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Does The
     PTC
Make Sense?
 (Professional Version)
 Alliance For Wise Energy Decisions
               8/21/12
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Does The Production Tax Credit (PTC) Make Sense?
This “Professional Version” is intended for Congressional Staffers and energy experts. We also have an abbreviated “Executive Version”.

The wind energy Production Tax Credit (PTC) has now been in existence for some twenty (20) years.

The Energy Policy Act of 1992 originally enacted the Production Tax Credit and the first lapse came in June 1999. The PTC was extended in
December 1999 until December 31, 2001. Once again the PTC expired in December 2001 and was not enacted again until March 2002 where
it was then extended for another two years. At the end of 2003 the PTC expired for a third time until a one year extension was granted in
October 2004. The PTC was extended through 2005 and also expanded the different types of renewable energies that would be included
under the bill. The Energy Policy Act of 2005 (H.R. 6) modified the credit and extended it through the end of 2007. In December 2006, the
PTC was extended for another year by the Tax Relief and Health Care Act of 2006 (H.R. 6111). The PTC was extended yet again by the
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (H.R. 1). The Wind PTC was extended an additional two years, expiring the end of 2012.

Every time the plea is that just a few more years will be necessary to get wind energy on its feet…

Our underlying message is that our energy decisions should be made on the basis of sound SCIENCE — not on what lobbyists say.

Hopefully you have already been to the “WindPowerFacts.Info” website, which has a collection of good reports on wind energy.

The future of this issue lies in whether or not citizens are properly educated about basic energy matters. After getting more up-to-speed,
they need to do some Critical Thinking about this matter.

After citizens get more informed — and do some Critical Thinking — they will be in a much better position to express their more informed
wishes to their federal representatives.

Anyone trying to educate their local citizenry and representatives, is welcome to use the material found here. If you have any questions
after you go through this, we will be glad to respond to any emails you send to the PTCFacts.Info website.

References and credits are on the three slides at the end. The disclaimer, etc. are on the last slide. If you like what you see, please pass it
on to other open-minded people, plus your federal representatives.

                      — ENJOY!

    Alliance for Wise Energy Decisions
— Outline of this Presentation —
1   -   Rationale for the PTC by its Advocates
2   -   Are Job Claims Accurate?
3   -   The Cost Per Job?
4   -   The NET Jobs picture.
5   -   Even More About Jobs.
6   -   The NET Economics picture?
7   -   What do Utility Companies Say?
8   -   Some Other Supporter Claims.
         — CONCLUSIONS —
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?



            Part 1:
Benefits Claimed by Lobbyists
The Claimed Benefits
 for wind energy subsidies
  have radically evolved
over the last twenty years.
20 Specious Claims:
 How the supposed
     Benefits of
    Wind Energy
 have continued to
 evolve, as they are
 proven to be false.
For a Scientific Assessment
of Wind Energy Realities, see:
   EnergyPresentation.Info
The Wind Lobbyists’ Current Major Excuse
       for the PTC to be extended
          are purported JOBs.
How do lobbyists
    take advantage
  of good legislators?
1 - By telling them what they
    want to hear, and
2 - by counting on the fact
    that few will take the time
    to really check things out!
They also
know that
  there is
no penalty
for making
unscientific
  claims.
First we’re told that the planet
is facing imminent catastrophe
— then a lobbyist comes to our
legislators with a solution!
The spiel is that they can do
something consequential to help
prevent this global disaster —
and the legislator will gain some
political points in the process.



   What a Deal!
It’s Lobbyists vs Science
    —and Science is Losing
   The main concern here is that our energy &
environmental policies are not based on science.
    Instead these policies are being dictated by
lobbyists (salespeople) who are representing those
   with financial interests, or political agendas.
Some Carl Sagan Science Quotes To Ponder —
1 - Skeptical scrutiny is the means by which deep thoughts can be separated
    from deep nonsense.

2 - We live in a society exquisitely dependent on science and technology,
    in which hardly anyone knows anything about science and technology.

3 - I am often amazed at how much more capability and enthusiasm for science
    there is among elementary school youngsters than among college students.

4 - We have arranged things so that almost no one understands science and
    technology. This is a prescription for disaster. We might get away with it for
    awhile, but sooner or later this combustible mixture of ignorance and
    power is going to blow up in our faces.
In short, our position is that —

 1) we do have environmental and energy issues, and
 2) these matters should be solved scientifically.
The Soundbite:
Wind Energy = High Cost, Low Benefits
      See EnergyPresentation.Info for some specifics.
Part 1:
Benefits Claimed by Lobbyists?
             — THE TAKEAWAY —
      Since there are no scientifically proven
         net Technical, or net Economic,
or net Environmental benefits for wind energy —
the lobbyists are hanging their hat on JOB claims.
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?



           Part 2:
  Are Job Claims Accurate?
Independent Studies
    Have Concluded:
Wind Job Claims are Exaggerated
Fact:
Almost all US Wind Job Claims
come from One Source: AWEA
 (Wind Industry Lobbyists).
Fact:
Industry Lobbyists have one
  (and only one) Objective:
  To Hype their Industry.
Fact:
Technical Data (e.g. job counts)
  from such a Biased Source
  is NOT Very Dependable.
The Lobbyist Marketing Pitch




  The PTC is needed to “...save 37,000 jobs...”
A Sample Federal Jobs Report




    “The stats were generated by AWEA”
A Sample Independent Study




  “Green jobs studies make estimates using poor
economic models, based on dubious assumptions”
A Sample Independent Study
A Sample Independent Study




“‘Green jobs’ include: college professors teaching any environmental class,
          clerks at bicycle repair shops, antique dealer employees,
   Salvation Army workers, stores selling rare books and manuscripts,
         consignment shop workers, used record shop employees,
             garbage disposal workers, and even oil lobbyists.”
A Sample Independent Study
A Sample Independent Study
Do Real World Facts Correlate with AWEA Claims?
Part 2:
Are Job Claims Accurate?
          — THE TAKEAWAY —
 Job claims from wind industry lobbyists
         have very little credibility.
Independent assessments have concluded
     that they are wildly exaggerated.
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?



            Part 3:
         Cost Per Job?
Every Independent Study
    Has Concluded
    the Same Thing:
The Cost Per Job is OUTRAGEOUS!
A Sample Independent Analysis




             “$135,000 to $270,000 per wind job”
The Congressional Figures




      $12.2 Billion / 37,000 jobs
       = $330,000 per wind job
A Sample Independent Study



                   $578,000
                  per green job
A Sample Independent Study



                  $1,600,000
                  per wind job
A Sample Independent Study



                  $9,800,000
                  per wind job
A Sample Independent Study



                 $34,000,000
                  per wind job
Part 3:
        Cost Per Wind Job?

             — THE TAKEAWAY —
          No matter how it is calculated,
the cost per wind job is extraordinarily excessive.
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?



           Part 4:
    What are the Net Jobs?
Almost All
  Independent Studies
    Have Concluded
    the Same Thing:
Wind Energy is a NET Jobs Loser
Indisputable Jobs Fact
             No Jobs claim has any merit
   unless it accurately considers the NET impact.
 In their claims, there is zero evidence that AWEA
has burdened themselves with this obligation, e.g.:
Offshore Independent Study #1
Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #1:




                                       $1,080,000,000




Conclusion: 5000± jobs LOST in one year alone
       (due to a single offshore wind project).
Offshore Independent Study #2
Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #2:


                                       Conclusion:
                                       Net is 30,000 ±


                                        jobs years
                                          LOST
                                       (again due to a
                                       single offshore
                                        wind project).
Offshore Independent Study #3
Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #3:




Conclusion: Net 4000± jobs lost in one year alone
       (due to a single offshore wind project).
OK, Offshore Wind Clearly Results
        in Net Job Losses.

   What about Onshore Wind?
SAME THING!
      Let’s Look at a Somewhat Typical
        Onshore Wind Development:
      the 80 MW Pantego Wind Project,
Proposed for Beaufort County, North Carolina...
Many wind projects are located on leased farmland.
        One likely consequence is that some of the farmers
      who have leases, will scale back their operation, or stop
       farming entirely. This photo is one of many examples
          where this appears to be exactly what happened.

