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Germany
Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote
Consumer Debt Sale conference
Berlin, 27th November 2015
Portfolio sale of distressed assets
by wind-down entity in CEE
2Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria
II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts
III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions
IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
3Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria
II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts
III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions
IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
4Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
Source: National Banks
CEE Market – NPL Development
NPL in Banking Sector in CEE in EOY 2014
UA 19%
BG 18%
HR 17%
HU 16%
RO 14%
KZ 12%
SI 12%
CEE 10%
Others 8%
RU 7%
CZ 6%
SK 5%
AT 3%
TR 3%
NPL Ratio (pp YOY 2014) NPL Volume (EURbn)
RU 59.9
AT 22.9
UA 22.0
TR 12.9
HU 7.8
KZ 7.7
RO 6.5
CZ 6.3
HR 6.2
BG 4.7
SI 3.9
SK 2.3
Others 5.3
5Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
Source: Bulgarian National Bank, IMF
Bulgarian Market – NPL Development
NPL Volume by Client (EURbn) Key insights
3.6
1.2
4.8
2012
3.7
1.2
4.9
2013
3.6
1.1
4.7
2014
RetailCorporate
 NPL ratios increased in last
3 years up to 13% (Retail) and
21% (Corporate) in 2014
 Corporate NPLs substantially ex-
ceed housing & consumer NPLs
 High level of NPLs and provision-
ing leads to Banking willing to sell
 Though sufficient NPL stock
available service platforms limited
 Type of potential investors attract-
ed by (amongst others) total NPL
portfolio size
 Trend of increasing NPLs
expected to continue as result of
scheduled AQRs in 2016
6Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
Source: Publicly available information
Bulgarian Market – Potential buyer side perspective
Selected Transactions with Local Buyers Advisors Opinions
Considering this environment, HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria
to assess best option for envisaged exit strategy
Seller Buyer Amount
(EURmln)
Segm‘t
TBI Credit APS BG ~49 Retail
BNP
Paribas
Frontex ~47 Retail
BNP
Paribas
N/A ~45 Retail
UBB EOS ~30-35 Retail
N/A APS BG ~29 Corporate
Source: Bulgarian Big4 Transaction Advisors (2015)
7Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria
II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts
III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions
IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
8Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
Quo Vadis HETA Asset Resolution
 HETA Asset Resolution Group had been established in 2014
while having carved out good bank of former Hypo Alpe Adria
Bank and successfully privatized
 Remaining part is wind-down part, present in 11 countries in
Central and South Eastern Europe including HETA Asset
Resolution in Bulgaria
 By 2020 latest, all entities shall have been closed; thus,
both portfolio and structures are continuously shrinking
 HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria consists of a gross exposure
of 3-digit EURmln, o/w significant part non performing
 Mostly unsecured NPL portfolio consists of both, Retail and
Corporate loans/finance lease agreements; majority had
been fully provisioned – signals in case of embezzlements
 For preparing its wind-down, HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria
carefully assessed all appropriate exit strategies
HETA Asset Resolution („HAR“) is the wind-down part
of the former Austrian bank Hypo Alpe Adria
9Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
Driving wind-down process via portfolio sales is
preferred exit strategy for HAR Bulgaria
 Fast execution
 Transfer of staff
 Eliminating
potential close
down cost
 Preserving value
 Staff transfer poss.
 Combination of
(PL and NPL)
investor universe
 Maximize value for
individual large
tickets
 Use existing
resources and
systems
 Write-off loans
Corporate
sale
1
Portfolio
sale
2
Single tickets
sale
3
Run
off
4
Exit strategies
analysis
Preferred option
How to structure one-off sale?ConPro
 No value
maximization
 Questionable
investor appetite
for corporate sale
 No immediate NPL
resolution
 More complex
 Platform possibly
not sold
 Residual part of
portfolio could be
unsolved
 Time consuming
 Platform and staff
not sold
 Long time needed
 Fix costs base
remains
 Decreasing
profitability during
time
10Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria
II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts
III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions
IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
11Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
Structuring the portfolio shall consider both, specifics
of seller structure and addressing buyer expectations
“Value drivers” of selected portfolio structure criteria to be assessed
Source: Publicly available information
Portfolio Sale – Size and Structure as essential criteria “to map”
Buyer perspective Seller perspective – HAR view
SizeStructure
Supranational ~15-20 (e.g. EBRD, IFC, ..)
