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Assessing the Quality of Patents and
large Patent Portfolios based on quantitative Approaches –
Opportunities, Threats and the St.Gallen Patent Index™
ICIC 2013 – Vienna, 16th October 2013
Marc Tobias
T +41 71 511 2776
Marc.tobias@bgw-sg.com

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 1
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW AG - Management Advisory Group
Varnbüelstrasse 13, CH-9000 St. Gallen
T +41 71 511 2116
contact@bgw-sg.com
www.bgw-sg.com

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Quantitative vs. Qualitative Approaches
How can we structure the different approaches?

Qualitative Approaches

Quantitative Approaches

Valuation Assignment of a monetary value to Assignment of a monetary value to a
a patent/patent portfolio by experts patent/patent portfolio by a market
mechanism (auction, financial market)

Rating

Assignment
of
qualitative Assignment of quantitative indicators
indicators based on a expert based on objective data from market
opinions
and patent databases (Patent Indices)

Source: Gassmann/Bader 2012
© BGW AG 2013 | Page 2
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Challenges within Companies
When shall we use quantitative approaches to analyse patents and patent
portfolios?
Three of several possible situations in your company that can be
handled using quantitative approaches:
1) Your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the
patent portfolio of your company and your competitors, presenting further functional
KPIs to the CEO
2) Your marketing or investor relations managers like to show the company`s
innovativeness by its patent power in an objective way

3) Your head of R&D is approaching you to receive a first IPR-value-assessment as
well as IPR-trends in a totally new technology field for your company
4) You are interested in licensing or selling a subportfolio and are looking for a first
overview on potentially interested companies
© BGW AG 2013 | Page 3
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Opportunities and Threats
What have to be considered when implementing quantitative approaches?

Opportunities

Threats

 Resource savings

 Not a detailed claim analysis

 Time advantages

 Statistical shortcomings to be
considered

 Cost reduction

 “2nd view” on the patent situation
 Objective and transparent analysis

 Trade-Off:
Analysis of few important factors vs.
a huge bundle of factors leading to a
loss of transparency and complicated
algorithms

Quantitative approaches are a strong tool
to analyse your patent portfolio

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 4
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Main Variables in Quantitative Analysis
What influences the quality of an analysis conducted via patent indices?

Correctness

Objectivity

Input

Scope

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 5
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

Process

Output

Transparency

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Main Indicators in Quantitative Analysis
What indicators should be incorporated in quantitative patent portfolio analysis?

Three main fields:

1

2

3

Technology

Market

Portfolio

Measured by:
e.g. forward and
backward citations;
age

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 6
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

e.g. GDP;
industry specific
indicators

e.g. relative share of a
companies` portfolio within
the entire portfolio of a
technology

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™)
Created in cooperation between…

BGW

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 7
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™)
What is the core idea of the SGPI™?

Market
Strength
of a
Patent
© BGW AG 2013 | Page 8
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

SGPI™
Techn.
Relevance
of a Patent

Bottom-up
Quantitative single
evaluation of each
patent document
with respect to
technology, age
and target markets

Top-Down

Strength
of the
Portfolio

Bottom-up

Core Idea
Calculation of a comprehensive index enabling the valuation of single patents and the
patent portfolio by using a bottom-up and top-down approach within one single analysis

BGW

Top-down
Analysis of the
patent portfolio
in its entirety
with respect to
the technology
field

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™)
In which fields can the SGPI ™ be used?

Company Level

Financial Market
Level

Governmental
Policy Level

Strategy Development

SGPI™ based Equity
Funds

Policy Development

Controlling

KPI in Financial
Transactions

Communication
Instrument

Communication

SGPI™ based Stock
Index

Benchmarking Cluster
and Regions

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 9
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™)
How does the SGPI™ work?

Further
analysis
possible

Patent /
Portfolio
Definition

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 10
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

Data
Collection

Analysis and
Calculation of
the SGPI™

Results and
Discussion

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Challenges within Companies
Why shall we use quantitative approaches to analyse patents and patent
portfolios?
Three of several possible situations in your company that can be
handled with quantitative approaches
1) Your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the
patent portfolio of your company and your competitors, presenting further functional
KPIs to the CEO
2) Your marketing or investor relations managers like to show the company`s
innovativeness by its patent power in an objective way
3) Your head of R&D is approaching you to receive a first IPR-value-assessment
as well as IPR-trends in a totally new technology field for your company
4) You are interested in licensing or selling a portfolio and are looking for a first
overview on potentially interested companies
© BGW AG 2013 | Page 11
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Sample Analysis
Specific IPC-class within the technology field for Lithium-Ionen Batteries
SGPI™ – Relative Shares of Total Value
1%
2% 1%

