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Private Higher Education in MENA:
Lessons and Considerations for
Operators and Investors
Ashwin Assomull
October 2015
2Parthenon
Agenda
Introduction to Parthenon
Global Higher Education Market
Perspectives on MENA Higher Education Market
Opportunities for Growth- Dubai Example
3Parthenon
Overview and Capabilities
• Consumer Growth
• Education
• Healthcare
• Industrials
• Information & Media
• Private Equity
• Change Management and Implementation Support
• Competitive Analysis
• Corporate and Business Unit Strategy
• Cost Improvement
• Econometric Forecasting
• Innovation
• Marketing and Distribution Strategy
• Merger and Acquisition Strategy/Due Diligence and Execution
• Policy Development and Systems Design
• Sales Force Optimization
PRACTICES CAPABILITIES
OVERVIEW
• Founded in 1991 as a strategic advisory firm
• More than 270 members in 2014
• Offices in Boston, London, Singapore, Mumbai, Shanghai
and San Francisco
• Client mix includes Global 1000 corporations, middle-
market companies, private equity firms, educational
institutions, and healthcare institutions
• 29 Partners
4Parthenon
Parthenon completes more than 150 education projects per year in over 80
countries worldwide; 1000 projects completed in the last decade
Early Years K-12 Transnational Education ELT and Vocational TrainingHigher Education
= Education Projects
Completed
by Parthenon
5Parthenon
= Education Projects
Completed by Parthenon
Our team has deep global experience in the Higher Education sector
Minsheng
University
6Parthenon
Representative MENA
On the ground experience
Parthenon has completed work in education on-the-ground across the MENA
region
7Parthenon
Agenda
Introduction to Parthenon
Global Higher Education Market
Perspectives on MENA Higher Education Market
Opportunities for Growth- Dubai Example
8Parthenon
Higher Education, Market Revenue by Country, 2014
China, India and Brazil are the largest higher education markets in the
developing world. However, Middle East market is growing the fastest
>20%
15%–20%
10%–15%
<10%
Revenue CAGR
(3 years)
N/A
China
$12M
Malaysia
$2,411.2M
Dubai
$578MSaudi
Arabia
$536M
South Africa
$328M
Kenya
$186M
Qatar
$150M
Abu Dhabi
$148M
Ethiopia
$16M
Singapore
$1,418M
Brazil
$9B
India*
$10B
Note: *Market size corresponds to Private Universities only
9Parthenon
Agenda
Introduction to Parthenon
Global Higher Education Market
Perspectives on MENA Higher Education Market
Opportunities for Growth- Dubai Example
10Parthenon
MENA countries’ tertiary gross enrolment typically trail wealth per capita
Note: ^Tertiary Gross enrollment ratio is enrollment in tertiary education regardless of age, expressed as a percentage of the total population of the five-year age group following on
from secondary school leaving.
Source: UNESCO, World Bank
0
25
50
75
100
105%
0 20,000 40,000 60,000
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
UAE
Singapore
South Africa
Brazil
Spain
Iceland
AustraliaNew Zealand
Slovenia
Iran
Peru
Chile
Argentina
Italy
India
China
USA
Mexico
Canada
PPP Adjusted Real GDP per Capita
$130,000
TertiaryGrossEnrolmentRatio
Lebanon
Croatia
TurkeyBulgaria
Romania
Tanzania
Kenya
Zimbabwe
UgandaMozambique
Costa Rica
Egypt
Colombia
United Kingdom+Northern Ireland
Germany
France
Thailand
South Korea
Philippines
Malaysia
Japan
Indonesia
R2 = 63%
Steep increase
(~8% CAGR)
Moderate increase
(~5% CAGR)
Stable enrolment growth
