SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 4
Descargar para leer sin conexión
“
Page 1 of 4 May 2013 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Alice, meet Dr. Dodgson! Your Retirement Tea Party.
The biggest problem with savings is the rate of inflation eating your cash savings before you retire
to sit-down and enjoy them. The reality of ‘financial products’ is they do not work to hold value for
you but erode value of savings entrusted even more than the erosion of inflation. The combined rate
of inflation and fees they take but are unable to earn. The average fund fee of 2% plus MERs
(Management Expense Ratios) of 2% charged on top of current inflation rate means they need to
obtain 8.42% to maintain the value of your money entrusted them that you get a dollar back for
every dollar you have given them.
No adequate results are the real issue. Johann Wolfgang von Goethe said, “There is nothing more
frightful than ignorance in action.” He had no knowledge of the modern financial industry. Theirs
is willful ignorance. They skim whatever they can in fees and sales churn costs by poor quality use
of what are known inadequate investment methods. These methods used by banks and insurers
create mutual funds as financial products to exploit small investor savings for their taking fees.
Hopefully, you did have the time to watch the recent
PBS-Frontline showing of Rainmedia’s film The
Retirement Gamble. It was a nice start on these very real
issues affecting us all. The morality mumbled by
executives shown is truly reprehensible as that has
evolved to dominate the financial industry that drives
nearly a fifth of the entire economy; growing faster than
mining oil and gas sector; and, dominates political
lobbying. Opprobrium is relief but not an answer. For all
the high-faluting claims made by the industry in their
sales pitches they know the investment models they use
are not getting required results to be relevant. Relevant
results would be obtaining a return higher than net of inflation which in our present 42 year
productive adult lifetimes has averaged 4.42%, as documented by the Federal Reserve in this table.
The film featured some pithy comments by Vanguard Funds founder, Jack Bogle, very acute but
not accurate, when he says of the industry, “You invest 100% of the money, take 100% of the risk
What investors expect of bankers and financial industry investment products is a way to secure
savings while growing their wealth. The circularity of ‘investment talk’ one gets from fund
managers and advisors who have sold you their “goods” and taken your money to ‘safely invest’ is
like what Alice gets at the Tea Party.
“Take some more tea,” the March Hare said to Alice very earnestly.
“I’ve had nothing yet,” Alice replied in an offended tone: “so I ca’n’t take more.”
“You mean you ca’n’t take less,” said the Hatter: “it’s very easy to take more than nothing.”
Pretty much that is the case. They have taken it all before you arrived. “Alice, meet Dr. Artful
Dodger.”
“
Page 2 of 4 May 2013 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Alice, meet Dr. Dodgson! Your Retirement Tea Party.
and get 30% of the profits” That leads to a misperception of the industry as Bogle should be saying
your risk is of losing 98% and not getting 2% back. Fees plus inflation must be overcome. The
average fee of 2% plus MERs (Management Expense Ratios) of 2% charged on top of that 4.42%
inflation rate means they need to obtain 8.42% to maintain the value of your money entrusted them.
They must get 8.42% per year that you just get a dollar back for each dollar given them. That
negative -0.9158% over 42 years means there will be just 2.49 cents of every dollar, if they got
0.00% return. Many have seen negative return performance from their mutual funds.
You will never save your bacon that way. The industry managers ensure that they will take the hog
home after you raised it. “I’ve had nothing yet,” Alice replied in an offended tone: “so I ca’n’t take
more.” “You mean you ca’n’t take less,” said the Hatter: “it’s very easy to take more than nothing.”
ETF’s as financial products do not yield 30% either. Many will misread Jack Bogle’s comment and
shift their wealth to index funds but that is hardly effective. The often cited Vanguard VTI has
averaged 4.25% over their 12 years ahead of the DJI 2.91% in those 12 years. More relevant is VTI
first 3 year decline of -23.69% from inception 2000-03 (while DJI -24.86%) and then 2 year rise to
get back to even followed by 70.64% overall rise to 2007 but that was just 3.84% return over 7
years leading into the sharp 2 year decline -40.3% in 2007-09 providing a negative -2.76% return at
9 years. Quantitative Easing has saved the rate of return for Vanguard, as others, since federal debt
induced ‘money’ has flowed into the markets’ rise in value instead of creating economic demand,
so markets have sharply recovered while GDP and employment have risen subtly.
Index funds are not effective either, but just practical IF they can match the market. When they do
they just see-saw with it and over the past two decades they have barely justified their taking even
1% fee. Over the past two decades inflation has been relentlessly eroding wealth while fees for
managers without effective methods have stripped fortuitous gains they have not had a clue for
obtaining. Index funds are no less or more so competent, just a little less expensive for passive
management flotsam with the markets rise and fall. That is fortuity claimed as expertise. Now
everyone is wondering where the next bottom is, and when, they will need some income whether
there will be savings.
The basic reality is that inflation is always eroding the value of idle money. The average inflation
for the last century was 3.23% but in the 42 years current since the 1970’s has run at 4.42%. That is
most relevant to recovering our wealth from disastrous financial industry returns as the boomers
retire the old adage remains, “You have to make your own bacon.”
The boomers have paid into social policy funds to pay for their parents’ retirements only to find
those funds have not been used and made to work for them. They have become the victims of poor
management policies of the industry who claim results they have never managed to obtain, ever.
Legally they should have known better and acted differently, but that court battle is more than we
can afford or attorneys general will pursue. The industry defence will be they acted according to the
standards required, those of the self-regulating industry they require of themselves. You will have
to prove differently and confront the morass of conflicting ‘experts’ testimony well paid.
“
Page 3 of 4 May 2013 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Alice, meet Dr. Dodgson! Your Retirement Tea Party.
The economy rises with innovation and productivity creating social demands more than population
growth. Investing in corporations is the most likely way of overcoming inflation and zero-sum
consequences of population growth hungry mouths pushing demand raising prices. Inflation is
mostly a consequence of government debt financing unwarranted corporate entitlements.
Businesses with worthy ideas need to obtain debt financing often on a massive scale as arose with
industrialization and the Napoleonic Wars. That is why the modern ‘public liability’ corporate
entity was finally legalized of necessity notwithstanding the morality of agency problems arising
for the management class that had so deeply concerned Adam Smith. Their risk is transferred to the
society at large of ‘unsecured creditors’ when they fail after taking fees salaries and bonuses.
That management costs outstrip shareholders and the public interest is still current, even with social
fund managers criticising the managers of the firms they allocated social fund investments.
http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/05/pension-envy/ But they really are just chickadees chirping at each other for most
social funds’ costs for management exceed the rate of inflation and often near double.
That is on the massive funds we are lawfully compelled to allocate to their use, every year by
contributions deducted from our pay stubs, and supposed serving our interest in our pension
funding. Over 10% of our earnings are so allocated each year and simply added to their claims of
obtaining returns. They have not ever achieved that critical 4.42% average inflation after their fees
over the last 45 years such funds were enacted by government.
Some of these so-called self-anointed social funds claim as much as 9% in management costs.
Social endowment funds also generously self-award management costs and fees in excess of the
mutual average fund. Getting positive results in excess of 8.42% is the average that the industry
needs to provide to justify the average fees and still return a dollar for dollar at the end of 20 to 45
years. Pension funds report that rate (whenever they do), only by including all new contributions as
growth they have obtained. That is hollow illusion.
Imagine that some of the supplementary federally regulated (and further tax supplemented) pension
programmes being pitched today eat over 9% in management fees each year plus 4.42%+ as
inflation eats even more external to their management. Canadian Registered Education Savings
Plans receive a 20% top-up from the government that just pays for bank management fees yielding
a 0.89% growth over 17 years - bankers raiding the kid's piggy-bank is government policy.
The Yale investment board (a model many social service endowments use) endorses fund mangers
take near 6% in costs and salaries even in bad times, and even congratulates them.
Yale posted a return of 4.7 percent on its investments during the latest fiscal year,...“Thanks to the outstanding
work of the Investments Office, ..."
The reality is that management costs were an unsustainable 970 million on a 18.53 billion fund,
5.2%, in 2010. They acquired illiquidity in fine sounding "Alternative Investments" with a higher
cost to run and with the very risk of illiquidity if they do not succeed as they expected. This past
“
Page 4 of 4 May 2013 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited.
The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein,
in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc.
StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities.
StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions.
Alice, meet Dr. Dodgson! Your Retirement Tea Party.
year in 2012 the endowment value fell "modestly" as self-reported from $19.4 "dropped by $100
million due to spending distributions" -0.52% loss as markets rose gently, 3.75% in that fiscal year,
underperforming the previous 3 year 52.5% brisk market rise, just halfway recovering 08/09 losses,
remaining 18.6% below as discounted by inflation. Outstanding work, or nice if you can get it?
Yale’s endowment performance, which leaves it at $19.3 billion as of June 30, is significantly weaker than the
21.9 percent return it posted in fiscal year 2011 but exceeds the returns registered at two other Ivy League
schools so far this year. While the University of Pennsylvania posted earnings of 1.6 percent last week,
Harvard University announced yesterday that its investments had experienced a 0.05 percent loss during fiscal
year 2012.
The investment models and methods of the industry do not work to obtain the minimum 8.42%
return required. Many of the board members sitting at endowments invented the investment
methods used that even for themselves proved failure in practice. Savings and minor gains are taken
in fees claimed by the financial advisors who make these products and sell them to the public of
earnest small investors. You provide the ‘unsecured’ working capital to failed investment models.
We call the firms we select by our methods "likeables" because investors have a decided tendency
to like them. In the past quarter without an attempt to reinvest for greater gains these
"likeables" only portfolios we identify (as we partition from markets by our Risk Price analysis)
gained 10.56% for 210 NYSE firms partitioned, and 7.72% on the 89 TSX firms partitioned from
last quarter 2012 balance sheets. Those were used to select the Tax Charity portfolios on the
arbitrary filter of the lowest cost suiting the tax limit.
These results are routine. In 2009 to 2011 our partition of the DOWs earned 16% per annum as
industry portfolio managers lost 25 to 40% of their client capital. From 2000 through 2012 the
average 26.53% obtained on the DOWs partitioned by our theory and methods, logically correct
and mathematically proven, as the markets have scientifically proven consequences.
Clear, concise and consistent. The equities we hold are “likeables” tending to gain 67% of the time.
We do not make stock prices but can reasonably respond to stock price tendencies, by our knowing
the price of risk, the downside, and buying and holding accordingly. That is new fundamentals from
our new theory of the firm. Know What You Have. Have What You Know
Our view is risk averse. Of course we require a fee for doing that. Mail us for our help.
Ernst and Hans Goetze,
Architypes Inc and StockTakers Limited
Head Office
76 Midridge Close SE
Calgary, AB
T2X 1G1
72 Cornwall Street
Toronto, ON
M5A 4K5
351 Chemin Boulanger
Sutton, PQ
J0E 2K0
450 538-1270

