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MEMs Conference
Presentation

Gold Industry M&A



     Paul Brink
 Director, Newmont
       Capital
     April, 2007
Gold Industry M&A


  Gold Industry Overview
  Gold Market Valuation
  M&A Transactions
  Transaction Challenges
  Newmont M&A Approach


                           Slide 2
Gold Price


                  Net Long/(Short) Positions & Gold Price
   180,000                                                              $750

   150,000           Net Long / (Short) Position                        $700
                     Gold Price (Spot FR)
   120,000                                                              $650

    90,000                                                              $600

    60,000                                                              $550

    30,000                                                              $500

          0                                                             $450

    (30,000)                                                            $400

    (60,000)                                                            $350

    (90,000)                                                            $300

   (120,000)                                                            $250
           1/00   1/01   1/02      1/03     1/04   1/05   1/06   1/07
                                                                               Slide 3
Market Capitalization

      Ba
          rr i
 Ne           c




                               $0
                                    $5,000
                                             $10,000
                                                       $15,000
                                                                 $20,000
                                                                           $25,000
     wm k G                                                                          $30,000
          on old
              tM
                   in
                       in
An         G              g
  gl           ol
     oG           dc
                      or
        ol
           d              p
               As
                                                                                               Senior Gold Producers




                   ha
       G                nt
          ol
             d             i
                Fi
      Ki            el
         nr             ds
           os
 Ne             s
     wc            G
        re            ol
           st            d
                M
   Ha              i
       rm nin
            on           g
                y
    Po             G
       lyu             ol
            s             d
               M
                   in
                      in
                         g
 Slide 4
Senior Gold Producers – 5yr trading




                                      Slide 5
Market Capitalization


Ag Ya
   ni ma
     co         n




                                    $1,000
                                             $2,000
                                                      $3,000
                                                               $4,000
                                                                        $5,000
                                                                                 $6,000




                              $0
       -E a G
           ag          ol
              le          d
                   M
                     in
             Li        es
      M         hi
         er r G
            id         ol
                          d
               ia
                  n
                    G
            IA         o
               M ld
      Ce          G
           nt OL
             e           D
      El rra
Ra       d          G
                                                                                          Intermediate Gold Producers




   nd ora              ol
     go         do d
        ld
           R Go
              e          ld
      Pe sou
          te         rc
     DR      r H es
         DG amb
              O         r
                 LD o
                      Lt
                         d.
Slide 6
C                                Market Capitalization
            C          re
               ry          w
                 s t M Go
                    al i ra l d
                      l




                                               $0
                                                    $200
                                                           $400
                                                                  $600
                                                                         $800
                                                                                $1,000
                                                                                         $1,200
                  G ex m a Co
                     ab In r rp
                         rie ter Mi .
                             l R n a ni n
                                 e tio g
                              R sou na
                           Al io N rc l
                               am a es
                                       rc
                       H Mi n os G ea
                          ig e o
                             h
           C             Pe Ri fin d l d
             um               a ve e
                  be Au k G r G rs
          D K rl an ri zo old ol d
             un i r d n L
                de k la R M td
                    e nd es ine .
                      Pr L ou s
                           e
          Et          R ci o ak e rce
            ru          ed u G s
                sc            B s M ol d
                                a
                                                                                                  Junior Gold Producers




                  an
                        R    Se ck eta
                                     M l
             G J a e s m a in s
                BS g ou fo in
                         u                 g
                    G ar rc e Inc
                 N old M s .
                    ev            in In
                        su Int ing c .
                           n ern In
                              R a c
                                es tio .
                  C Gl         AX ou na
                    la en M rce l
                        ud c IN s
                            e air In
          O Ce                 R n c
            ly n                 e
              m tu P s o Go .
                 pu ry a ur ld
                     s M ci ce
           Q Ne Pa ini fi c s
              ue v a ci ng Ri
                 e d fic                   m
              St ns a P M Cor
                  A tak ac i ne p.
                    nd e ifi ra
                        re Re c G ls
                            w s o
                               G ou l d
                                 o l rc
                                    df e
                                      ie s
                                        ld
                                          s
Slide 7
Exploration Companies