(~3% CAGR)
Tertiary Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER)^ Vs. PPP Adjusted Real GDP Per Capita, 2011
MENA countries typically
have lower GER relative
to their PPP per capita
11Parthenon
Enrollment growth in key markets have been between 9-15% annually
0
5
10
15%
Qatar
Enrolment CAGR, '10-'13
15%
Saudi Arabia
15%
United Arab Emirates
9%
12% 43% 49%
Tertiary Gross
Enrollment
Ratio (GER)
Annual Enrolment Growth for Higher Education Institutions, by Country, 2010-2013
Source: UNESCO
12Parthenon
0
2
4
6
8%
Abu Dhabi
Gain in Private
Share
7%
Qatar
4%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Dubai
0%
Increase in Private Enrollment as % of Total Enrollment, 2010-13
Private sector operators have been gaining share across key MENA markets
Source: Parthenon Higher Education primary research
13Parthenon Source: Parthenon Higher Education primary research
0
20
40
60
80
100%
Dubai
Rochester Insti of Tech
Murdoch
Al Dar Uni College
Al Ghurair
British Uni in Dubai
Uni of Dubai
Emirates AviationUni
Dubai Medical ClgFor Girls
LBS
SP Jain
Emirates Academy of Hosp Mgmt
Amity
BITS Pilani
Manchester Buss School
Canadian Uni of Dubai
American Uni in Emirates
Heriot-Watt
American Uni in Dubai
Uni of Wollongong in Dubai
Islamic & Arabic Studies Clg
Uni of Modern Scncs
Manipal
Hult Intl Buss School
Middlesex
Uni of Jazeera
Uni of Saint JosephSaint-PetersburgExeter
ESMODDubai ClgOfDental MedicineEuropean UniClg
Dubai Sch OfGovtDubai PoliceAcademyCambridge ClgIntlMichigan StateUniSynergyIHC
Jumeira Uni
SAEInsti
Imam Malik ClgFor Islamic Sharia &Law
IMT
Hamdan BinMohammed S.Uni
Cass Buss School
Islamic Azad Uni
Royal Clgof Surgeons IrelandUni ofBradfordEmirates ClgFor Mgmt & IT
Dubai Pharmacy Clg
American Clgof Dubai
SZABIST
$578M
Saudi Arabia
Alfaisal Uni
Al Yamamah Uni
Uni of Business and Technology
Dar Al-Hekma College
Riyadh College of Denstistry
Dar Al Uloom Uni
Prince Sultan Uni
College of Business Administration
Ibn Sina National College for Medical Sciences
Effat Uni
Albaha Private College of Science
Others
Batterjee Medical College
Soliman Fakeeh College for Science and Nursing
Prince Fahad Bin Sultan Uni
Prince Mohammad Bin Fahd Uni
Qassim Private College
MohammadAl ManiCollege forMedical Sciences
$536M
Qatar
Georgetown Uni
Northwestern Uni
Carnegie
Mellon Uni
HEC Paris
Stenden Uni
Hamad bin Khalifa
Uni
Virginia CommonwealthUni
Uni of Calgary
Syscoms Institute
Texas A+M Uni
Uni College London
$150M
Abu Dhabi
Al Ain Uni of
Science and
Technology
Al Khawarizmi
International College
Al Hosn Uni
Abu Dhabi
Uni
Emirates
College of
Technology
New York Institute of Technology
EUROPEANINTERNATIONALCOLLEGE
ABUDHABISCHOOLOF MANAGEMENT
EMIRATESINSTITUTEFORBANKINGANDFINANCIALSTUDIES
Uni of Strathclyde Business School
SYSCOMSCOLLEGE
$148M
1 44 12 11No of Institutes
41K 32K 8K 14KEnrolment 2015
10% 16% 19% 12%
Enrolment CAGR,
'12-'15
Total = $1,413M
Annual Revenue, Private Higher Education, By Country/Emirate, 2015
The largest and private higher education market is Dubai, sized at $578M
5 Largest
Universities in the
Country
14Parthenon
Growth of higher education is driven by increased expat and local demand,
government investment, and a need for employment-related courses
Increasing Expat
Demand
Increasing Local
Demand
Government Investment
Need for Higher
Education as a Means to
Employment
• Increase in expat
population
• Supply of foreign
branch universities
recognized by home
