Utopia - The Remedy for Apocalypse

Guy Dauncey 2013Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.comwww.earthfuture.com
UTOPIA
THE REMEDY FOR APOCALPYSE

www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey

We have come a long way from this…

to this….

To this….

To this …

but…

©Smithore Dreamstime.com
We have also come to this…

If everyone lived the way wealthy people do,
we'd need many more planets
to provide the resources.

GDP =
‘Gross
Domestic
Product’

Gross
Depletion
of the
Planet

Gross
Depletion
of the
Planet
Why?
To raise cattle,
to make hamburgers

Gross Depletion of the Planet

Why?
To make Palm Oil,
to make Pizza

Gross Depletion of the Planet
Why?
To make shark fin soup

As we burn the fossil fuels…
CO2 CO2
CO2
CO2
CO2 CO2
100 million tonnes a day
= 4 million tonnes an hour
= 67,000 tonnes a minute
= 1,000 tonnes a second

Ireland’s great winter storm of 2014

The last time the world was 3°C warmer
the sea level was 25 metres higher

3 metres sea-level rise http://flood.firetree.net

And this…
And this…

Climate Crisis Oceans Crisis
Financial Crisis
Species Extinction
Poverty
Homelessness
War and Violence
Hunger

When you think about
the future of our world,
what do you feel?

Excitement
Hope
Worry
Despair

What is the probable future of our world?

What is the probable future of our world?
A LOT OF REALLY
BAD THINGS

What is the possible future of our world?

What is the possible future of our world?
A LOT OF REALLY
GOOD THINGS

What makes the difference?
YOU DO

YOU DO
I DO

YOU DO
I DO
WE DO

Are you conscious?

Do you have free will to choose your future?
Or is everything predetermined?

Is there purpose and direction in the Universe?
Or is it just all just random?

What story do you use
to make sense of it all?

A: There is Spiritual purpose in our life

B: Who knows? But it’s amazing

C: Nature is good,
Humans are bad

D:

What story do you use to make sense of it all?
A: Spiritual purpose B: Who knows? But it’s amazing
C: Nature good, humans bad
D:

Humans are motivated by dreams of life and wholeness,
not by nightmares of death and collapse.

We Have
The Freedom to Choose…

Which path
will you
take?

A QUICK HISTORY LESSON

Go back 100 years, to the time of your
great grandparents
Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Mobile phones, Internet,
credit cards, space travel, computers, TV, recorded music
airplanes, antibiotics, relativity theory, women voting…
ALL GONE

Go back 500 years,
20 generations ago
Radio, telephones, light bulbs, the periodic table,
electricity, railways, Darwin’s evolutionary theory,
democracy, freedom from child labour, the industrial age,
freedom from slavery, the idea of tolerance and equality,
telescopes, muskets, microscopes, the idea of science -
ALL GONE

Go back 5,000 years,
200 generations ago
The printing press, algebra, geometry, maths, numbers,
ancient Greece, philosophy, paper, the alphabet,
literature, writing…
ALL GONE

Go back 50,000 years,
2,000 generations ago
Agriculture, cities, towns, metal working, pottery, boats,
constructed shelter, musical instruments…
ALL GONE

These are our ancestors.
It was their quest for knowledge
that led the way to the Neolithic Age

Their Neolithic quest led the way …

To Babylonian thought,
which led the way…
Wikimedia

To Egyptian thought,

To Greek science and philosophy,
Wikimedia

To Islamic science and philosophy,
which led the way …

To the Renaissance,
Wikimedia

To the Scientific Revolution,

To the Industrial Age,

To more Industrial Age,

©Smithore Dreamstime.com
And also to this.

The Journey of Civilization has
seven threads, in which we learn:
1. How to communicate
1. How to relate to Spirit
1. How to think scientifically
1. How to create technologies
2. How to make social progress
3. How to live in harmony with Nature
4. How to end war

1: We learn how to communicate…
Speech Writing Alphabet Manuscripts
Printing
Books
Telephone
Radio
TV Satellite Internet

2: We learn how to relate to Spirit …

3: We learn how to think scientifically…
Aristotle
Islamic scientists
Copernicus
Galileo
Stephen Hawking

4: We learn how to create technologies …

18th Century
Campaign to
Abolish Slavery
Wikimedia
5: We learn how
to make
social progress …

6: We learn how to live in harmony with Nature

7: We learn how to end violence and war

19th Century: Struggles to build Democracy
Wikimedia

19th Century – Struggles for Workers’ Rights
Wikimedia

Wikimedia
19th Century
Campaigns to End Child Labour

19th Century
Women’s
Suffrage
Movement,
to win the vote for
women
Wikimedia

Wikimedia20th Century: Struggle against Nazism

20th Century: The Struggles for Independence
and the Power of Non-Violence
Wikimedia

