 
your 
$20 
Black 
Friday 
purchase! 
Cooking.com 
Black 
Friday 
Blow-­‐Out! 
9am 
3pm
Black Friday: Emails Sent per Retailer 
2 
1.5 
1 
0.5 
0 
Thanksgiving Black Friday Cyber Monday 
2011 2012 2013
Black Friday: Emails Sent per Retailer 
77% 
21% 
2% 1% 0.0% 0.0% 
74% 
22% 
4% 
0% 0.0% 0.4% 
62% 
31% 
5% 
1% 0.4% 0.0% 
1 2 3 4 5 6 
2011 2012 2013
Black Friday: Emails Sent per Retailer 
77% 
21% 
2% 1% 0.0% 0.0% 
74% 
22% 
4% 
0% 0.0% 0.4% 
62% 
31% 
5% 
1% 0.4% 0.0% 
1 2 3 4 5 6 
2011 2012 2013
A 4-email Black Friday 
Sent 
From 
Subject 
Line 
05:09 
AM 
Brookstone 
BOGO 
50% 
In-­‐Store 
Deals 
RIGHT 
NOW! 
08:24 
AM 
Brookstone 
$15 
OFF 
$49... 
$25 
OFF 
$99... 
ENDS 
TONIGHT 
12:11 
PM 
Brookstone 
Best 
Gics 
Under 
$35 
04:21 
PM 
Brookstone 
$15 
OFF 
$49... 
$25 
OFF 
$99... 
HOURS 
LEFT
A 4-email Black Friday 
Sent 
From 
Subject 
Line 
05:09 
AM 
Brookstone 
BOGO 
50% 
In-­‐Store 
Deals 
RIGHT 
NOW! 
08:24 
AM 
Brookstone 
$15 
OFF 
$49... 
$25 
OFF 
$99... 
ENDS 
TONIGHT 
12:11 
PM 
Brookstone 
Best 
Gics 
Under 
$35 
04:21 
PM 
Brookstone 
$15 
OFF 
$49... 
$25 
OFF 
$99... 
HOURS 
LEFT
Cyber Monday
Cyber Monday 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 
0% 
10% 
20% 
30% 
40% 
-­‐184 
-­‐180 
-­‐176 
-­‐172 
-­‐168 
-­‐164 
-­‐160 
-­‐156 
-­‐152 
-­‐148 
-­‐144 
-­‐140 
-­‐136 
-­‐132 
-­‐128 
-­‐124 
-­‐120 
-­‐116 
-­‐112 
-­‐108 
-­‐104 
-­‐100 
-­‐96 
-­‐92 
-­‐88 
-­‐84 
-­‐80 
-­‐76 
-­‐72 
-­‐68 
-­‐64 
-­‐60 
-­‐56 
-­‐52 
-­‐48 
-­‐44 
-­‐40 
-­‐36 
-­‐32 
-­‐28 
-­‐24 
-­‐20 
-­‐16 
-­‐12 
-­‐8 
-­‐4 
0 
4 
8 
12 
16 
20 
24 
28 
2011 
2012 
2013
Cyber Monday 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
-­‐30 
-­‐29 
-­‐28 
-­‐27 
-­‐26 
-­‐25 
-­‐24 
-­‐23 
-­‐22 
-­‐21 
-­‐20 
-­‐19 
-­‐18 
-­‐17 
-­‐16 
-­‐15 
-­‐14 
-­‐13 
-­‐12 
-­‐11 
-­‐10 
-­‐9 
-­‐8 
-­‐7 
-­‐6 
-­‐5 
-­‐4 
-­‐3 
-­‐2 
-­‐1 
0 
1 
2 
2011 
2012 
2013
Cyber Monday References: Year-Over Year Changes 
0.0% 0.0% 
-0.8% 
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 
-0.2% 
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 
-0.4% 
0.0% 0.0% 
0.5% 0.5% 
0.0% 0.0% 
-1.7% 
0.5% 
0.0% 0.0% 
0.3% 
-0.3% 
4.3% 
1.6% 
3.8% 
-1.5% 
0.4% 
• Early starts 
continue beyond 
Sunday 
• Less burst +/- 1Day 
• Cyber Week 
trends extend 
Cyber Monday 
2012 vs 2011
Cyber Monday References: Year-Over Year Changes 
0.0%0. 0% 
0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 
-0.8% 
0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 
-0.2% 
0.0%0. 0% 
-0.4% 
0.5%0. 5% 
0.0%0. 0% 
0.5% 
-1.7% 
0.3% 
0.0%0. 0% 
4.3% 
-0.3% 
3.8% 
1.6% 
0.4% 
-1.5% 
0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 
0.0% 
-0.1% 
0.5% 
0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 
0.0%0. 0% 
-0.5-%0. 5% 
0.0%0. 0% 
0.0%0. 0% 
0.7% 
-0.3% 
1.1% 
-0.2-%0. 2-%0. 2% 
-30 
-29 
-28 
-27 
-26 
-25 
-24 
-23 
-22 
-21 
-20 
-19 
-18 
-17 
-16 
-15 
-14 
-13 
-12 
-11 
-10 
-9 
-8 
-7 
-6 
-5 
-4 
-3 
-2 
-1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
• Early starts 
continue beyond 
Sunday 
• Less burst +/- 1Day 
• Cyber Week 
trends extend 
Cyber Monday 
2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011
Cyber Monday References: Year-Over Year Changes 
0.0%0. 0% 
0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 
-0.8% 
0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 
-0.2% 
0.0%0. 0% 
-0.4% 
0.5%0. 5% 
0.0%0. 0% 
0.5% 
-1.7% 
0.3% 
0.0%0. 0% 
4.3% 
-0.3% 
3.8% 
1.6% 
0.4% 
-1.5% 
0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 
0.0% 
-0.1% 
0.5% 
0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 
