Driving Dramatic Change in Solar Energy Through Cost Reductions and Political Will
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Moving Solar from the niche to the mainsteam to combat rising natural gas costs
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Driving Dramatic Change in Solar Energy Through Cost Reductions and Political Will
- 1. Creating Dramatic Change while Supporting Local Jobs/Economies and America’s Dominance in Solar Energy Jigar Shah President and CEO SunEdison
- 11. Why worry about Natural Gas? Electricity Share of Total Natural Gas Usage Natural Gas Prices 1995-2015 Source: GRI Baseline Center - 2000 Edition of the GRI Baseline Projection Source: US Department of Energy – Energy Information Administration, International Energy Outlook , Annual Energy Outlook 2002
- 12. Why worry about Natural Gas? Natural Gas Prices have risen sharply in last 6 months
- 17. Accelerating Change Natural Gas US Generating Capacity Source: EIA Solar PV US Generating Capacity Source: BP Solar analysis
- 18. Accelerating Change Solar PV US Generating Capacity Source: BP Solar analysis Natural Gas US Generating Capacity Source: BP Solar analysis Natural Gas Plant Consumption goes down as price effects from Natural Gas usage kicks in Solar is integrated within Fortune 500, Gov’t Buildings – federal, state, municipal
- 19. Cost Effective Markets Germany and Japan are already installing at 2007 prices due to learning curve leadership on labor and electronics costs 2005 2008 2012 2020
- 20. Cost Effective Markets There are over 50,000 GWhs being sold at prices in excess of 15 cents per kWh – a price at which solar will be able to compete cost effectively without subsidies in the next five years.
- 23. Solar PV Pathway to 2015 Goal * All advances have already been discovered to achieve above benefits, implementation and optimization through scale is required Cents per Retail kWh Total ownership cost Balance of System (BOS) Reliability 2015 goal O&M Solar Panels Balance of System/ Installation Labor Avg. Retail Electricity Price Cell Efficiency 14% to 17% Mfg. Yield 85% 95% Mfg. Scale (MWs) 30 200 Silicon Material 20% Installation Efficiency Scale/Speed Solar System Cost Reduction Impacts O&M Solar Panels BOS/ Install BOS/ Install
- 24. Solar Subsidy Justification Reduced deaths from particulate pollution and asthma related heath care costs Health Care – secondary using current cap & trade values Reliability, Loss Savings, Substation, Transmission, Peak Load Availability Electric Grid Reliability Benefits – secondary using current cap & trade values NO x , SO x , Mercury, and CO 2 Emissions – secondary using current cap & trade values Includes mfg, engineering, design, installation, and overhead jobs. Employment/Fees – income tax, sales tax, local fees Sources of Benefits from Solar Power Installations
- 25. Japanese Solar Program Historical Solar Subsidy and Benefits 10 year program – Breakeven 2003/4 (Billions Yen)
- 26. Proposed US Program Net Subsidy Required for Adoption in US 10 year program – Breakeven in 2014 (Billions $)
- 36. Leveling Electricity Load Typical Electricity Load Profile Hours GW Peak loads, reduce load factor and are expensive to build around, peak PV power could shave the most expensive 2 % of peak demand in less than 10 years – reducing electricity costs by over 5% US Profile
- 47. Putting it into Perspective