We will assume a low 10% of local leasing farmers will cut back on their operations.
Here are the latest Beaufort County Tourism Jobs data...
There are all sorts of claims made about tourism impacts of wind development —
including the fantasy that people will specifically come to see industrial machines.
Would that be a claim if there was a new nuclear power plant built here? I think not.
Anyway, the Scottish government funded the most comprehensive study ever done
                   on the effects of wind development on tourism...
BTW the Scottish Government is a promoter of wind energy, so they had a vested
               interest here. In any case the researchers concluded that
(even after taking into account new visitors to wind projects) that (not surprisingly)
                  there would be a net decrease (“fall”) in tourism.




                      We’ll use the mid-number of 4% as the average.
Beaufort County Annual Job Impact
            Due To the Proposed Pantego Wind Project




Important: Unlike in the Offshore Wind examples, this community did not
  have the money to fund a more comprehensive economics assessment.
As a result we do not have the figures for additional jobs lost due to higher
  rates of wind electricity, or to the cost of businesses funding the PTC.
When the big picture is objectively examined,
   a rather typical Onshore Wind Project

   will be an annual NET JOBS LOSER!
Independent Green Jobs Study #1
Independent Green Jobs Study #2
Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #2:
Independent Green Jobs Study #3
Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #3:
Independent Green Jobs Study #4
Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #4:
Independent Green Jobs Study #5
Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #5:
Part 4:
                  Net Jobs

            — THE TAKEAWAY —
              In the typical case,
wind development & subsidy is a NET JOBS LOSER.
    Remember: “NET” is a critical job indicator.
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?



           Part 5:
    Even More About Jobs
The fact is
  That there is a lot more
     to the job claims,
than is immediately obvious.
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
There is nothing — no program, no hobby, no vice, no crime —
    that does not create jobs. For example, tsunamis,
 computer viruses and robbing convenience store clerks
                      all create jobs.
             So since that claim applies to all
            it is an argument in favor of none!
     Instead of providing evidence of the merits of an
                  enterprise, a jobs claim is
     a de facto admission that one has a specious case.
                                     — energy attorney Chris Horner
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
The US has lost most of its jobs to other countries primarily
                   due to economics:
                     low cost labor.
  US businesses have one major economic benefit left to
                 counter more job loss:
                  low cost electricity.
        Why would we voluntarily give this up
  by reverting to more expensive electricity sources???
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs




                         David Brooks
                        of the NY Times
                         gets this right:
                        green wind jobs
                       aren’t the answer.
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs



                           A top government
                             official makes
                        a very blunt statement.
                              Tax credits
                        don’t create wind jobs.
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
  If Congress is determined to spend the $12.2 Billion
     that just a one year PTC extension would cost,
                 an important question is:
What would be the job (and other) benefits of spending
    that same amount on another energy source?
         According to the Congressional Budget Office
   if the same $12.2 Billion were given to the gas industry,
        over 9 times as many jobs would be created.
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs


       The United States can be a Leader in:

1) Eighteenth century ideas like horse transportation and wind energy
   (buggy-whip manufacturing, blacksmith, and windmill jobs)
                          OR
2) State-of-the art, Scientifically Sound energy solutions
   (like geothermal energy or Small Modular Reactors)
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs




Should we have a tax credit to employ several thousand blacksmiths?
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs




Should we have a tax credit to employ thousands making buggy whips?
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs



                      Less Expensive Energy
                         is a Proven Way
                        to create net jobs.
                      Subsidizing expensive energy is
                       a counterproductive strategy
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs




Inexpensive Energy is Proven to create net jobs.
  Subsidizing expensive energy is a counterproductive strategy
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs

When Wind Lobbyists were arguing in 2011
          to extend the 1603 credit,
 they were counting most of the same jobs
  that they’re now attributing to the PTC.
How can each subsidy be responsible
       for the same jobs???
Part 5:
    Even More About Jobs

            — THE TAKEAWAY —
  The jobs argument is a public relations ploy
         to distract us from the reality
that wind energy is a very poor energy option.
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?



           Part 6:
    Net Economic Impact?
Almost All
     Independent Studies
       Have Concluded
       the Same Thing:
Wind Energy is a NET Economics Loser
Offshore Independent Study #1
Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1:




                                        $1,080,000,000




Conclusion: over $1 Billion lost in one year alone!
Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1:




 Conclusion: More $ Hundreds of Millions lost!
Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1:




                                            In one county,
                                           property owners
                                              will LOSE
                                          $640,000,000±
                                          in real estate value!
Offshore Independent Study #2
Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #2:




       Conclusion: Net is $900± Million lost!
Offshore Independent Study #3




Conclusion: There are no NET economic benefits!
Offshore Independent Study #4

        According to Beacon Hill Institute,
 Cape Wind’s industrial wind plant would result in:
OK, Offshore Wind Also Results
   in Net Economic Losses.

 What about Onshore Wind?
SAME THING!
      Let’s Look at a Somewhat Typical
        Onshore Wind Development:
      the 80 MW Pantego Wind Project,
Proposed for Beaufort County, North Carolina...
Here are the latest Beaufort County Tourism Income data...
Here is a government study by four independent PhDs, all acknowledged bat experts.
After years of studying bats, they know that bats are not only major crop pollinators
but also major insect eaters. One bat can eat hundreds of thousands of insects a year.
Here are their conclusions of the crop loss to this county due to killed bats:




               We’ll use their less than midrange, standard number.
Note that this $9+Million does NOT
take into account the additional human
health costs associated with things like
an increase in mosquitoes.
The county’s website acknowledges that
this is already a problem, and that
mosquitoes spread such deadly diseases
as West Nile Virus & Eastern Equine
Encephalitis.
Fewer bats will result in more
mosquitoes, and a likely higher
incidence of human health problems.
Here is a study about local weather impact from wind development...
Beaufort County Annual Economic Impact Due To Pantego




       This does NOT include additional financial losses due to:
          — The lower employment,
          — Tax reductions from nearby property devaluations,
          — Health effects from turbines,
          — Health effects from insect proliferation,
          — Higher cost of wind electricity, etc.
When the big picture is objectively examined,
      a rather typical Onshore Wind Project
can result in an annual NET ECONOMIC LOSS

       of well over $12,000,000.
And There’s More.

The next few slides will just touch on
Some ADDITIONAL Economic Costs.
Almost none of these are normally included
      when the cost of wind energy
           is being presented.
Wind energy is also a bad deal from an electricity point-of-view.


Does wind energy provide economical electricity ?
NO, not compared to conventional sources.
Look at the economics from three perspectives —
  #1: Total Costs = higher than conventional sources.
  #2: Real Ratepayer costs = higher than conventional sources.
  #3: Taxpayer Subsidies = higher than all conventional sources,
                           combined!
#1        The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 1:


       Because it has no Firm Capacity,
          Wind Energy MUST HAVE
        a fast-responding, augmenting
     source of power available 24/7/365.

      NO other conventional source of
      electricity has this requirement!
#1        The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 2:


                For a variety of
      technical and economic reasons,
      this fast-responding, augmenting
       source of power is usually gas.

     So, ALL calculations of wind’s costs
             MUST address the
            WIND + GAS Package.
#1           The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 3:
Wind energy Economics should include extra transmission lines needed.
                (They almost never include this cost.)




                                                                © john droz, jr.
#1   Even On A Wind Lobbyist Site:




 Texas would be $28 Billion better off without wind!
What’s the Correlation with
#2
             Higher Wind Energy Usage
          and Residential Electricity Rates?
     40

     35    Denmark             Bad Renewables %
                               ¢/KWH     (2007
     30
                     Germany
     25

     20                        Spain


     15
                                       US
     10                                     Canada

      5

      0
#2          As we raise the cost of electricity, remember that
     Quality of Life STRONGLY Correlates to Electricity Consumption
#3
                                                                                 $4,981 M
Annual Federal TAXPAYER Subsidies
        of Electrical Energy Sources: Totals
      2010 US Energy Information Administration Subsidy Report: July 2011
                   [Direct + Tax + R&D +Electricity Support]


                                               Note that the total 2010
                                              subsidies for wind energy
                                             exceed the totals for all the
                                             other conventional sources
                                                    COMBINED!