0.0%0. 0% 
-0.5-%0. 5% 
0.0%0. 0% 
0.0%0. 0% 
0.7% 
-0.3% 
1.1% 
-0.2-%0. 2-%0. 2% 
-30 
-29 
-28 
-27 
-26 
-25 
-24 
-23 
-22 
-21 
-20 
-19 
-18 
-17 
-16 
-15 
-14 
-13 
-12 
-11 
-10 
-9 
-8 
-7 
-6 
-5 
-4 
-3 
-2 
-1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
• Early starts 
continue beyond 
Sunday 
• Less burst +/- 1Day 
• Cyber Week 
trends extend 
Cyber Monday 
2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011
Cyber Monday: Email Volume 
0% 
2% 
4% 
6% 
8% 
10% 
12% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Cyber Monday: Email Volume 
0% 
2% 
4% 
6% 
8% 
10% 
12% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Cyber Monday: Email Volume 
0% 
2% 
4% 
6% 
8% 
10% 
12% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Cyber Monday: Email Volume 
0% 
2% 
4% 
6% 
8% 
10% 
12% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Cyber Monday: Email Volume 
0% 
2% 
4% 
6% 
8% 
10% 
12% 
11 PM 
10 PM 
09 PM 
08 PM 
07 PM 
06 PM 
05 PM 
04 PM 
03 PM 
02 PM 
01 PM 
12 PM 
11 AM 
10 AM 
09 AM 
08 AM 
07 AM 
06 AM 
05 AM 
04 AM 
03 AM 
02 AM 
01 AM 
12 AM 
2011 2012 2013
Cyber Monday Email Volume: YoY Changes 
-0.5% 
-1.1% 
-0.3% 
-1.8% -1.7% 
+0.2% 
-0.8% 
+3.1% 
-2.6% 
-1.2% 
-0.4% 
+2.7% 
-1.7% 
+1.2% 
+0.6% 
-2.8% 
+1.6% 
-0.2% 
+3.2% 
+2.9% 
+0.7% 
-0.8% 
-0.1% -0.1% 
4% 
3% 
2% 
1% 
0% 
-1% 
-2% 
-3% 
-4% 
12AM 
01AM 
02AM 
03AM 
04AM 
05AM 
06AM 
07AM 
08AM 
09AM 
10AM 
11AM 
12PM 
01PM 
02PM 
03PM 
04PM 
05PM 
06PM 
07PM 
08PM 
09PM 
10PM 
11PM
Cyber Monday Email Volume: YoY Changes 
-0.5% 
-1.1% 
-0.3% 
-1.8% -1.7% 
+0.2% 
-0.8% 
+3.1% 
-2.6% 
-1.2% 
-0.4% 
+2.7% 
-1.7% 
+1.2% 
+0.6% 
-2.8% 
+1.6% 
-0.2% 
+3.2% 
+2.9% 
+0.7% 
-0.8% 
-0.1% -0.1% 
4% 
3% 
2% 
1% 
0% 
-1% 
-2% 
-3% 
-4% 
12AM 
01AM 
02AM 
03AM 
04AM 
05AM 
06AM 
07AM 
08AM 
09AM 
10AM 
11AM 
12PM 
01PM 
02PM 
03PM 
04PM 
05PM 
06PM 
07PM 
08PM 
09PM 
10PM 
11PM
Cyber Monday Peak Hours: 7am 
7:01 am SL: “Last Day To Save Up To 30% Off Sitewide & 
Receive Free Shipping” 
7:03 am SL: “Online exclusive! Monday only. Second helping of 
Holiday Coupons at Rooms To Go.”
Cyber Monday Peak Hours: 7am 
7:01 am SL: “Last Day To Save Up To 30% Off Sitewide & 
Receive Free Shipping” 
7:03 am SL: “Online exclusive! Monday only. Second helping of 
Holiday Coupons at Rooms To Go.”
Cyber Monday Peak Hours: 7am 
7:01 am SL: “Last Day To Save Up To 30% Off Sitewide & 
Receive Free Shipping” 
7:03 am SL: “Online exclusive! Monday only. Second helping of 
Holiday Coupons at Rooms To Go.”
Cyber Monday Peak Hours: 6-8pm
Cyber Monday: Emails Sent per Retailer 
2 
1.5 
1 
0.5 
0 
Thanksgiving Black Friday Cyber Monday 
2011 2012 2013
Cyber Monday: Emails Sent per Retailer 
71% 
24% 
4% 
1% 0.0% 0.0% 
62% 
28% 
8% 
1% 0.4% 0.4% 
48% 
39% 
10% 
2% 1% 0.4% 
1 2 3 4 5 6 
2011 2012 2013
Cyber Monday: Emails Sent per Retailer 
71% 
24% 
4% 
1% 0.0% 0.0% 
62% 
28% 
8% 
1% 0.4% 0.4% 
48% 
39% 
10% 
2% 1% 0.4% 
1 2 3 4 5 6 
2011 2012 2013
A 5-Email Cyber Monday 
Sent 
From 
Subject 
12:31 
AM 
bebe 
30% 
OFF 
ENTIRE 
SITE 
-­‐ 
Shop 
Cyber 
Monday 
now! 
08:03 
AM 
bebe 
CYBER 
MONDAY: 
30% 
off, 
free 
shipping 
& 
fab 
gic! 
02:01 
PM 
bebe 
TODAY: 
30% 
off 
endre 
site 
+ 
deeper 
discounts 
07:01 
PM 
bebe 
Tick, 
tock...FINAL 
HOURS 
for 
30% 
off! 
11:01 
PM 
bebe 
LAST 
CHANCE! 
30% 
off 
endre 
site 
+ 
free 
shipping 
on 
ALL 
orders
A 5-Email Cyber Monday 
Sent 
From 
Subject 
12:31 
AM 
bebe 
30% 
OFF 
ENTIRE 
SITE 
-­‐ 
Shop 
Cyber 
Monday 
now! 
08:03 
AM 
bebe 
CYBER 
MONDAY: 
30% 
off, 
free 
shipping 
& 
fab 
gic! 