Company                     Market     Company                  Market   Company                   Market   Company                    Market
                            Cap.                                Cap.                               Cap.                                Cap.
Silver Standard Resources     $2,447   Gold Reserve Inc.          $307   Acadian Gold                $104   Canarc Resource Corp.         $43
NovaGold Resources            $1,627   Bear Creek Mining          $291   Northern Mining              $98   African Gold Group            $43
Aurelian Resources Inc.       $1,046   Moto Goldmines Ltd         $283   Alexis Minerals              $88   Cassidy Gold                  $41
Fronteer Development           $949    Orezone Resources          $283   YGC Resources Ltd.           $88   Merrex Gold Inc.              $40
Palmarejo Gold Corp.           $740    Fortuna Silver Mines       $187   Atna Resources Ltd.          $87   IMA Exploration Inc.          $39
Gold Eagle Mines Ltd.          $707    Chesapeake Gold            $183   Keegan Resources Inc.        $85   SearchGold Resources          $32
Seabridge Gold                 $605    New Gold Inc.              $180   Exeter Resource Corp.        $81   Sulliden Exploration          $31
Osisko Exploration             $585    Andina Minerals            $179   Pelangio Mines               $81   North Atlantic Resources      $28
Metallica Resources            $504    Petaquilla Minerals        $178   Kimber Resources Inc.        $79   Radius Gold                   $25
Arizona Star                   $494    Lake Shore Gold            $177   Capital Gold Corp.           $73   Gateway Gold                  $22
International Minerals         $479    San Anton Resource         $171   StrataGold Corporation       $73   Temex Resources               $20
Banro Corporation              $419    Detour Gold Corporati      $155   Mines Management Inc         $68   Robex Resources               $18
Guyana Goldfields              $413    Rubicon Minerals           $153   Queenston Mining             $63   Trade Winds Ventures          $18
Aquiline Resources             $410    Carpathian Gold            $137   Goldbelt Resources           $61   Maximus Ventures Ltd.         $17
Rusoro Mining Ltd              $408    San Gold Corporation       $135   Reunion Gold Corp.           $60   Tagish Lake Gold              $17
Anatolia Minerals              $393    Solitario Resources        $131   Plexmar Resources            $56   Goldcrest Resources           $15
U.S. Gold Corporation          $327    Linear Gold Corp.          $129   Gold-Ore Resources           $52   Portal Resources              $15
Southwestern Resources         $323    Dynasty Metals & Mini      $126   Royal Standard Minerals      $52   Alturas Minerals Corp.        $14
Minera Andes Inc.              $316    Mansfield Minerals Inc     $125   Klondex                      $45   Pacific Comox                 $14
Greystar Resources             $316    Marathon PGM Corp.         $105   Committee Bay Resources      $45   Goldrush Resources            $14




                                                                                                                                        Slide 8
M&A Universe

                                           175



                                           150
31-Dec-2005 Reserve Ounces (millions oz)




                                           125         Agnico-Eagle                                                                                 Barrick
                                                        Meridian


                                           100
                                                                                                                         New m ont
                                                        Bem a


                                                                                                               Gold
                                           75                                                                 Fields
                                                             Lihir
                                                                                           Harm ony                           Anglo
                                                                      Polyus
                                                                                                                               Gold
                                                                        New crest
                                           50
                                                                                              Goldcorp


                                           25
                                                                                 Kinross
                                                                                                                                       BUBBLE SIZE DENOTES MARKET CAP
                                                                                 IAMGold
                                                                      Randgold
                                            0
                                                 0.0                           2.0                         4.0                       6.0             8.0            10.0
                                                                                                         2007E Production (millions ozs)                                Slide 9
Gold Industry M&A


  Gold Industry Overview
  Gold Market Valuation
  M&A Transactions
  Transaction Challenges
  Newmont M&A Approach


                           Slide 10
Valuation Factors



   Financials         Growth
   NAV                CFPS
   CF                 Reserves/Share
   Free Cash Flow     Production/Share


                      Quality
   Option Value
                      Management
   Leverage
                      Premium deposits
   Reserves/Share
                      Margins
   Production/Share
                      Reserve Life