     $1,189 M             $2,234 M              $654 M                  $215 M    $4,981 M


       Coal               Nuclear               Nat Gas                 Hydro    Wind
#3      In ADDITION to generous Federal subsidies (like the PTC),
        many states offer financial incentives for wind power, like:

                     1. Personal Tax Incentives
                     2. Corporate Tax Incentives
                     3. Sales Tax Incentives
                     4. Property Tax Incentives
                     5. Rebates
                     6. Grants
                     7. Loans
                     8. Industry Support
                     9. Bonds, and
                    10. Production Incentives.


     On top of these financial incentives, state and local governments have established rules,
     regulations and policies (like RPS), with the purpose of encouraging or mandating the
       development and increased sale and consumption of energy from renewable sources.

                     Yet all this still isn’t enough???
E-V-E-R-Y-T-H-I-N-G
about Wind Energy economics
       is problematic!
Part 6:
            Net Economics

            — THE TAKEAWAY —
              In the typical case,
wind development is a NET ECONOMICS LOSER.
Remember: “NET” is a critical economics indicator.
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?



            Part 7:
What Do Utility Companies Say?
Utility Companies are
regulated by the government.
 As such they avoid saying anything
  that is not “politically correct”.
       Despite this constraint
 the TRUTH has a way of coming out.
Exelon owns 38 wind projects.
 Their CEO, Christopher Crane,
        recently stated:

“The (production tax credit) has
been in place since 1992, I believe,
and I think that’s enough time to
jump-start an industry, 20 years.”
President & COO of Duke’s US Electric business, says:

             “It doesn’t matter how clean it is,
             if it’s not affordable or reliable.”
A major utility executive’s
very disturbing assessment

 When National Grid’s CEO was challenged
  about integrating wind energy, he said:


 “Families would have to get
  used to only using power
    when it was available,
   rather than constantly.”
One of a series of ads from Idaho Power



“In the simplest of terms,
  special interest groups
 and wind developers are
  asking you to pay more
for a less reliable product.
 And that just isn’t right.”
One of a series of ads from Idaho Power



“Integrating the variable
capacity of wind energy
  undermines the time-
  tested, science driven
     technology plan
 required of all utilities.
And that just isn’t right.”
More real world evidence
   from utility experts,
  about the real cost of
 wind energy. They say:
onshore = 2-3 times more
offshore = 4-5 times more


Note: this does NOT include
 the extra cost of the PTC!
This is an insightful series of
articles by the CEO of Ohio’s
    North Central Electric
         Cooperative,
       Markus Bryant.
Regarding CO2 savings, these utility company reports say:
Regarding wind’s cost, these utility company reports say:
Regarding wind subsidies, these utility company reports say:
Regarding wind subsidies, these utility company reports say:
This is the most advanced Utility Company report
          on wind energy, ever published.
Regarding jobs and economics, this study says:
Part 7:
What Do Utility Companies Say?

             — THE TAKEAWAY —
      When utility companies have the courage
  to speak honestly about industrial wind energy,
                 they are against it.
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?



          Part 8:
Some Other Supporter Claims
Even though JOBS is their
main argument for the PTC,
    some other assertions
    are periodically made...
Another justification put forward for the PTC:
         “The PTC is not Another Solyndra.”


Objective perspective:
                    That is correct — it’s much worse.

   Per government figures, Solyndra cost taxpayers $0.5± Billion.
  A one year extension of the PTC will cost taxpayers $12.2 Billion.
Another justification put forward for the PTC:
       “Wind developers only get paid the PTC
          when they produce electricity.”
Objective perspective:
                         That is correct — but so what?

  Why does it make sense to make an unreliable source of electricity
                          more expensive?
Another justification put forward for the PTC:
      “Some manufacturing jobs will be lost.”
Objective perspective:
                     That is correct — but that’s life.

   Modernization is continually making certain products out-dated,
           which means jobs in those industries are lost.

     Should taxpayers be subsidizing the jobs for those producing
      B&W TVs, 8-track tapes, horse carriages, hoola-hoops, etc?
Another justification put forward for the PTC:
    “Some landowners are making big profits.”
Objective perspective:
                That is correct — but at whose expense?
Another justification put forward for the PTC:
     “We need to have a phase-out of the PTC.”


Objective perspective:
               That is correct — but that’s already done.

     All existing wind projects will continue to get paid the PTC,
 and they have a phase-out period of ten years from their start date.
Another justification put forward for the PTC:
   “The Wind industry needs to have certainty.”
Objective perspective:
                  That is correct — and it already does.
Other justifications put forward for the PTC:

“Presumably, the PTC intends to support renewable energy due to the environmental,
economic development, and energy security benefits that these sources provide...”
                                                                                      — Dr. Ryan Wiser
                                                                   Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
                                                      Senate Finance Committee Testimony March 29, 2007




     Unfortunately, not a single part of this PTC justification
          has been scientifically proven to be legitimate!
                             In fact…
   there is considerable evidence that every bit of it is FALSE.
Another justification put forward for the PTC:
 “We need more time for wind to be competitive.”

Objective perspective:
             What difference is a year going to make? None.

      What are we going to say about the jobs that will be “lost”
       at the end of next year? Will those losses be OK then?

             We need to stop whitewashing a losing idea!
Does “modernizing” this 18th century idea
       make it any less primitive?
Likewise...
Part 8:
Some Other Supporter Claims

            — THE TAKEAWAY —
      When looking at the BIG PICTURE
 these claims do NOT justify a PTC extension.
DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE?




        CONCLUSIONS
Attention Republicans:
          A PTC for 2013+ is a new TAX*
         as such it violates the ATR Pledge
* “Specialists term these synthetic government spending programs ʻtax
expenditures.ʼ Tax expenditures are really spending programs, not tax
rollbacks, because the missing tax revenues must be financed by more
taxes on somebody else. Like any other form of deficit spending … a
targeted tax break coupled with a specific revenue ʻpayforʼ means that one
group of Americans is required to pay (in the form of higher taxes) for a
subsidy to be delivered to others through the mechanism of the tax system.”
                                                              —Dr. Edward D. Kleinbard,
                                     Professor of Law at the Gould School of Law, UCLA
Attention Democrats:
    A PTC for 2013+ is a TAX BREAK,
       that will primarily be used
       by High-Income Taxpayers.

          As such it is a violation
of your party’s campaign for Tax Fairness.
Attention Legislators:
  BOTH Parties Should be in Agreement on the Fact that:

      the PTC is a heavy taxpayer subsidy
  of an eighteenth century energy technology
 that has no scientifically proven net benefits.
Attention Legislators:
       What this all translates to is that BOTH Parties
            should be in FULL Agreement that:

our Energy Policy should be based on real science.
Is an “All of the Above” Energy Policy wise?
       Only if it makes sense to include:
                    unreliable,
                  expensive, and
  environmentally destructive energy options!

We need an “All of the Sensible” Energy Policy.
Conclusions

                 — THE TAKEAWAY —
Wind Energy is a net jobs loser and a net economics loser,
        that has no scientific proof that it has any
  net technical, economic or environmental benefits.

