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A POSSIBLE UNIVERSAL WAGE
INDICATOR
By Georges RADJOU CEO MBA
DUPEBH
http://fr.slideshare.net/gsradjou
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
INDICATOR FOR A POSSIBLE UNIVERSAL WAGE
CONSTRUCTION
Indicators to be used with SDGs (also Paris Declaration and could be used for Post
Busan and developpment It is about development cooperation. The indicator is
''assessing provision on historical current and future ressources''
Sources : Pied de poule p.p (maritime studies), China pension reform (Professor
Xuejin Zuo), Highoutput Management, Adrew Grove, Intel CEO)
In which direction the organization is heading ? This is the question ! An
indicator should be able to tell, by anticipation before you reache the goal, where
your organization is heading. I have constructed an indicator, which looks for me
like the story of the bicycle rider. Either it is watcing the road or not !
(Wrong Indicators rarely tells the truth (where your organization is heading)- If your
organization falls, it is likely because your were not watching at an indicators- Your
organiation was watching everything, except an indicator. So, I developed a possible
indicator for a Universal wages by looking at what matter in Post 2015 MDGs and
Sustainable Development Goals (after 2015) and the Development agreed goals
(Some legal basis are already existing)
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Set of slides (Part A)
● SOME ASPECTS OF CHINA 5 PILLAR PENSION FUND MODELING THROUGH THE LENS
OF PROFESSOR ENTREPRENEUR XUEJIN ZUO PROPSOED REFORM FRAMEWORK
● USED SELECTING AND MODELING AN INDICATOR FOR AN UNIVERSAL WAGE
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
SDG indicator global architecture : criteria
and performance specifications
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
● SOME ASPECTS OF CHINA 5 PILLAR PENSION FUND MODELING THROUGH THE LENS OF
PROFESSOR ENTREPRENEUR XUEJIN ZUO PROPSOED REFORM FRAMEWORK
● YOU WILL COMPARE IT WITH MY OWN SET OF INDICATOR FOR POST 2015 MDGS AND SDGs
● THE IDENTICAL PART IN BOTH THE PENSION REFORM MODEL AND THE INDICATOR IS THE
MECAHNISM OF PIED-POULE I .E . THE SAFETY DISTANCE BETWEEN THE BOAT AND THE SEA
FLOOR.
● THIS PRESENTATION IS A GROSS PHASE PROJECT (BUSINESS CASE OF INDICATOR) . A
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT COULD BE INVESTIGATED BY MODELING THE PENSION FUND AND
THE INDICATOR OF WAGES WITH MATHEMATICAL EQUATION-
●
IT IS NOT DIFFICULT - BUT FOR THE MOMENT I JUST STAY ON THAT LEVEL OF THE
EXPLANATION- WHICH ARE THE SOURCES OF THE MODEL
=> PERSONALLY, WHAT UN LACKS ARE MODELS- THERE ARE NOT ENOUGH MODEL TO
COVER VARIETY OF EXPERIENCE IN SOCIAL, ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONEMENTAL SYSTEMS
=> ALSO, UN LACKS OF EVIDENCE BASED POLICY IN NETWORKS
➔ MATHEMATICAL MODELING CAN USE DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS FOR ONE OR SEVERAL
VARIABLES. I THINK THE ISSUE IN THE REFORM OF BOTH PENSION FUND AND INDICATORS
ARE LIMITED BY INTERFACES BETWEEN DIFERENT ENVIRONEMENT
➔ WHICH IS THE SOURCE OF RISKS. HOW TO ENSURE A SMALL UNCERTAINTY IN THE
METRICS ? HOW TO ENSURE THAT SYSTEMS ARE CONTINUOUS AND HOMOGENOUS ?;;;;
Indicator to avoid to
react to shortage Shortage start
Risk of disruption =
shortage end
Not enough resources =
Shortage
Resource reserve
Indicator of shortage
Zone of risk
anticipation
I (max)
I (min)
Action = business
as usual
Flow out
Precautionary
measures
No precuationary
measures
Total
resources
To further
exploration
(deep
ressource
exploration)
Resource used
Sustainable
development
process
Consumption
Production
Conservation
+
Preservation
Initial
resource
Final
reource
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IMPLICATION IN THE
MANEGEMENT OF THE PLANET RESOURCES
Assessme
nt of future
resources
Assessm
ent of
current
resources
Assessment
of historical
resources
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
My question is the reform survival ? (Which reform) Stable or
unstable? Who is in command of the pension funds (Chinese,
bosses, Communism Party, fund organizations, workers)
WHICH SEGMENT OF THE CHINESE SOCIETY IS
EMPOWERED BY THE PENSION REFORM AND THE
TRANSFORMATION OF THE OLD SYSTEM INTO A
NEW ONE- WHO ARE THE WINNERS AND THE
LOOSERS, OR ARE EVERY STAKEHOLDERS
EMPOWERED BY THE REFORM- OR IS IT JUST AN
ADMINISTRATIVE REFORM OR A REFORM UNDER
THE HAND OF THE EMPLOYERS ;
When professor XUEJIN ZUO presented his pension
reform with the 5 pillars, he meant that China reform
would be balnced -as Chinese people love equilibrium
like ''Ying'' and ''Yang'' of Chinese philoqophy that
made the Chinese nation
;
.
