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© 2015 Ipsos.
THEN
NOW
NEXT
SCOTLAND
#IpsosScot20
© 2015 Ipsos.
SCOTLAND
THEN &
NOW
Ben Page
Chief Executive
Ipsos MORI
© 2015 Ipsos.
In 1995
Three SNP MPs
in Parliament
Ipsos MORI
Scotland founded
Skye Bridge
opened
Braveheart
released.
Unchained Melody
by Robson &
Jerome biggest
selling single
© 2015 Ipsos.
In 2015
SNP landslide:
55 Mps out of 59
UNESCO gives
World Heritage
status to the
Forth Bridge
Ipsos MORI
Scotland turns 20
Star Wars: The Force
Awakens released.
Uptown Funk by
Mark Ronson
biggest selling single
(so far)
© 2015 Ipsos.
What worries us – then and now…
What would you say is the most
important issue facing Britain today?
1996 1996 & 2015 2015
Unemployment/
Lack of industry
Crime
& Law
EU/
Europe
Education/
Schools
Immigration
Poverty/
Inequality
NHS/
Hospitals
Defence/
International
terrorism
Economy
Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
A few more people
5,103,690
1995
5,347,600
2014
Source: National Records of Scotland (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
A bit older
55%
30%
15%
48%
34%
18%
% under 40 % 40 to 64 % over 65
1995 2014
Source: National Records of Scotland (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
A bit less white
2001 2011
Percentage of population with ‘White Scottish’ ethnicity
Source: Scottish Census (2011)
88% 84%
© 2015 Ipsos.
Religion dying out?
27.8%
42.4%
15.9%
6.9%
0.8%
0.7%
36.7%
32.4%
15.9%
5.5%
1.4%
1.1%
No religion
Church of Scotland
Roman Catholic
Other Christian
Muslim
Other religion
2001 2011
Source: Scottish Census (2011)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Lots more single parents
11%
2001
19%
2011
Source: Scottish Census (2011)
© 2015 Ipsos.
GDP is up…
1998 2014
GDP per capita
84.2
103.8
Source: Scottish Government National Statistics (2014)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Average house price in Scotland
1995 2015
100
£ 165,903
Source: Registers of Scotland (2015)
300
© 2015 Ipsos.
Concern about housing is up
39%
1999
Buying a property with
a mortgage
30%
2014
5%
1999
Private rent
14%
2014
Source: Scottish Household Survey (2014)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Average earnings
£ 27,045
1999 2014
£ 16,914
Median gross annual earnings
Source: ONS (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
How are you and your household
managing financially these days?
Quite well / very well
44%
1999
52%
2015
Source: Scottish Household Survey (2014)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Poverty down?
Approximate number of individuals living in households with
below 60% of median income
1,000,000
1995
800,000
2015
Source: ONS (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
But persistent in-work poverty
1998 / 1999 2013 / 2014
Working age adults living in poverty, living in a household with
at least one adult in employment
47% 50%
Source: ONS (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Happiness unchanged…
All things considered, how satisfied are
you with your life as a whole nowadays?
8.06 8.04 8 7.95 8.05
2007 2009 2010 2011 2013
On a scale of 1 to 10
(1 = extremely dissatisfied
10 = extremely satisfied)
Source: Scottish Social Attitudes survey (2014)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Landline phone
Mobile phone
Home
computer
Dishwasher
35%
87%
86%
32%
75%
20%
38%
We have a lot more stuff…
1999 2013
93%
Ownership of consumer durables
Source: ONS (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Which changes faster and faster
2010 2015
Any mobile phone
Smartphone
96%
69%
81%
16%
Source: Ipsos MORI Tech Tracker (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Households with internet access
2003 2014
42%
80%
Source: Scottish Household Survey (2014)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Living longer
1995 2015
Women
Men 72
78
77
81
Source: National Records of Scotland (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Fewer fried Mars bars?