   Why should US taxpayers pay for such a charade?
The wind PTC
 makes as much sense
   as the government
  subsidizing ranchers
    to have cows run
in the Kentucky Derby.
References (for main data, quotes, etc.) — page 1
Slide 4: PTC History (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Wind_Energy_Policy#Wind_Production_Tax_Credit_.28PTC.29)
Slide 8: Wind Industry claimed benefits (www.masterresource.org/2012/02/wind-spin/)
Slides 11 & 25 & 45: AWEA- PTC Advances in Senate (www.awea.org/blog/index.cfm?customel_dataPageID_1699=17487)
Slide 16: Carl Sagan quotes (www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/c/carl_sagan.html)
Slide 26: Congressional Wind Report (www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42023.pdf)
Slide 27: Green Jobs Myths (www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/morriss-green-jobs-myths.pdf)
Slide 28: The Dirty Secret Behind Clean Jobs (cascadepolicy.org/pdf/pub/CleanJobsReport8.22.11.pdf)
Slide 29: Exploding the Green Jobs Myth (blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/exploding_the_green_jobs_myth/)
Slide 30: Are Job Numbers Pulled From Thin Air? (www.dailyenergyreport.com/2012/07/wind-energy-jobs-are-the-numbers-pulled-from-thin-air/)
Slide 31: Puffed Up Claims from the Wind Power Lobby (www.factcheck.org/2012/02/wind-spin/)
Slide 32: Wind energy job growth isn't blowing anyone away (articles.latimes.com/2010/feb/02/business/la-fi-green-jobs2-2010feb02)
Slide 36: Why We Need to Terminate Big Wind Subsidies (tinyurl.com/7q43sdl)
Slides 37 & 136: Cost of PTC - Senate Finance Commmittee (www.finance.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/JCX.pdf)
Slide 38: Obama's Green Energy Disaster (docstalk.blogspot.com/2012/08/obamas-green-energy-disaster-578333-per.html)
Slide 39: Texas wind farm tax break program costs $1.6 million per job (tinyurl.com/23k6mzw)
Slide 40: $9 Billion in ‘Stimulus’ for Wind Projects (cnsnews.com/news/article/9-billion-stimulus-solar-wind-projects-made-910-final-jobs-98-million-job)
Slide 41: Shepherds Flat wind farm: What's the cost to taxpayers? (www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2011/03/post_19.html)
Slides 46 & 47; 88-91: Global Insight NJ Study (www.nj.gov/bpu/pdf/announcements/njoswt.pdf)
Slides 48 & 49; 92 & 93: Acadian Consulting NJ Study (www.state.nj.us/rpa/docs/FACWReport%20v14%20(PUBLIC%20VERSION).pdf)
Slides 50 & 51: Cape Wind's Cost: Facts & Figures (www.saveoursound.org/cape_wind_threats/economy/)
Slides 55 & 98: NC Tourism Info (www.nccommerce.com/tourism/research/economic-impact/teim)
Slides 56 & 57: Scottish Tourism Study (scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2008/03/07113554/0)
Slide 57: Another Good Tourism Study (www.moray.gov.uk/downloads/file68577.pdf)
Slides 60 & 72: The Myth of Green Jobs (thegwpf.org/images/stories/gwpf-reports/hughes-green_jobs.pdf)
Slides 61 & 62: Green Jobs in the US Economy (oversight.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/6-6-12-Full-Furchtgott-Roth.pdf)
Slides 63 & 64: Study of the effects on employment… (www.juandemariana.org/pdf/090327-employment-public-aid-renewable.pdf)
Slides 65 & 66: Gresham’s Law of Green Energy (www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv33n4/regv33n4-3.pdf)
Slides 67 & 68: What the Job Counts Actually Tell US (tinyurl.com/9pd5wot)
Slide 73: Horner jobs quote (www.masterresource.org/2012/06/wimp-power-windpower/)
Slide 75: Where the Jobs Aren’t (www.nytimes.com/2011/09/06/opinion/brooks-where-the-jobs-arent.html)
                                                         — continued —
References (for main data, quotes, etc.) — page 2
Slide 76: DiNapoli - Tax Breaks Don’t Create Jobs (www.knickledger.com/2012/05/dinapoli-tax-breaks-dont-create-jobs/)
Slide 77: Congressional Budget Office Jobs Report (www.manhattan-institute.org/html/ir_18.htm)
Slide 81: Affordable Energy is Essential for Jobs (canadafreepress.com/index.php/print-friendly/40069)
Slide 82: Job Growth Expected from Cheap Gas (tinyurl.com/bttgzjf)
Slide 83: Common Sense Principles: Grow the Economy (www.popaditchforcongress.com/2012-issue-grow-the-economy.html)
Slide 84: Claims for 1603 jobs (www.bluegreenalliance.org/saveamericanjobs)
Slide 94: Third NJ Offshore Study (www.njspotlight.com/stories/12/0228/1955/)
Slide 95: Beacon Hill Cape Wind Study (www.saveoursound.org/cape_wind_threats/economy/)
Slides 99 & 100: Agricultural Effects of Turbine Bat Deaths (www.fort.usgs.gov/Products/Publications/23069a/23069a.pdf)
Slide 99: Another Good Bat Study (www.francis.edu/uploadedfiles/renewable_energy/kunz.bats_and_wind.07.pdf)
Slide 101: Beaufort County Website (www.co.beaufort.nc.us/)
Slide 102: Turbine Effects on Local Meteorology (www.atmos.illinois.edu/~sbroy/publ/jweia2011.pdf)
Slide 110: Is Wind Energy The New Wedge Issue For Conservatives? (www.nawindpower.com/e107_plugins/content/content.php?content.7757)
Slide 111: From IEA supplied data
Slide 112: Electricity vs Quality of Life (CIA World Factbook 2007: www.gelib.com/cia-factbook.htm)
Slide 113: Federal Subsidies - EIA 2010 Report (www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/subsidy/)
Slide 114: State Wind Energy Subsidies, etc. (www.energypulse.net/centers/article/article_display.cfm?a_id=1837)
Slide 119: Exelon Against PTC (blog.heritage.org/2012/06/11/even-wind-executive-doesnt-want-wind-tax-credit/)
Slide 120: Duke CEO quote (www.snl.com/InteractiveX/article.aspx?CDID=A-11464937-13097&KPLT=2)
Slide 121: National Grid CEO quote (www.windturbinesyndrome.com/2011/wind-energys-brave-new-world-intermittent-power-national-grid/)
Slides 122 & 123: Idaho Power ad (www.getpluggedin.com/)
Slide 124: NC Utilities refuse wind deal (hamptonroads.com/2011/12/utilities-back-out-nc-wind-project-over-high-prices?)
Slide 125: Wind Expensive vs Fuel (www.dailyadvance.com/news/wind-expensive-versus-fuel-521695)
Slides 126-130: The Emperor’s New Clothes Column (www.ncelec.org/aboutUs/countrymag/clemperor.aspx)
Slides 131 & 132: A Rational Look At Renewable Energy (issuu.com/rational/docs/2992_rational_look_fin?mode=window&backgroundColor=#222222)
Slides 140 & 141: PTC is already phasing out, with certainty (blog.heritage.org/2012/08/01/wind-ptc-already-phasing-out-for-certain/)
Slide 142: PTC claimed benefits [Berkeley] (eetd.lbl.gov/ea/emp/reports/wiser-senate-test-4-07.pdf)
Slide 148: The Hidden Hand of Government Spending (www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv33n3/regv33n3-2.pdf)
Slide 153: Dear Big Wind - It's Not You, It's Me (www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/08/04/Dear-Big-Wind-It-s-Not-You-It-s-Me)
                                                            — continued —
Credits (for graphics & photos) —


Header for PTCFacts.Info website: photo taken by Mike Fortuna
Slide 1: Philip Epp Painting - Wild Horses (www.kgs.ku.edu/Publications/OFR/2006/OFR06_11/index.html)
Slide 12: Snake Oil Salesman (www.stochasticgeometry.ie/2009/10/27/joel-spolsky-snake-oil-salesman/)
Slide 13: Pinnochio (savevestas.wordpress.com/2009/10/25/new-vestas-campaign-postcard-take-and-distribute/ed_miliband-sw-1-2/)
Slide 14: Dr. Marvel Cartoon - John Terry creation (www.windtoons.com/)
Slide 54: Photo by John Droz, jr.
Slide 79: Blacksmith Shop (explorepahistory.com/displayimage.php?imgId=1-2-CC6)
Slide 80: Save Buggywhip Industry (www.freespeechstickers.com/Save_Buggy_Whips__and.html)
Slide 109: Transmission Towers Photo - VNF (www.vnf.com/assets/htmlimages/Electric_transmission_lines.resize.jpg)
Slide 139: Roger Maynard Cartoon [edited title] (www.floppingaces.net/wp-content/uploads/he-has-your-wallet.jpg)
Slide 155: Cow Running in Derby (www.ntra.com/track/display/details/Ng) & (www.stillbreathing.co.uk/gallery/animals-in-sport/cowracing).