Professor Xuejin Zuo
sees the pesnion reform
as an elment of stability
wtih a strength and a
weekness
THE SPIRIT OF THE REFORM ACORDING IS THE BALANCE AND EQUILIBRIUM
REFORM SO IT SERVES ALL (XUEJIN ZUO Research Professor and former
Executive Vice president, shanghai Academy of SocIal Sciences (SASS)
Pension Reform in China/ 5 Pillars of Transformation
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Individual pension
Cost
(Fixed)
Benefit
variable
Good
pension
Bad
pension
Branch 1 branch 2
BEFORE THE
REFORM
Does the
pension
take the
wealth
Into account
Big
Wealth
Small
wealth
Aim of the reform
New pension system
Benefit
Small
costs
Does the reform take into account
peoples wealth- What is the wealth
Gap in communist capitalist country ?
THE SETTING OF TJE PILLARS (WHICH PILLARS)
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Level of participation
and contribution
Job Branch Pensions
(Un)Formal
sector tend to
not participate
….They have
their own....
Branch (a) branch (b) branch (c) branch (d)
Not contributory (poor peoples) 3
2 NRP
NWR
PUWS 1
(Workers)
Endebted
peoplesNo money, old peoples > 65 years old
2 Workers
Maximum
(M)
Minimum
(m)
M + m
2
INNOVATIVE REPRESENTATION OF
CHINA PENSION FUND REFORM
Part A
Part B
Part C
Part D
Part E
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
CHINESE PENSION RISK
FACTORS OF RISK
JOB
REVENUE
MARKET TRANSPARENCY
GROWTH RATEECONOMY
JAPAN CARRY TRADE
BETWEEN USA AND
CHINA
INTERNATIONAL
EXCHANGE
AND FINANCE
RISK > 0
(opportunities)
RISK > 0
(opportunities)
Wages compositon
(ratio social and
individual return
DANGER !!!
Illegal works
Migration, Traficking
Unformal sector
Corruption
Unformal
sector
Legally not
contributing
peoples
Industry Branch
(private pension)
Self contributory
VULNERABLES
(Poor, disabled,
marginals, Over 65
Workers,
Staffs
workers
Training, skills
Working hours
RISK OF THE REFORM
ECONOMY
Vulnerables
DANGER
Opportunity
Source : BIRD CEO
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Set of slides (Part B)
● Indicator of Sustainable Development Goal(s)
-SDGs
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Organization Indicator
MAXIMUM
(Over reacting
Indicator
MINIMUM
(Shortage
Indicator)
INDICATOR (I)PAIRING
INDICATOR
Flow of ressource
(overtime)
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Proposition for Indicator of Sustainable development
(number one)
● Case of a proposed indicator for universal wage
in the Post 2015 Millennium Development
Goals (MDGs) and Sustainable Development
Goals (SDGs)
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Indicator to avoid to
react to shortage Shortage start
Risk of disruption =
shortage end
Not enough resources =
Shortage
Resource reserve
Indicator of shortage
Zone of risk
anticipation
I (max)
I (min)
Action = business
as usual
Flow out
Precautionary
measures
No precuationary
measures
Total
resources
To further
exploration
(deep
ressource
exploration)
Resource used
Sustainable
development
process
Consumption
Production
Conservation
+
Preservation
Initial
resource
Final
reource
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IMPLICATION IN THE
MANEGEMENT OF THE PLANET RESOURCES
Assessme
nt of future
resources
Assessm
ent of
current
resources
Assessment
of historical
resources
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
The 3 pillars of Sustainable Development
ECOLOGY
ECONOMY SOCIETY
ISO SUSTAINBAILITY
3 PILLARS WITH THE
SAME WEIGHT
Sustainability
centred on economy
With a relative value
for ecology and poor
representation of
society
(2, 3,1)(E, E, S) =
SDG
Economic
Pillar
Economic
Pillar
Economic
Pillar
Economic
Pillar
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Set of slides (Part C)
● A possible indicator for a Universal Wage in
Post 2015 MDGs and Sustainable Development
framework
ORIGIN OF THE UNIVERSAL WAGE
1- CHINA PENSION REFORM
2- BASIC INCOME (FRANCE)
The PROJECT OF the Indicator of Universal Wage for Post 2015
MDGs and Sustainble Development Goal(s) is an hybrid
organization indicator from the combining concepts/
Concept 1: professor entrepreneur Xuejin Zuo, and his 5 pillars
pension fund reform in China. (UNIRISD) – it is a project, which is
not yet prototyped, as there is no approval yet from the Chinese
government.