Más contenido relacionado

La actualidad más candente

Tax free foundational asset retirement
Tax free foundational asset retirementTax free foundational asset retirement
Tax free foundational asset retirementAmerinsur
 
Corporate asset transfer
Corporate asset transferCorporate asset transfer
Corporate asset transferTom MacLellan
 
Corporate strategy and financial policy
Corporate strategy and financial policyCorporate strategy and financial policy
Corporate strategy and financial policyAshok Korwar
 
Pension & OPEB Funding Strategies for Illinois Public Plans
Pension & OPEB Funding Strategies for Illinois Public PlansPension & OPEB Funding Strategies for Illinois Public Plans
Pension & OPEB Funding Strategies for Illinois Public PlansJim van Iwaarden
 
Buy sell agreements-2021
Buy sell agreements-2021Buy sell agreements-2021
Buy sell agreements-2021FinnKevin
 
Business management tips_2021
Business management tips_2021Business management tips_2021
Business management tips_2021FinnKevin
 
Executive compensation march_13_2013
Executive compensation march_13_2013Executive compensation march_13_2013
Executive compensation march_13_2013Hiatus51
 
Wealth Transfer and Charitable Planning Strategies Handbook
Wealth Transfer and Charitable Planning Strategies HandbookWealth Transfer and Charitable Planning Strategies Handbook
Wealth Transfer and Charitable Planning Strategies Handbooksradin
 
Principal idi consumer_power_point
Principal idi consumer_power_pointPrincipal idi consumer_power_point
Principal idi consumer_power_pointakkdio
 
Tax diversify your retirement income
Tax diversify your retirement incomeTax diversify your retirement income
Tax diversify your retirement incomegiannem1
 