02:01 
PM 
bebe 
TODAY: 
30% 
off 
endre 
site 
+ 
deeper 
discounts 
07:01 
PM 
bebe 
Tick, 
tock...FINAL 
HOURS 
for 
30% 
off! 
11:01 
PM 
bebe 
LAST 
CHANCE! 
30% 
off 
endre 
site 
+ 
free 
shipping 
on 
ALL 
orders
What did we learn?
What did we learn? 
Thanksgiving 
Day
What did we learn? 
Thanksgiving 
Day 
Expect 
early 
November 
kick-­‐off 
Prepare 
for 
overlapping 
themes 
An8cipate 
late 
day 
traffic 
spikes
What did we learn? 
Thanksgiving 
Day 
Black 
Friday 
Expect 
early 
November 
kick-­‐off 
Prepare 
for 
overlapping 
themes 
An8cipate 
late 
day 
traffic 
spikes 
Don’t 
bury 
your 
message 
Ready 
your 
Black 
Friday 
narra8ve 
Cover 
your 
mobile 
bases
What did we learn? 
Thanksgiving 
Day 
Black 
Friday 
Cyber 
Monday 
Expect 
early 
November 
kick-­‐off 
Prepare 
for 
overlapping 
themes 
An8cipate 
late 
day 
traffic 
spikes 
Don’t 
bury 
your 
message 
Ready 
your 
Black 
Friday 
narra8ve 
Cover 
your 
mobile 
bases 
Strategically 
remail 
Make 
a 
“Cyber 
Week” 
decision 
Prepare 
your 
post-­‐Cyber 
Monday 
plan
§ Speaking to mobile shoppers 
§ Messaging multi-channel offers 
§ Remailing dos and don’ts 
§ Clever holiday themes 
§ Total misses 
…and more! 
bronto.com/holidays 
2013 Holiday Lookbooks
Questions? 
Holiday Hysteria: 
Plan For Perfection But 
Prepare For 
Pandemonium 
Jim Davidson 
Director of Research 
@JimSaidIt #HolidayCCS 
bronto.com/holidays
#HolidayCCS 
Q&A
#HolidayCCS 
Q 
& 
A 
Jim Davidson 
Director of Research, 
Bronto Software 
MODERATOR 
Alicia Fiorletta 
Senior Editor, 
Retail TouchPoints
Thank 
You 
For 
Joining 
Us 
#HolidayCCS 
The next session in this series… 
Holiday 
Retail 
Readiness: 
Preparing 
For 
Peak 
12PM 
ET 
/ 
9AM 
PT 
ccs.retailtouchpoints.com/holiday-2014

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Holiday Hysteria: Plan For Perfection But Prepare For Pandemonium

  • 1. HOLIDAY HYSTERIA: Plan For Perfec8on But Prepare For Pandemonium Presented by Sponsored by
  • 2. About Holiday CCS 2014 ü 7 Webinars, 4 Days ü Sessions covering Store Ops, X-Channel, Loyalty, Big Data & more #HolidayCCS ü Featuring industry analysts and consultants ü Free for Retail executives http://ccs.retailtouchpoints.com/holiday-2014
  • 3. Follow The Webcast On Twi=er #HolidayCCS #HolidayCCS @ConnectConsumer @Bronto @RTouchPoints
  • 4. About Retail TouchPoints ü Launched in 2007 ü More than 28,000 subscribers ü Provide executives with relevant, insightful content ü Free Resources such as White Papers, E-book, Webinars, Research and Podcasts www.RetailTouchPoints.com #HolidayCCS
  • 6. #HolidayCCS Today’s Panelists Jim Davidson Director of Research, Bronto Software MODERATOR Alicia Fiorletta Senior Editor, Retail TouchPoints
  • 7. Holiday Hysteria: Plan For Perfection But Prepare For Pandemonium Jim Davidson Director of Research @JimSaidIt #HolidayCCS bronto.com/holidays
  • 8.
  • 10. Today ééé -­‐73 Days +73 Days êêê
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Stores Open GiEs Under $20 Shop by Price Doorbusters GiE Guides Online Only Stores Open Late Days of Saving Stores Closed Shop for Him/Her Guaranteed Delivery Shipping Deadlines In-­‐Store Only GiE Cards Flash Sale
  • 24.
  • 25. But I Don’t Wanna!!!