Concept 2 : existing project, which has been implemented and it is
assessed on a regular basis. For some national stakeholders,
France basic income is suspected to make people lazy -as they are
not willing to seek for work. (in German economy, the Chancellor
has introduced a basic income, recently. But, Germany has a more
flexible employment market compared to France (due to the SMIC
and France social model, (An economist in prospective said France
was the most socialist country in Europe, at the moment)
CONCEPT 1 + CONCEPT 2
CONCEPT OF
UNIVERSAL
WAGE
Source : BIRD CEO
INTRODUCTION
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Firstly to understand how universal wage i.e. a salary for all
can work, one needs to understand a bit of maritime study
● Pied-poule in maritime study is an analogy with
the purchasing power in economy, both are
abbreviated with p.p. (in my assumption)
Source : BIRD CEO
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Hypotheseses for a possible
universal wage
● Origin of the reform-
● H1 : The pillar of the living in society (Adam Smith) does not exist today- a
principle on which society was structured and defined (Sociology). If the wealth
of nations do not exist, but the industrialization process has kept growing- so, it
is normal that societies have aged- without reforming the initial Adam Smith
paradigm (specialization of citizen and exchanges of goods between the
citizen based on relative comparative avantges)
● Recall the paradigm-if I am good at making bread, and you are good at driving
a car, we both have a comparative avantage- it is best for the whole society
that we specialize and exchange- I make the bread for you, and you drive for
me (and for others too)
● Today, this hypothesis has been missing-
● H2 : the purchasing power of organization is the living standard compared to
the cost of life- In fact, it is not what matter in my assumption to build an
Univerasl wage- What is paramount is to consider that the capital
accumulation during of whole life can be assimilated to a risk < 0 or a risk >0
● Which I have compared with the Pied Poule of Maritime study-
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Pied-poule ?
SAIL
p-p (Pied
poule) ?
Surface of
the sea
level
Boat
High tide
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Average tide
Lowest
limit of
the tideSea floor
Lowesr part
of the boat
The master boat, which is represnting the
organization within its natural, technical, politica,
economic, humanitarain, cultural... environment
Narrative of the journey of an organization (case of a
boat)- but it is similar for any organization except the
energy uses (wind, oil, nuclear, muscles,....)
My assumption is within the framework of Sustainble development
Goal- So, I have prioritize a boat with a sail under the influence of
the wind
NARRATIVE of a boat, which is representng the organisation
and that wanted to set sail-
SET SAILING means ''having enough energy (purchasing
power) (p.p) to satisfy the need of the organization.
But, they are issues during the boat trip, because the sea goes
up and down acording to the tide (fluctuation of the economies
and the growth, and the organization is following is objectibes
-goals- for example, like in the slide it wanted to go through ''a
pass'' i.e. manage a transformation or a change- It was
confronted with the small pied poule- (purchasing power)
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEOSource : BIRD CEO
Pied de Poule (''pied poule'' i.e. p.p
for ''chicken leg/foot''
p.p means also the Purchasing
Power (p.p)
The Chicken leg in the
assessment of an
Univeral salary -wage-
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
p.p. = 0
p.p. > 0
Universal Wage
p.p. < 0
Conclusion = universal wage
is equivalent to pied poule
(p.p.) = 0 at all time (and for all)
Strategies
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Optimistic
Neutral
Pessimistic
pessimstic
optimistic
neutral
Sea floor
Lowest part
of the boat(s)
In solidarity economy, which ''pied poule'' strategy
(scenario) will help to build a Universal wage (and
what is the indicator ?)