Stock Photos: Slides #80, 144, 145, 148, 149, & 150-152.
Numerous slides are gratefully credited to John Droz, who allowed us to freely borrow from his several presentations.

             Note: Links are NOT clickable on slideshare presentations. Write down any urls you are interested in, or take a screenshot.

 All information is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed. If errors are noted, please send an email
  to the PTCFacts.Info website, providing the scientific evidence of same and a correction will be made.
                    For questions, comments or permission to use any material in this presentation,
                                please also send an email to the PTCFacts.Info website.

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Does The PTC Make Sense (Professional Version)?

  • 1. Does The PTC Make Sense? (Professional Version) Alliance For Wise Energy Decisions 8/21/12
  • 2. Make SURE to View This Presentation in the FULL SCREEN Mode! Click the “FULL” icon in the lower right hand corner.
  • 3. Do NOT click on the Triangle below to run this presentation! Instead, use your keyboard arrow keys to navigate. This will allow you to proceed at your own pace.
  • 4. Does The Production Tax Credit (PTC) Make Sense? This “Professional Version” is intended for Congressional Staffers and energy experts. We also have an abbreviated “Executive Version”. The wind energy Production Tax Credit (PTC) has now been in existence for some twenty (20) years. The Energy Policy Act of 1992 originally enacted the Production Tax Credit and the first lapse came in June 1999. The PTC was extended in December 1999 until December 31, 2001. Once again the PTC expired in December 2001 and was not enacted again until March 2002 where it was then extended for another two years. At the end of 2003 the PTC expired for a third time until a one year extension was granted in October 2004. The PTC was extended through 2005 and also expanded the different types of renewable energies that would be included under the bill. The Energy Policy Act of 2005 (H.R. 6) modified the credit and extended it through the end of 2007. In December 2006, the PTC was extended for another year by the Tax Relief and Health Care Act of 2006 (H.R. 6111). The PTC was extended yet again by the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (H.R. 1). The Wind PTC was extended an additional two years, expiring the end of 2012. Every time the plea is that just a few more years will be necessary to get wind energy on its feet… Our underlying message is that our energy decisions should be made on the basis of sound SCIENCE — not on what lobbyists say. Hopefully you have already been to the “WindPowerFacts.Info” website, which has a collection of good reports on wind energy. The future of this issue lies in whether or not citizens are properly educated about basic energy matters. After getting more up-to-speed, they need to do some Critical Thinking about this matter. After citizens get more informed — and do some Critical Thinking — they will be in a much better position to express their more informed wishes to their federal representatives. Anyone trying to educate their local citizenry and representatives, is welcome to use the material found here. If you have any questions after you go through this, we will be glad to respond to any emails you send to the PTCFacts.Info website. References and credits are on the three slides at the end. The disclaimer, etc. are on the last slide. If you like what you see, please pass it on to other open-minded people, plus your federal representatives. — ENJOY! Alliance for Wise Energy Decisions
  • 5. — Outline of this Presentation — 1 - Rationale for the PTC by its Advocates 2 - Are Job Claims Accurate? 3 - The Cost Per Job? 4 - The NET Jobs picture. 5 - Even More About Jobs. 6 - The NET Economics picture? 7 - What do Utility Companies Say? 8 - Some Other Supporter Claims. — CONCLUSIONS —
  • 6. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 1: Benefits Claimed by Lobbyists
  • 7. The Claimed Benefits for wind energy subsidies have radically evolved over the last twenty years.
  • 8. 20 Specious Claims: How the supposed Benefits of Wind Energy have continued to evolve, as they are proven to be false.
  • 9. For a Scientific Assessment of Wind Energy Realities, see: EnergyPresentation.Info
  • 10. The Wind Lobbyists’ Current Major Excuse for the PTC to be extended are purported JOBs.
  • 11.
  • 12. How do lobbyists take advantage of good legislators? 1 - By telling them what they want to hear, and 2 - by counting on the fact that few will take the time to really check things out!
  • 13. They also know that there is no penalty for making unscientific claims.
  • 14. First we’re told that the planet is facing imminent catastrophe — then a lobbyist comes to our legislators with a solution! The spiel is that they can do something consequential to help prevent this global disaster — and the legislator will gain some political points in the process. What a Deal!
  • 15. It’s Lobbyists vs Science —and Science is Losing The main concern here is that our energy & environmental policies are not based on science. Instead these policies are being dictated by lobbyists (salespeople) who are representing those with financial interests, or political agendas.
  • 16. Some Carl Sagan Science Quotes To Ponder — 1 - Skeptical scrutiny is the means by which deep thoughts can be separated from deep nonsense. 2 - We live in a society exquisitely dependent on science and technology, in which hardly anyone knows anything about science and technology. 3 - I am often amazed at how much more capability and enthusiasm for science there is among elementary school youngsters than among college students. 4 - We have arranged things so that almost no one understands science and technology. This is a prescription for disaster. We might get away with it for awhile, but sooner or later this combustible mixture of ignorance and power is going to blow up in our faces.
  • 17. In short, our position is that — 1) we do have environmental and energy issues, and 2) these matters should be solved scientifically.
  • 18. The Soundbite: Wind Energy = High Cost, Low Benefits See EnergyPresentation.Info for some specifics.
  • 19. Part 1: Benefits Claimed by Lobbyists? — THE TAKEAWAY — Since there are no scientifically proven net Technical, or net Economic, or net Environmental benefits for wind energy — the lobbyists are hanging their hat on JOB claims.
  • 20. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 2: Are Job Claims Accurate?
  • 21. Independent Studies Have Concluded: Wind Job Claims are Exaggerated
  • 22. Fact: Almost all US Wind Job Claims come from One Source: AWEA (Wind Industry Lobbyists).
  • 23. Fact: Industry Lobbyists have one (and only one) Objective: To Hype their Industry.
  • 24. Fact: Technical Data (e.g. job counts) from such a Biased Source is NOT Very Dependable.
  • 25. The Lobbyist Marketing Pitch The PTC is needed to “...save 37,000 jobs...”
  • 26. A Sample Federal Jobs Report “The stats were generated by AWEA”
  • 27. A Sample Independent Study “Green jobs studies make estimates using poor economic models, based on dubious assumptions”
  • 29. A Sample Independent Study “‘Green jobs’ include: college professors teaching any environmental class, clerks at bicycle repair shops, antique dealer employees, Salvation Army workers, stores selling rare books and manuscripts, consignment shop workers, used record shop employees, garbage disposal workers, and even oil lobbyists.”
  • 32. Do Real World Facts Correlate with AWEA Claims?
  • 33. Part 2: Are Job Claims Accurate? — THE TAKEAWAY — Job claims from wind industry lobbyists have very little credibility. Independent assessments have concluded that they are wildly exaggerated.
  • 34. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 3: Cost Per Job?
  • 35. Every Independent Study Has Concluded the Same Thing: The Cost Per Job is OUTRAGEOUS!
  • 36. A Sample Independent Analysis “$135,000 to $270,000 per wind job”
  • 37. The Congressional Figures $12.2 Billion / 37,000 jobs = $330,000 per wind job
  • 38. A Sample Independent Study $578,000 per green job
  • 39. A Sample Independent Study $1,600,000 per wind job
  • 40. A Sample Independent Study $9,800,000 per wind job
  • 41. A Sample Independent Study $34,000,000 per wind job
  • 42. Part 3: Cost Per Wind Job? — THE TAKEAWAY — No matter how it is calculated, the cost per wind job is extraordinarily excessive.
  • 43. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 4: What are the Net Jobs?
  • 44. Almost All Independent Studies Have Concluded the Same Thing: Wind Energy is a NET Jobs Loser
  • 45. Indisputable Jobs Fact No Jobs claim has any merit unless it accurately considers the NET impact. In their claims, there is zero evidence that AWEA has burdened themselves with this obligation, e.g.:
  • 47. Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #1: $1,080,000,000 Conclusion: 5000± jobs LOST in one year alone (due to a single offshore wind project).
  • 49. Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #2: Conclusion: Net is 30,000 ± jobs years LOST (again due to a single offshore wind project).
  • 51. Offshore Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #3: Conclusion: Net 4000± jobs lost in one year alone (due to a single offshore wind project).
  • 52. OK, Offshore Wind Clearly Results in Net Job Losses. What about Onshore Wind?
  • 53. SAME THING! Let’s Look at a Somewhat Typical Onshore Wind Development: the 80 MW Pantego Wind Project, Proposed for Beaufort County, North Carolina...
  • 54. Many wind projects are located on leased farmland. One likely consequence is that some of the farmers who have leases, will scale back their operation, or stop farming entirely. This photo is one of many examples where this appears to be exactly what happened. We will assume a low 10% of local leasing farmers will cut back on their operations.
  • 55. Here are the latest Beaufort County Tourism Jobs data...
  • 56. There are all sorts of claims made about tourism impacts of wind development — including the fantasy that people will specifically come to see industrial machines. Would that be a claim if there was a new nuclear power plant built here? I think not. Anyway, the Scottish government funded the most comprehensive study ever done on the effects of wind development on tourism...
  • 57. BTW the Scottish Government is a promoter of wind energy, so they had a vested interest here. In any case the researchers concluded that (even after taking into account new visitors to wind projects) that (not surprisingly) there would be a net decrease (“fall”) in tourism. We’ll use the mid-number of 4% as the average.
  • 58. Beaufort County Annual Job Impact Due To the Proposed Pantego Wind Project Important: Unlike in the Offshore Wind examples, this community did not have the money to fund a more comprehensive economics assessment. As a result we do not have the figures for additional jobs lost due to higher rates of wind electricity, or to the cost of businesses funding the PTC.
  • 59. When the big picture is objectively examined, a rather typical Onshore Wind Project will be an annual NET JOBS LOSER!
  • 62. Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #2:
  • 64. Jobs Conclusions of Independent Experts #3:
  • 66. Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #4:
  • 68. Jobs Conclusions of Independent Expert #5:
  • 69. Part 4: Net Jobs — THE TAKEAWAY — In the typical case, wind development & subsidy is a NET JOBS LOSER. Remember: “NET” is a critical job indicator.
  • 70. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 5: Even More About Jobs
  • 71. The fact is That there is a lot more to the job claims, than is immediately obvious.
  • 72. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
  • 73. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs There is nothing — no program, no hobby, no vice, no crime — that does not create jobs. For example, tsunamis, computer viruses and robbing convenience store clerks all create jobs. So since that claim applies to all it is an argument in favor of none! Instead of providing evidence of the merits of an enterprise, a jobs claim is a de facto admission that one has a specious case. — energy attorney Chris Horner
  • 74. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs The US has lost most of its jobs to other countries primarily due to economics: low cost labor. US businesses have one major economic benefit left to counter more job loss: low cost electricity. Why would we voluntarily give this up by reverting to more expensive electricity sources???
  • 75. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs David Brooks of the NY Times gets this right: green wind jobs aren’t the answer.
  • 76. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs A top government official makes a very blunt statement. Tax credits don’t create wind jobs.
  • 77. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs If Congress is determined to spend the $12.2 Billion that just a one year PTC extension would cost, an important question is: What would be the job (and other) benefits of spending that same amount on another energy source? According to the Congressional Budget Office if the same $12.2 Billion were given to the gas industry, over 9 times as many jobs would be created.
  • 78. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs The United States can be a Leader in: 1) Eighteenth century ideas like horse transportation and wind energy (buggy-whip manufacturing, blacksmith, and windmill jobs) OR 2) State-of-the art, Scientifically Sound energy solutions (like geothermal energy or Small Modular Reactors)
  • 79. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs Should we have a tax credit to employ several thousand blacksmiths?
  • 80. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs Should we have a tax credit to employ thousands making buggy whips?
  • 81. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs Less Expensive Energy is a Proven Way to create net jobs. Subsidizing expensive energy is a counterproductive strategy
  • 82. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs Inexpensive Energy is Proven to create net jobs. Subsidizing expensive energy is a counterproductive strategy
  • 83. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs
  • 84. Another Perspective on Claimed Wind Jobs When Wind Lobbyists were arguing in 2011 to extend the 1603 credit, they were counting most of the same jobs that they’re now attributing to the PTC. How can each subsidy be responsible for the same jobs???
  • 85. Part 5: Even More About Jobs — THE TAKEAWAY — The jobs argument is a public relations ploy to distract us from the reality that wind energy is a very poor energy option.
  • 86. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 6: Net Economic Impact?
  • 87. Almost All Independent Studies Have Concluded the Same Thing: Wind Energy is a NET Economics Loser
  • 89. Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1: $1,080,000,000 Conclusion: over $1 Billion lost in one year alone!
  • 90. Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1: Conclusion: More $ Hundreds of Millions lost!
  • 91. Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #1: In one county, property owners will LOSE $640,000,000± in real estate value!
  • 93. Offshore Economic Conclusions of Independent Experts #2: Conclusion: Net is $900± Million lost!
  • 94. Offshore Independent Study #3 Conclusion: There are no NET economic benefits!
  • 95. Offshore Independent Study #4 According to Beacon Hill Institute, Cape Wind’s industrial wind plant would result in:
  • 96. OK, Offshore Wind Also Results in Net Economic Losses. What about Onshore Wind?
  • 97. SAME THING! Let’s Look at a Somewhat Typical Onshore Wind Development: the 80 MW Pantego Wind Project, Proposed for Beaufort County, North Carolina...
  • 98. Here are the latest Beaufort County Tourism Income data...
  • 99. Here is a government study by four independent PhDs, all acknowledged bat experts. After years of studying bats, they know that bats are not only major crop pollinators but also major insect eaters. One bat can eat hundreds of thousands of insects a year.
  • 100. Here are their conclusions of the crop loss to this county due to killed bats: We’ll use their less than midrange, standard number.
  • 101. Note that this $9+Million does NOT take into account the additional human health costs associated with things like an increase in mosquitoes. The county’s website acknowledges that this is already a problem, and that mosquitoes spread such deadly diseases as West Nile Virus & Eastern Equine Encephalitis. Fewer bats will result in more mosquitoes, and a likely higher incidence of human health problems.
  • 102. Here is a study about local weather impact from wind development...
  • 103. Beaufort County Annual Economic Impact Due To Pantego This does NOT include additional financial losses due to: — The lower employment, — Tax reductions from nearby property devaluations, — Health effects from turbines, — Health effects from insect proliferation, — Higher cost of wind electricity, etc.
  • 104. When the big picture is objectively examined, a rather typical Onshore Wind Project can result in an annual NET ECONOMIC LOSS of well over $12,000,000.
  • 105. And There’s More. The next few slides will just touch on Some ADDITIONAL Economic Costs. Almost none of these are normally included when the cost of wind energy is being presented.