campuses
• MENA as an
increasingly attractive
work destination for
expats
• Increase in post-
secondary age group
• More enrollment per
post-secondary age
group
• Need for education of
local population to drive
future growth
• Need for diversification
of economy towards
knowledge-based
industries
• Increasingly competitive
labour market for both
locals and expats
• Degrees at world-class
institutions a valued
resource
1 2 3 4
15Parthenon
0
20
40
60
80
100%
Dubai
% Expatriates
85%
Qatar
84%
Abu Dhbai
80%
Rest of the Emirates
78%
Saudi Arabia
31%
% Expatriates of Population, by Country, 2015E
Expatriates form ~80% of UAE’s and Qatar’s population
while Saudi Arabia has ~30% expats
Source: Newspaper Articles
Increasing Expat
Demand
1
16Parthenon
To cater to expats, there is a wide range of university
foreign branch campus offerings in MENA
British American Australian Indian Other
Dubai
Increasing Expat
Demand
1
Dubai Dubai Dubai Dubai
Qatar
Qatar
Abu Dhabi
Abu Dhabi
Abu Dhabi
Qatar
17Parthenon
Saudi Arabia has growing population of age for higher
education as well as an increasing tendency in enroll in
higher education
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0M
2004
Population
of Age for
Higher
Education
2.1M
2005
2.1M
2006
2.1M
2007
2.3M
2008
2.4M
2009
2.4M
2010
2.4M
2011
2.4M
2012
2.4M
2013
2.4M
28% 58%29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 37% 43% 51%Tertiary GER
Population of Age for Higher Education in Saudi Arabia, 2004-2013
Source: UNESCO
Increasing Local
Demand
2
18Parthenon
Countries in Middle East spend a higher proportion of
their budget on education than the rest of the world
0
10
20
30%
Saudi
Arabia
25%
UAE
24%
Qatar
11%
Singapore
17%
Brazil
15%
UK
13%
US
13%
India
13%
France
10%
Government Spend on Education as % of Total Spend, by Country, 2013E
Source: UNESCO
Government Investment
3
Middle East Rest of the World
19Parthenon
NYUAD KAUST Qatar Education City
Location Abu Dhabi, UAE Thuwal, Saudi Arabia Doha, Qatar
Enrolment
(2015 est)
~800 ~1,200 ~2000
Local Sponsorship
/ Support
Significant budgetary support from
Abu Dhabi Government
Public university with a $20 billion
endowment fund
Backing of the Qatar Foundation
Budget More than $200M ~$700M n/a
Long-Term View
on Profitability
Non-profit Public University Non-profit
Strong Focus on
Research
Several multi-disciplinary research
initiatives in line with home campus
In 2013 it was announced that KAUST
had one of the fastest growing research
and citations record in the world
The education city has a dedicated
research centre in the complex
Reputation (QS/FT
Ranking)
Rank: 247 N/A
Multiple highly ranked institutions
including UCL, Cornell and
Northwestern have a presence in the
Education City
Profile of Landmark Higher Education Institutions in MENA
Source: Parthenon Research
MENA governments have invested heavily into building
world-class research institutions
Government Investment
3
20Parthenon
0
25
50
75
100
125
Employment
Opportunities
Weighted
Mentions
Weighted
Mentions
=101
Quality of
Infrastructure
Weighted
Mentions
=58
Total Fee
Weighted
Mentions
=46
Study Abroad
Programs
Weighted
Mentions
=33
Quality of
Academics
Weighted
Mentions
=32
Proportion of
Expatriate
Teachers
Weighted
Mentions
=17
Partnerships
with Foreign
Universities
Weighted
Mentions
=14
Quality of
English
Instruction
Weighted
Mentions
=5
Q: What were your top selection criteria while enrolling in your current university?