                                         Slide 11
NAV Premiums – Spot Gold


          NAV premiums - Senior and Intermediate Producers
   160%

   140%

   120%

   100%

   80%

   60%

   40%

   20%

    0%

   -20%
       1/97   1/98   1/99   1/00   1/01   1/02   1/03   1/04   1/05   1/06   1/07
                                                                                    Slide 12
Price to Cash Flow


                   Price to Cash Flow - Senior Producers
 25.0x
                    Sr Cur Yr           Sr 1 Yr Out          Sr 2 Yr Out


 20.0x



 15.0x



 10.0x



  5.0x
     1/97   1/98   1/99   1/00   1/01   1/02   1/03   1/04   1/05   1/06   1/07
                                                                                  Slide 13
Gold Industry M&A


  Gold Industry Overview
  Gold Market Valuation
  M&A Transactions
  Transaction Challenges
  Newmont M&A Approach


                           Slide 14
Gold Industry Transactions




   Compiled by: BMO Capital Markets
                                      Slide 15
Premium to NAV




                 Slide 16
NAV Accretion




                Slide 17
Total Acquisition Cost




                         Slide 18
US/Canada Deal Structure Considerations


         Tender Offer                                Plan of Arrangement
Cash      In the market for min. 40-50 days           66.7% threshold, single process
          Ability to control the transaction          In the market for min. 50-60 days
          documentation and transaction timing       ×Target controls transaction
          Ability to respond fast to competing bid    documentation and timing to a greater
         ×90% threshold for compulsory acquisition    degree
          of remainder or 2nd stage “squeeze-out”
          transaction (additional 45 days)

Shares    In the market for min. 40-50 days           66.7% threshold, single process
          Ability to control the transaction          May be exempt from SEC review
          documentation and transaction timing       ×In the market for min. 60-70 days
          Ability to respond fast to competing bid   ×Target controls transaction
          Tax free roll for shareholder               documentation and timing to a greater
         ×90% threshold for compulsory acquisition    degree
          of remainder or 2nd stage “squeeze-out”    ×43-101 compliance required
          transaction (additional 45 days)           ×Fairness opinion valuing acquirer
         ×SEC review and 43-101 compliance
          required
         ×Fairness opinion valuing acquiror
                                                                                              Slide 19
Gold Industry M&A


  Gold Industry Overview
  Gold Market Valuation
  M&A Transactions
  Transaction Challenges
  Newmont M&A Approach


                           Slide 20
Scarcity of Large Deposits
Frequency




                             Slide 21
Scarcity of Large Deposits



 • Industry Data from Schodde (1985-2003)
      190 deposits > 1 Moz containing 895 Moz
      discovered
      Discovery rate is about 10 deposits > 1Moz per year

      Approximately 5 of 10 are >3Moz
      Only 14 of the total 190 deposits are >10 Moz



                                                            Slide 22
ETF – Double Edged Sword


 18000                                                750


 16000                                                700


 14000                                                650


 12000                                                600
              New Gold (JSE)
 10000
              GBS (ASX)                               550
              Lyxor GBS (LSE)
 8000         GLD(NYSE)                               500
              Barclays iShares
 6000         Gold Price                              450


 4000                                                 400


 2000                                                 350


    0                                                 300
     2003
    Source: Murenbeeld           2004   2005   2006




                                                            Slide 23
Gold Price Discounted by     Gold Price Discounted
                Intermediates                by Seniors
                                                                Intermediates at Senior Multiples




            Source: BMO Nesbitt Burns

Slide 24
Life Cycle of a Project


                                                      • Competitive High Risk           • Sponsorship Opportunities               Full Value
                                                      • Potentially High Value          • Few Competitors and lower Risk
         10
                                                           Exploration                               Corporate
                 8                                           Focus                                    Focus
Relative Value




                                                    Speculative Stock
                 6                                Ahead Of Known Value                             Speculators
                                                                                                     Leave

