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CHALLENGES AND PROSPECTS OF TRACKING INFORMAL CROSS BORDER TRADE IN
                               EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA (ESA)

                                    Wanjiku, J; Gelan, A; Gbegbelegbe, S; Karugia, J; Massawe, S; Wambua ,J; Guthiga, P and Ogada, M

                                                        Introduction
                                                                                                                                                   Figure 1: Borders monitored in ESA region
    Informal cross border trade (ICBT) refers to unrecorded business transactions
    undertaken across the borders. It includes goods moved through unofficial and
                                                 g                  g
    official trade routes through under-invoicing and mis-declarations of cargo.

    Agencies monitoring ICBT have focused on only goods passing through
    unofficial trade routes

     ICBT constitutes a major proportion of regional total trade (almost over 40%)
    (see Figure 3).

    Data on ICBT is very scant though important for trade policy decision making.

   Current efforts to collect informal cross border trade data
    There is very minimal investment in the collection of ICBT in the ESA region.

    Currently, ICBT data is collected on continuous basis by Uganda Bureau of
    Statistics (UBOS) and the Market Analysis Subgroup (MAS) partnership consisting
    of Eastern Africa Grain Council (EAGC), Famine Early Warning Systems Network
    (FEWS NET) W ld F d program (WFP) and F d and A i lt
             NET), World Food                   d Food d Agriculture OOrganization
                                                                            i ti
    (FAO) .
                                                                                                                                                    Town Names 
        Figure 1, indicates borders that are currently monitored.                                                                                   1=Lwakhakha; 2= Malaba; 3= Busia; 4= Mutukula;  5= Kikagati;  6= Cynika 7= Katuna;  
                                                                                                                                                    8= Bunagana; 9= Ishasha DRC;  10= Ishasha; 11= Mpondwe; 12= Ntoroko; 13= Goli;  
                                                                                                                                                    14= Vurra; 15= Paidha; 16= Oraba;17; Nemule; 18= Namanga; 19= Isabania; 20= Oloitoktok;  
    ICBT data is collected through various methods: Border observation or                                                                           21=  Moyale;  22=  Mchinji;  23=Songwe/  Kasumuru;  24=Mulungu/  Kigoma;  25=Zombe/ 
                                                                                                                                                    Kaseya;  26=Nakonde/  Tunduma;  27=Chirundu;  28=Muloza  (Mulanje  district);  29=Nayuchi; 
    monitoring, Tracking and Stock taking techniques.                                                                                               30=Tengani;  31=Marka;  32=Mwanza;  33=chadiza;  34=Beitbridge;  35=Chirundu; 
                                                                                                                                                    36=Momkambo;  37=Kasumbalesa;  38=Mkumaniza;  39=Nyamapanda;  40=Machipanda; 
Figure 2: Informal trade in selected countries (2010 nominal
                                               (2010,                                                                                               41=Kibondo; 42=Kigoma; 43=Elwark; 44=Mpondwe; 45=Rusumo; 46=Manyovu; 47=Dobley

values US$ 1000 )                                                                                                              Challenges of monitoring informal trade data
35000
                                                                                                                       Available informal trade data is collected by only a few agencies.
30000


25000
                                                                                                                       Data is mostly incomplete in terms of commodities or borders, and is
                                                                                                                       often based on sample case studies and estimates from particular
20000                                                                                                                  borders.
15000

                                                                                                                       Not all components of informal trade are captured (‘panyas’, night trade)
10000


 5000                                                                                                                  Methodological methods and tools used by agencies differ
   0
              Congo DR             Kenya              Rwanda              Tanzania            Uganda                   Which borders to monitor, what to monitor and ideal time of monitoring is
                                 Maize grain    Rice grain     Beans and pulses                                        not well defined
Figure 3: Proportion (%) of informal Volumes to total
trade volumes of selected commodities (2009)
                                        (   )                                                                          Not all agricultural commodities are monitored
                                                                                                                                                                 Recommendations
        120
                                                                                                                         Identify representative borders for monitoring
        100
                                                                                                                         Prioritize main agricultural staples for monitoring: volumes, value,
         80                                                                                                              proportions.
         60
                                                                                                                         Improved methodology of monitoring- standardized methodology
         40
                                                                                                                         Implement continuous capacity building through a harmonized program
         20