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Thanksgiving, Black Friday & Cyber Monday Sales $633 $1,042 $1,465 $766 $1,198 $1,735 Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 28) Black Friday (Nov. 29) Cyber Monday (Dec. 2) 2012 2013 comScore, 2013
  • 29. TG, BF, CM Sales: Year-Over-Year Changes 32% comScore, 2013 2011-12 Change 2012-13 Change 28% 17% 21% 15% 18% Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 28) Black Friday (Nov. 29) Cyber Monday (Dec. 2)
  • 30. TG, BF, CM Sales: Year-Over-Year Changes 32% comScore, 2013 2011-12 Change 2012-13 Change 28% 17% 21% 15% 18% Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 28) Black Friday (Nov. 29) Cyber Monday (Dec. 2)
  • 31. TG, BF, CM Sales: Year-Over-Year Changes 32% comScore, 2013 2011-12 Change 2012-13 Change 28% 17% 21% 15% 18% Thanksgiving Day (Nov. 28) Black Friday (Nov. 29) Cyber Monday (Dec. 2)
  • 36. Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% -­‐180 -­‐176 -­‐172 -­‐168 -­‐164 -­‐160 -­‐156 -­‐152 -­‐148 -­‐144 -­‐140 -­‐136 -­‐132 -­‐128 -­‐124 -­‐120 -­‐116 -­‐112 -­‐108 -­‐104 -­‐100 -­‐96 -­‐92 -­‐88 -­‐84 -­‐80 -­‐76 -­‐72 -­‐68 -­‐64 -­‐60 -­‐56 -­‐52 -­‐48 -­‐44 -­‐40 -­‐36 -­‐32 -­‐28 -­‐24 -­‐20 -­‐16 -­‐12 -­‐8 -­‐4 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 2011
  • 37. Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% -­‐180 -­‐176 -­‐172 -­‐168 -­‐164 -­‐160 -­‐156 -­‐152 -­‐148 -­‐144 -­‐140 -­‐136 -­‐132 -­‐128 -­‐124 -­‐120 -­‐116 -­‐112 -­‐108 -­‐104 -­‐100 -­‐96 -­‐92 -­‐88 -­‐84 -­‐80 -­‐76 -­‐72 -­‐68 -­‐64 -­‐60 -­‐56 -­‐52 -­‐48 -­‐44 -­‐40 -­‐36 -­‐32 -­‐28 -­‐24 -­‐20 -­‐16 -­‐12 -­‐8 -­‐4 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 2011 2012
  • 38. Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% -­‐180 -­‐176 -­‐172 -­‐168 -­‐164 -­‐160 -­‐156 -­‐152 -­‐148 -­‐144 -­‐140 -­‐136 -­‐132 -­‐128 -­‐124 -­‐120 -­‐116 -­‐112 -­‐108 -­‐104 -­‐100 -­‐96 -­‐92 -­‐88 -­‐84 -­‐80 -­‐76 -­‐72 -­‐68 -­‐64 -­‐60 -­‐56 -­‐52 -­‐48 -­‐44 -­‐40 -­‐36 -­‐32 -­‐28 -­‐24 -­‐20 -­‐16 -­‐12 -­‐8 -­‐4 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 2011 2012 2013
  • 39. Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% -­‐180 -­‐176 -­‐172 -­‐168 -­‐164 -­‐160 -­‐156 -­‐152 -­‐148 -­‐144 -­‐140 -­‐136 -­‐132 -­‐128 -­‐124 -­‐120 -­‐116 -­‐112 -­‐108 -­‐104 -­‐100 -­‐96 -­‐92 -­‐88 -­‐84 -­‐80 -­‐76 -­‐72 -­‐68 -­‐64 -­‐60 -­‐56 -­‐52 -­‐48 -­‐44 -­‐40 -­‐36 -­‐32 -­‐28 -­‐24 -­‐20 -­‐16 -­‐12 -­‐8 -­‐4 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 2011 2012 2013
  • 40. Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -­‐30 -­‐29 -­‐28 -­‐27 -­‐26 -­‐25 -­‐24 -­‐23 -­‐22 -­‐21 -­‐20 -­‐19 -­‐18 -­‐17 -­‐16 -­‐15 -­‐14 -­‐13 -­‐12 -­‐11 -­‐10 -­‐9 -­‐8 -­‐7 -­‐6 -­‐5 -­‐4 -­‐3 -­‐2 -­‐1 0 1 2 3 4 2011
  • 41. Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -­‐30 -­‐29 -­‐28 -­‐27 -­‐26 -­‐25 -­‐24 -­‐23 -­‐22 -­‐21 -­‐20 -­‐19 -­‐18 -­‐17 -­‐16 -­‐15 -­‐14 -­‐13 -­‐12 -­‐11 -­‐10 -­‐9 -­‐8 -­‐7 -­‐6 -­‐5 -­‐4 -­‐3 -­‐2 -­‐1 0 1 2 3 4 2011 2012
  • 42. Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -­‐30 -­‐29 -­‐28 -­‐27 -­‐26 -­‐25 -­‐24 -­‐23 -­‐22 -­‐21 -­‐20 -­‐19 -­‐18 -­‐17 -­‐16 -­‐15 -­‐14 -­‐13 -­‐12 -­‐11 -­‐10 -­‐9 -­‐8 -­‐7 -­‐6 -­‐5 -­‐4 -­‐3 -­‐2 -­‐1 0 1 2 3 4 2011 2012 2013
  • 43. Thanksgiving 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out • Earlier buzz • YoY references dip Thanksgiving Week • 2013 midway between previous years 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -­‐30 -­‐29 -­‐28 -­‐27 -­‐26 -­‐25 -­‐24 -­‐23 -­‐22 -­‐21 -­‐20 -­‐19 -­‐18 -­‐17 -­‐16 -­‐15 -­‐14 -­‐13 -­‐12 -­‐11 -­‐10 -­‐9 -­‐8 -­‐7 -­‐6 -­‐5 -­‐4 -­‐3 -­‐2 -­‐1 0 1 2 3 4 2011 2012 2013
  • 44. Thanksgiving References: Year-Over Year Changes 0.0% -0.9% 0.0% -2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% -1.6% 0.2% -0.2% 0.0% -0.4% -0.9% -1.6% -1.3% 0.7% 1.3% 5.0% 0.0% 1.3% -1.5% 0.7% -1.4% 0.4% -1.4% -1.5% -1.7% -1.7% -3.6% -1.2% -6.1% -0.3% -1.9% • Stronger early push • Bigger bumps -10 Days • More dedicated emails on Thanksgiving Day 2012 vs 2011
  • 45. Thanksgiving References: Year-Over Year Changes 0.0% -0.9% 0.0% -2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% -1.6% 0.2% -0.2% 0.0% -0.4% -0.9% -1.6% -1.3% 0.7% 1.3% 5.0% 0.0% 1.3% -1.5% 0.7% -1.4% 0.4% -1.4% -1.5% -1.7% -1.7% -3.6% -1.2% -6.1% -0.3% -1.9% 0.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% -0.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% -0.2% -0.6% 0.3% -1.4% -3.5% 1.4% 1.0% -1.0% 1.9% -1.2% 1.1% -0.3%-0 .2% 1.1% -1.7% 3.5% 0.1% -0.3% 1.8% -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 • Stronger early push • Bigger bumps -10 Days • More dedicated emails on Thanksgiving Day 2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011