                                                                                    Orphan
                 4                                                                  Period                                  Institutional
                                                                                                                              Investing
                                                                                                                               Begins
                 2
                                                                          1 - 2 Years     2-3 Years        2 Years      1 Year    Depletion
                         Greenfields   ~4 - 5 Years      Pre-Discovery    Discovery      Feasibility &   Development   Start-Up
                                                                                          Permitting
                 0
                     0                                    Years        5             7            10               12          13
                 Early Mover Advantage                               Development Projects                          Mergers/Acquisitions:
                 • Limited Information                               •Permitting Issues                            •Strategic,
                 • Portfolio Approach                                •Lack of Operating/Technical Skills           •Synergistic
                                                                     •Capital Constraints

                                                                                                                                       Slide 25
Gold Industry M&A


  Gold Industry Overview
  Gold Market Valuation
  M&A Transaction Valuation
  Transaction Challenges
  Newmont Growth Strategies


                              Slide 26
Reserve Additions and Depletions

              Gold Majors 2001-2005
        89%




                99%




        17%
                                     68%
                0%    -15%
                                           484%   213%
                             -51%
                                           484%

                        0%                               264%
                                     4%

                                                  127%
                                                         65%
                             -100%




                                                           Slide 27
Exploration Spend Gold Majors

                                      200
                                                                                                                                 Barrick
                                      180




                                                                                                                                               Diamond Explorers 2006
                                      160
 Exploration Budgets (US$ Millions)




                                                                                                               Newmont
                                      140




                                                                                                                                                     Diversified Miners 2006
                                      120

                                                                                                                                 AngloGold
                                      100

                                      80

                                      60
                                                                                                                                 Gold Fields
                                      40

                                      20

                                       0
                                                 2001              2002              2003               2004              2005      2006



                                                                                                                                                                        Slide 28
                                        Source: Corporate Exploration Strategies (Metals Economics Group, October 2006)
Growth Strategies


   Core Operations
   Regional Operating Units
   Partnering Strategy
   Stake in future large deposits
   Investment/Diversification
   Non-core assets