0% 1%

0%
SAMSUNG SDI CO LTD

SONY CORP

7%

MATSUSHITA DENKI SANGYO KK
LG CHEM LTD
18%

47%

SANYO ELECTRIC CO LTD
SHINETSU CHEM IND CO LTD
TOSHIBA KK
OHARA KK

23%

NEC CORP
HITACHI MAXELL KK

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 12
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Sample Analysis
Specific IPC-class within the technology field for Lithium-Ionen Batteries
SGPI™ – Relative Shares of R-Factor (Technological Value)
HITACHI MAXELL KK
NEC CORP
OHARA KK

TOSHIBA KK
SHINETSU CHEM IND CO LTD
SANYO ELECTRIC CO LTD
LG CHEM LTD
MATSUSHITA DENKI SANGYO KK
SONY CORP
SAMSUNG SDI CO LTD
0,00
© BGW AG 2013 | Page 13
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

0,10

0,20

0,30

0,40

0,50

BGW

0,60

0,70

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Sample Analysis
Specific IPC-class within the technology field for lithium-ionen batteries
Comparison: SGPI™ vs. simple patent counting
50,00%
45,00%
40,00%
35,00%
30,00%
25,00%
20,00%
15,00%
10,00%
5,00%
0,00%

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 14
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Challenges within Companies
Why shall we use quantitative approaches to analyse patents and patent
portfolios?
Three of several possible situations in your company that can be
handled with quantitative approaches
1) Your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the
patent portfolio of your company and your competitors, presenting further functional
KPIs to the CEO
2) Your marketing or investor relations managers like to show the company`s
innovativeness by its patent power in an objective way
3) Your head of R&D is approaching you to receive a first IPR-value-assessment as
well as IPR-trends in a totally new technology field for your company
4) You are interested in licensing or selling a subportfolio and are looking for a
first overview on potentially interested companies
© BGW AG 2013 | Page 15
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Sample Analysis
Specific IPC-class within the pharmaceutical markets for cancer

Comparison: Future Portfolio Development
China
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%

2015

Japan
35%

2015

30%
2010

2010

2010
2015

2010
2015

25%
2015
2010

20%
2015
2010

15%
10%
5%

2010 2015

2010 2015

0%
Your
Company ACompany B Company
Company
C

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 16
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

Your
Company ACompany B Company
Company
C

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Sample Analysis
Specific IPC-class within the pharmaceutical markets for cancer
SE
NO

GB

DK
DE

RU

CA
FR

CH AT

IT
SP

US

CN

ME

JP
KO

IN

BR
AU

SA

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 17
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Sample Analysis
Specific IPC-class within the pharmaceutical markets for cancer

6 focus patents (green) belonging to one company ranked in comparison
to the top 20 patents of the analyzed overall patent portfolio
SGPITM Value Share of Total Top 20 Ranked Patents
18,00%
16,00%
14,00%
12,00%

10,00%
8,00%
6,00%
4,00%
2,00%
0,00%
xxx

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 18
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

xxx

BGW

xxx

xxx

xxx

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Conclusion
The SGPI™ is a very clear and objective approach

1) Quantitative approaches are a very strong tool to analyse patents and patent
portfolios.
2) These approaches enable a first or further view on the patent situation.
3) They help to save important ressources in terms of time and money.
4) But one have to consider also statistical shortcomings.
5) The SGPI™ is a very transparent and objective approach.
6) The SGPI™ is able to analyse your patents and patent portfolio by using mainly
three factors and can be used in several situations.

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 19
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Thank you for your attention.