20th Century
Civil Rights
Movement
Wikimedia

South Africa’s Struggle to End Apartheid

©Dreamstime.com
21st Century
Struggle for Harmony with Nature

21st Century
Continuing Struggle for Women’s Rights

21st Century
Continuing Struggle for Democracy

21st
Century:
Continuing Struggle for Economic Justice

Climate Crisis

Climate Crisis Climate Activism

Climate Crisis
Financial Crisis
Climate Activism

Climate Crisis
Financial Crisis
Climate Activism
New Economy
Activism

Climate Crisis
Oceans Crisis
Financial Crisis
Species Extinction
Poverty
Homelessness
War and Violence
Hunger
Climate Activism
New Economy
Activism
Food and Farming Activism
New Economy
Activism
Peace Activism
Nature Activism
Marine Activism
Housing Activism

Climate Crisis
Oceans Crisis
Financial Crisis
Species Extinction
Poverty
Homelessness
War and Violence
Hunger
Climate Activism
New Economy
Activism
Food and Farming Activism
New Economy
Activism
Peace Activism
Nature Activism
Marine Activism
Housing Activism
And who
will do
all this?

Artists and Poets
Engineers and Planners
Farmers and Chefs
Economists and Bankers
Teachers and Youth Workers
Foresters and Biologists
Scientists
Social Workers and Change-Agents
Business People and Investors
Doctors and Nurses
You Me

The power
of our vision
must be stronger than
the power
of our fears

“The future belongs to those who believe
in the beauty of their dreams.”
― Eleanor Roosevelt

So what is our vision of
a beautiful, desirable future?

Metamorphosis…

If you are
searching for
the
ONE PERSON
who can
change your life
take a look
in a mirror

William Kamkwamba
built a windmill in his
tiny rural farming
village in Malawi when
he was 14 years old.

18-year-old Boyan Slat
from Holland

18-year-old Boyan Slat
from Holland
THE SOLUTION

The Return of Nature

Lost Creeks being restored

Still Creek, Vancouver.
Chum Salmon restored after 80 years

Semiahmoo Transit Station
Surrey, BC, Canada
Bringing greenery
into our towns and cities…

www.greenovergrey.com

Musee du Quai Branly, Paris
Patrick Blanc, Le Mur Vegetal

Athenaeum Hotel, London Patrick Blanc

Vincent Callebaut: Asian Cairns, Sustainable Megaliths for
Rural Urbanity, Shenzhen, China, 2013
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.c

Brooklyn Public School 216 Arturo Toscanini,
New York
Turning concrete schoolyards…

into Green Schoolyards

Schools Growing Their Own Food

Streets being re-imagined
and redesigned

Suburban streets being calmed and claimed

www.earthfuture.comwww.earthfuture.comwww.restreets.org
Fast, dangerous streets being slowed

www.restreets.org
Fast, boring streets being slowed and humanized

www.earthfuture.comwww.earthfuture.com www.cityrepair.org

www.cityrepair.org

Streets Holding Annual Block Parties

There’s lots of
community art

Proyecto Urbano Integral, Medellin, Colombia

Pedestrian Plaza
In Buenos Aires,
Argentina

Cheonggyecheon, Seoul, South Korea
Before and After

Cheonggyecheon, Seoul, South Korea

The Highline
Converted Railway,
New York

Brooklyn Bridge Remix/Redux
Terreform and Michael Sorkin Studio

London: a Garden Bridge across the Thames
Thomas Heatherwick

Proposed green covered highway
In Hamburg, Germany

Vancouver’s Green Streets Program

www.earthfuture.comwww.earthfuture.com Food and Farming

Local Food Economies
flourishing
www.solefoodfarms.com

Community gardens everywhere

Many people growing their own food

www.earthfuture.comwww.earthfuture.comMany people growing their own food

Boulevards filled with vegetables

Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.c

Boulevards being ‘vegetablized’

FARM VILLAGES
The Way of the Future

A lot of Vancouver Island farmland is growing hay

Good farmland
sits empty
Young people
want to farm

By 2034, on any farm of more than (eg) 40
hectares, 1 hectare may be rezoned as a
Community Farm Village
and additional acreage may be leased or sold
for farming purposes.

Deep in many of our hearts is a longing
to recover what we have lost.