2004 2013
13,292
10,112
Source: National Statistics (2014)
No. of deaths from heart disease
© 2015 Ipsos.
£ 3,951
£ 2,276
Selling more whisky to foreigners
1995 2014
Global export of Scotch
Whisky (£ million)
Source: Scotch Whisky Association (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Less drinking in Scotland
1995
20
6
14
7
2014
Average weekly alcohol
consumption in units
Women
Men
Source: Scottish Health Survey (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Fewer cigarettes
1995 2014
35% 22%
5% e-cigarette
Source: Scottish Health Survey (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Young no longer revolting
Ever smoked, drunk alcohol, taken drugs: 1996 - 2013
1996 2013
Ever
drunk alcohol
Ever
smoked
Ever
taken drugs
64.5%
49.5%
52.2%
22.5%
21.3%
11.4%
Source: SALSUS (2014)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Better behaved
Total convictions per 10,000
population of under 18 year olds
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1996 2013
Source: Scottish Government (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Less dangerous
1995 2014 - 2015
150
59
Number of homicide victims in
Scotland
Source: Scottish Government (2015)
© 2015 Ipsos.
Confidence in the police
to prevent crime
2008 - 2009 2012 - 2013
46% 48% 50% 56%
2009 - 2010 2010 - 2011
Source: Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (2013)
© 2015 Ipsos.
65% 72%
1996 2012 - 13
Safer neighbourhoods
% feeling safer in their neighbourhood after dark
Source: Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (2013)
© 2015 Ipsos.
In conclusion…
• More confident
• Safer
• Healthier
• Wealthier
• Optimistic about the future
• Here’s to the next 20 years!
Thank you
ben.page@ipsos.com
benatipsosmori

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Ipsos MORI Scotland at 20: Ben Page

  • 2. © 2015 Ipsos. SCOTLAND THEN & NOW Ben Page Chief Executive Ipsos MORI
  • 3. © 2015 Ipsos. In 1995 Three SNP MPs in Parliament Ipsos MORI Scotland founded Skye Bridge opened Braveheart released. Unchained Melody by Robson & Jerome biggest selling single
  • 4. © 2015 Ipsos. In 2015 SNP landslide: 55 Mps out of 59 UNESCO gives World Heritage status to the Forth Bridge Ipsos MORI Scotland turns 20 Star Wars: The Force Awakens released. Uptown Funk by Mark Ronson biggest selling single (so far)
  • 5. © 2015 Ipsos. What worries us – then and now… What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? 1996 1996 & 2015 2015 Unemployment/ Lack of industry Crime & Law EU/ Europe Education/ Schools Immigration Poverty/ Inequality NHS/ Hospitals Defence/ International terrorism Economy Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index (2015)
  • 6. © 2015 Ipsos. A few more people 5,103,690 1995 5,347,600 2014 Source: National Records of Scotland (2015)
  • 7. © 2015 Ipsos. A bit older 55% 30% 15% 48% 34% 18% % under 40 % 40 to 64 % over 65 1995 2014 Source: National Records of Scotland (2015)
  • 8. © 2015 Ipsos. A bit less white 2001 2011 Percentage of population with ‘White Scottish’ ethnicity Source: Scottish Census (2011) 88% 84%
  • 9. © 2015 Ipsos. Religion dying out? 27.8% 42.4% 15.9% 6.9% 0.8% 0.7% 36.7% 32.4% 15.9% 5.5% 1.4% 1.1% No religion Church of Scotland Roman Catholic Other Christian Muslim Other religion 2001 2011 Source: Scottish Census (2011)
  • 10. © 2015 Ipsos. Lots more single parents 11% 2001 19% 2011 Source: Scottish Census (2011)
  • 11. © 2015 Ipsos. GDP is up… 1998 2014 GDP per capita 84.2 103.8 Source: Scottish Government National Statistics (2014)