Source: Emirati and Other Arab Student Survey (n=51)
Employment opportunities after graduation is the top
selection criteria for Emirati and other Arab students
when enrolling in a university
Need for Higher
Education as a Means to
Employment
4
21Parthenon
Employment-related courses (Business, Engineering,
and IT) account for ~80% of enrolment in foreign branch
campuses and only <50% in local universities
Source: Parthenon Higher Education Survey; KHDA; MOHESR; UAE National Bureau of Statistics
Private University Enrolment, By Type of University and Discipline, Dubai, 2013/14
Employment
related courses0
20
40
60
80
100%
Foreign Branch
IT
Engineering
Business
Law
Others
Comm & Marketing
Art & Social Sciences
18K
Local
Medicine
Law
IT
Business
Engineering
English Language
Others
Comm & Marketing
Islamic
Art & Social Sciences
23K
82% 46%
% Employment
Related
26 24No. of Institutes
Need for Higher
Education as a Means to
Employment
4
22Parthenon
Private universities have more Western faculty than
public universities resulting in higher standards of
English language-based tuition
Need for Higher
Education as a Means to
Employment
4
Commentary
• “English as the language of instruction
has gained popularity with both students
and employers. Private universities have
a higher percent of expatriate teachers,
which ensures students get exposure to
English. This has been one of the key
success factors for private universities
here”
• “Compared to Saudi nationals, expatriate
teachers perform better. Hence a number
of private universities employ expatriate
teachers
– Former Provost and Acting
President, Saudi Arabian Private
University
Percentage of Western Faculty in Private and Public Universities, 2010
0
20
40
60
80
100%
Private Average
Western Faculty
36%
Public Average
5%
23Parthenon
Agenda
Introduction to Parthenon
Global Higher Education Market
Perspectives on MENA Higher Education Market
Opportunities for Growth- Dubai Example
24Parthenon
Dubai Abu Dhabi
Complexity of
Regulations
Time Required to
Obtain Approvals
~1 year ~3 years
Foreign Ownership
Approval Body
Ease of Entry
Private Enrollment 2015 41K 14K
Dubai is an example of an economy that has been successful in attracting a
wide range of options due to its favourable regulatory environment
Attractive Unattractive
Source: Parthenon Research
25Parthenon
Students are increasingly mobile; transnational education takes
~2.5M students every year to global hubs
Canada
100KStudents
=$3B
Revenue
UK
400KStudents
Australia
300KStudents
USA
600K Students Singapore
~30KStudents
=$0.5B Revenue
Dubai
~6KStudents
=$0.1B
Revenue
26Parthenon
Dubai’s Value
Proposition
Employability-Related
Courses
Student
Satisfaction
Attractive
Location
Dubai’s value proposition for higher education students is
driven by three key assets
27Parthenon
0
20
40
60
80
100%
Western Foreign
Branch
% Business
79%
Local offering
Foreign
Curriculum
% Business
62%
Eastern
Foreign Branch
Curriculum
% Business
54%
Local offering
Local
Curriculum
% Business
49%
('11-'14)
9%
% Business Enrolments, By Type of University, Dubai, 2014
Source: Parthenon Higher Education Survey; KHDA; MOHESR; UAE National Bureau of Statistics
Employment related courses are driving growth across the different
university segments, particularly in the Western foreign branches
28Parthenon
Satisfaction with the Dubai experience is high among both current
students and recent graduates
0
100
200
300
0 = Extremely
Poor
1
2
3
4
5
6
7 = Extremely
Good
# of
Quality
Institutions
290
Job
Placement
Record
209
Prefered
Course
Quality
112
Local
Infra-
structure
Quality
61
Campus
Facilities
Quality
60
Course
Quality
57
Recognition
of Degree
Globally
26
Accom-
adation
Quality
19
Other
60
Current Student
Satisfaction
Recent Graduate
Satisfaction
Q. Which of the following factors did you consider when selecting a country/city
for higher education?
Q. How does Dubai rate on the top 3 factors?
Source: Dubai Current Students and Recent Graduates Survey, n=149 (current students=99; recent graduates=50)
29Parthenon
Why is Dubai an attractive destination for students?
Source: Parthenon Analysis
Close to the
World
• Ideally located to attract European, African, East,
Southeast Asian, South Asian, GCC, and CIS
students
1
English Speaking
• Students can use and improve their English, and
the degree is well perceived internationally
3
Safe
• Safe environment for students, an important
factor for both students and families
2
Strong Economy
• A fast-growing economy in need of graduates in a
variety of industries
4
Quality of Life
• Diverse, culturally active city
• Expo 2020 host city will attract global attention
5
30Parthenon
How can Dubai increase international students?