Investment memorandum narrated
Investment memorandum narratedInvestment memorandum narrated
Investment memorandum narratedmpanciro
 
But What if I live? Power Point
But What if I live? Power PointBut What if I live? Power Point
But What if I live? Power Pointmarketmann
 
WL vs ROTH IRA CLIENT FF
WL vs ROTH IRA CLIENT FFWL vs ROTH IRA CLIENT FF
WL vs ROTH IRA CLIENT FFTari Watkins
 
Variable Annuities In Retirement
Variable Annuities In RetirementVariable Annuities In Retirement
Variable Annuities In Retirementhrmartin
 
LIRP Consumer Brochure
LIRP Consumer BrochureLIRP Consumer Brochure
LIRP Consumer BrochureMarvin Johnson
 

La actualidad más candente (18)

Tax free foundational asset retirement
Tax free foundational asset retirementTax free foundational asset retirement
Tax free foundational asset retirement
 
Corporate asset transfer
Corporate asset transferCorporate asset transfer
Corporate asset transfer
 
Corporate strategy and financial policy
Corporate strategy and financial policyCorporate strategy and financial policy
Corporate strategy and financial policy
 
Cpaa ilipp+never taxeddollars+ part1_the conceptx
Cpaa ilipp+never taxeddollars+ part1_the conceptxCpaa ilipp+never taxeddollars+ part1_the conceptx
Cpaa ilipp+never taxeddollars+ part1_the conceptx
 
Pension & OPEB Funding Strategies for Illinois Public Plans
Pension & OPEB Funding Strategies for Illinois Public PlansPension & OPEB Funding Strategies for Illinois Public Plans
Pension & OPEB Funding Strategies for Illinois Public Plans
 
Buy sell agreements-2021
Buy sell agreements-2021Buy sell agreements-2021
Buy sell agreements-2021
 
The Anti-Annuity
The Anti-AnnuityThe Anti-Annuity
The Anti-Annuity
 
Business management tips_2021
Business management tips_2021Business management tips_2021
Business management tips_2021
 
Executive compensation march_13_2013
Executive compensation march_13_2013Executive compensation march_13_2013
Executive compensation march_13_2013
 
Wealth Transfer and Charitable Planning Strategies Handbook
Wealth Transfer and Charitable Planning Strategies HandbookWealth Transfer and Charitable Planning Strategies Handbook
Wealth Transfer and Charitable Planning Strategies Handbook
 
Principal idi consumer_power_point
Principal idi consumer_power_pointPrincipal idi consumer_power_point
Principal idi consumer_power_point
 
Tax diversify your retirement income
Tax diversify your retirement incomeTax diversify your retirement income
Tax diversify your retirement income
 
Investment memorandum narrated
Investment memorandum narratedInvestment memorandum narrated
Investment memorandum narrated
 
But What if I live? Power Point
But What if I live? Power PointBut What if I live? Power Point
But What if I live? Power Point
 
WL vs ROTH IRA CLIENT FF
WL vs ROTH IRA CLIENT FFWL vs ROTH IRA CLIENT FF
WL vs ROTH IRA CLIENT FF
 
Variable Annuities In Retirement
Variable Annuities In RetirementVariable Annuities In Retirement
Variable Annuities In Retirement
 
LIRP Consumer Brochure
LIRP Consumer BrochureLIRP Consumer Brochure
LIRP Consumer Brochure
 
My Business Plan
My Business PlanMy Business Plan
My Business Plan
 

Destacado

BlackSwanTradingTM 22aug16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22aug16BlackSwanTradingTM 22aug16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22aug16Hans Goetze
 
StockTakers Capital TaxCharityTM 15mar2014.
StockTakers Capital TaxCharityTM 15mar2014.StockTakers Capital TaxCharityTM 15mar2014.
StockTakers Capital TaxCharityTM 15mar2014.Hans Goetze
 
Archimedes Money
Archimedes MoneyArchimedes Money
Archimedes MoneyHans Goetze
 
Urukagina Economics
Urukagina EconomicsUrukagina Economics
Urukagina EconomicsHans Goetze
 
One handed economics
One handed economicsOne handed economics
One handed economicsHans Goetze
 
BlackSwanTradingTM 22sep16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22sep16BlackSwanTradingTM 22sep16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22sep16Hans Goetze
 
Book builder is yours to keep it yours 30jun13
Book builder is yours to keep it yours   30jun13Book builder is yours to keep it yours   30jun13
Book builder is yours to keep it yours 30jun13Hans Goetze
 
Book builder is yours to keep it yours 31may update
Book builder is yours to keep it yours   31may updateBook builder is yours to keep it yours   31may update
Book builder is yours to keep it yours 31may updateHans Goetze
 
StockTakers ABCs to Zs of TaxCharityTM-22may2014
StockTakers ABCs to Zs of TaxCharityTM-22may2014StockTakers ABCs to Zs of TaxCharityTM-22may2014
StockTakers ABCs to Zs of TaxCharityTM-22may2014Hans Goetze
 

Destacado (9)

BlackSwanTradingTM 22aug16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22aug16BlackSwanTradingTM 22aug16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22aug16
 
StockTakers Capital TaxCharityTM 15mar2014.
StockTakers Capital TaxCharityTM 15mar2014.StockTakers Capital TaxCharityTM 15mar2014.
StockTakers Capital TaxCharityTM 15mar2014.
 
Archimedes Money
Archimedes MoneyArchimedes Money
Archimedes Money
 
Urukagina Economics
Urukagina EconomicsUrukagina Economics
Urukagina Economics
 
One handed economics
One handed economicsOne handed economics
One handed economics
 
BlackSwanTradingTM 22sep16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22sep16BlackSwanTradingTM 22sep16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22sep16
 
Book builder is yours to keep it yours 30jun13
Book builder is yours to keep it yours   30jun13Book builder is yours to keep it yours   30jun13
Book builder is yours to keep it yours 30jun13
 
Book builder is yours to keep it yours 31may update
Book builder is yours to keep it yours   31may updateBook builder is yours to keep it yours   31may update
Book builder is yours to keep it yours 31may update
 
StockTakers ABCs to Zs of TaxCharityTM-22may2014
StockTakers ABCs to Zs of TaxCharityTM-22may2014StockTakers ABCs to Zs of TaxCharityTM-22may2014
StockTakers ABCs to Zs of TaxCharityTM-22may2014
 