  • 106. Wind energy is also a bad deal from an electricity point-of-view. Does wind energy provide economical electricity ? NO, not compared to conventional sources. Look at the economics from three perspectives — #1: Total Costs = higher than conventional sources. #2: Real Ratepayer costs = higher than conventional sources. #3: Taxpayer Subsidies = higher than all conventional sources, combined!
  • 107. #1 The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 1: Because it has no Firm Capacity, Wind Energy MUST HAVE a fast-responding, augmenting source of power available 24/7/365. NO other conventional source of electricity has this requirement!
  • 108. #1 The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 2: For a variety of technical and economic reasons, this fast-responding, augmenting source of power is usually gas. So, ALL calculations of wind’s costs MUST address the WIND + GAS Package.
  • 109. #1 The Total Cost Economic Perspective, part 3: Wind energy Economics should include extra transmission lines needed. (They almost never include this cost.) © john droz, jr.
  • 110. #1 Even On A Wind Lobbyist Site: Texas would be $28 Billion better off without wind!
  • 111. What’s the Correlation with #2 Higher Wind Energy Usage and Residential Electricity Rates? 40 35 Denmark Bad Renewables % ¢/KWH (2007 30 Germany 25 20 Spain 15 US 10 Canada 5 0
  • 112. #2 As we raise the cost of electricity, remember that Quality of Life STRONGLY Correlates to Electricity Consumption
  • 113. #3 $4,981 M Annual Federal TAXPAYER Subsidies of Electrical Energy Sources: Totals 2010 US Energy Information Administration Subsidy Report: July 2011 [Direct + Tax + R&D +Electricity Support] Note that the total 2010 subsidies for wind energy exceed the totals for all the other conventional sources COMBINED! $1,189 M $2,234 M $654 M $215 M $4,981 M Coal Nuclear Nat Gas Hydro Wind
  • 114. #3 In ADDITION to generous Federal subsidies (like the PTC), many states offer financial incentives for wind power, like: 1. Personal Tax Incentives 2. Corporate Tax Incentives 3. Sales Tax Incentives 4. Property Tax Incentives 5. Rebates 6. Grants 7. Loans 8. Industry Support 9. Bonds, and 10. Production Incentives. On top of these financial incentives, state and local governments have established rules, regulations and policies (like RPS), with the purpose of encouraging or mandating the development and increased sale and consumption of energy from renewable sources. Yet all this still isn’t enough???
  • 115. E-V-E-R-Y-T-H-I-N-G about Wind Energy economics is problematic!
  • 116. Part 6: Net Economics — THE TAKEAWAY — In the typical case, wind development is a NET ECONOMICS LOSER. Remember: “NET” is a critical economics indicator.
  • 117. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 7: What Do Utility Companies Say?
  • 118. Utility Companies are regulated by the government. As such they avoid saying anything that is not “politically correct”. Despite this constraint the TRUTH has a way of coming out.
  • 119. Exelon owns 38 wind projects. Their CEO, Christopher Crane, recently stated: “The (production tax credit) has been in place since 1992, I believe, and I think that’s enough time to jump-start an industry, 20 years.”
  • 120. President & COO of Duke’s US Electric business, says: “It doesn’t matter how clean it is, if it’s not affordable or reliable.”
  • 121. A major utility executive’s very disturbing assessment When National Grid’s CEO was challenged about integrating wind energy, he said: “Families would have to get used to only using power when it was available, rather than constantly.”
  • 122. One of a series of ads from Idaho Power “In the simplest of terms, special interest groups and wind developers are asking you to pay more for a less reliable product. And that just isn’t right.”
  • 123. One of a series of ads from Idaho Power “Integrating the variable capacity of wind energy undermines the time- tested, science driven technology plan required of all utilities. And that just isn’t right.”
  • 124.
  • 125. More real world evidence from utility experts, about the real cost of wind energy. They say: onshore = 2-3 times more offshore = 4-5 times more Note: this does NOT include the extra cost of the PTC!
  • 126. This is an insightful series of articles by the CEO of Ohio’s North Central Electric Cooperative, Markus Bryant.
  • 127. Regarding CO2 savings, these utility company reports say:
  • 128. Regarding wind’s cost, these utility company reports say:
  • 129. Regarding wind subsidies, these utility company reports say:
  • 130. Regarding wind subsidies, these utility company reports say:
  • 131. This is the most advanced Utility Company report on wind energy, ever published.
  • 132. Regarding jobs and economics, this study says:
  • 133. Part 7: What Do Utility Companies Say? — THE TAKEAWAY — When utility companies have the courage to speak honestly about industrial wind energy, they are against it.
  • 134. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? Part 8: Some Other Supporter Claims
  • 135. Even though JOBS is their main argument for the PTC, some other assertions are periodically made...
  • 136. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “The PTC is not Another Solyndra.” Objective perspective: That is correct — it’s much worse. Per government figures, Solyndra cost taxpayers $0.5± Billion. A one year extension of the PTC will cost taxpayers $12.2 Billion.
  • 137. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “Wind developers only get paid the PTC when they produce electricity.” Objective perspective: That is correct — but so what? Why does it make sense to make an unreliable source of electricity more expensive?
  • 138. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “Some manufacturing jobs will be lost.” Objective perspective: That is correct — but that’s life. Modernization is continually making certain products out-dated, which means jobs in those industries are lost. Should taxpayers be subsidizing the jobs for those producing B&W TVs, 8-track tapes, horse carriages, hoola-hoops, etc?
  • 139. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “Some landowners are making big profits.” Objective perspective: That is correct — but at whose expense?
  • 140. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “We need to have a phase-out of the PTC.” Objective perspective: That is correct — but that’s already done. All existing wind projects will continue to get paid the PTC, and they have a phase-out period of ten years from their start date.
  • 141. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “The Wind industry needs to have certainty.” Objective perspective: That is correct — and it already does.
  • 142. Other justifications put forward for the PTC: “Presumably, the PTC intends to support renewable energy due to the environmental, economic development, and energy security benefits that these sources provide...” — Dr. Ryan Wiser Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Senate Finance Committee Testimony March 29, 2007 Unfortunately, not a single part of this PTC justification has been scientifically proven to be legitimate! In fact… there is considerable evidence that every bit of it is FALSE.
  • 143. Another justification put forward for the PTC: “We need more time for wind to be competitive.” Objective perspective: What difference is a year going to make? None. What are we going to say about the jobs that will be “lost” at the end of next year? Will those losses be OK then? We need to stop whitewashing a losing idea!
  • 144. Does “modernizing” this 18th century idea make it any less primitive?
  • 146. Part 8: Some Other Supporter Claims — THE TAKEAWAY — When looking at the BIG PICTURE these claims do NOT justify a PTC extension.
  • 147. DOES EXTENDING THE PTC MAKE SENSE? CONCLUSIONS
  • 148. Attention Republicans: A PTC for 2013+ is a new TAX* as such it violates the ATR Pledge * “Specialists term these synthetic government spending programs ʻtax expenditures.ʼ Tax expenditures are really spending programs, not tax rollbacks, because the missing tax revenues must be financed by more taxes on somebody else. Like any other form of deficit spending … a targeted tax break coupled with a specific revenue ʻpayforʼ means that one group of Americans is required to pay (in the form of higher taxes) for a subsidy to be delivered to others through the mechanism of the tax system.” —Dr. Edward D. Kleinbard, Professor of Law at the Gould School of Law, UCLA
  • 149. Attention Democrats: A PTC for 2013+ is a TAX BREAK, that will primarily be used by High-Income Taxpayers. As such it is a violation of your party’s campaign for Tax Fairness.
  • 150. Attention Legislators: BOTH Parties Should be in Agreement on the Fact that: the PTC is a heavy taxpayer subsidy of an eighteenth century energy technology that has no scientifically proven net benefits.