  • 46. Thanksgiving References: Year-Over Year Changes 0.0% -0.9% 0.0% -2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% -1.6% 0.2% -0.2% 0.0% -0.4% -0.9% -1.6% -1.3% 0.7% 1.3% 5.0% 0.0% 1.3% -1.5% 0.7% -1.4% 0.4% -1.4% -1.5% -1.7% -1.7% -3.6% -1.2% -6.1% -0.3% -1.9% 0.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% 1.9% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% -0.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% -0.2% -0.6% 0.3% -1.4% -3.5% 1.4% 1.0% -1.0% 1.9% -1.2% 1.1% -0.3%-0 .2% 1.1% -1.7% 3.5% 0.1% -0.3% 1.8% -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 • Stronger early push • Bigger bumps -10 Days • More dedicated emails on Thanksgiving Day 2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011
  • 47. Early November Thanksgiving Promotions Nov 9 SL: “Thanksgiving sale PLUS 20% off everything” Nov 22 SL: “Extra 25% OFF Thanksgiving Preview Sale! Order Early for A Stress-Free Holiday”
  • 48. Thanksgiving Day: Email Volume 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 49. Thanksgiving Day: Email Volume 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 50. Thanksgiving Day: Email Volume 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 51. Thanksgiving Day: Email Volume 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 52. Thanksgiving Day Email Volume: YoY Changes +0.5% -2.6% -0.6% +0.2% -1.7% -2.2% +3.4% -3.5% +1.1% -0.2% -0.6% +0.8% -0.1% +1.2% +1.5% -0.9% +0.4% -2.8% +5.0% +0.8% +0.3% +0.2% -0.9% +0.8% 5% 3% 1% -1% -3% -5% 12AM 01AM 02AM 03AM 04AM 05AM 06AM 07AM 08AM 09AM 10AM 11AM 12PM 01PM 02PM 03PM 04PM 05PM 06PM 07PM 08PM 09PM 10PM 11PM
  • 53. Thanksgiving Day Email Volume: YoY Changes +0.5% -2.6% -0.6% +0.2% -1.7% -2.2% +3.4% -3.5% +1.1% -0.2% -0.6% +0.8% -0.1% +1.2% +1.5% -0.9% +0.4% -2.8% +5.0% +0.8% +0.3% +0.2% -0.9% +0.8% 5% 3% 1% -1% -3% -5% 12AM 01AM 02AM 03AM 04AM 05AM 06AM 07AM 08AM 09AM 10AM 11AM 12PM 01PM 02PM 03PM 04PM 05PM 06PM 07PM 08PM 09PM 10PM 11PM
  • 54. Thanksgiving Early AM 7am SL: “50% Off One Item! Happy Thanksgiving!”
  • 55. Thanksgiving Early AM 7am SL: “50% Off One Item! Happy Thanksgiving!” 7am SL: “Online Exclusive - Enjoy up to 20% Off During our Thanksgiving Sale + Enjoy 30% Off Select Men's and Women's Sweaters”
  • 56. Thanksgiving Early AM 7am SL: “50% Off One Item! Happy Thanksgiving!” 7am SL: “Online Exclusive - Enjoy up to 20% Off During our Thanksgiving Sale + Enjoy 30% Off Select Men's and Women's Sweaters”
  • 57. Thanksgiving Evening 6:05pm SL: “Psst! 50% OFF Everything + FREE Ship, No Min Starts TONIGHT!” 6:40pm SL: “Black Friday Starts NOW! Get 50% Off Everything + Freebies!”
  • 58. Thanksgiving Evening 6:05pm SL: “Psst! 50% OFF Everything + FREE Ship, No Min Starts TONIGHT!” 6:40pm SL: “Black Friday Starts NOW! Get 50% Off Everything + Freebies!” Store hours? Store Locators?
  • 59. Thanksgiving Day: Emails Sent per Retailer 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Thanksgiving Black Friday Cyber Monday 2011 2012 2013
  • 60. Thanksgiving Day: Emails Sent per Retailer 82% 17% 1% 1% 71% 27% 1% 0% 68% 26% 4% 2% 1 2 3 4 2011 2012 2013
  • 61. Thanksgiving Day: Emails Sent per Retailer 82% 17% 1% 1% 71% 27% 1% 0% 68% 26% 4% 2% 1 2 3 4 2011 2012 2013
  • 62. Thanksgiving Day: Emails Sent per Retailer 82% 17% 1% 1% 71% 27% 1% 0% 68% 26% 4% 2% 1 2 3 4 2011 2012 2013
  • 63. A 4-Email Thanksgiving Sent From Subject Line 06:12 AM Jos. A. Bank Happy Thanksgiving -­‐ Enjoy Over 30 BLACK FRIDAY DOORBUSTERS Today with FREE Shipping, No Minimum! 10:40 AM Jos. A. Bank Select from Over 30 DOORBUSTERS Plus Enjoy FREE Shipping, No Minimum! 03:32 PM Jos. A. Bank FREE Shipping, No Minimum on BLACK FRIDAY DOORBUSTERS 07:43 PM Jos. A. Bank Enjoy Incredible Black Friday Prices Now -­‐ with FREE Shipping, No Minimum!
  • 64. A 4-Email Thanksgiving Sent From Subject Line 06:12 AM Jos. A. Bank Happy Thanksgiving -­‐ Enjoy Over 30 BLACK FRIDAY DOORBUSTERS Today with FREE Shipping, No Minimum! 10:40 AM Jos. A. Bank Select from Over 30 DOORBUSTERS Plus Enjoy FREE Shipping, No Minimum! 03:32 PM Jos. A. Bank FREE Shipping, No Minimum on BLACK FRIDAY DOORBUSTERS 07:43 PM Jos. A. Bank Enjoy Incredible Black Friday Prices Now -­‐ with FREE Shipping, No Minimum!