SCENARIO 1 PP>0
WEALTH
ACCUMULATION AT
DEATH
IS IT WORTH TO AHVE
ACCUMUALTED MONEY
WHEN YOU PASSED YOU
LEAVE WITH NOTHING
SCENARIO 2 PP < 0 YOU ARE
LIKELY TO PASSED
POOR AND FULL OF
DEBTS
IS IT NORAL IN A
SOLIDARITY ECONOMIES
THAT SOME MEMBERS
OF THE SOCIETY CNA
RUIN THEIR LIFE WHILE
THEY COULD
CONTRIBUTE TO THE
GROWTH
SCENARIO 3 PP = 0
I PASSED AND I LIVED
PEOPLE PASSING DO
NOT OWN AND DO NOT
ACCUMULATE IT IS
CORRESPONDING TO A
BALANCE, WHICH IS THE
STATUS OF UNIVERSAL
WAGE
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
What is p.p ?
● By concept ● In words
p.p
Distance between the end of the boat
and the sea floor (Indicator I (sf)
With math/ p.p. = I eb – I sf
I (sf)
I (eb)
I (eb)
p.p
Pied de poule
Purchasing
power
Chicken leg
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Set of slides (Part D)
Conclusion and Recommendation :
The indicator for a Universal wage
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
How to transfer from purchasing
power (pp) to universal wage
● It is not difficult- as one can observe that p.p.
● Is the security measure to protect the organization from
''wreckage'' (like a boat) i.e bankruptcy, downsizing,
closure, turmoil....
● Indicator p.p (pied poule = purchasing power) is either
positive (p.p. > 0) or negative (p.p. < 0) – and eventually
p.p = 0 -
● Interpreting p.p (pied poule ''for the french maritime word
which is the safe distance betwen the boat and the sea
floor when the vessel sets sail, in term of economy, it is
the equivalent of the organization i.e. individual,
household, firm, NGO, governments....purchasing power)
SEE ORGANIZATION INDICATOR
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Recommendation: The indicator for Universal wage
Remark : I did not study the the indicator risks
WHICH ARE PRETTY LIKELY TO RESEMBLE TO THE CHINESE PENSION RFORM RISKS
ON INDICATOR
THEREFORE MY RECOMMENDATION IS TO PROTOTYPE THE UNIVERSAL WAGE IN A STEP BY STEP
PROCESS BEFORE WIDE SPREAD AND IMPLEMENTATION.
➔ It is particularly true when the ressources will be redcued (not sustainable), but better acting now to
anticipate
➔ paid jobs have been replaced by activities, quality jobs And rewarding people on the merit and quality
activities.