Develop “Education
Dubai” Brand
Identify Key
Source Countries
Develop Strategic
Marketing Plan
• Develop
regional/local
messaging and
product
Build Relationships
with Agents
• Prioritize markets
based on growth
rates and external
factors
• Target the
identified source
markets through
relevant language
and channels
• Develop
relationships with
agents or agent
aggregators in the
identified markets
1 2 3 4
0
20
40
60
80
100%
Malaysia Private Higher Education*
Other
South Korea
Other Indian Sub-continent
Pakistan
Bangladesh
China
Other SE Asia
Indonesia
Other Middle East
Yemen
Iran
Other Africa
Sudan
Libya
Nigeria
62.7K
APU
Other Indian
Sub-Continent
India
Maldives
China
Other SE Asia
Indonesia
Central Asia
Other Middle East
Yemen
Oman
Iran
Other Africa
Tanzania
4.8K
Taylor's
South Korea
Other Indian Sub-continent
Pakistan
Maldives
China
Other SE Asia
Indonesia
Kazakhstan
Other Middle East
Iran
Other Africa
Tanzania
Mauritius
2.5K
Other East Asia
Other
CentralAsian
Kazakhstan
Others
East Asia
Other
Other East Asia
Other Central Asia
55% 60% 22%
% Students from Africa,
Middle East and CentralAsia

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Webinar: Private Higher Education in MENA - Lesson and Considerations for Operators and Investors

  • 1. Private Higher Education in MENA: Lessons and Considerations for Operators and Investors Ashwin Assomull October 2015
  • 2. 2Parthenon Agenda Introduction to Parthenon Global Higher Education Market Perspectives on MENA Higher Education Market Opportunities for Growth- Dubai Example
  • 3. 3Parthenon Overview and Capabilities • Consumer Growth • Education • Healthcare • Industrials • Information & Media • Private Equity • Change Management and Implementation Support • Competitive Analysis • Corporate and Business Unit Strategy • Cost Improvement • Econometric Forecasting • Innovation • Marketing and Distribution Strategy • Merger and Acquisition Strategy/Due Diligence and Execution • Policy Development and Systems Design • Sales Force Optimization PRACTICES CAPABILITIES OVERVIEW • Founded in 1991 as a strategic advisory firm • More than 270 members in 2014 • Offices in Boston, London, Singapore, Mumbai, Shanghai and San Francisco • Client mix includes Global 1000 corporations, middle- market companies, private equity firms, educational institutions, and healthcare institutions • 29 Partners
  • 4. 4Parthenon Parthenon completes more than 150 education projects per year in over 80 countries worldwide; 1000 projects completed in the last decade Early Years K-12 Transnational Education ELT and Vocational TrainingHigher Education = Education Projects Completed by Parthenon
  • 5. 5Parthenon = Education Projects Completed by Parthenon Our team has deep global experience in the Higher Education sector Minsheng University
  • 6. 6Parthenon Representative MENA On the ground experience Parthenon has completed work in education on-the-ground across the MENA region
  • 7. 7Parthenon Agenda Introduction to Parthenon Global Higher Education Market Perspectives on MENA Higher Education Market Opportunities for Growth- Dubai Example
  • 8. 8Parthenon Higher Education, Market Revenue by Country, 2014 China, India and Brazil are the largest higher education markets in the developing world. However, Middle East market is growing the fastest >20% 15%–20% 10%–15% <10% Revenue CAGR (3 years) N/A China $12M Malaysia $2,411.2M Dubai $578MSaudi Arabia $536M South Africa $328M Kenya $186M Qatar $150M Abu Dhabi $148M Ethiopia $16M Singapore $1,418M Brazil $9B India* $10B Note: *Market size corresponds to Private Universities only
  • 9. 9Parthenon Agenda Introduction to Parthenon Global Higher Education Market Perspectives on MENA Higher Education Market Opportunities for Growth- Dubai Example
  • 10. 10Parthenon MENA countries’ tertiary gross enrolment typically trail wealth per capita Note: ^Tertiary Gross enrollment ratio is enrollment in tertiary education regardless of age, expressed as a percentage of the total population of the five-year age group following on from secondary school leaving. Source: UNESCO, World Bank 0 25 50 75 100 105% 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 Qatar Saudi Arabia UAE Singapore South Africa Brazil Spain Iceland AustraliaNew Zealand Slovenia Iran Peru Chile Argentina Italy India China USA Mexico Canada PPP Adjusted Real GDP per Capita $130,000 TertiaryGrossEnrolmentRatio Lebanon Croatia TurkeyBulgaria Romania Tanzania Kenya Zimbabwe UgandaMozambique Costa Rica Egypt Colombia United Kingdom+Northern Ireland Germany France Thailand South Korea Philippines Malaysia Japan Indonesia R2 = 63% Steep increase (~8% CAGR) Moderate increase (~5% CAGR) Stable enrolment growth (~3% CAGR) Tertiary Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER)^ Vs. PPP Adjusted Real GDP Per Capita, 2011 MENA countries typically have lower GER relative to their PPP per capita