  • 66. Black Friday 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -­‐181 -­‐177 -­‐173 -­‐169 -­‐165 -­‐161 -­‐157 -­‐153 -­‐149 -­‐145 -­‐141 -­‐137 -­‐133 -­‐129 -­‐125 -­‐121 -­‐117 -­‐113 -­‐109 -­‐105 -­‐101 -­‐97 -­‐93 -­‐89 -­‐85 -­‐81 -­‐77 -­‐73 -­‐69 -­‐65 -­‐61 -­‐57 -­‐53 -­‐49 -­‐45 -­‐41 -­‐37 -­‐33 -­‐29 -­‐25 -­‐21 -­‐17 -­‐13 -­‐9 -­‐5 -­‐1 3 7 11 15 19 23 27 31 2011 2012
  • 67. Black Friday 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% -­‐181 -­‐177 -­‐173 -­‐169 -­‐165 -­‐161 -­‐157 -­‐153 -­‐149 -­‐145 -­‐141 -­‐137 -­‐133 -­‐129 -­‐125 -­‐121 -­‐117 -­‐113 -­‐109 -­‐105 -­‐101 -­‐97 -­‐93 -­‐89 -­‐85 -­‐81 -­‐77 -­‐73 -­‐69 -­‐65 -­‐61 -­‐57 -­‐53 -­‐49 -­‐45 -­‐41 -­‐37 -­‐33 -­‐29 -­‐25 -­‐21 -­‐17 -­‐13 -­‐9 -­‐5 -­‐1 3 7 11 15 19 23 27 31 2011 2012 2013
  • 68. Black Friday 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -­‐30 -­‐29 -­‐28 -­‐27 -­‐26 -­‐25 -­‐24 -­‐23 -­‐22 -­‐21 -­‐20 -­‐19 -­‐18 -­‐17 -­‐16 -­‐15 -­‐14 -­‐13 -­‐12 -­‐11 -­‐10 -­‐9 -­‐8 -­‐7 -­‐6 -­‐5 -­‐4 -­‐3 -­‐2 -­‐1 0 1 2 3 2011 2012 2013
  • 69. Black Friday 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -­‐30 -­‐29 -­‐28 -­‐27 -­‐26 -­‐25 -­‐24 -­‐23 -­‐22 -­‐21 -­‐20 -­‐19 -­‐18 -­‐17 -­‐16 -­‐15 -­‐14 -­‐13 -­‐12 -­‐11 -­‐10 -­‐9 -­‐8 -­‐7 -­‐6 -­‐5 -­‐4 -­‐3 -­‐2 -­‐1 0 1 2 3 2011 2012 2013
  • 70. Black Friday References: Year-Over Year Changes 1% 0% -1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% -1% 2% 1% -1% 1% 1% 1% 5% 2% 2% 0% 1% -2% 8% -1% 0% 7% -1% 0% 2012 vs 2011 • More stable rumble • Steady march to actual day • Sharper post-BF decline
  • 71. Black Friday References: Year-Over Year Changes 1% 0% -1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% -1% 2% 1% -1% 1% 1% 1% 5% 2% 2% 0% 1% -2% 8% -1% 0% 7% -1% 0% -1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% -1% 1% -1% -1% -1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 3% 3% 7% 5% 8% 9% 8% 0% 1% 1% -2% 0% -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011 • More stable rumble • Steady march to actual day • Sharper post-BF decline
  • 72. Black Friday References: Year-Over Year Changes 1% 0% -1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% -1% 2% 1% -1% 1% 1% 1% 5% 2% 2% 0% 1% -2% 8% -1% 0% 7% -1% 0% -1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% -1% 1% -1% -1% -1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 3% 3% 7% 5% 8% 9% 8% 0% 1% 1% -2% 0% -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011 • More stable rumble • Steady march to actual day • Sharper post-BF decline
  • 73. Early November Black Friday Emails Nov 1 SL: “Online Only: Shop Early Black Friday & Save Up To 40%!”
  • 74. Early November Black Friday Emails Nov 1 SL: “Online Only: Shop Early Black Friday & Save Up To 40%!”
  • 75. Early November Black Friday Emails Nov 1 SL: “Online Only: Shop Early Black Friday & Save Up To 40%!” Nov 3 SL: “Let's Fast-Forward to BLACK FRIDAY Savings!”
  • 76. Early November Black Friday Emails Nov 1 SL: “Online Only: Shop Early Black Friday & Save Up To 40%!” Nov 3 SL: “Let's Fast-Forward to BLACK FRIDAY Savings!”