➔ This indicator is/are 2 indicator(s) one of shortage for the purchasing power and one for preventing
organization to react to purchasing power shortage. Therefore thus, universla wage is open to
negotiation too (in the green economy with SDGs
➔
➔ PURCHASING POWER => HOW CAN I GET FROM MY UNIVERSAL WAGE ACCORDING TO MY
LIVING STANDARDS => THE ANSWER IS LIKELY TO BE THE PIED -POULE
➔ IT IS A GAP BETWEEN THE PRODUCTION MODEL AND THE COSNTRUCTION MODEL WHICH IS
THE COMMUNTY RESILIENCE
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Organization Indicator
MAXIMUM
(Over reacting
Indicator
MINIMUM
(Shortage
Indicator)
INDICATOR (I)PAIRING
INDICATOR
Flow of ressource
(overtime)
P.P
PIED POULE
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
Comparing the Organization Indicator OI = (Imax, Imin)
with the Organization Pied Poule
OPP = Ieb – Isf
OI = (I max, I min)
OI = OPP =>
Ieb = I max
and
Isf = I min
The life cycle of
The organization
opp
I max
Imin
INDICATOR
Pied poule
or the
organization
Purchasing
power
Ieb
Isf
Organization OI Organization OPP
ORGANIZATION
ENVIRONEMENT
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) IndicatorAnnual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
On viewpoint of agents of the markets
Nothing has changed,
the Universal wage will
be under negotiation of
stakeholders
The Universal indicator
model is likely to be used
like a buffer model, with
ressource in and
ressource out in order to
fix the value of the
Universal wages
Universal wage is likely
to look like a credit point
passpeort which
organization need to
refill, recharge retore,
reuse and resplenish
Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
Source : BIRD CEO
EnD
03/20/2014

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  • 1. A POSSIBLE UNIVERSAL WAGE INDICATOR By Georges RADJOU CEO MBA DUPEBH http://fr.slideshare.net/gsradjou Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
  • 2. INDICATOR FOR A POSSIBLE UNIVERSAL WAGE CONSTRUCTION Indicators to be used with SDGs (also Paris Declaration and could be used for Post Busan and developpment It is about development cooperation. The indicator is ''assessing provision on historical current and future ressources'' Sources : Pied de poule p.p (maritime studies), China pension reform (Professor Xuejin Zuo), Highoutput Management, Adrew Grove, Intel CEO) In which direction the organization is heading ? This is the question ! An indicator should be able to tell, by anticipation before you reache the goal, where your organization is heading. I have constructed an indicator, which looks for me like the story of the bicycle rider. Either it is watcing the road or not ! (Wrong Indicators rarely tells the truth (where your organization is heading)- If your organization falls, it is likely because your were not watching at an indicators- Your organiation was watching everything, except an indicator. So, I developed a possible indicator for a Universal wages by looking at what matter in Post 2015 MDGs and Sustainable Development Goals (after 2015) and the Development agreed goals (Some legal basis are already existing) Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 3. Set of slides (Part A) ● SOME ASPECTS OF CHINA 5 PILLAR PENSION FUND MODELING THROUGH THE LENS OF PROFESSOR ENTREPRENEUR XUEJIN ZUO PROPSOED REFORM FRAMEWORK ● USED SELECTING AND MODELING AN INDICATOR FOR AN UNIVERSAL WAGE Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 4. SDG indicator global architecture : criteria and performance specifications Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator ● SOME ASPECTS OF CHINA 5 PILLAR PENSION FUND MODELING THROUGH THE LENS OF PROFESSOR ENTREPRENEUR XUEJIN ZUO PROPSOED REFORM FRAMEWORK ● YOU WILL COMPARE IT WITH MY OWN SET OF INDICATOR FOR POST 2015 MDGS AND SDGs ● THE IDENTICAL PART IN BOTH THE PENSION REFORM MODEL AND THE INDICATOR IS THE MECAHNISM OF PIED-POULE I .E . THE SAFETY DISTANCE BETWEEN THE BOAT AND THE SEA FLOOR. ● THIS PRESENTATION IS A GROSS PHASE PROJECT (BUSINESS CASE OF INDICATOR) . A FURTHER DEVELOPMENT COULD BE INVESTIGATED BY MODELING THE PENSION FUND AND THE INDICATOR OF WAGES WITH MATHEMATICAL EQUATION- ● IT IS NOT DIFFICULT - BUT FOR THE MOMENT I JUST STAY ON THAT LEVEL OF THE EXPLANATION- WHICH ARE THE SOURCES OF THE MODEL => PERSONALLY, WHAT UN LACKS ARE MODELS- THERE ARE NOT ENOUGH MODEL TO COVER VARIETY OF EXPERIENCE IN SOCIAL, ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONEMENTAL SYSTEMS => ALSO, UN LACKS OF EVIDENCE BASED POLICY IN NETWORKS ➔ MATHEMATICAL MODELING CAN USE DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS FOR ONE OR SEVERAL VARIABLES. I THINK THE ISSUE IN THE REFORM OF BOTH PENSION FUND AND INDICATORS ARE LIMITED BY INTERFACES BETWEEN DIFERENT ENVIRONEMENT ➔ WHICH IS THE SOURCE OF RISKS. HOW TO ENSURE A SMALL UNCERTAINTY IN THE METRICS ? HOW TO ENSURE THAT SYSTEMS ARE CONTINUOUS AND HOMOGENOUS ?;;;;