                                    Slide 29
Gold Industry M&A




              Thank You




                          Slide 30

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Goldpreis

  • 1. MEMs Conference Presentation Gold Industry M&A Paul Brink Director, Newmont Capital April, 2007
  • 2. Gold Industry M&A Gold Industry Overview Gold Market Valuation M&A Transactions Transaction Challenges Newmont M&A Approach Slide 2
  • 3. Gold Price Net Long/(Short) Positions & Gold Price 180,000 $750 150,000 Net Long / (Short) Position $700 Gold Price (Spot FR) 120,000 $650 90,000 $600 60,000 $550 30,000 $500 0 $450 (30,000) $400 (60,000) $350 (90,000) $300 (120,000) $250 1/00 1/01 1/02 1/03 1/04 1/05 1/06 1/07 Slide 3
  • 4. Market Capitalization Ba rr i Ne c $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 wm k G $30,000 on old tM in in An G g gl ol oG dc or ol d p As Senior Gold Producers ha G nt ol d i Fi Ki el nr ds os Ne s wc G re ol st d M Ha i rm nin on g y Po G lyu ol s d M in in g Slide 4
  • 5. Senior Gold Producers – 5yr trading Slide 5
  • 6. Market Capitalization Ag Ya ni ma co n $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $0 -E a G ag ol le d M in Li es M hi er r G id ol d ia n G IA o M ld Ce G nt OL e D El rra Ra d G Intermediate Gold Producers nd ora ol go do d ld R Go e ld Pe sou te rc DR r H es DG amb O r LD o Lt d. Slide 6
  • 7. C Market Capitalization C re ry w s t M Go al i ra l d l $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 G ex m a Co ab In r rp rie ter Mi . l R n a ni n e tio g R sou na Al io N rc l am a es rc H Mi n os G ea ig e o h C Pe Ri fin d l d um a ve e be Au k G r G rs D K rl an ri zo old ol d un i r d n L de k la R M td e nd es ine . Pr L ou s e Et R ci o ak e rce ru ed u G s sc B s M ol d a Junior Gold Producers an R Se ck eta M l G J a e s m a in s BS g ou fo in u g G ar rc e Inc N old M s . ev in In su Int ing c . n ern In R a c es tio . C Gl AX ou na la en M rce l ud c IN s e air In O Ce R n c ly n e m tu P s o Go . pu ry a ur ld s M ci ce Q Ne Pa ini fi c s ue v a ci ng Ri e d fic m St ns a P M Cor A tak ac i ne p. nd e ifi ra re Re c G ls w s o G ou l d o l rc df e ie s ld s Slide 7
  • 8. Exploration Companies Company Market Company Market Company Market Company Market Cap. Cap. Cap. Cap. Silver Standard Resources $2,447 Gold Reserve Inc. $307 Acadian Gold $104 Canarc Resource Corp. $43 NovaGold Resources $1,627 Bear Creek Mining $291 Northern Mining $98 African Gold Group $43 Aurelian Resources Inc. $1,046 Moto Goldmines Ltd $283 Alexis Minerals $88 Cassidy Gold $41 Fronteer Development $949 Orezone Resources $283 YGC Resources Ltd. $88 Merrex Gold Inc. $40 Palmarejo Gold Corp. $740 Fortuna Silver Mines $187 Atna Resources Ltd. $87 IMA Exploration Inc. $39 Gold Eagle Mines Ltd. $707 Chesapeake Gold $183 Keegan Resources Inc. $85 SearchGold Resources $32 Seabridge Gold $605 New Gold Inc. $180 Exeter Resource Corp. $81 Sulliden Exploration $31 Osisko Exploration $585 Andina Minerals $179 Pelangio Mines $81 North Atlantic Resources $28 Metallica Resources $504 Petaquilla Minerals $178 Kimber Resources Inc. $79 Radius Gold $25 Arizona Star $494 Lake Shore Gold $177 Capital Gold Corp. $73 Gateway Gold $22 International Minerals $479 San Anton Resource $171 StrataGold Corporation $73 Temex Resources $20 Banro Corporation $419 Detour Gold Corporati $155 Mines Management Inc $68 Robex Resources $18 Guyana Goldfields $413 Rubicon Minerals $153 Queenston Mining $63 Trade Winds Ventures $18 Aquiline Resources $410 Carpathian Gold $137 Goldbelt Resources $61 Maximus Ventures Ltd. $17 Rusoro Mining Ltd $408 San Gold Corporation $135 Reunion Gold Corp. $60 Tagish Lake Gold $17 Anatolia Minerals $393 Solitario Resources $131 Plexmar Resources $56 Goldcrest Resources $15 U.S. Gold Corporation $327 Linear Gold Corp. $129 Gold-Ore Resources $52 Portal Resources $15 Southwestern Resources $323 Dynasty Metals & Mini $126 Royal Standard Minerals $52 Alturas Minerals Corp. $14 Minera Andes Inc. $316 Mansfield Minerals Inc $125 Klondex $45 Pacific Comox $14 Greystar Resources $316 Marathon PGM Corp. $105 Committee Bay Resources $45 Goldrush Resources $14 Slide 8
  • 9. M&A Universe 175 150 31-Dec-2005 Reserve Ounces (millions oz) 125 Agnico-Eagle Barrick Meridian 100 New m ont Bem a Gold 75 Fields Lihir Harm ony Anglo Polyus Gold New crest 50 Goldcorp 25 Kinross BUBBLE SIZE DENOTES MARKET CAP IAMGold Randgold 0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 2007E Production (millions ozs) Slide 9