Marc Tobias
Senior Consultant

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 20
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

Dr. Martin A. Bader
Managing Partner

BGW AG - Management Advisory Group
Varnbüelstrasse 13, CH-9000 St. Gallen
T +41 71 511 2116
contact@bgw-sg.com
www.bgw-sg.com

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
BGW AG – Spectrum of Competences

© BGW AG 2013 | Page 21
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien
Addendum
© BGW AG 2013 | Page 22
ICIC 2013 – Vienna

BGW

Management Advisory Group
St. Gallen – Wien

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ICIC 2013 Conference Proceedings Marc Tobias BGW

  • 1. Assessing the Quality of Patents and large Patent Portfolios based on quantitative Approaches – Opportunities, Threats and the St.Gallen Patent Index™ ICIC 2013 – Vienna, 16th October 2013 Marc Tobias T +41 71 511 2776 Marc.tobias@bgw-sg.com © BGW AG 2013 | Page 1 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW AG - Management Advisory Group Varnbüelstrasse 13, CH-9000 St. Gallen T +41 71 511 2116 contact@bgw-sg.com www.bgw-sg.com BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 2. Quantitative vs. Qualitative Approaches How can we structure the different approaches? Qualitative Approaches Quantitative Approaches Valuation Assignment of a monetary value to Assignment of a monetary value to a a patent/patent portfolio by experts patent/patent portfolio by a market mechanism (auction, financial market) Rating Assignment of qualitative Assignment of quantitative indicators indicators based on a expert based on objective data from market opinions and patent databases (Patent Indices) Source: Gassmann/Bader 2012 © BGW AG 2013 | Page 2 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 3. Challenges within Companies When shall we use quantitative approaches to analyse patents and patent portfolios? Three of several possible situations in your company that can be handled using quantitative approaches: 1) Your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the patent portfolio of your company and your competitors, presenting further functional KPIs to the CEO 2) Your marketing or investor relations managers like to show the company`s innovativeness by its patent power in an objective way 3) Your head of R&D is approaching you to receive a first IPR-value-assessment as well as IPR-trends in a totally new technology field for your company 4) You are interested in licensing or selling a subportfolio and are looking for a first overview on potentially interested companies © BGW AG 2013 | Page 3 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 4. Opportunities and Threats What have to be considered when implementing quantitative approaches? Opportunities Threats  Resource savings  Not a detailed claim analysis  Time advantages  Statistical shortcomings to be considered  Cost reduction  “2nd view” on the patent situation  Objective and transparent analysis  Trade-Off: Analysis of few important factors vs. a huge bundle of factors leading to a loss of transparency and complicated algorithms Quantitative approaches are a strong tool to analyse your patent portfolio © BGW AG 2013 | Page 4 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 5. Main Variables in Quantitative Analysis What influences the quality of an analysis conducted via patent indices? Correctness Objectivity Input Scope © BGW AG 2013 | Page 5 ICIC 2013 – Vienna Process Output Transparency BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 6. Main Indicators in Quantitative Analysis What indicators should be incorporated in quantitative patent portfolio analysis? Three main fields: 1 2 3 Technology Market Portfolio Measured by: e.g. forward and backward citations; age © BGW AG 2013 | Page 6 ICIC 2013 – Vienna e.g. GDP; industry specific indicators e.g. relative share of a companies` portfolio within the entire portfolio of a technology BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 7. St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™) Created in cooperation between… BGW © BGW AG 2013 | Page 7 ICIC 2013 – Vienna Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 8. St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™) What is the core idea of the SGPI™? Market Strength of a Patent © BGW AG 2013 | Page 8 ICIC 2013 – Vienna SGPI™ Techn. Relevance of a Patent Bottom-up Quantitative single evaluation of each patent document with respect to technology, age and target markets Top-Down Strength of the Portfolio Bottom-up Core Idea Calculation of a comprehensive index enabling the valuation of single patents and the patent portfolio by using a bottom-up and top-down approach within one single analysis BGW Top-down Analysis of the patent portfolio in its entirety with respect to the technology field Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 9. St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™) In which fields can the SGPI ™ be used? Company Level Financial Market Level Governmental Policy Level Strategy Development SGPI™ based Equity Funds Policy Development Controlling KPI in Financial Transactions Communication Instrument Communication SGPI™ based Stock Index Benchmarking Cluster and Regions © BGW AG 2013 | Page 9 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 10. St.Gallen Patent Index™ (SGPI™) How does the SGPI™ work? Further analysis possible Patent / Portfolio Definition © BGW AG 2013 | Page 10 ICIC 2013 – Vienna Data Collection