  • 5. Indicator to avoid to react to shortage Shortage start Risk of disruption = shortage end Not enough resources = Shortage Resource reserve Indicator of shortage Zone of risk anticipation I (max) I (min) Action = business as usual Flow out Precautionary measures No precuationary measures Total resources To further exploration (deep ressource exploration) Resource used Sustainable development process Consumption Production Conservation + Preservation Initial resource Final reource SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IMPLICATION IN THE MANEGEMENT OF THE PLANET RESOURCES Assessme nt of future resources Assessm ent of current resources Assessment of historical resources Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 6. My question is the reform survival ? (Which reform) Stable or unstable? Who is in command of the pension funds (Chinese, bosses, Communism Party, fund organizations, workers) WHICH SEGMENT OF THE CHINESE SOCIETY IS EMPOWERED BY THE PENSION REFORM AND THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE OLD SYSTEM INTO A NEW ONE- WHO ARE THE WINNERS AND THE LOOSERS, OR ARE EVERY STAKEHOLDERS EMPOWERED BY THE REFORM- OR IS IT JUST AN ADMINISTRATIVE REFORM OR A REFORM UNDER THE HAND OF THE EMPLOYERS ; When professor XUEJIN ZUO presented his pension reform with the 5 pillars, he meant that China reform would be balnced -as Chinese people love equilibrium like ''Ying'' and ''Yang'' of Chinese philoqophy that made the Chinese nation ; . Professor Xuejin Zuo sees the pesnion reform as an elment of stability wtih a strength and a weekness THE SPIRIT OF THE REFORM ACORDING IS THE BALANCE AND EQUILIBRIUM REFORM SO IT SERVES ALL (XUEJIN ZUO Research Professor and former Executive Vice president, shanghai Academy of SocIal Sciences (SASS) Pension Reform in China/ 5 Pillars of Transformation Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 7. Individual pension Cost (Fixed) Benefit variable Good pension Bad pension Branch 1 branch 2 BEFORE THE REFORM Does the pension take the wealth Into account Big Wealth Small wealth Aim of the reform New pension system Benefit Small costs Does the reform take into account peoples wealth- What is the wealth Gap in communist capitalist country ? THE SETTING OF TJE PILLARS (WHICH PILLARS) Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 8. Level of participation and contribution Job Branch Pensions (Un)Formal sector tend to not participate ….They have their own.... Branch (a) branch (b) branch (c) branch (d) Not contributory (poor peoples) 3 2 NRP NWR PUWS 1 (Workers) Endebted peoplesNo money, old peoples > 65 years old 2 Workers Maximum (M) Minimum (m) M + m 2 INNOVATIVE REPRESENTATION OF CHINA PENSION FUND REFORM Part A Part B Part C Part D Part E Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 9. CHINESE PENSION RISK FACTORS OF RISK JOB REVENUE MARKET TRANSPARENCY GROWTH RATEECONOMY JAPAN CARRY TRADE BETWEEN USA AND CHINA INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGE AND FINANCE RISK > 0 (opportunities) RISK > 0 (opportunities) Wages compositon (ratio social and individual return DANGER !!! Illegal works Migration, Traficking Unformal sector Corruption Unformal sector Legally not contributing peoples Industry Branch (private pension) Self contributory VULNERABLES (Poor, disabled, marginals, Over 65 Workers, Staffs workers Training, skills Working hours RISK OF THE REFORM ECONOMY Vulnerables DANGER Opportunity Source : BIRD CEO Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
  • 10. Set of slides (Part B) ● Indicator of Sustainable Development Goal(s) -SDGs Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 11. Organization Indicator MAXIMUM (Over reacting Indicator MINIMUM (Shortage Indicator) INDICATOR (I)PAIRING INDICATOR Flow of ressource (overtime) Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 12. Proposition for Indicator of Sustainable development (number one) ● Case of a proposed indicator for universal wage in the Post 2015 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 13. Indicator to avoid to react to shortage Shortage start Risk of disruption = shortage end Not enough resources = Shortage Resource reserve Indicator of shortage Zone of risk anticipation I (max) I (min) Action = business as usual Flow out Precautionary measures No precuationary measures Total resources To further exploration (deep ressource exploration) Resource used Sustainable development process Consumption Production Conservation + Preservation