  • 10. Gold Industry M&A Gold Industry Overview Gold Market Valuation M&A Transactions Transaction Challenges Newmont M&A Approach Slide 10
  • 11. Valuation Factors Financials Growth NAV CFPS CF Reserves/Share Free Cash Flow Production/Share Quality Option Value Management Leverage Premium deposits Reserves/Share Margins Production/Share Reserve Life Slide 11
  • 12. NAV Premiums – Spot Gold NAV premiums - Senior and Intermediate Producers 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% 1/97 1/98 1/99 1/00 1/01 1/02 1/03 1/04 1/05 1/06 1/07 Slide 12
  • 13. Price to Cash Flow Price to Cash Flow - Senior Producers 25.0x Sr Cur Yr Sr 1 Yr Out Sr 2 Yr Out 20.0x 15.0x 10.0x 5.0x 1/97 1/98 1/99 1/00 1/01 1/02 1/03 1/04 1/05 1/06 1/07 Slide 13
  • 14. Gold Industry M&A Gold Industry Overview Gold Market Valuation M&A Transactions Transaction Challenges Newmont M&A Approach Slide 14
  • 15. Gold Industry Transactions Compiled by: BMO Capital Markets Slide 15
  • 16. Premium to NAV Slide 16
  • 17. NAV Accretion Slide 17
  • 19. US/Canada Deal Structure Considerations Tender Offer Plan of Arrangement Cash In the market for min. 40-50 days 66.7% threshold, single process Ability to control the transaction In the market for min. 50-60 days documentation and transaction timing ×Target controls transaction Ability to respond fast to competing bid documentation and timing to a greater ×90% threshold for compulsory acquisition degree of remainder or 2nd stage “squeeze-out” transaction (additional 45 days) Shares In the market for min. 40-50 days 66.7% threshold, single process Ability to control the transaction May be exempt from SEC review documentation and transaction timing ×In the market for min. 60-70 days Ability to respond fast to competing bid ×Target controls transaction Tax free roll for shareholder documentation and timing to a greater ×90% threshold for compulsory acquisition degree of remainder or 2nd stage “squeeze-out” ×43-101 compliance required transaction (additional 45 days) ×Fairness opinion valuing acquirer ×SEC review and 43-101 compliance required ×Fairness opinion valuing acquiror Slide 19
  • 20. Gold Industry M&A Gold Industry Overview Gold Market Valuation M&A Transactions Transaction Challenges Newmont M&A Approach Slide 20
  • 21. Scarcity of Large Deposits Frequency Slide 21
  • 22. Scarcity of Large Deposits • Industry Data from Schodde (1985-2003) 190 deposits > 1 Moz containing 895 Moz discovered Discovery rate is about 10 deposits > 1Moz per year Approximately 5 of 10 are >3Moz Only 14 of the total 190 deposits are >10 Moz Slide 22
  • 23. ETF – Double Edged Sword 18000 750 16000 700 14000 650 12000 600 New Gold (JSE) 10000 GBS (ASX) 550 Lyxor GBS (LSE) 8000 GLD(NYSE) 500 Barclays iShares 6000 Gold Price 450 4000 400 2000 350 0 300 2003 Source: Murenbeeld 2004 2005 2006 Slide 23
  • 24. Gold Price Discounted by Gold Price Discounted Intermediates by Seniors Intermediates at Senior Multiples Source: BMO Nesbitt Burns Slide 24
  • 25. Life Cycle of a Project • Competitive High Risk • Sponsorship Opportunities Full Value • Potentially High Value • Few Competitors and lower Risk 10 Exploration Corporate 8 Focus Focus Relative Value Speculative Stock 6 Ahead Of Known Value Speculators Leave Orphan 4 Period Institutional Investing Begins 2 1 - 2 Years 2-3 Years 2 Years 1 Year Depletion Greenfields ~4 - 5 Years Pre-Discovery Discovery Feasibility & Development Start-Up Permitting 0 0 Years 5 7 10 12 13 Early Mover Advantage Development Projects Mergers/Acquisitions: • Limited Information •Permitting Issues •Strategic, • Portfolio Approach •Lack of Operating/Technical Skills •Synergistic •Capital Constraints Slide 25
  • 26. Gold Industry M&A Gold Industry Overview Gold Market Valuation M&A Transaction Valuation Transaction Challenges Newmont Growth Strategies Slide 26
  • 27. Reserve Additions and Depletions Gold Majors 2001-2005 89% 99% 17% 68% 0% -15% 484% 213% -51% 484% 0% 264% 4% 127% 65% -100% Slide 27
  • 28. Exploration Spend Gold Majors 200 Barrick 180 Diamond Explorers 2006 160 Exploration Budgets (US$ Millions) Newmont 140 Diversified Miners 2006 120 AngloGold 100 80 60 Gold Fields 40 20 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Slide 28 Source: Corporate Exploration Strategies (Metals Economics Group, October 2006)
  • 29. Growth Strategies Core Operations Regional Operating Units Partnering Strategy Stake in future large deposits Investment/Diversification Non-core assets Slide 29
  • 30. Gold Industry M&A Thank You Slide 30