Analysis and Calculation of the SGPI™ Results and Discussion BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 11. Challenges within Companies Why shall we use quantitative approaches to analyse patents and patent portfolios? Three of several possible situations in your company that can be handled with quantitative approaches 1) Your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the patent portfolio of your company and your competitors, presenting further functional KPIs to the CEO 2) Your marketing or investor relations managers like to show the company`s innovativeness by its patent power in an objective way 3) Your head of R&D is approaching you to receive a first IPR-value-assessment as well as IPR-trends in a totally new technology field for your company 4) You are interested in licensing or selling a portfolio and are looking for a first overview on potentially interested companies © BGW AG 2013 | Page 11 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 12. Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the technology field for Lithium-Ionen Batteries SGPI™ – Relative Shares of Total Value 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% SAMSUNG SDI CO LTD SONY CORP 7% MATSUSHITA DENKI SANGYO KK LG CHEM LTD 18% 47% SANYO ELECTRIC CO LTD SHINETSU CHEM IND CO LTD TOSHIBA KK OHARA KK 23% NEC CORP HITACHI MAXELL KK © BGW AG 2013 | Page 12 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 13. Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the technology field for Lithium-Ionen Batteries SGPI™ – Relative Shares of R-Factor (Technological Value) HITACHI MAXELL KK NEC CORP OHARA KK TOSHIBA KK SHINETSU CHEM IND CO LTD SANYO ELECTRIC CO LTD LG CHEM LTD MATSUSHITA DENKI SANGYO KK SONY CORP SAMSUNG SDI CO LTD 0,00 © BGW AG 2013 | Page 13 ICIC 2013 – Vienna 0,10 0,20 0,30 0,40 0,50 BGW 0,60 0,70 Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 14. Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the technology field for lithium-ionen batteries Comparison: SGPI™ vs. simple patent counting 50,00% 45,00% 40,00% 35,00% 30,00% 25,00% 20,00% 15,00% 10,00% 5,00% 0,00% © BGW AG 2013 | Page 14 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 15. Challenges within Companies Why shall we use quantitative approaches to analyse patents and patent portfolios? Three of several possible situations in your company that can be handled with quantitative approaches 1) Your company is redefining its technology strategy and you need to (re)value the patent portfolio of your company and your competitors, presenting further functional KPIs to the CEO 2) Your marketing or investor relations managers like to show the company`s innovativeness by its patent power in an objective way 3) Your head of R&D is approaching you to receive a first IPR-value-assessment as well as IPR-trends in a totally new technology field for your company 4) You are interested in licensing or selling a subportfolio and are looking for a first overview on potentially interested companies © BGW AG 2013 | Page 15 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 16. Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the pharmaceutical markets for cancer Comparison: Future Portfolio Development China 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2015 Japan 35% 2015 30% 2010 2010 2010 2015 2010 2015 25% 2015 2010 20% 2015 2010 15% 10% 5% 2010 2015 2010 2015 0% Your Company ACompany B Company Company C © BGW AG 2013 | Page 16 ICIC 2013 – Vienna Your Company ACompany B Company Company C BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 17. Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the pharmaceutical markets for cancer SE NO GB DK DE RU CA FR CH AT IT SP US CN ME JP KO IN BR AU SA © BGW AG 2013 | Page 17 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 18. Sample Analysis Specific IPC-class within the pharmaceutical markets for cancer 6 focus patents (green) belonging to one company ranked in comparison to the top 20 patents of the analyzed overall patent portfolio SGPITM Value Share of Total Top 20 Ranked Patents 18,00% 16,00% 14,00% 12,00% 10,00% 8,00% 6,00% 4,00% 2,00% 0,00% xxx © BGW AG 2013 | Page 18 ICIC 2013 – Vienna xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx xxx BGW xxx xxx xxx Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 19. Conclusion The SGPI™ is a very clear and objective approach 1) Quantitative approaches are a very strong tool to analyse patents and patent portfolios. 2) These approaches enable a first or further view on the patent situation. 3) They help to save important ressources in terms of time and money. 4) But one have to consider also statistical shortcomings. 5) The SGPI™ is a very transparent and objective approach. 6) The SGPI™ is able to analyse your patents and patent portfolio by using mainly three factors and can be used in several situations. © BGW AG 2013 | Page 19 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 20. Thank you for your attention. Marc Tobias Senior Consultant © BGW AG 2013 | Page 20 ICIC 2013 – Vienna Dr. Martin A. Bader Managing Partner BGW AG - Management Advisory Group Varnbüelstrasse 13, CH-9000 St. Gallen T +41 71 511 2116 contact@bgw-sg.com www.bgw-sg.com BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 21. BGW AG – Spectrum of Competences © BGW AG 2013 | Page 21 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien
  • 22. Addendum © BGW AG 2013 | Page 22 ICIC 2013 – Vienna BGW Management Advisory Group St. Gallen – Wien