Initial resource Final reource SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IMPLICATION IN THE MANEGEMENT OF THE PLANET RESOURCES Assessme nt of future resources Assessm ent of current resources Assessment of historical resources Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 14. The 3 pillars of Sustainable Development ECOLOGY ECONOMY SOCIETY ISO SUSTAINBAILITY 3 PILLARS WITH THE SAME WEIGHT Sustainability centred on economy With a relative value for ecology and poor representation of society (2, 3,1)(E, E, S) = SDG Economic Pillar Economic Pillar Economic Pillar Economic Pillar Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 15. Set of slides (Part C) ● A possible indicator for a Universal Wage in Post 2015 MDGs and Sustainable Development framework
  • 16. ORIGIN OF THE UNIVERSAL WAGE 1- CHINA PENSION REFORM 2- BASIC INCOME (FRANCE) The PROJECT OF the Indicator of Universal Wage for Post 2015 MDGs and Sustainble Development Goal(s) is an hybrid organization indicator from the combining concepts/ Concept 1: professor entrepreneur Xuejin Zuo, and his 5 pillars pension fund reform in China. (UNIRISD) – it is a project, which is not yet prototyped, as there is no approval yet from the Chinese government. Concept 2 : existing project, which has been implemented and it is assessed on a regular basis. For some national stakeholders, France basic income is suspected to make people lazy -as they are not willing to seek for work. (in German economy, the Chancellor has introduced a basic income, recently. But, Germany has a more flexible employment market compared to France (due to the SMIC and France social model, (An economist in prospective said France was the most socialist country in Europe, at the moment) CONCEPT 1 + CONCEPT 2 CONCEPT OF UNIVERSAL WAGE Source : BIRD CEO INTRODUCTION Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
  • 17. Firstly to understand how universal wage i.e. a salary for all can work, one needs to understand a bit of maritime study ● Pied-poule in maritime study is an analogy with the purchasing power in economy, both are abbreviated with p.p. (in my assumption) Source : BIRD CEO Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator
  • 18. Hypotheseses for a possible universal wage ● Origin of the reform- ● H1 : The pillar of the living in society (Adam Smith) does not exist today- a principle on which society was structured and defined (Sociology). If the wealth of nations do not exist, but the industrialization process has kept growing- so, it is normal that societies have aged- without reforming the initial Adam Smith paradigm (specialization of citizen and exchanges of goods between the citizen based on relative comparative avantges) ● Recall the paradigm-if I am good at making bread, and you are good at driving a car, we both have a comparative avantage- it is best for the whole society that we specialize and exchange- I make the bread for you, and you drive for me (and for others too) ● Today, this hypothesis has been missing- ● H2 : the purchasing power of organization is the living standard compared to the cost of life- In fact, it is not what matter in my assumption to build an Univerasl wage- What is paramount is to consider that the capital accumulation during of whole life can be assimilated to a risk < 0 or a risk >0 ● Which I have compared with the Pied Poule of Maritime study- Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 19. Pied-poule ? SAIL p-p (Pied poule) ? Surface of the sea level Boat High tide Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO Average tide Lowest limit of the tideSea floor Lowesr part of the boat The master boat, which is represnting the organization within its natural, technical, politica, economic, humanitarain, cultural... environment
  • 20. Narrative of the journey of an organization (case of a boat)- but it is similar for any organization except the energy uses (wind, oil, nuclear, muscles,....) My assumption is within the framework of Sustainble development Goal- So, I have prioritize a boat with a sail under the influence of the wind NARRATIVE of a boat, which is representng the organisation and that wanted to set sail- SET SAILING means ''having enough energy (purchasing power) (p.p) to satisfy the need of the organization. But, they are issues during the boat trip, because the sea goes up and down acording to the tide (fluctuation of the economies and the growth, and the organization is following is objectibes -goals- for example, like in the slide it wanted to go through ''a pass'' i.e. manage a transformation or a change- It was confronted with the small pied poule- (purchasing power) Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEOSource : BIRD CEO