                                                                                                                         Use international harmonization codes
         0
              Congo DR   Kenya        Malawi     Rwanda       Tanzania   Uganda      Zambia    Total (All
                                                                                              countries)
                                                                                                                         Strengthen partnership among agencies
                                  Maize grain    Rice grain     Beans and pulses




                                                                                                   For more information contact Coordinator, ReSAKSS‐ECA at 
                                                                                                                      j.karugia@cgiar.org
                                                                                                                                                                              ILRI
                                                                                                                                                               INTERNATIONAL LIVESTOCK RESEARCH INSTITUTE

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Challenges and prospects of tracking informal cross border trade in eastern and southern Africa (ESA)

  • 1. CHALLENGES AND PROSPECTS OF TRACKING INFORMAL CROSS BORDER TRADE IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA (ESA) Wanjiku, J; Gelan, A; Gbegbelegbe, S; Karugia, J; Massawe, S; Wambua ,J; Guthiga, P and Ogada, M Introduction Figure 1: Borders monitored in ESA region Informal cross border trade (ICBT) refers to unrecorded business transactions undertaken across the borders. It includes goods moved through unofficial and g g official trade routes through under-invoicing and mis-declarations of cargo. Agencies monitoring ICBT have focused on only goods passing through unofficial trade routes ICBT constitutes a major proportion of regional total trade (almost over 40%) (see Figure 3). Data on ICBT is very scant though important for trade policy decision making. Current efforts to collect informal cross border trade data There is very minimal investment in the collection of ICBT in the ESA region. Currently, ICBT data is collected on continuous basis by Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS) and the Market Analysis Subgroup (MAS) partnership consisting of Eastern Africa Grain Council (EAGC), Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) W ld F d program (WFP) and F d and A i lt NET), World Food d Food d Agriculture OOrganization i ti (FAO) . Town Names  Figure 1, indicates borders that are currently monitored. 1=Lwakhakha; 2= Malaba; 3= Busia; 4= Mutukula;  5= Kikagati;  6= Cynika 7= Katuna;   8= Bunagana; 9= Ishasha DRC;  10= Ishasha; 11= Mpondwe; 12= Ntoroko; 13= Goli;   14= Vurra; 15= Paidha; 16= Oraba;17; Nemule; 18= Namanga; 19= Isabania; 20= Oloitoktok;   ICBT data is collected through various methods: Border observation or 21=  Moyale;  22=  Mchinji;  23=Songwe/  Kasumuru;  24=Mulungu/  Kigoma;  25=Zombe/  Kaseya;  26=Nakonde/  Tunduma;  27=Chirundu;  28=Muloza  (Mulanje  district);  29=Nayuchi;  monitoring, Tracking and Stock taking techniques. 30=Tengani;  31=Marka;  32=Mwanza;  33=chadiza;  34=Beitbridge;  35=Chirundu;  36=Momkambo;  37=Kasumbalesa;  38=Mkumaniza;  39=Nyamapanda;  40=Machipanda;  Figure 2: Informal trade in selected countries (2010 nominal (2010, 41=Kibondo; 42=Kigoma; 43=Elwark; 44=Mpondwe; 45=Rusumo; 46=Manyovu; 47=Dobley values US$ 1000 ) Challenges of monitoring informal trade data 35000 Available informal trade data is collected by only a few agencies. 30000 25000 Data is mostly incomplete in terms of commodities or borders, and is often based on sample case studies and estimates from particular 20000 borders. 15000 Not all components of informal trade are captured (‘panyas’, night trade) 10000 5000 Methodological methods and tools used by agencies differ 0 Congo DR Kenya Rwanda Tanzania Uganda Which borders to monitor, what to monitor and ideal time of monitoring is Maize grain Rice grain Beans and pulses not well defined Figure 3: Proportion (%) of informal Volumes to total trade volumes of selected commodities (2009) ( ) Not all agricultural commodities are monitored Recommendations 120 Identify representative borders for monitoring 100 Prioritize main agricultural staples for monitoring: volumes, value, 80 proportions. 60 Improved methodology of monitoring- standardized methodology 40 Implement continuous capacity building through a harmonized program 20 Use international harmonization codes 0 Congo DR Kenya Malawi Rwanda Tanzania Uganda Zambia Total (All countries) Strengthen partnership among agencies Maize grain Rice grain Beans and pulses For more information contact Coordinator, ReSAKSS‐ECA at  j.karugia@cgiar.org ILRI INTERNATIONAL LIVESTOCK RESEARCH INSTITUTE