  • 77. Black Friday: Email Volume 0% 5% 10% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 78. Black Friday: Email Volume 0% 5% 10% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 79. Black Friday: Email Volume 0% 5% 10% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 80. Black Friday: Email Volume 0% 5% 10% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 81. Black Friday Email Volume: YoY Changes -1.2% -1.6% -1.8% +1.5% -0.1% -1.9% +0.8% +0.4% +2.7% -0.6% +1.5% -0.2%-0 .3% -0.2% -2.3% +1.9%+1 .8% +0.5% 0.0% +0.7% -0.4%-0 .3%-0 .3% -0.6% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% 12AM 01AM 02AM 03AM 04AM 05AM 06AM 07AM 08AM 09AM 10AM 11AM 12PM 01PM 02PM 03PM 04PM 05PM 06PM 07PM 08PM 09PM 10PM 11PM
  • 82. Black Friday Email Volume: YoY Changes -1.2% -1.6% -1.8% +1.5% -0.1% -1.9% +0.8% +0.4% +2.7% -0.6% +1.5% -0.2%-0 .3% -0.2% -2.3% +1.9%+1 .8% +0.5% 0.0% +0.7% -0.4%-0 .3%-0 .3% -0.6% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% 12AM 01AM 02AM 03AM 04AM 05AM 06AM 07AM 08AM 09AM 10AM 11AM 12PM 01PM 02PM 03PM 04PM 05PM 06PM 07PM 08PM 09PM 10PM 11PM
  • 83. Black Friday Peak Hours From Subject Line TigerDirect.com Take $30 Off Your Order + 100 More Black Friday Deals Added UlXmate Outlet Up to 90% Off Black Friday Special! Shop PBS Black Friday Savings: 20% Off + Free Shipping! Casa.com site Black Friday deals | 15% -­‐ 60% off cookware, decor, storage, bedding & more Burts Bees FREE Body Bar with your $20 Black Friday purchase! Cooking.com Black Friday Blow-­‐Out! 9am
  • 84. Black Friday Peak Hours From Subject Line From Subject Line Linens-­‐N-­‐Things Last Chance to Save on Black Friday Deals | Croscill Bedding Sets Overstock.com FINAL HOURS BLACK FRIDAY -­‐ 15% off Coupon Sephora Black Friday Online Deals -­‐ all weekend long! Target.com TODAY ONLY: Black Friday Sale now + 20% off coupon later NorthernTool.com Final Hours Black Friday Sale -­‐ Don't Miss Out On Big Savings! Bakers Shoes 12 HOURS LEFT!!! 30% OFF ENTIRE SITE BLACK FRIDAY SALE!! Rakuten (Buy.com) Last Chance to Shop Black Friday Deals + Save Up to 75% | SHOP NOW TigerDirect.com Take $30 Off Your Order + 100 More Black Friday Deals Added UlXmate Outlet Up to 90% Off Black Friday Special! Shop PBS Black Friday Savings: 20% Off + Free Shipping! Casa.com site Black Friday deals | 15% -­‐ 60% off cookware, decor, storage, bedding & more Burts Bees FREE Body Bar with your $20 Black Friday purchase! Cooking.com Black Friday Blow-­‐Out! 9am 3pm
  • 85. Black Friday: Emails Sent per Retailer 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Thanksgiving Black Friday Cyber Monday 2011 2012 2013
  • 86. Black Friday: Emails Sent per Retailer 77% 21% 2% 1% 0.0% 0.0% 74% 22% 4% 0% 0.0% 0.4% 62% 31% 5% 1% 0.4% 0.0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 2011 2012 2013
  • 87. Black Friday: Emails Sent per Retailer 77% 21% 2% 1% 0.0% 0.0% 74% 22% 4% 0% 0.0% 0.4% 62% 31% 5% 1% 0.4% 0.0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 2011 2012 2013
  • 88. A 4-email Black Friday Sent From Subject Line 05:09 AM Brookstone BOGO 50% In-­‐Store Deals RIGHT NOW! 08:24 AM Brookstone $15 OFF $49... $25 OFF $99... ENDS TONIGHT 12:11 PM Brookstone Best Gics Under $35 04:21 PM Brookstone $15 OFF $49... $25 OFF $99... HOURS LEFT
  • 89. A 4-email Black Friday Sent From Subject Line 05:09 AM Brookstone BOGO 50% In-­‐Store Deals RIGHT NOW! 08:24 AM Brookstone $15 OFF $49... $25 OFF $99... ENDS TONIGHT 12:11 PM Brookstone Best Gics Under $35 04:21 PM Brookstone $15 OFF $49... $25 OFF $99... HOURS LEFT
  • 91. Cyber Monday 2013 Trends: 180 Days Out 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% -­‐184 -­‐180 -­‐176 -­‐172 -­‐168 -­‐164 -­‐160 -­‐156 -­‐152 -­‐148 -­‐144 -­‐140 -­‐136 -­‐132 -­‐128 -­‐124 -­‐120 -­‐116 -­‐112 -­‐108 -­‐104 -­‐100 -­‐96 -­‐92 -­‐88 -­‐84 -­‐80 -­‐76 -­‐72 -­‐68 -­‐64 -­‐60 -­‐56 -­‐52 -­‐48 -­‐44 -­‐40 -­‐36 -­‐32 -­‐28 -­‐24 -­‐20 -­‐16 -­‐12 -­‐8 -­‐4 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 2011 2012 2013
  • 92. Cyber Monday 2013 Trends: 30 Days Out 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -­‐30 -­‐29 -­‐28 -­‐27 -­‐26 -­‐25 -­‐24 -­‐23 -­‐22 -­‐21 -­‐20 -­‐19 -­‐18 -­‐17 -­‐16 -­‐15 -­‐14 -­‐13 -­‐12 -­‐11 -­‐10 -­‐9 -­‐8 -­‐7 -­‐6 -­‐5 -­‐4 -­‐3 -­‐2 -­‐1 0 1 2 2011 2012 2013
  • 93. Cyber Monday References: Year-Over Year Changes 0.0% 0.0% -0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% -1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% -0.3% 4.3% 1.6% 3.8% -1.5% 0.4% • Early starts continue beyond Sunday • Less burst +/- 1Day • Cyber Week trends extend Cyber Monday 2012 vs 2011
  • 94. Cyber Monday References: Year-Over Year Changes 0.0%0. 0% 0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% -0.8% 0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% -0.2% 0.0%0. 0% -0.4% 0.5%0. 5% 0.0%0. 0% 0.5% -1.7% 0.3% 0.0%0. 0% 4.3% -0.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% -1.5% 0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 0.0% -0.1% 0.5% 0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 0.0%0. 0% -0.5-%0. 5% 0.0%0. 0% 0.0%0. 0% 0.7% -0.3% 1.1% -0.2-%0. 2-%0. 2% -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 • Early starts continue beyond Sunday • Less burst +/- 1Day • Cyber Week trends extend Cyber Monday 2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011