Similar a Your retirement tea party

Sisyphus is not myth 2
Sisyphus is not myth 2Sisyphus is not myth 2
Sisyphus is not myth 2Hans Goetze
 
Minding your own percents
Minding your own percentsMinding your own percents
Minding your own percentsHans Goetze
 
Benefits of Fixed Annuities
Benefits of Fixed AnnuitiesBenefits of Fixed Annuities
Benefits of Fixed Annuitiesscottusselman
 
How Money Works Us Ppt
How Money Works Us PptHow Money Works Us Ppt
How Money Works Us Pptjtuggle1
 
How Money Works Us
How Money Works UsHow Money Works Us
How Money Works UsKris Ellis
 
Bargain says Gracie
Bargain says GracieBargain says Gracie
Bargain says GracieHans Goetze
 
What To Do About The 401k
What To Do About The 401kWhat To Do About The 401k
What To Do About The 401kskdavis
 
Need and channel of investment in underdeveloped countries or developing country
Need and channel of investment in underdeveloped countries or developing countryNeed and channel of investment in underdeveloped countries or developing country
Need and channel of investment in underdeveloped countries or developing countrypriya bansal
 
PAGE 280APPLYING THE CONCEPTTRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES PONZI SCHEM.docx
PAGE 280APPLYING THE CONCEPTTRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES PONZI SCHEM.docxPAGE 280APPLYING THE CONCEPTTRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES PONZI SCHEM.docx
PAGE 280APPLYING THE CONCEPTTRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES PONZI SCHEM.docxsmile790243
 
Retirement.life.client
Retirement.life.clientRetirement.life.client
Retirement.life.clientswkoppel
 
Financial Myths For Women Demystified
Financial Myths For Women DemystifiedFinancial Myths For Women Demystified
Financial Myths For Women Demystifieddanatarzia
 
Planning Your Great Escape - Retirement
Planning Your Great Escape - RetirementPlanning Your Great Escape - Retirement
Planning Your Great Escape - RetirementJasonCrawfordCFP
 

Similar a Your retirement tea party (20)

Sisyphus is not myth 2
Sisyphus is not myth 2Sisyphus is not myth 2
Sisyphus is not myth 2
 
Minding your own percents
Minding your own percentsMinding your own percents
Minding your own percents
 
Benefits of Fixed Annuities
Benefits of Fixed AnnuitiesBenefits of Fixed Annuities
Benefits of Fixed Annuities
 
Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors | Q1 2020 Newsletter
Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors | Q1 2020 NewsletterFinancial Synergies Wealth Advisors | Q1 2020 Newsletter
Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors | Q1 2020 Newsletter
 
How Money Works Us Ppt
How Money Works Us PptHow Money Works Us Ppt
How Money Works Us Ppt
 
How Money Works Us
How Money Works UsHow Money Works Us
How Money Works Us
 
Bargain says Gracie
Bargain says GracieBargain says Gracie
Bargain says Gracie
 
How Money Works
How Money WorksHow Money Works
How Money Works
 
Findharm96
Findharm96Findharm96
Findharm96
 
What To Do About The 401k
What To Do About The 401kWhat To Do About The 401k
What To Do About The 401k
 
Q4 2022 Newsletter
Q4 2022 NewsletterQ4 2022 Newsletter
Q4 2022 Newsletter
 
Investment Insights July 2017
Investment Insights July 2017Investment Insights July 2017
Investment Insights July 2017
 
Internship Paper
Internship PaperInternship Paper
Internship Paper
 
Chap005
Chap005Chap005
Chap005
 
Need and channel of investment in underdeveloped countries or developing country
Need and channel of investment in underdeveloped countries or developing countryNeed and channel of investment in underdeveloped countries or developing country
Need and channel of investment in underdeveloped countries or developing country
 
PAGE 280APPLYING THE CONCEPTTRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES PONZI SCHEM.docx
PAGE 280APPLYING THE CONCEPTTRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES PONZI SCHEM.docxPAGE 280APPLYING THE CONCEPTTRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES PONZI SCHEM.docx
PAGE 280APPLYING THE CONCEPTTRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES PONZI SCHEM.docx
 
Retirement.life.client
Retirement.life.clientRetirement.life.client
Retirement.life.client
 
Financial Myths For Women Demystified
Financial Myths For Women DemystifiedFinancial Myths For Women Demystified
Financial Myths For Women Demystified
 
Planning Your Great Escape - Retirement
Planning Your Great Escape - RetirementPlanning Your Great Escape - Retirement
Planning Your Great Escape - Retirement
 
IE Business School
IE Business SchoolIE Business School
IE Business School
 

Más de Hans Goetze

BookBuilderTM 31jan17
BookBuilderTM 31jan17BookBuilderTM 31jan17
BookBuilderTM 31jan17Hans Goetze
 
BlackSwanTradingtm 22jan17
BlackSwanTradingtm 22jan17BlackSwanTradingtm 22jan17
BlackSwanTradingtm 22jan17Hans Goetze
 
TaxCharityTM 15jan17
TaxCharityTM 15jan17TaxCharityTM 15jan17
TaxCharityTM 15jan17Hans Goetze
 
ABC to Zs of TaxCharityTM-31dec16
ABC to Zs of TaxCharityTM-31dec16ABC to Zs of TaxCharityTM-31dec16
ABC to Zs of TaxCharityTM-31dec16Hans Goetze
 
BookBuilderTM 31dec16
BookBuilderTM 31dec16BookBuilderTM 31dec16
BookBuilderTM 31dec16Hans Goetze
 
UUOOPPsies TaxCharityTM – 07dec16
UUOOPPsies TaxCharityTM – 07dec16UUOOPPsies TaxCharityTM – 07dec16
UUOOPPsies TaxCharityTM – 07dec16Hans Goetze
 
BlackSwanTradingTM 22dec16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22dec16BlackSwanTradingTM 22dec16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22dec16Hans Goetze
 
TaxCharityTM 15dec2016
TaxCharityTM 15dec2016TaxCharityTM 15dec2016
TaxCharityTM 15dec2016Hans Goetze
 
BookBuilderTM 30nov16
BookBuilderTM 30nov16BookBuilderTM 30nov16
BookBuilderTM 30nov16Hans Goetze
 
