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Tools to Assist Rain Water Management
                      Strategies in SSA



                               Simon Langan
                               4th December 2012
                               Annual Research Meeting
                               IWMI HQ, Sri Lanka




                                                         Photo: David Brazier/IWMI
             Water for a food-secure world
                     www.iwmi.org
Projects, Partners and Users
Projects: NBDC (CPWF), Afromaison (EU)
Partners:
International- ILRI, ICRAF, IFPRI, ODI, NBI,
Cemagraf, Cornell University.
National- Ethiopian Universities, Regional
research authorities, Ministry of Agriculture,
Ministry of Water and Energy, Nat. Met.
Agency, River Basin Authorities, NGO’s
              Water for a food-secure world
                      www.iwmi.org
Problem
• In Ethiopia 95% of agriculture is rainfed.
  Subject to high variability in rainfall and
  access to water. In these areas rural
  communities are vulnerable to food
  insecurity and a high incidence of poverty.
• What are the opportunities and constraints
  (biophysical, social, economic) to changing
  this at a landscape scale? (Knowledge,
  Attitudes and Skills)

              Water for a food-secure world
                      www.iwmi.org
Toolbox of approaches
Examples
• Knowledge: Students, Modelling and Primary
  data
  – Hydrometeorological
  – Economic- livelihoods
  – Social- institutional
• Attitudes: Innovation Platforms
• Knowledge, Attitudes and Skills: Community
  engagement and action
                 Water for a food-secure world
                         www.iwmi.org
Sentinel sites




Generate
primary data
and act as
learning sites


                 Water for a food-secure world
                         www.iwmi.org
Dynamics of hourly Rainfall and Ground Water
                                             level
                 30.08.2011                   10.10.2011   21.11.2011   02.01.2012   12.02.2012      25.03.2012   06.05.2012   16.06.2012   28.07.2012
                                          0                                                                                                              0

                                                                                              Houly data

                                                                                                                                                         5
                    0.5

                                                                                                                                                         10
Ground Water Level from the surface (m)




                                          1
                                                                                                                                                         15




                                                                                                                                                              Rainfall (mm)
                    1.5                                                                                                                                  20
                                                                                       Hourly GW Level

                                                                                       Hourly Rainfall
                                                                                                                                                         25
                                          2

                                                                                                                                                         30

                    2.5
                                                                                                                                                         35



                                          3                                                                                                              40
                                                           Use sites, instrumented networks and data for training

                                                                           Water for a food-secure world
                                                                                         www.iwmi.org
Aug 2011-Aug 2012 SWAT Simulation
                8                                                         0


                                                                          20
                7

                                                                          40
                6
                                                                          60

                5
                                                                          80
Flow (cumecs)




                                                                                Rainfall (mm)
                            Observed Flow     Simulated Flow   Rainfall
                4                                                         100


                                                                          120
                3

                    Use data and models for ‘what if?’                    140
                2   and link through to household
                                                                          160
                    economic data
                1
                                                                          180


                0                                                         200




                                                   Date


                               Water for a food-secure world
                                            www.iwmi.org
Climate Forecast and Reanalysis System
   Use as input to models as secondary data at regional scale to
    provide a consistent methodology
   1979 – 2010 (will be updated to present > near real-time)
   Coupled atmosphere-ocean-land-sea ice system
   Finer spatial (~38km) and temporal (hourly and daily) resolution
                                   700

                                   600
                                                    y = 0.568x + 21.37
                                                        R² = 0.876
                                   500

                                   400

                                   300  STN

                                   200

                                   100

                                        0                 CFSR
                                 -100         100       300          500   700



                      Water for a food-secure world
                              www.iwmi.org
TopoSWAT toolbox for ArcSWAT
                        Key features:
                        Creates a pedotransfer
                        function from a topographic
                        index and elevation
                        increment
                       Performance     SWAT   TopoSWAT

                         Criteria

                           aR2         0.69     0.79

                          bNSE         0.65     0.77


                        (Under review Env. Sys.
                        Software)

       Water for a food-secure world
               www.iwmi.org
Why Innovation Platforms?