  • 12. © 2015 Ipsos. Average house price in Scotland 1995 2015 100 £ 165,903 Source: Registers of Scotland (2015) 300
  • 13. © 2015 Ipsos. Concern about housing is up 39% 1999 Buying a property with a mortgage 30% 2014 5% 1999 Private rent 14% 2014 Source: Scottish Household Survey (2014)
  • 14. © 2015 Ipsos. Average earnings £ 27,045 1999 2014 £ 16,914 Median gross annual earnings Source: ONS (2015)
  • 15. © 2015 Ipsos. How are you and your household managing financially these days? Quite well / very well 44% 1999 52% 2015 Source: Scottish Household Survey (2014)
  • 16. © 2015 Ipsos. Poverty down? Approximate number of individuals living in households with below 60% of median income 1,000,000 1995 800,000 2015 Source: ONS (2015)
  • 17. © 2015 Ipsos. But persistent in-work poverty 1998 / 1999 2013 / 2014 Working age adults living in poverty, living in a household with at least one adult in employment 47% 50% Source: ONS (2015)
  • 18. © 2015 Ipsos. Happiness unchanged… All things considered, how satisfied are you with your life as a whole nowadays? 8.06 8.04 8 7.95 8.05 2007 2009 2010 2011 2013 On a scale of 1 to 10 (1 = extremely dissatisfied 10 = extremely satisfied) Source: Scottish Social Attitudes survey (2014)
  • 19. © 2015 Ipsos. Landline phone Mobile phone Home computer Dishwasher 35% 87% 86% 32% 75% 20% 38% We have a lot more stuff… 1999 2013 93% Ownership of consumer durables Source: ONS (2015)
  • 20. © 2015 Ipsos. Which changes faster and faster 2010 2015 Any mobile phone Smartphone 96% 69% 81% 16% Source: Ipsos MORI Tech Tracker (2015)
  • 21. © 2015 Ipsos. Households with internet access 2003 2014 42% 80% Source: Scottish Household Survey (2014)
  • 22. © 2015 Ipsos. Living longer 1995 2015 Women Men 72 78 77 81 Source: National Records of Scotland (2015)
  • 23. © 2015 Ipsos. Fewer fried Mars bars? 2004 2013 13,292 10,112 Source: National Statistics (2014) No. of deaths from heart disease
  • 24. © 2015 Ipsos. £ 3,951 £ 2,276 Selling more whisky to foreigners 1995 2014 Global export of Scotch Whisky (£ million) Source: Scotch Whisky Association (2015)
  • 25. © 2015 Ipsos. Less drinking in Scotland 1995 20 6 14 7 2014 Average weekly alcohol consumption in units Women Men Source: Scottish Health Survey (2015)
  • 26. © 2015 Ipsos. Fewer cigarettes 1995 2014 35% 22% 5% e-cigarette Source: Scottish Health Survey (2015)
  • 27. © 2015 Ipsos. Young no longer revolting Ever smoked, drunk alcohol, taken drugs: 1996 - 2013 1996 2013 Ever drunk alcohol Ever smoked Ever taken drugs 64.5% 49.5% 52.2% 22.5% 21.3% 11.4% Source: SALSUS (2014)
  • 28. © 2015 Ipsos. Better behaved Total convictions per 10,000 population of under 18 year olds 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 1996 2013 Source: Scottish Government (2015)
  • 29. © 2015 Ipsos. Less dangerous 1995 2014 - 2015 150 59 Number of homicide victims in Scotland Source: Scottish Government (2015)
  • 30. © 2015 Ipsos. Confidence in the police to prevent crime 2008 - 2009 2012 - 2013 46% 48% 50% 56% 2009 - 2010 2010 - 2011 Source: Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (2013)
  • 31. © 2015 Ipsos. 65% 72% 1996 2012 - 13 Safer neighbourhoods % feeling safer in their neighbourhood after dark Source: Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (2013)
  • 32. © 2015 Ipsos. In conclusion… • More confident • Safer • Healthier • Wealthier • Optimistic about the future • Here’s to the next 20 years!