  • 95. Cyber Monday References: Year-Over Year Changes 0.0%0. 0% 0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% -0.8% 0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% -0.2% 0.0%0. 0% -0.4% 0.5%0. 5% 0.0%0. 0% 0.5% -1.7% 0.3% 0.0%0. 0% 4.3% -0.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% -1.5% 0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 0.0% -0.1% 0.5% 0.0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0%0. 0% 0.0%0. 0% -0.5-%0. 5% 0.0%0. 0% 0.0%0. 0% 0.7% -0.3% 1.1% -0.2-%0. 2-%0. 2% -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25 -24 -23 -22 -21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 • Early starts continue beyond Sunday • Less burst +/- 1Day • Cyber Week trends extend Cyber Monday 2013 vs 2012 2012 vs 2011
  • 96. Cyber Monday: Email Volume 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 97. Cyber Monday: Email Volume 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 98. Cyber Monday: Email Volume 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 99. Cyber Monday: Email Volume 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 100. Cyber Monday: Email Volume 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 11 PM 10 PM 09 PM 08 PM 07 PM 06 PM 05 PM 04 PM 03 PM 02 PM 01 PM 12 PM 11 AM 10 AM 09 AM 08 AM 07 AM 06 AM 05 AM 04 AM 03 AM 02 AM 01 AM 12 AM 2011 2012 2013
  • 101. Cyber Monday Email Volume: YoY Changes -0.5% -1.1% -0.3% -1.8% -1.7% +0.2% -0.8% +3.1% -2.6% -1.2% -0.4% +2.7% -1.7% +1.2% +0.6% -2.8% +1.6% -0.2% +3.2% +2.9% +0.7% -0.8% -0.1% -0.1% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% -4% 12AM 01AM 02AM 03AM 04AM 05AM 06AM 07AM 08AM 09AM 10AM 11AM 12PM 01PM 02PM 03PM 04PM 05PM 06PM 07PM 08PM 09PM 10PM 11PM
  • 102. Cyber Monday Email Volume: YoY Changes -0.5% -1.1% -0.3% -1.8% -1.7% +0.2% -0.8% +3.1% -2.6% -1.2% -0.4% +2.7% -1.7% +1.2% +0.6% -2.8% +1.6% -0.2% +3.2% +2.9% +0.7% -0.8% -0.1% -0.1% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% -4% 12AM 01AM 02AM 03AM 04AM 05AM 06AM 07AM 08AM 09AM 10AM 11AM 12PM 01PM 02PM 03PM 04PM 05PM 06PM 07PM 08PM 09PM 10PM 11PM
  • 103. Cyber Monday Peak Hours: 7am 7:01 am SL: “Last Day To Save Up To 30% Off Sitewide & Receive Free Shipping” 7:03 am SL: “Online exclusive! Monday only. Second helping of Holiday Coupons at Rooms To Go.”
  • 104. Cyber Monday Peak Hours: 7am 7:01 am SL: “Last Day To Save Up To 30% Off Sitewide & Receive Free Shipping” 7:03 am SL: “Online exclusive! Monday only. Second helping of Holiday Coupons at Rooms To Go.”
  • 105. Cyber Monday Peak Hours: 7am 7:01 am SL: “Last Day To Save Up To 30% Off Sitewide & Receive Free Shipping” 7:03 am SL: “Online exclusive! Monday only. Second helping of Holiday Coupons at Rooms To Go.”
  • 106. Cyber Monday Peak Hours: 6-8pm
  • 107. Cyber Monday: Emails Sent per Retailer 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Thanksgiving Black Friday Cyber Monday 2011 2012 2013
  • 108. Cyber Monday: Emails Sent per Retailer 71% 24% 4% 1% 0.0% 0.0% 62% 28% 8% 1% 0.4% 0.4% 48% 39% 10% 2% 1% 0.4% 1 2 3 4 5 6 2011 2012 2013
  • 109. Cyber Monday: Emails Sent per Retailer 71% 24% 4% 1% 0.0% 0.0% 62% 28% 8% 1% 0.4% 0.4% 48% 39% 10% 2% 1% 0.4% 1 2 3 4 5 6 2011 2012 2013
  • 110. A 5-Email Cyber Monday Sent From Subject 12:31 AM bebe 30% OFF ENTIRE SITE -­‐ Shop Cyber Monday now! 08:03 AM bebe CYBER MONDAY: 30% off, free shipping & fab gic! 02:01 PM bebe TODAY: 30% off endre site + deeper discounts 07:01 PM bebe Tick, tock...FINAL HOURS for 30% off! 11:01 PM bebe LAST CHANCE! 30% off endre site + free shipping on ALL orders
  • 111. A 5-Email Cyber Monday Sent From Subject 12:31 AM bebe 30% OFF ENTIRE SITE -­‐ Shop Cyber Monday now! 08:03 AM bebe CYBER MONDAY: 30% off, free shipping & fab gic! 02:01 PM bebe TODAY: 30% off endre site + deeper discounts 07:01 PM bebe Tick, tock...FINAL HOURS for 30% off! 11:01 PM bebe LAST CHANCE! 30% off endre site + free shipping on ALL orders
  • 112. What did we learn?
  • 113. What did we learn? Thanksgiving Day
  • 114. What did we learn? Thanksgiving Day Expect early November kick-­‐off Prepare for overlapping themes An8cipate late day traffic spikes
  • 115. What did we learn? Thanksgiving Day Black Friday Expect early November kick-­‐off Prepare for overlapping themes An8cipate late day traffic spikes Don’t bury your message Ready your Black Friday narra8ve Cover your mobile bases
  • 116. What did we learn? Thanksgiving Day Black Friday Cyber Monday Expect early November kick-­‐off Prepare for overlapping themes An8cipate late day traffic spikes Don’t bury your message Ready your Black Friday narra8ve Cover your mobile bases Strategically remail Make a “Cyber Week” decision Prepare your post-­‐Cyber Monday plan
  • 117. § Speaking to mobile shoppers § Messaging multi-channel offers § Remailing dos and don’ts § Clever holiday themes § Total misses …and more! bronto.com/holidays 2013 Holiday Lookbooks
  • 118. Questions? Holiday Hysteria: Plan For Perfection But Prepare For Pandemonium Jim Davidson Director of Research @JimSaidIt #HolidayCCS bronto.com/holidays
  • 120. #HolidayCCS Q & A Jim Davidson Director of Research, Bronto Software MODERATOR Alicia Fiorletta Senior Editor, Retail TouchPoints
  • 121. Thank You For Joining Us #HolidayCCS The next session in this series… Holiday Retail Readiness: Preparing For Peak 12PM ET / 9AM PT ccs.retailtouchpoints.com/holiday-2014