                                    Or...




    Water for a food-secure world
            www.iwmi.org
Water for a food-secure world
        www.iwmi.org
Community engagement




     Water for a food-secure world
             www.iwmi.org
Issues
      Site           Main Issue          Related Issues

                    Unrestricted              Land
   Fogera             grazing              degradation

                       Land                   Termite
     Diga           degradation            infestation *

     Jeldu          Soil erosion          Deforestation

   Fodder interventions have been selected by
   stakeholders in all three sites to address these
   issues
* Interventions in Diga linked to CPWF Termite Action Research
Project

                                   Water for a food-secure world
                                              www.iwmi.org
Demand Driven Action Research-
Innovation Fund
                     • 5000 USD allocated to platforms to fund activities
                       which address RWM issues

                     • Proposals and action plans developed by
                       stakeholders according to defined criteria

                     • Actions are cross-sectoral, participatory, designed
                       to address RWM issues and targeted to suitable
                       area

                     • Sites have been selected in areas within the
                       designated NBDC watersheds

                     • Action at household level, farmland and
                       communal land




            Water for a food-secure world
                    www.iwmi.org
Learning so far




Research outputs                                      Inform policy
Information on:                                       •Suggestions for alternatives to current
• Livelihood strategies and constraints               practices
• Factors influencing adoption/lack of adoption       • Piloted processes that can be tested and
• Social, economic and political drivers of           replicated for use in planning and
landscape change                                      implementation
• Development of research/implementation              •Concrete outcomes that can be fed to
processes                                             national level platform
• Experiences, lessons, best practice

                                 Water for a food-secure world
                                            www.iwmi.org
Acknowledgement
•   Alan Duncan- ILRI
•   Beth Cullen- ILRI
•   Birhanu Zemadim                     Congratulations:
•   Charlotte MacAlister                Mastewal and Wolde
•   Josie Tucker- ODI                   Baby boy- Nathan
•   Katherine Snyder
•   Kindie Getnet
•   Lisa-Maria Rebelo
•   Matthew McCartney
•   Mulugeta Lemenih
•   Solomon Seyoum
•   Teklu Erkossa

                     Water for a food-secure world
                             www.iwmi.org
Future activities
     • Link SWAT model to household economic model (with IFPRI)
     • ODI work on political economy and equity analysis of RWM
         interventions
     •   Qualitative work on adoption to scale out across basin survey work
     •   Continued work on scenario development in collaboration (Wat-a-
         game and Happy Strategies)
     •   Cross-basin collaboration and learning (Volta, Limpopo)
     •   Hand over facilitation to partners for long term sustainability
         (partnership agreements currently being drafted)
     •   Formation of stronger links to national platform activities




                           Water for a food-secure world
17                                 www.iwmi.org                               17

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Tools to Assist Rain Water Management Strategies in SSA