BlackSwanTradingTM 22nov16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22nov16BlackSwanTradingTM 22nov16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22nov16Hans Goetze
 
TaxCharityTM 15nov2016
TaxCharityTM 15nov2016TaxCharityTM 15nov2016
TaxCharityTM 15nov2016Hans Goetze
 
ABCs to Zs of TaxCharitytm-31oct16
ABCs to Zs of TaxCharitytm-31oct16ABCs to Zs of TaxCharitytm-31oct16
ABCs to Zs of TaxCharitytm-31oct16Hans Goetze
 
BookBuilderTM 31oct16
BookBuilderTM 31oct16BookBuilderTM 31oct16
BookBuilderTM 31oct16Hans Goetze
 
BlackSwanTradingTM 22oct16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22oct16BlackSwanTradingTM 22oct16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22oct16Hans Goetze
 
TaxCharityTM 15oct2016
TaxCharityTM 15oct2016TaxCharityTM 15oct2016
TaxCharityTM 15oct2016Hans Goetze
 
ABC-Zs TaxCharityTM-30sep16
ABC-Zs TaxCharityTM-30sep16ABC-Zs TaxCharityTM-30sep16
ABC-Zs TaxCharityTM-30sep16Hans Goetze
 
BookBuilderTM 30sep16
BookBuilderTM 30sep16BookBuilderTM 30sep16
BookBuilderTM 30sep16Hans Goetze
 
TaxCharityTM 15sep2016
TaxCharityTM 15sep2016TaxCharityTM 15sep2016
TaxCharityTM 15sep2016Hans Goetze
 

Más de Hans Goetze (20)

BookBuilderTM 31jan17
BookBuilderTM 31jan17BookBuilderTM 31jan17
BookBuilderTM 31jan17
 
BlackSwanTradingtm 22jan17
BlackSwanTradingtm 22jan17BlackSwanTradingtm 22jan17
BlackSwanTradingtm 22jan17
 
TaxCharityTM 15jan17
TaxCharityTM 15jan17TaxCharityTM 15jan17
TaxCharityTM 15jan17
 
ABC to Zs of TaxCharityTM-31dec16
ABC to Zs of TaxCharityTM-31dec16ABC to Zs of TaxCharityTM-31dec16
ABC to Zs of TaxCharityTM-31dec16
 
BookBuilderTM 31dec16
BookBuilderTM 31dec16BookBuilderTM 31dec16
BookBuilderTM 31dec16
 
UUOOPPsies TaxCharityTM – 07dec16
UUOOPPsies TaxCharityTM – 07dec16UUOOPPsies TaxCharityTM – 07dec16
UUOOPPsies TaxCharityTM – 07dec16
 
BlackSwanTradingTM 22dec16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22dec16BlackSwanTradingTM 22dec16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22dec16
 
TaxCharityTM 15dec2016
TaxCharityTM 15dec2016TaxCharityTM 15dec2016
TaxCharityTM 15dec2016
 
BookBuilderTM 30nov16
BookBuilderTM 30nov16BookBuilderTM 30nov16
BookBuilderTM 30nov16
 
BlackSwanTradingTM 22nov16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22nov16BlackSwanTradingTM 22nov16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22nov16
 
Babies Get It
Babies Get ItBabies Get It
Babies Get It
 
TaxCharityTM 15nov2016
TaxCharityTM 15nov2016TaxCharityTM 15nov2016
TaxCharityTM 15nov2016
 
ABCs to Zs of TaxCharitytm-31oct16
ABCs to Zs of TaxCharitytm-31oct16ABCs to Zs of TaxCharitytm-31oct16
ABCs to Zs of TaxCharitytm-31oct16
 
BookBuilderTM 31oct16
BookBuilderTM 31oct16BookBuilderTM 31oct16
BookBuilderTM 31oct16
 
New Bank Tithe
New Bank TitheNew Bank Tithe
New Bank Tithe
 
BlackSwanTradingTM 22oct16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22oct16BlackSwanTradingTM 22oct16
BlackSwanTradingTM 22oct16
 
TaxCharityTM 15oct2016
TaxCharityTM 15oct2016TaxCharityTM 15oct2016
TaxCharityTM 15oct2016
 
ABC-Zs TaxCharityTM-30sep16
ABC-Zs TaxCharityTM-30sep16ABC-Zs TaxCharityTM-30sep16
ABC-Zs TaxCharityTM-30sep16
 
BookBuilderTM 30sep16
BookBuilderTM 30sep16BookBuilderTM 30sep16
BookBuilderTM 30sep16
 
TaxCharityTM 15sep2016
TaxCharityTM 15sep2016TaxCharityTM 15sep2016
TaxCharityTM 15sep2016
 

Último

7 tips trading Deriv Accumulator Options
7 tips trading Deriv Accumulator Options7 tips trading Deriv Accumulator Options
7 tips trading Deriv Accumulator OptionsVince Stanzione
 
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlook
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlookTechnology industry / Finnish economic outlook
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlookTechFinland
 
logistics industry development power point ppt.pdf
logistics industry development power point ppt.pdflogistics industry development power point ppt.pdf
logistics industry development power point ppt.pdfSalimullah13
 
Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...
Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes  ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes  ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...
Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...Call Girls Mumbai
 
Call Girls in Benson Town / 8250092165 Genuine Call girls with real Photos an...
Call Girls in Benson Town / 8250092165 Genuine Call girls with real Photos an...Call Girls in Benson Town / 8250092165 Genuine Call girls with real Photos an...
Call Girls in Benson Town / 8250092165 Genuine Call girls with real Photos an...kajal
 
falcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunities
falcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunitiesfalcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunities
falcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunitiesFalcon Invoice Discounting
 
Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...
Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...
Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...batoole333
 
Turbhe Fantastic Escorts📞📞9833754194 Kopar Khairane Marathi Call Girls-Kopar ...
Turbhe Fantastic Escorts📞📞9833754194 Kopar Khairane Marathi Call Girls-Kopar ...Turbhe Fantastic Escorts📞📞9833754194 Kopar Khairane Marathi Call Girls-Kopar ...
Turbhe Fantastic Escorts📞📞9833754194 Kopar Khairane Marathi Call Girls-Kopar ...priyasharma62062
 
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech BelgiumWebinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech BelgiumFinTech Belgium
 
