1. Building on facts
Support slides for discussing
an effective climate policy
EAN Sustainability panel discussion
Saturday 11 may 2019
Jonas Voorzanger
2. The climate system consists of many positive feedback loops,
making it extremely difficult to predict with high confidence
Less reflection
Release of methane Melting tundra
Melting ice sheets
Less CO2
absorption Warming oceans
Warmer atmosphere
3. An average Dutch person emits 10.000 kg CO2
per year
https://www.clo.nl/indicatoren/nl0165-broeikasgasemissies-in-nederland
Total area: 10.000 kgCO2
Driving (solo) 50 km per work day
for a year (13.000 km in total)
3.250
Eating vegan
for a year
1.058
Difference between
eating meat and
eating vegan
1.500
Shower for
10 m/d/y
172
Return flight Amsterdam - New York
(12.000 km in total)
1.200
Train
return
trip
A’dam-
Berlin
78
< Heating & Stuff >
4. A full car has similar emissions, per person, to a train
http://www.aef.org.uk/downloads/Grams_CO2_transportmodesUK.pdf and own analysis
5. To limit climate change to +1,5 ºC we a have a net personal carbon
budget of 50.000 kgCO2
until the end of times
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/sites/2/2018/10/SPM1_figure-final-e1541758557589-947x1024.png
2
4
6
8
10
2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Year
Yearly
personal
emissions
(103
kgCO2
/p/y)
2020
If everyone would live like the Dutch, carbon emissions
would have to stop completely before 2025
If the average world citizen
doesn’t change, it’s total
emission would have to stop
completely before 2035
To keep using
energy up to 2045,
the average world
citizen needs to
reduce its
emissions by
130 kg CO2
per year
6. If total personal carbon limit is €50, a Dutch person spends €10 yearly
Total carbon ‘budget’ Yearly spending
7. Solar electricity is now cheaper than subsidized fossil power
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421518305196
Competitive with
subsidized fossil fuels
8. In 2018, eight out of the ten largest companies (by revenue)
are related to the (fossil) energy industry
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_companies_by_revenue