  • 11. 11Parthenon Enrollment growth in key markets have been between 9-15% annually 0 5 10 15% Qatar Enrolment CAGR, '10-'13 15% Saudi Arabia 15% United Arab Emirates 9% 12% 43% 49% Tertiary Gross Enrollment Ratio (GER) Annual Enrolment Growth for Higher Education Institutions, by Country, 2010-2013 Source: UNESCO
  • 12. 12Parthenon 0 2 4 6 8% Abu Dhabi Gain in Private Share 7% Qatar 4% Saudi Arabia 1% Dubai 0% Increase in Private Enrollment as % of Total Enrollment, 2010-13 Private sector operators have been gaining share across key MENA markets Source: Parthenon Higher Education primary research
  • 13. 13Parthenon Source: Parthenon Higher Education primary research 0 20 40 60 80 100% Dubai Rochester Insti of Tech Murdoch Al Dar Uni College Al Ghurair British Uni in Dubai Uni of Dubai Emirates AviationUni Dubai Medical ClgFor Girls LBS SP Jain Emirates Academy of Hosp Mgmt Amity BITS Pilani Manchester Buss School Canadian Uni of Dubai American Uni in Emirates Heriot-Watt American Uni in Dubai Uni of Wollongong in Dubai Islamic & Arabic Studies Clg Uni of Modern Scncs Manipal Hult Intl Buss School Middlesex Uni of Jazeera Uni of Saint JosephSaint-PetersburgExeter ESMODDubai ClgOfDental MedicineEuropean UniClg Dubai Sch OfGovtDubai PoliceAcademyCambridge ClgIntlMichigan StateUniSynergyIHC Jumeira Uni SAEInsti Imam Malik ClgFor Islamic Sharia &Law IMT Hamdan BinMohammed S.Uni Cass Buss School Islamic Azad Uni Royal Clgof Surgeons IrelandUni ofBradfordEmirates ClgFor Mgmt & IT Dubai Pharmacy Clg American Clgof Dubai SZABIST $578M Saudi Arabia Alfaisal Uni Al Yamamah Uni Uni of Business and Technology Dar Al-Hekma College Riyadh College of Denstistry Dar Al Uloom Uni Prince Sultan Uni College of Business Administration Ibn Sina National College for Medical Sciences Effat Uni Albaha Private College of Science Others Batterjee Medical College Soliman Fakeeh College for Science and Nursing Prince Fahad Bin Sultan Uni Prince Mohammad Bin Fahd Uni Qassim Private College MohammadAl ManiCollege forMedical Sciences $536M Qatar Georgetown Uni Northwestern Uni Carnegie Mellon Uni HEC Paris Stenden Uni Hamad bin Khalifa Uni Virginia CommonwealthUni Uni of Calgary Syscoms Institute Texas A+M Uni Uni College London $150M Abu Dhabi Al Ain Uni of Science and Technology Al Khawarizmi International College Al Hosn Uni Abu Dhabi Uni Emirates College of Technology New York Institute of Technology EUROPEANINTERNATIONALCOLLEGE ABUDHABISCHOOLOF MANAGEMENT EMIRATESINSTITUTEFORBANKINGANDFINANCIALSTUDIES Uni of Strathclyde Business School SYSCOMSCOLLEGE $148M 1 44 12 11No of Institutes 41K 32K 8K 14KEnrolment 2015 10% 16% 19% 12% Enrolment CAGR, '12-'15 Total = $1,413M Annual Revenue, Private Higher Education, By Country/Emirate, 2015 The largest and private higher education market is Dubai, sized at $578M 5 Largest Universities in the Country
  • 14. 14Parthenon Growth of higher education is driven by increased expat and local demand, government investment, and a need for employment-related courses Increasing Expat Demand Increasing Local Demand Government Investment Need for Higher Education as a Means to Employment • Increase in expat population • Supply of foreign branch universities recognized by home campuses • MENA as an increasingly attractive work destination for expats • Increase in post- secondary age group • More enrollment per post-secondary age group • Need for education of local population to drive future growth • Need for diversification of economy towards knowledge-based industries • Increasingly competitive labour market for both locals and expats • Degrees at world-class institutions a valued resource 1 2 3 4