Premium Call Girls Bangalore Call Girls Service Just Call 🍑👄6378878445 🍑👄 Top...
Premium Call Girls Bangalore Call Girls Service Just Call 🍑👄6378878445 🍑👄 Top...Premium Call Girls Bangalore Call Girls Service Just Call 🍑👄6378878445 🍑👄 Top...
Premium Call Girls Bangalore Call Girls Service Just Call 🍑👄6378878445 🍑👄 Top...vershagrag
 
Test bank for advanced assessment interpreting findings and formulating diffe...
Test bank for advanced assessment interpreting findings and formulating diffe...Test bank for advanced assessment interpreting findings and formulating diffe...
Test bank for advanced assessment interpreting findings and formulating diffe...robinsonayot
 
CBD Belapur((Thane)) Charming Call Girls📞❤9833754194 Kamothe Beautiful Call G...
CBD Belapur((Thane)) Charming Call Girls📞❤9833754194 Kamothe Beautiful Call G...CBD Belapur((Thane)) Charming Call Girls📞❤9833754194 Kamothe Beautiful Call G...
CBD Belapur((Thane)) Charming Call Girls📞❤9833754194 Kamothe Beautiful Call G...priyasharma62062
 
Kurla Capable Call Girls ,07506202331, Sion Affordable Call Girls
Kurla Capable Call Girls ,07506202331, Sion Affordable Call GirlsKurla Capable Call Girls ,07506202331, Sion Affordable Call Girls
Kurla Capable Call Girls ,07506202331, Sion Affordable Call GirlsPriya Reddy
 
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...Henry Tapper
 
2999,Vashi Fantastic Ellete Call Girls📞📞9833754194 CBD Belapur Genuine Call G...
2999,Vashi Fantastic Ellete Call Girls📞📞9833754194 CBD Belapur Genuine Call G...2999,Vashi Fantastic Ellete Call Girls📞📞9833754194 CBD Belapur Genuine Call G...
2999,Vashi Fantastic Ellete Call Girls📞📞9833754194 CBD Belapur Genuine Call G...priyasharma62062
 
Solution Manual For Financial Statement Analysis, 13th Edition By Charles H. ...
Solution Manual For Financial Statement Analysis, 13th Edition By Charles H. ...Solution Manual For Financial Statement Analysis, 13th Edition By Charles H. ...
Solution Manual For Financial Statement Analysis, 13th Edition By Charles H. ...rightmanforbloodline
 
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdfPension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdfHenry Tapper
 
Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirements
Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & RequirementsExplore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirements
Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirementsmarketingkingdomofku
 
✂️ 👅 Independent Bhubaneswar Escorts Odisha Call Girls With Room Bhubaneswar ...
✂️ 👅 Independent Bhubaneswar Escorts Odisha Call Girls With Room Bhubaneswar ...✂️ 👅 Independent Bhubaneswar Escorts Odisha Call Girls With Room Bhubaneswar ...
✂️ 👅 Independent Bhubaneswar Escorts Odisha Call Girls With Room Bhubaneswar ...Call Girls Mumbai
 
Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdf
Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdfSeeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdf
Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdfAshis Kumar Dey
 

Último (20)

7 tips trading Deriv Accumulator Options
7 tips trading Deriv Accumulator Options7 tips trading Deriv Accumulator Options
7 tips trading Deriv Accumulator Options
 
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlook
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlookTechnology industry / Finnish economic outlook
Technology industry / Finnish economic outlook
 
logistics industry development power point ppt.pdf
logistics industry development power point ppt.pdflogistics industry development power point ppt.pdf
logistics industry development power point ppt.pdf
 
Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...
Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes  ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes  ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...
Bhubaneswar🌹Ravi Tailkes ❤CALL GIRLS 9777949614 💟 CALL GIRLS IN bhubaneswar ...
 
Call Girls in Benson Town / 8250092165 Genuine Call girls with real Photos an...
Call Girls in Benson Town / 8250092165 Genuine Call girls with real Photos an...Call Girls in Benson Town / 8250092165 Genuine Call girls with real Photos an...
Call Girls in Benson Town / 8250092165 Genuine Call girls with real Photos an...
 
falcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunities
falcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunitiesfalcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunities
falcon-invoice-discounting-unlocking-prime-investment-opportunities
 
Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...
Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...
Famous Kala Jadu, Black magic expert in Faisalabad and Kala ilam specialist i...
 
Turbhe Fantastic Escorts📞📞9833754194 Kopar Khairane Marathi Call Girls-Kopar ...
Turbhe Fantastic Escorts📞📞9833754194 Kopar Khairane Marathi Call Girls-Kopar ...Turbhe Fantastic Escorts📞📞9833754194 Kopar Khairane Marathi Call Girls-Kopar ...
Turbhe Fantastic Escorts📞📞9833754194 Kopar Khairane Marathi Call Girls-Kopar ...
 
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech BelgiumWebinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
Webinar on E-Invoicing for Fintech Belgium
 
Premium Call Girls Bangalore Call Girls Service Just Call 🍑👄6378878445 🍑👄 Top...
Premium Call Girls Bangalore Call Girls Service Just Call 🍑👄6378878445 🍑👄 Top...Premium Call Girls Bangalore Call Girls Service Just Call 🍑👄6378878445 🍑👄 Top...
Premium Call Girls Bangalore Call Girls Service Just Call 🍑👄6378878445 🍑👄 Top...
 
Test bank for advanced assessment interpreting findings and formulating diffe...
Test bank for advanced assessment interpreting findings and formulating diffe...Test bank for advanced assessment interpreting findings and formulating diffe...
Test bank for advanced assessment interpreting findings and formulating diffe...
 
CBD Belapur((Thane)) Charming Call Girls📞❤9833754194 Kamothe Beautiful Call G...
CBD Belapur((Thane)) Charming Call Girls📞❤9833754194 Kamothe Beautiful Call G...CBD Belapur((Thane)) Charming Call Girls📞❤9833754194 Kamothe Beautiful Call G...
CBD Belapur((Thane)) Charming Call Girls📞❤9833754194 Kamothe Beautiful Call G...
 
Kurla Capable Call Girls ,07506202331, Sion Affordable Call Girls
Kurla Capable Call Girls ,07506202331, Sion Affordable Call GirlsKurla Capable Call Girls ,07506202331, Sion Affordable Call Girls
Kurla Capable Call Girls ,07506202331, Sion Affordable Call Girls
 
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
20240419-SMC-submission-Annual-Superannuation-Performance-Test-–-design-optio...
 
