One Health and Resilience: A New Biological Modelling Framework, Gary A VROEGINDEWEY
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This document discusses the concept of resilience and proposes a new biological modeling framework for one health and resilience. It provides background on resilience and defines it as the ability to prepare for, absorb, recover from, and adapt to adverse events. It notes that 2012 saw 552 natural and technical disasters resulting in nearly 140 million people affected and $157 billion in costs. The document advocates for enhanced resilience to allow for better disaster anticipation, planning, and loss reduction. It outlines characteristics of resilience like governance, risk assessment, knowledge, and defense layers like the immune system. Finally, it proposes future needs like improved sensing, analytics, situational awareness dashboards, and autonomous hierarchical response systems to strengthen resilience.
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One Health and Resilience: A New Biological Modelling Framework, Gary A VROEGINDEWEY
- 1. ONE HEALTH AND RESILIENCE: A NEW BIOLOGICAL MODELING FRAMEWORK GaryVroegindewey, DVM, MSS, DACVPM Director, One Health Program incoln Memorial University College ofVeterinary Medicine Chair, OIE ad hoc Group on Natural Disaster Risk Reduction and Management n Relation to Animal Health and Welfare andVeterinary Public Health
- 2. The Role of Animals “When the herds are dead, the end for human beings is not far away” - African Proverb
- 3. Resilience - the ability to prepare and plan for, absorb, recover from, and more successfully adapt to adverse events Disaster Resilience-A National Imperative National Academies Press
- 5. Resilience
- 6. All Disasters are Local
- 8. Why Resilience? 预防胜于治疗An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure
- 9. Disaster Costs-Worldwide 2012 EM-CRED (Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters ) reported 552 natural and technical disasters (not including wars, conflict- related famines, diseases or epidemics) resulted in nearly 140 million people directly affected at a cost 157 billion USD 2012- 552 natural and technical disasters (not including wars, conflict-related famines, diseases or epidemics) -nearly 140 million people directly affected -cost 157 billion USD EM-CRED (Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters )
- 10. Resilience Enhanced resilience allows better anticipation of disasters and better planning to reduce disaster losses— rather than waiting for an event to occur and paying for it afterward
- 12. Resilience Characteristics 1. Governance 2. Risk Assessment 3. Knowledge and Education 4. Risk Management and Vulnerability Reduction 5. Disaster Preparedness and Response JohnTwigg 2009
- 13. Community
- 15. Resilience Characteristics • Unity of purpose • Unity of effort • Sensing capacity • Multiple layers of defense • Redundancy • Ability to prioritize and reallocate resources
- 16. Resilience Characteristics • Self repairing • Automatic response • Hierarchical response • Reserve capacity • Agile learning Anticipatory capability • Adaptability
- 17. Why aren’t we all dead?
- 18. Resilience Defense layers- structural 1) Barrier protection (skin, mucosal lining of the lungs, gut, etc.) The Immune System’s basic parts: 2) Innate immunity 3) Adaptive immunity 4) Cellular immunity 5) Humoral immunity
- 20. Self Repairing
- 21. Sensing
- 24. Agile, Analytical and Anticipatory
- 25. FUTURE needs Sensing • Surveillance • Social reporting • Social media scanning • Satellite imagery • Unmanned AerialVehicles-Drones • Rapid assessment teams •Weather monitoring • Remote sensors
- 26. FUTURE needs Agile analytics • Knowledge management system • Resilience measurement • Open sourse situational awareness dashboard • Social network analysis • Mapping GIS • Big data analysis- Modeling • Crowd sourcing • Best practices
- 28. Haiti Medical and Public Health Information Sharing Environment
- 29. FUTURE needs Layers of Defense Floods Early warning Predictive modeling Infrastructure Dams, diversion canals, weirs, levees, pumps, Reservoirs, self closing flood barriers Elevated buildings Protected power grids Evacuation, Shelters,Transportation, Collaborative Response Networks, Food andWater stores
- 30. FUTURE needs Autonomous and Hierarchical Systems Intelligent SwarmTeams- Assessment Response Complex adaptive systems Nested Resilience systems National, Regional, State, Local Government, Communities
- 31. World Organisation for Animal Health
- 35. “Ideas are worth a dime a dozen, but people who put them into action are priceless” ― African Proverb Call to Action to the Profession
Notas del editor
- The most notable innovations to emerge from Haiti were: • The translation of crowdsourced data to actionable information. • The use of SMS message broadcasting in a crisis. • Crowdsourcing of open maps for humanitarian application.