  • 15. 15Parthenon 0 20 40 60 80 100% Dubai % Expatriates 85% Qatar 84% Abu Dhbai 80% Rest of the Emirates 78% Saudi Arabia 31% % Expatriates of Population, by Country, 2015E Expatriates form ~80% of UAE’s and Qatar’s population while Saudi Arabia has ~30% expats Source: Newspaper Articles Increasing Expat Demand 1
  • 16. 16Parthenon To cater to expats, there is a wide range of university foreign branch campus offerings in MENA British American Australian Indian Other Dubai Increasing Expat Demand 1 Dubai Dubai Dubai Dubai Qatar Qatar Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Qatar
  • 17. 17Parthenon Saudi Arabia has growing population of age for higher education as well as an increasing tendency in enroll in higher education 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0M 2004 Population of Age for Higher Education 2.1M 2005 2.1M 2006 2.1M 2007 2.3M 2008 2.4M 2009 2.4M 2010 2.4M 2011 2.4M 2012 2.4M 2013 2.4M 28% 58%29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 37% 43% 51%Tertiary GER Population of Age for Higher Education in Saudi Arabia, 2004-2013 Source: UNESCO Increasing Local Demand 2
  • 18. 18Parthenon Countries in Middle East spend a higher proportion of their budget on education than the rest of the world 0 10 20 30% Saudi Arabia 25% UAE 24% Qatar 11% Singapore 17% Brazil 15% UK 13% US 13% India 13% France 10% Government Spend on Education as % of Total Spend, by Country, 2013E Source: UNESCO Government Investment 3 Middle East Rest of the World
  • 19. 19Parthenon NYUAD KAUST Qatar Education City Location Abu Dhabi, UAE Thuwal, Saudi Arabia Doha, Qatar Enrolment (2015 est) ~800 ~1,200 ~2000 Local Sponsorship / Support Significant budgetary support from Abu Dhabi Government Public university with a $20 billion endowment fund Backing of the Qatar Foundation Budget More than $200M ~$700M n/a Long-Term View on Profitability Non-profit Public University Non-profit Strong Focus on Research Several multi-disciplinary research initiatives in line with home campus In 2013 it was announced that KAUST had one of the fastest growing research and citations record in the world The education city has a dedicated research centre in the complex Reputation (QS/FT Ranking) Rank: 247 N/A Multiple highly ranked institutions including UCL, Cornell and Northwestern have a presence in the Education City Profile of Landmark Higher Education Institutions in MENA Source: Parthenon Research MENA governments have invested heavily into building world-class research institutions Government Investment 3
  • 20. 20Parthenon 0 25 50 75 100 125 Employment Opportunities Weighted Mentions Weighted Mentions =101 Quality of Infrastructure Weighted Mentions =58 Total Fee Weighted Mentions =46 Study Abroad Programs Weighted Mentions =33 Quality of Academics Weighted Mentions =32 Proportion of Expatriate Teachers Weighted Mentions =17 Partnerships with Foreign Universities Weighted Mentions =14 Quality of English Instruction Weighted Mentions =5 Q: What were your top selection criteria while enrolling in your current university? Source: Emirati and Other Arab Student Survey (n=51) Employment opportunities after graduation is the top selection criteria for Emirati and other Arab students when enrolling in a university Need for Higher Education as a Means to Employment 4
  • 21. 21Parthenon Employment-related courses (Business, Engineering, and IT) account for ~80% of enrolment in foreign branch campuses and only <50% in local universities Source: Parthenon Higher Education Survey; KHDA; MOHESR; UAE National Bureau of Statistics Private University Enrolment, By Type of University and Discipline, Dubai, 2013/14 Employment related courses0 20 40 60 80 100% Foreign Branch IT Engineering Business Law Others Comm & Marketing Art & Social Sciences 18K Local Medicine Law IT Business Engineering English Language Others Comm & Marketing Islamic Art & Social Sciences 23K 82% 46% % Employment Related 26 24No. of Institutes Need for Higher Education as a Means to Employment 4
  • 22. 22Parthenon Private universities have more Western faculty than public universities resulting in higher standards of English language-based tuition Need for Higher Education as a Means to Employment 4 Commentary • “English as the language of instruction has gained popularity with both students and employers. Private universities have a higher percent of expatriate teachers, which ensures students get exposure to English. This has been one of the key success factors for private universities here” • “Compared to Saudi nationals, expatriate teachers perform better. Hence a number of private universities employ expatriate teachers – Former Provost and Acting President, Saudi Arabian Private University Percentage of Western Faculty in Private and Public Universities, 2010 0 20 40 60 80 100% Private Average Western Faculty 36% Public Average 5%