2999,Vashi Fantastic Ellete Call Girls📞📞9833754194 CBD Belapur Genuine Call G...
2999,Vashi Fantastic Ellete Call Girls📞📞9833754194 CBD Belapur Genuine Call G...2999,Vashi Fantastic Ellete Call Girls📞📞9833754194 CBD Belapur Genuine Call G...
2999,Vashi Fantastic Ellete Call Girls📞📞9833754194 CBD Belapur Genuine Call G...
 
Solution Manual For Financial Statement Analysis, 13th Edition By Charles H. ...
Solution Manual For Financial Statement Analysis, 13th Edition By Charles H. ...Solution Manual For Financial Statement Analysis, 13th Edition By Charles H. ...
Solution Manual For Financial Statement Analysis, 13th Edition By Charles H. ...
 
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdfPension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
Pension dashboards forum 1 May 2024 (1).pdf
 
Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirements
Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & RequirementsExplore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirements
Explore Dual Citizenship in Africa | Citizenship Benefits & Requirements
 
✂️ 👅 Independent Bhubaneswar Escorts Odisha Call Girls With Room Bhubaneswar ...
✂️ 👅 Independent Bhubaneswar Escorts Odisha Call Girls With Room Bhubaneswar ...✂️ 👅 Independent Bhubaneswar Escorts Odisha Call Girls With Room Bhubaneswar ...
✂️ 👅 Independent Bhubaneswar Escorts Odisha Call Girls With Room Bhubaneswar ...
 
Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdf
Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdfSeeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdf
Seeman_Fiintouch_LLP_Newsletter_May-2024.pdf
 

