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P1
PICKING STOCKS IN THE MARKET
24

The analysis of securities

Made by: Imran Almaleh
INTRODUCTION


About the course



WHY INVEST?

Why the stock market?
 The stock market & The economy
 HOW CAN WE USE IT?

PART 1
agenda:

24

The 2 types of TRADERS
 The fundamental analysis
 The technical analysis
 The trading cycle
 The Market moves
 Trading psychology
 Basics of Analysis:








The Time-frame
The 3 green lights
Volume
Support & Resistance
Trend-lines
THE TYPES OF TRADERS


The sleeping man
Not a risk taker
 Stocks are not his primary concern




The active trader
Always alerted
 Deep analyzer
 Risk taker

THE SLEEPING MAN

SELL

80 SP
profit

BUY
175sp overall profit

THE ACTIVE TRADER

SELL

SELL

110 sp
PROFIT
65 sp
PROFIT

BUY

BUY
THE IMPORTANCE OF FUNDAMENTALS
Get to know YOUR company
 Filtering stocks using fundamentals


ROA
 ROE
 E/P – D/P ratios
 Market value : Book value




Review report



Why not to use it in DSE?



Market efficiency
Market depth
ARBS

UG

AHT

NAMA

UIC

AROP

SPS
E/P
D/P
ROA
ROE
P/E ratio
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Supply & Demand
 The main concepts:




The Trend






Bull market
Side-way market
Bear market

The trading cycle
PRICE MOVES IN TRENDS!
THE TRADING CYCLE
Strong, Smart, and Dumb MONEY
 The marketing Model

THE MARKET MOVES


All Actions have Reactions



3 types of movements:
Main move

1.



Correction

2.



3.

Uptrend
Downtrend

33% of last move
66% of last move

Small moves
THE PSYCHOLOGY OF TRADING
Selling the Win fast
 Holding the Lose


GREAD AND FEAR
 Fear is stronger than Greed




THE EMOTIONAL CYCLE OF THE MARKET
THE EMOTIONS CYCLE
FEER
GREED

PANIC

HOPE

HOPE
THE BASICS OF ANALYSIS
The time frame
 The 3 Green lights to start
 The importance of VOLUME
 The support & resistance
 Trend lines

TIME FRAME


Short-term Trading
(Daily Trading)
 Between 5 minutes – 1 day




Mid-term Trading




Between 1 Week – 2 Months

Long-term Trading
(Investment)
 Between 6 Months – 2 Years or more

3 GREEN LIGHTS
The stock market index
 The industry index
 The stock index

TRADING VOLUME
Why observe it?
 Selling pressure
 Divergence

SUPPORT & RESISTANCE
Concept
 Drawing the lines
 Converting the Support to Resistance & v.v.
 The strength of a Line

THE TREND LINE
Upward trend
 Downward trend
 Time frame & the trend lines
 How to draw a trend-line?
 Trend break-out


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Basics of Technical Analysis - Picking stocks in the market Part 1

Notas del editor

  1. Why invest:التضخمHow can we use it:الربح عن طريق المتاجرة والربح عن طريق التوزيعات
  2. العائد على حقوق الملكيةالعائد على الموجوداتDPS or EPS E/Pالقيمة السوقية:القيمة الدفترية
  3. من المبادئ الأساسية للتحليل الفني:- الأسعار تتحرك في اتجاهات- الأسعار تتحرك في دورات (cycles)