  • 23. 23Parthenon Agenda Introduction to Parthenon Global Higher Education Market Perspectives on MENA Higher Education Market Opportunities for Growth- Dubai Example
  • 24. 24Parthenon Dubai Abu Dhabi Complexity of Regulations Time Required to Obtain Approvals ~1 year ~3 years Foreign Ownership Approval Body Ease of Entry Private Enrollment 2015 41K 14K Dubai is an example of an economy that has been successful in attracting a wide range of options due to its favourable regulatory environment Attractive Unattractive Source: Parthenon Research
  • 25. 25Parthenon Students are increasingly mobile; transnational education takes ~2.5M students every year to global hubs Canada 100KStudents =$3B Revenue UK 400KStudents Australia 300KStudents USA 600K Students Singapore ~30KStudents =$0.5B Revenue Dubai ~6KStudents =$0.1B Revenue
  • 27. 27Parthenon 0 20 40 60 80 100% Western Foreign Branch % Business 79% Local offering Foreign Curriculum % Business 62% Eastern Foreign Branch Curriculum % Business 54% Local offering Local Curriculum % Business 49% ('11-'14) 9% % Business Enrolments, By Type of University, Dubai, 2014 Source: Parthenon Higher Education Survey; KHDA; MOHESR; UAE National Bureau of Statistics Employment related courses are driving growth across the different university segments, particularly in the Western foreign branches
  • 28. 28Parthenon Satisfaction with the Dubai experience is high among both current students and recent graduates 0 100 200 300 0 = Extremely Poor 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 = Extremely Good # of Quality Institutions 290 Job Placement Record 209 Prefered Course Quality 112 Local Infra- structure Quality 61 Campus Facilities Quality 60 Course Quality 57 Recognition of Degree Globally 26 Accom- adation Quality 19 Other 60 Current Student Satisfaction Recent Graduate Satisfaction Q. Which of the following factors did you consider when selecting a country/city for higher education? Q. How does Dubai rate on the top 3 factors? Source: Dubai Current Students and Recent Graduates Survey, n=149 (current students=99; recent graduates=50)
  • 29. 29Parthenon Why is Dubai an attractive destination for students? Source: Parthenon Analysis Close to the World • Ideally located to attract European, African, East, Southeast Asian, South Asian, GCC, and CIS students 1 English Speaking • Students can use and improve their English, and the degree is well perceived internationally 3 Safe • Safe environment for students, an important factor for both students and families 2 Strong Economy • A fast-growing economy in need of graduates in a variety of industries 4 Quality of Life • Diverse, culturally active city • Expo 2020 host city will attract global attention 5
  • 30. 30Parthenon How can Dubai increase international students? Develop “Education Dubai” Brand Identify Key Source Countries Develop Strategic Marketing Plan • Develop regional/local messaging and product Build Relationships with Agents • Prioritize markets based on growth rates and external factors • Target the identified source markets through relevant language and channels • Develop relationships with agents or agent aggregators in the identified markets 1 2 3 4 0 20 40 60 80 100% Malaysia Private Higher Education* Other South Korea Other Indian Sub-continent Pakistan Bangladesh China Other SE Asia Indonesia Other Middle East Yemen Iran Other Africa Sudan Libya Nigeria 62.7K APU Other Indian Sub-Continent India Maldives China Other SE Asia Indonesia Central Asia Other Middle East Yemen Oman Iran Other Africa Tanzania 4.8K Taylor's South Korea Other Indian Sub-continent Pakistan Maldives China Other SE Asia Indonesia Kazakhstan Other Middle East Iran Other Africa Tanzania Mauritius 2.5K Other East Asia Other CentralAsian Kazakhstan Others East Asia Other Other East Asia Other Central Asia 55% 60% 22% % Students from Africa, Middle East and CentralAsia