Your retirement tea party

  • 1. “ Page 1 of 4 May 2013 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Alice, meet Dr. Dodgson! Your Retirement Tea Party. The biggest problem with savings is the rate of inflation eating your cash savings before you retire to sit-down and enjoy them. The reality of ‘financial products’ is they do not work to hold value for you but erode value of savings entrusted even more than the erosion of inflation. The combined rate of inflation and fees they take but are unable to earn. The average fund fee of 2% plus MERs (Management Expense Ratios) of 2% charged on top of current inflation rate means they need to obtain 8.42% to maintain the value of your money entrusted them that you get a dollar back for every dollar you have given them. No adequate results are the real issue. Johann Wolfgang von Goethe said, “There is nothing more frightful than ignorance in action.” He had no knowledge of the modern financial industry. Theirs is willful ignorance. They skim whatever they can in fees and sales churn costs by poor quality use of what are known inadequate investment methods. These methods used by banks and insurers create mutual funds as financial products to exploit small investor savings for their taking fees. Hopefully, you did have the time to watch the recent PBS-Frontline showing of Rainmedia’s film The Retirement Gamble. It was a nice start on these very real issues affecting us all. The morality mumbled by executives shown is truly reprehensible as that has evolved to dominate the financial industry that drives nearly a fifth of the entire economy; growing faster than mining oil and gas sector; and, dominates political lobbying. Opprobrium is relief but not an answer. For all the high-faluting claims made by the industry in their sales pitches they know the investment models they use are not getting required results to be relevant. Relevant results would be obtaining a return higher than net of inflation which in our present 42 year productive adult lifetimes has averaged 4.42%, as documented by the Federal Reserve in this table. The film featured some pithy comments by Vanguard Funds founder, Jack Bogle, very acute but not accurate, when he says of the industry, “You invest 100% of the money, take 100% of the risk What investors expect of bankers and financial industry investment products is a way to secure savings while growing their wealth. The circularity of ‘investment talk’ one gets from fund managers and advisors who have sold you their “goods” and taken your money to ‘safely invest’ is like what Alice gets at the Tea Party. “Take some more tea,” the March Hare said to Alice very earnestly. “I’ve had nothing yet,” Alice replied in an offended tone: “so I ca’n’t take more.” “You mean you ca’n’t take less,” said the Hatter: “it’s very easy to take more than nothing.” Pretty much that is the case. They have taken it all before you arrived. “Alice, meet Dr. Artful Dodger.”
  • 2. “ Page 2 of 4 May 2013 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Alice, meet Dr. Dodgson! Your Retirement Tea Party. and get 30% of the profits” That leads to a misperception of the industry as Bogle should be saying your risk is of losing 98% and not getting 2% back. Fees plus inflation must be overcome. The average fee of 2% plus MERs (Management Expense Ratios) of 2% charged on top of that 4.42% inflation rate means they need to obtain 8.42% to maintain the value of your money entrusted them. They must get 8.42% per year that you just get a dollar back for each dollar given them. That negative -0.9158% over 42 years means there will be just 2.49 cents of every dollar, if they got 0.00% return. Many have seen negative return performance from their mutual funds. You will never save your bacon that way. The industry managers ensure that they will take the hog home after you raised it. “I’ve had nothing yet,” Alice replied in an offended tone: “so I ca’n’t take more.” “You mean you ca’n’t take less,” said the Hatter: “it’s very easy to take more than nothing.” ETF’s as financial products do not yield 30% either. Many will misread Jack Bogle’s comment and shift their wealth to index funds but that is hardly effective. The often cited Vanguard VTI has averaged 4.25% over their 12 years ahead of the DJI 2.91% in those 12 years. More relevant is VTI first 3 year decline of -23.69% from inception 2000-03 (while DJI -24.86%) and then 2 year rise to get back to even followed by 70.64% overall rise to 2007 but that was just 3.84% return over 7 years leading into the sharp 2 year decline -40.3% in 2007-09 providing a negative -2.76% return at 9 years. Quantitative Easing has saved the rate of return for Vanguard, as others, since federal debt induced ‘money’ has flowed into the markets’ rise in value instead of creating economic demand, so markets have sharply recovered while GDP and employment have risen subtly. Index funds are not effective either, but just practical IF they can match the market. When they do they just see-saw with it and over the past two decades they have barely justified their taking even 1% fee. Over the past two decades inflation has been relentlessly eroding wealth while fees for managers without effective methods have stripped fortuitous gains they have not had a clue for obtaining. Index funds are no less or more so competent, just a little less expensive for passive management flotsam with the markets rise and fall. That is fortuity claimed as expertise. Now everyone is wondering where the next bottom is, and when, they will need some income whether there will be savings. The basic reality is that inflation is always eroding the value of idle money. The average inflation for the last century was 3.23% but in the 42 years current since the 1970’s has run at 4.42%. That is most relevant to recovering our wealth from disastrous financial industry returns as the boomers retire the old adage remains, “You have to make your own bacon.” The boomers have paid into social policy funds to pay for their parents’ retirements only to find those funds have not been used and made to work for them. They have become the victims of poor management policies of the industry who claim results they have never managed to obtain, ever. Legally they should have known better and acted differently, but that court battle is more than we can afford or attorneys general will pursue. The industry defence will be they acted according to the standards required, those of the self-regulating industry they require of themselves. You will have to prove differently and confront the morass of conflicting ‘experts’ testimony well paid.
  • 3. “ Page 3 of 4 May 2013 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Alice, meet Dr. Dodgson! Your Retirement Tea Party. The economy rises with innovation and productivity creating social demands more than population growth. Investing in corporations is the most likely way of overcoming inflation and zero-sum consequences of population growth hungry mouths pushing demand raising prices. Inflation is mostly a consequence of government debt financing unwarranted corporate entitlements. Businesses with worthy ideas need to obtain debt financing often on a massive scale as arose with industrialization and the Napoleonic Wars. That is why the modern ‘public liability’ corporate entity was finally legalized of necessity notwithstanding the morality of agency problems arising for the management class that had so deeply concerned Adam Smith. Their risk is transferred to the society at large of ‘unsecured creditors’ when they fail after taking fees salaries and bonuses. That management costs outstrip shareholders and the public interest is still current, even with social fund managers criticising the managers of the firms they allocated social fund investments. http://riskwerk.com/2013/05/05/pension-envy/ But they really are just chickadees chirping at each other for most social funds’ costs for management exceed the rate of inflation and often near double. That is on the massive funds we are lawfully compelled to allocate to their use, every year by contributions deducted from our pay stubs, and supposed serving our interest in our pension funding. Over 10% of our earnings are so allocated each year and simply added to their claims of obtaining returns. They have not ever achieved that critical 4.42% average inflation after their fees over the last 45 years such funds were enacted by government. Some of these so-called self-anointed social funds claim as much as 9% in management costs. Social endowment funds also generously self-award management costs and fees in excess of the mutual average fund. Getting positive results in excess of 8.42% is the average that the industry needs to provide to justify the average fees and still return a dollar for dollar at the end of 20 to 45 years. Pension funds report that rate (whenever they do), only by including all new contributions as growth they have obtained. That is hollow illusion. Imagine that some of the supplementary federally regulated (and further tax supplemented) pension programmes being pitched today eat over 9% in management fees each year plus 4.42%+ as inflation eats even more external to their management. Canadian Registered Education Savings Plans receive a 20% top-up from the government that just pays for bank management fees yielding a 0.89% growth over 17 years - bankers raiding the kid's piggy-bank is government policy. The Yale investment board (a model many social service endowments use) endorses fund mangers take near 6% in costs and salaries even in bad times, and even congratulates them. Yale posted a return of 4.7 percent on its investments during the latest fiscal year,...“Thanks to the outstanding work of the Investments Office, ..." The reality is that management costs were an unsustainable 970 million on a 18.53 billion fund, 5.2%, in 2010. They acquired illiquidity in fine sounding "Alternative Investments" with a higher cost to run and with the very risk of illiquidity if they do not succeed as they expected. This past
  • 4. “ Page 4 of 4 May 2013 © Copyright StockTakers Limited, All Rights Reserved. Copying Prohibited. The author does not provide investment advice. In order to use reproduce or convey the material herein, in any way, written agreement must be obtained from the author or its agent Architypes Inc. StockTakers Limited is an Alberta corporation providing information on “likeables” equities. StockTakers Limited encourages your seeking tax law advisor for capital gains tax dispositions. Alice, meet Dr. Dodgson! Your Retirement Tea Party. year in 2012 the endowment value fell "modestly" as self-reported from $19.4 "dropped by $100 million due to spending distributions" -0.52% loss as markets rose gently, 3.75% in that fiscal year, underperforming the previous 3 year 52.5% brisk market rise, just halfway recovering 08/09 losses, remaining 18.6% below as discounted by inflation. Outstanding work, or nice if you can get it? Yale’s endowment performance, which leaves it at $19.3 billion as of June 30, is significantly weaker than the 21.9 percent return it posted in fiscal year 2011 but exceeds the returns registered at two other Ivy League schools so far this year. While the University of Pennsylvania posted earnings of 1.6 percent last week, Harvard University announced yesterday that its investments had experienced a 0.05 percent loss during fiscal year 2012. The investment models and methods of the industry do not work to obtain the minimum 8.42% return required. Many of the board members sitting at endowments invented the investment methods used that even for themselves proved failure in practice. Savings and minor gains are taken in fees claimed by the financial advisors who make these products and sell them to the public of earnest small investors. You provide the ‘unsecured’ working capital to failed investment models. We call the firms we select by our methods "likeables" because investors have a decided tendency to like them. In the past quarter without an attempt to reinvest for greater gains these "likeables" only portfolios we identify (as we partition from markets by our Risk Price analysis) gained 10.56% for 210 NYSE firms partitioned, and 7.72% on the 89 TSX firms partitioned from last quarter 2012 balance sheets. Those were used to select the Tax Charity portfolios on the arbitrary filter of the lowest cost suiting the tax limit. These results are routine. In 2009 to 2011 our partition of the DOWs earned 16% per annum as industry portfolio managers lost 25 to 40% of their client capital. From 2000 through 2012 the average 26.53% obtained on the DOWs partitioned by our theory and methods, logically correct and mathematically proven, as the markets have scientifically proven consequences. Clear, concise and consistent. The equities we hold are “likeables” tending to gain 67% of the time. We do not make stock prices but can reasonably respond to stock price tendencies, by our knowing the price of risk, the downside, and buying and holding accordingly. That is new fundamentals from our new theory of the firm. Know What You Have. Have What You Know Our view is risk averse. Of course we require a fee for doing that. Mail us for our help. Ernst and Hans Goetze, Architypes Inc and StockTakers Limited Head Office 76 Midridge Close SE Calgary, AB T2X 1G1 72 Cornwall Street Toronto, ON M5A 4K5 351 Chemin Boulanger Sutton, PQ J0E 2K0 450 538-1270