  • 1. Tools to Assist Rain Water Management Strategies in SSA Simon Langan 4th December 2012 Annual Research Meeting IWMI HQ, Sri Lanka Photo: David Brazier/IWMI Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 2. Projects, Partners and Users Projects: NBDC (CPWF), Afromaison (EU) Partners: International- ILRI, ICRAF, IFPRI, ODI, NBI, Cemagraf, Cornell University. National- Ethiopian Universities, Regional research authorities, Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Water and Energy, Nat. Met. Agency, River Basin Authorities, NGO’s Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 3. Problem • In Ethiopia 95% of agriculture is rainfed. Subject to high variability in rainfall and access to water. In these areas rural communities are vulnerable to food insecurity and a high incidence of poverty. • What are the opportunities and constraints (biophysical, social, economic) to changing this at a landscape scale? (Knowledge, Attitudes and Skills) Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 4. Toolbox of approaches Examples • Knowledge: Students, Modelling and Primary data – Hydrometeorological – Economic- livelihoods – Social- institutional • Attitudes: Innovation Platforms • Knowledge, Attitudes and Skills: Community engagement and action Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 5. Sentinel sites Generate primary data and act as learning sites Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 6. Dynamics of hourly Rainfall and Ground Water level 30.08.2011 10.10.2011 21.11.2011 02.01.2012 12.02.2012 25.03.2012 06.05.2012 16.06.2012 28.07.2012 0 0 Houly data 5 0.5 10 Ground Water Level from the surface (m) 1 15 Rainfall (mm) 1.5 20 Hourly GW Level Hourly Rainfall 25 2 30 2.5 35 3 40 Use sites, instrumented networks and data for training Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 7. Aug 2011-Aug 2012 SWAT Simulation 8 0 20 7 40 6 60 5 80 Flow (cumecs) Rainfall (mm) Observed Flow Simulated Flow Rainfall 4 100 120 3 Use data and models for ‘what if?’ 140 2 and link through to household 160 economic data 1 180 0 200 Date Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 8. Climate Forecast and Reanalysis System  Use as input to models as secondary data at regional scale to provide a consistent methodology  1979 – 2010 (will be updated to present > near real-time)  Coupled atmosphere-ocean-land-sea ice system  Finer spatial (~38km) and temporal (hourly and daily) resolution 700 600 y = 0.568x + 21.37 R² = 0.876 500 400 300 STN 200 100 0 CFSR -100 100 300 500 700 Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 9. TopoSWAT toolbox for ArcSWAT Key features: Creates a pedotransfer function from a topographic index and elevation increment Performance SWAT TopoSWAT Criteria aR2 0.69 0.79 bNSE 0.65 0.77 (Under review Env. Sys. Software) Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 10. Why Innovation Platforms? Or... Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 11. Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 12. Community engagement Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 13. Issues Site Main Issue Related Issues Unrestricted Land Fogera grazing degradation Land Termite Diga degradation infestation * Jeldu Soil erosion Deforestation Fodder interventions have been selected by stakeholders in all three sites to address these issues * Interventions in Diga linked to CPWF Termite Action Research Project Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 14. Demand Driven Action Research- Innovation Fund • 5000 USD allocated to platforms to fund activities which address RWM issues • Proposals and action plans developed by stakeholders according to defined criteria • Actions are cross-sectoral, participatory, designed to address RWM issues and targeted to suitable area • Sites have been selected in areas within the designated NBDC watersheds • Action at household level, farmland and communal land Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 15. Learning so far Research outputs Inform policy Information on: •Suggestions for alternatives to current • Livelihood strategies and constraints practices • Factors influencing adoption/lack of adoption • Piloted processes that can be tested and • Social, economic and political drivers of replicated for use in planning and landscape change implementation • Development of research/implementation •Concrete outcomes that can be fed to processes national level platform • Experiences, lessons, best practice Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 16. Acknowledgement • Alan Duncan- ILRI • Beth Cullen- ILRI • Birhanu Zemadim Congratulations: • Charlotte MacAlister Mastewal and Wolde • Josie Tucker- ODI Baby boy- Nathan • Katherine Snyder • Kindie Getnet • Lisa-Maria Rebelo • Matthew McCartney • Mulugeta Lemenih • Solomon Seyoum • Teklu Erkossa Water for a food-secure world www.iwmi.org
  • 17. Future activities • Link SWAT model to household economic model (with IFPRI) • ODI work on political economy and equity analysis of RWM interventions • Qualitative work on adoption to scale out across basin survey work • Continued work on scenario development in collaboration (Wat-a- game and Happy Strategies) • Cross-basin collaboration and learning (Volta, Limpopo) • Hand over facilitation to partners for long term sustainability (partnership agreements currently being drafted) • Formation of stronger links to national platform activities Water for a food-secure world 17 www.iwmi.org 17