Family
Community
Honest hard work
Harmony with Nature

Sara Dent, www.farmlove.o
Celebration

The Joyful Cyclist

In Holland, 40% of all traffic movement
is by bicycle

Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com

Tony’s Trailers www.tonystrailers.com

Luminescent
bike lane at night

Free transit, paid in city taxes
From 1996-2006 ridership increased
from 1,000 to 12,600 riders a day
Payment is now $1 per ride.
Hasselt, Belgium

Real-time electronic bus stops

On-Line Electric Bus, South Korea

Fast-Charge Electric Bus, Los Angeles

Stockholm – 200 buses run on biogas
from sewage treatment

See
Victoria Carshare Coop
650 members share 23 vehicles
www.victoriacarshare.ca
The Happy Car Sharer

Peer-to-Peer Car-Sharing
Vehicles owners earn
up to $300 a month

Renault Twizy EV
2 seats, 100 km range

$10,600 + $65/month battery lease
Top

Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.comNissan Leaf Electric - 120 km range

Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Smart Electric – 135 km range

Tesla Model-X: 300-400 km range

10,000 km = 1,500 kWh
1,500 kwh @ 10 cents = $13 a month
Gas 10 litres @ $1.30 litre = $130 a month
The Cost of Power for Electric Cars
EV Bargain!!
10 times cheaper
to run!

1.5 kW solar PV
$6,000
5% 25 year mortgage on $6,000 = $35 a month
Gas 10 litres @ $1.30 litre = $130 a month

Victoria, BC www.bernhardtpassive.com
The Passive House

Construction costs:
4.3% more per square foot

Monthly net energy savings
more than the increased mortgage

Taiwan Solar Stadium

2014: 4 kW PV = $16,000
4,400 kWh year

2034: 4 kW PV = $6,000
4,400 kWh year
Will save $30,000 - $60,000 over
the 30 year life of the panels

100 GW
in 2012
Solar PV 7000% increase
since 2000

134 GW
in 2013
9000%
increase
since 2000

Kagoshima Nanatsujima 70 MW solar plant

London’s new solar bridge

Solar Hot Water

Hybrid solar PV and solar hot water

Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Neolithic Era
Ancient Egypt
Roman Empire
Islamic Golden Age
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
The Age of Oil
……………………………………….
The last 10,000 years

Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
The last 10,000 years
...................................................
What happens here,
when we stop using oil?

Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
A billion years
The Sun will not begin to turn
into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.
That’s 100,000 periods of 10,000 years

Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
A billion years
The Sun does not begin to turn
into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.
And with every passing year,
solar technology will improve
and get cheaper.

Moving from a
CAPITALIST
to a
COOPERATIVE
Economy

A COOPERATIVE
Economy
Businesses flourishing in harmony with
other businesses, workers,
community, nature and the world.

Close down the
offshore
tax havens

Establish
Public Banks

A Financial Transactions Tax

Turn businesses into
Benefit Corporations

More Women Directors on the Board
“Companies with more Women Board Directors
experience higher financial performance,
according to latest Catalyst Bottom Line Report.”

Green Business Certification

Basic Income for all
A Basic Income is an income
unconditionally guaranteed to all
on an individual basis,
without means test or work requirement.

Neighbours participating
in the sharing economy
www.streetbank.com

www.earthfuture.comwww.earthfuture.com www.collaborativeconsumption.com

Neighbourhood Tool-Sharing

Youth Enterprise Initiatives

Micro-Lending

Student Debt problems solved in Oregon

The Oregon Solution: Pay It Forward

What Skills Do You Need?

1. Passion

1. Passion
2. Commitment

1. Passion
2. Commitment
3. Research: always thinking,
learning and asking questions

1. Passion
2. Commitment
4. Hard work, learning from mistakes

1. Passion
2. Commitment
5. Team work

1. Passion
2. Commitment
5. Team work
6. Persistence in the face of difficulty

1. Passion
2. Commitment
5. Team work
6. Persistence in the face of difficulty
7. Faith

How Do We
Make It Happen?

Engaging Young People
www.leadingchangenetwork.com

Electronic ballots
Voting aged reduced to 16
Transferable Voting for City Hall
$100 tax credit for voting

Design the Future
Community Meetings

A Green, Sustainable Future
is not an ‘Option’
It is an Urgent Necessity

Joseph Boutilier
is unicycling from
Victoria to Ottawa
to spread awareness
of the climate crisis,
and demand action.
unityfortheclimate.ca

Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.c
CITY
of the
FUTURE
A Journey to the Year 2032
GUY DAUNCEY
Summer
2014

Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
This is about us,
our planet,
our future.

Dream it
Wish it
Do it

Josephine Wall
www.josephinewall.co.uk

Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey
www.earthfuture.com

Utopia - The Remedy for Apocalypse

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