Tristan SIMONART1, Peter AMBS2, David ALEXANDER3, Heiko WERNER4, Hans-Christian GRAN5, Delilah ALKHUDHAIRY6, Chaim RAFALOWSKI7 1European Commission, ENTR; 2Interpol; 3GRF Davos; 4THW; 5FFI, Norway; 6JRC; 7Magen David Adom

1. Civil defence,
civil protection
and sustainability
David Alexander
Global Risk Forum - Davos

2. Organisational Political Natural
systems: systems: systems:
management decisions function
Hazard Vulnerability
Resilience
Social Technical
systems: systems:
behaviour malfunction

3. An evolutionary
perspective

4. Mitigation Protection
Hazard Threat
Vulnerability Exposure
Risk
Civil protection Civil defence
Response

5. Armed aggression
on the part of states Natural disasters
Civil defence Civil protection
"Homeland security" "Civil contingencies"
(civil defence) (resilience)
Armed aggression
"Generic" disasters
on the part of
groups of dissidents

6. Emergency management:
an evolutionary approach
Civil defence...............Civil protection
Proxy Participatory
Command and control Collaboration
Vertical chain Task forces
of command Population consulted
Population excluded and included
Law and order Problem solving
Secrecy Openness

7. Stabilisation Peacekeeping
Humanitarian
assistance

8. An organisational
perspective

9. Command
Locus of function
control principle
Tension of Spectrum of
opposites alternatives
Locus of Support
collaboration function
(support) principle

10. Command function principle:
command and control
model
Information Management
technology decisions
Support function principle:
collaborative and cooperation
model

11. The command function (PESTOR)
• based on command and control
• a clear division of responsibilities
• a residual component of authoritarianism
• hierarchical decision-making processes
• possibly not compatible
with collaborative models.

12. The support function principle
• non hierarchical and based on networks
• encourages flows and
cascades of information
• it is easy to identify the manager of a
particular function in a different unit
• difficult to apply the principle of
command, which is poorly articulated
• difficult or impossible to integrate
with command function-based systems.

13. Top-down
Evolving Large
strategic technological
situation hazards
Instability Complex
threats hazards
'Na-tech'
Civil Defence (hybrid)
Civil Protection hazards
Enhanced Natural
natural hazards hazards
Evolving Major
climate geophysical
change events
Bottom-up

14. Counter-terrorism activity
Organisation Stockpiling
• procedures • equipment
• event scenarios • supplies
• emergency plans
Intelligence Training
• collection • plan dissemination
• interpretation • exercises
• warning
Involvement of civil protection
Surveillance Analysis
• automatic (CCTV) • laboratory
• manual (personnel) • forensic

15. Into the
future

16. SUSTAINABILITY
disaster risk reduction
RISKS
daily: unemployment, poverty, disease, etc.
major disaster: floods, storms, quakes, etc.
emerging risks: pandemics, climate change
resource consumption
stewardship of the environment
economic activities
lifestyles
SUSTAINABILITY

17. emergency-planning.
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