  • 151. Attention Legislators: What this all translates to is that BOTH Parties should be in FULL Agreement that: our Energy Policy should be based on real science.
  • 152. Is an “All of the Above” Energy Policy wise? Only if it makes sense to include: unreliable, expensive, and environmentally destructive energy options! We need an “All of the Sensible” Energy Policy.
  • 153.
  • 154. Conclusions — THE TAKEAWAY — Wind Energy is a net jobs loser and a net economics loser, that has no scientific proof that it has any net technical, economic or environmental benefits. Why should US taxpayers pay for such a charade?
  • 155. The wind PTC makes as much sense as the government subsidizing ranchers to have cows run in the Kentucky Derby.
  • 156. References (for main data, quotes, etc.) — page 1 Slide 4: PTC History (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Wind_Energy_Policy#Wind_Production_Tax_Credit_.28PTC.29) Slide 8: Wind Industry claimed benefits (www.masterresource.org/2012/02/wind-spin/) Slides 11 & 25 & 45: AWEA- PTC Advances in Senate (www.awea.org/blog/index.cfm?customel_dataPageID_1699=17487) Slide 16: Carl Sagan quotes (www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/c/carl_sagan.html) Slide 26: Congressional Wind Report (www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42023.pdf) Slide 27: Green Jobs Myths (www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/morriss-green-jobs-myths.pdf) Slide 28: The Dirty Secret Behind Clean Jobs (cascadepolicy.org/pdf/pub/CleanJobsReport8.22.11.pdf) Slide 29: Exploding the Green Jobs Myth (blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/exploding_the_green_jobs_myth/) Slide 30: Are Job Numbers Pulled From Thin Air? (www.dailyenergyreport.com/2012/07/wind-energy-jobs-are-the-numbers-pulled-from-thin-air/) Slide 31: Puffed Up Claims from the Wind Power Lobby (www.factcheck.org/2012/02/wind-spin/) Slide 32: Wind energy job growth isn't blowing anyone away (articles.latimes.com/2010/feb/02/business/la-fi-green-jobs2-2010feb02) Slide 36: Why We Need to Terminate Big Wind Subsidies (tinyurl.com/7q43sdl) Slides 37 & 136: Cost of PTC - Senate Finance Commmittee (www.finance.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/JCX.pdf) Slide 38: Obama's Green Energy Disaster (docstalk.blogspot.com/2012/08/obamas-green-energy-disaster-578333-per.html) Slide 39: Texas wind farm tax break program costs $1.6 million per job (tinyurl.com/23k6mzw) Slide 40: $9 Billion in ‘Stimulus’ for Wind Projects (cnsnews.com/news/article/9-billion-stimulus-solar-wind-projects-made-910-final-jobs-98-million-job) Slide 41: Shepherds Flat wind farm: What's the cost to taxpayers? (www.oregonlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2011/03/post_19.html) Slides 46 & 47; 88-91: Global Insight NJ Study (www.nj.gov/bpu/pdf/announcements/njoswt.pdf) Slides 48 & 49; 92 & 93: Acadian Consulting NJ Study (www.state.nj.us/rpa/docs/FACWReport%20v14%20(PUBLIC%20VERSION).pdf) Slides 50 & 51: Cape Wind's Cost: Facts & Figures (www.saveoursound.org/cape_wind_threats/economy/) Slides 55 & 98: NC Tourism Info (www.nccommerce.com/tourism/research/economic-impact/teim) Slides 56 & 57: Scottish Tourism Study (scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2008/03/07113554/0) Slide 57: Another Good Tourism Study (www.moray.gov.uk/downloads/file68577.pdf) Slides 60 & 72: The Myth of Green Jobs (thegwpf.org/images/stories/gwpf-reports/hughes-green_jobs.pdf) Slides 61 & 62: Green Jobs in the US Economy (oversight.house.gov/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/6-6-12-Full-Furchtgott-Roth.pdf) Slides 63 & 64: Study of the effects on employment… (www.juandemariana.org/pdf/090327-employment-public-aid-renewable.pdf) Slides 65 & 66: Gresham’s Law of Green Energy (www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv33n4/regv33n4-3.pdf) Slides 67 & 68: What the Job Counts Actually Tell US (tinyurl.com/9pd5wot) Slide 73: Horner jobs quote (www.masterresource.org/2012/06/wimp-power-windpower/) Slide 75: Where the Jobs Aren’t (www.nytimes.com/2011/09/06/opinion/brooks-where-the-jobs-arent.html) — continued —
  • 157. References (for main data, quotes, etc.) — page 2 Slide 76: DiNapoli - Tax Breaks Don’t Create Jobs (www.knickledger.com/2012/05/dinapoli-tax-breaks-dont-create-jobs/) Slide 77: Congressional Budget Office Jobs Report (www.manhattan-institute.org/html/ir_18.htm) Slide 81: Affordable Energy is Essential for Jobs (canadafreepress.com/index.php/print-friendly/40069) Slide 82: Job Growth Expected from Cheap Gas (tinyurl.com/bttgzjf) Slide 83: Common Sense Principles: Grow the Economy (www.popaditchforcongress.com/2012-issue-grow-the-economy.html) Slide 84: Claims for 1603 jobs (www.bluegreenalliance.org/saveamericanjobs) Slide 94: Third NJ Offshore Study (www.njspotlight.com/stories/12/0228/1955/) Slide 95: Beacon Hill Cape Wind Study (www.saveoursound.org/cape_wind_threats/economy/) Slides 99 & 100: Agricultural Effects of Turbine Bat Deaths (www.fort.usgs.gov/Products/Publications/23069a/23069a.pdf) Slide 99: Another Good Bat Study (www.francis.edu/uploadedfiles/renewable_energy/kunz.bats_and_wind.07.pdf) Slide 101: Beaufort County Website (www.co.beaufort.nc.us/) Slide 102: Turbine Effects on Local Meteorology (www.atmos.illinois.edu/~sbroy/publ/jweia2011.pdf) Slide 110: Is Wind Energy The New Wedge Issue For Conservatives? (www.nawindpower.com/e107_plugins/content/content.php?content.7757) Slide 111: From IEA supplied data Slide 112: Electricity vs Quality of Life (CIA World Factbook 2007: www.gelib.com/cia-factbook.htm) Slide 113: Federal Subsidies - EIA 2010 Report (www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/subsidy/) Slide 114: State Wind Energy Subsidies, etc. (www.energypulse.net/centers/article/article_display.cfm?a_id=1837) Slide 119: Exelon Against PTC (blog.heritage.org/2012/06/11/even-wind-executive-doesnt-want-wind-tax-credit/) Slide 120: Duke CEO quote (www.snl.com/InteractiveX/article.aspx?CDID=A-11464937-13097&KPLT=2) Slide 121: National Grid CEO quote (www.windturbinesyndrome.com/2011/wind-energys-brave-new-world-intermittent-power-national-grid/) Slides 122 & 123: Idaho Power ad (www.getpluggedin.com/) Slide 124: NC Utilities refuse wind deal (hamptonroads.com/2011/12/utilities-back-out-nc-wind-project-over-high-prices?) Slide 125: Wind Expensive vs Fuel (www.dailyadvance.com/news/wind-expensive-versus-fuel-521695) Slides 126-130: The Emperor’s New Clothes Column (www.ncelec.org/aboutUs/countrymag/clemperor.aspx) Slides 131 & 132: A Rational Look At Renewable Energy (issuu.com/rational/docs/2992_rational_look_fin?mode=window&backgroundColor=#222222) Slides 140 & 141: PTC is already phasing out, with certainty (blog.heritage.org/2012/08/01/wind-ptc-already-phasing-out-for-certain/) Slide 142: PTC claimed benefits [Berkeley] (eetd.lbl.gov/ea/emp/reports/wiser-senate-test-4-07.pdf) Slide 148: The Hidden Hand of Government Spending (www.cato.org/pubs/regulation/regv33n3/regv33n3-2.pdf) Slide 153: Dear Big Wind - It's Not You, It's Me (www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/08/04/Dear-Big-Wind-It-s-Not-You-It-s-Me) — continued —
  • 158. Credits (for graphics & photos) — Header for PTCFacts.Info website: photo taken by Mike Fortuna Slide 1: Philip Epp Painting - Wild Horses (www.kgs.ku.edu/Publications/OFR/2006/OFR06_11/index.html) Slide 12: Snake Oil Salesman (www.stochasticgeometry.ie/2009/10/27/joel-spolsky-snake-oil-salesman/) Slide 13: Pinnochio (savevestas.wordpress.com/2009/10/25/new-vestas-campaign-postcard-take-and-distribute/ed_miliband-sw-1-2/) Slide 14: Dr. Marvel Cartoon - John Terry creation (www.windtoons.com/) Slide 54: Photo by John Droz, jr. Slide 79: Blacksmith Shop (explorepahistory.com/displayimage.php?imgId=1-2-CC6) Slide 80: Save Buggywhip Industry (www.freespeechstickers.com/Save_Buggy_Whips__and.html) Slide 109: Transmission Towers Photo - VNF (www.vnf.com/assets/htmlimages/Electric_transmission_lines.resize.jpg) Slide 139: Roger Maynard Cartoon [edited title] (www.floppingaces.net/wp-content/uploads/he-has-your-wallet.jpg) Slide 155: Cow Running in Derby (www.ntra.com/track/display/details/Ng) & (www.stillbreathing.co.uk/gallery/animals-in-sport/cowracing). Stock Photos: Slides #80, 144, 145, 148, 149, & 150-152. Numerous slides are gratefully credited to John Droz, who allowed us to freely borrow from his several presentations. Note: Links are NOT clickable on slideshare presentations. Write down any urls you are interested in, or take a screenshot. All information is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed. If errors are noted, please send an email to the PTCFacts.Info website, providing the scientific evidence of same and a correction will be made. For questions, comments or permission to use any material in this presentation, please also send an email to the PTCFacts.Info website.