  • 21. Pied de Poule (''pied poule'' i.e. p.p for ''chicken leg/foot'' p.p means also the Purchasing Power (p.p) The Chicken leg in the assessment of an Univeral salary -wage- Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 22. p.p. = 0 p.p. > 0 Universal Wage p.p. < 0 Conclusion = universal wage is equivalent to pied poule (p.p.) = 0 at all time (and for all) Strategies Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO Optimistic Neutral Pessimistic pessimstic optimistic neutral Sea floor Lowest part of the boat(s)
  • 23. In solidarity economy, which ''pied poule'' strategy (scenario) will help to build a Universal wage (and what is the indicator ?) SCENARIO 1 PP>0 WEALTH ACCUMULATION AT DEATH IS IT WORTH TO AHVE ACCUMUALTED MONEY WHEN YOU PASSED YOU LEAVE WITH NOTHING SCENARIO 2 PP < 0 YOU ARE LIKELY TO PASSED POOR AND FULL OF DEBTS IS IT NORAL IN A SOLIDARITY ECONOMIES THAT SOME MEMBERS OF THE SOCIETY CNA RUIN THEIR LIFE WHILE THEY COULD CONTRIBUTE TO THE GROWTH SCENARIO 3 PP = 0 I PASSED AND I LIVED PEOPLE PASSING DO NOT OWN AND DO NOT ACCUMULATE IT IS CORRESPONDING TO A BALANCE, WHICH IS THE STATUS OF UNIVERSAL WAGE Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 24. What is p.p ? ● By concept ● In words p.p Distance between the end of the boat and the sea floor (Indicator I (sf) With math/ p.p. = I eb – I sf I (sf) I (eb) I (eb) p.p Pied de poule Purchasing power Chicken leg Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 25. Set of slides (Part D) Conclusion and Recommendation : The indicator for a Universal wage Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 26. How to transfer from purchasing power (pp) to universal wage ● It is not difficult- as one can observe that p.p. ● Is the security measure to protect the organization from ''wreckage'' (like a boat) i.e bankruptcy, downsizing, closure, turmoil.... ● Indicator p.p (pied poule = purchasing power) is either positive (p.p. > 0) or negative (p.p. < 0) – and eventually p.p = 0 - ● Interpreting p.p (pied poule ''for the french maritime word which is the safe distance betwen the boat and the sea floor when the vessel sets sail, in term of economy, it is the equivalent of the organization i.e. individual, household, firm, NGO, governments....purchasing power) SEE ORGANIZATION INDICATOR Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 27. Recommendation: The indicator for Universal wage Remark : I did not study the the indicator risks WHICH ARE PRETTY LIKELY TO RESEMBLE TO THE CHINESE PENSION RFORM RISKS ON INDICATOR THEREFORE MY RECOMMENDATION IS TO PROTOTYPE THE UNIVERSAL WAGE IN A STEP BY STEP PROCESS BEFORE WIDE SPREAD AND IMPLEMENTATION. ➔ It is particularly true when the ressources will be redcued (not sustainable), but better acting now to anticipate ➔ paid jobs have been replaced by activities, quality jobs And rewarding people on the merit and quality activities. ➔ This indicator is/are 2 indicator(s) one of shortage for the purchasing power and one for preventing organization to react to purchasing power shortage. Therefore thus, universla wage is open to negotiation too (in the green economy with SDGs ➔ ➔ PURCHASING POWER => HOW CAN I GET FROM MY UNIVERSAL WAGE ACCORDING TO MY LIVING STANDARDS => THE ANSWER IS LIKELY TO BE THE PIED -POULE ➔ IT IS A GAP BETWEEN THE PRODUCTION MODEL AND THE COSNTRUCTION MODEL WHICH IS THE COMMUNTY RESILIENCE Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 28. Organization Indicator MAXIMUM (Over reacting Indicator MINIMUM (Shortage Indicator) INDICATOR (I)PAIRING INDICATOR Flow of ressource (overtime) P.P PIED POULE Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 29. Comparing the Organization Indicator OI = (Imax, Imin) with the Organization Pied Poule OPP = Ieb – Isf OI = (I max, I min) OI = OPP => Ieb = I max and Isf = I min The life cycle of The organization opp I max Imin INDICATOR Pied poule or the organization Purchasing power Ieb Isf Organization OI Organization OPP ORGANIZATION ENVIRONEMENT Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) IndicatorAnnual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO
  • 30. On viewpoint of agents of the markets Nothing has changed, the Universal wage will be under negotiation of stakeholders The Universal indicator model is likely to be used like a buffer model, with ressource in and ressource out in order to fix the value of the Universal wages Universal wage is likely to look like a credit point passpeort which organization need to refill, recharge retore, reuse and resplenish Annual Ministerial Review (AMR) 2014 – Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) Indicator Source : BIRD CEO EnD 03/20/2014