International > ~50 (e.g. GS, LSF, DB1, ..)
Regional ~15-20 (e.g. Artemis, PPF, ..)
Local ~10-50 (e.g. EOS, APS, ..)
Investor type Investm‘t capable (in EURm)
 Client segment
 Performance/DPD
 Underlying asset
 Size of loan/lease
Criteria for portfolio tranching
 Data quality &
completeness
 Stage of litigation
 …
Possible criterion, broken down e.g. by
 partially provisioned (i.e. asset not yet
repossessed),
 fully provisioned (i.e. asset
repossessed but not sold),
 pure debts
Possible criterion, considering envisaged
 portfolio size ~EURm 100 (examplarily)
 price range ~2-25% (depending on
portfolio structuring and tranching)
1 GS - Goldman Sachs / LSF – Lone Star Funds / DB – Deutsche Bank
12Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
Leveraging quality of a portfolio structured by stages
of litigation while focussing on „value drivers“
Source: Bulgarian Civil Code of Procedure
Challenge “Litigation process” Possible solution
 Legal due diligence:
validity of receivable based
on legal analysis of
underlying contracts
assessed
 Appropriate tranching:
structure portfolio by value
drivers
 Comprehensive
documentation: high
quality of documentation of
validity of debt in data room
(cooperating with externals)
1. Non performing lessee but recovery potential?
2. (Finance) lease agreement terminated?
3. Ignored notary invitation with voluntary payment?
4. Leased asset repossessed?
5. Criminal signal filed (in case of missing asset)?
6. Any outstanding exposure after asset sale?
7. Any documents (e.g. promissory notes)
for accelerated writ of execution available?
8. Lessee ignored voluntary payment by bailiff?
9. Enforcement title issued by Court?
10. Decision not objected by defendant?
11. Declaratory claim filed?
12. …
Potential
value driver
Potential
value driver
Potential
value driver
Potential
value driver
13Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria
II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts
III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions
IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
14Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
Outlook / Q&A
Outlook of envisaged portfolio sale – seller perspective
Select
advisor
Determine appropriate transaction and legal advisor
with required local market know-how and expertise
Complete
data room
Ensure having data room with complete
documentation in place fulfilling investor expectations
Clarify
servicing
Define if service platform shall be offered as well
acknowledging increasing investor interests
Identify
investors
Approach suitable potential buyers (e.g. local or
regional investors) considering portfolio specifics
Germany
Contact
Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote
Chief Executive Officer
HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria OOD
Julius.Grote@heta-asset-resolution.bg
Web
www.heta-asset-resolution.bg
www.aaaplatform.com
Thank you very much
15Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
16Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
Disclaimer
HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria OOD (the “Company”) does not make any
representation or warranty, expressly or implicitly, as to the validity, accuracy,
reliability, suitability or completeness of any of the information contained in
the presentation.
The Company accept no liability or responsibility to any person with respect
to, or arising directly or indirectly out of the contents of or any omissions
from this presentation.
This presentation is being provided to the recipient and may not be
reproduced, distributed, passed on or published, in whole or in part, to any
person without the prior written consent of the Company.
The content of the presentation is not to be construed as legal, business,
investment or tax advice. Each recipient should consult with its own
professional advisers for any such matters and advice.
By viewing this presentation, the recipient acknowledges, and agrees to
abide by, the aforementioned.
Germany
Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote
Consumer Debt Sale conference
Berlin, 27th November 2015
Portfolio sale of distressed assets
by wind-down entity in CEE

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Portfolio Sale of Distressed Assets by Bad Bank in CEE

  • 1. Germany Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote Consumer Debt Sale conference Berlin, 27th November 2015 Portfolio sale of distressed assets by wind-down entity in CEE
  • 2. 2Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
  • 3. 3Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
  • 4. 4Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 Source: National Banks CEE Market – NPL Development NPL in Banking Sector in CEE in EOY 2014 UA 19% BG 18% HR 17% HU 16% RO 14% KZ 12% SI 12% CEE 10% Others 8% RU 7% CZ 6% SK 5% AT 3% TR 3% NPL Ratio (pp YOY 2014) NPL Volume (EURbn) RU 59.9 AT 22.9 UA 22.0 TR 12.9 HU 7.8 KZ 7.7 RO 6.5 CZ 6.3 HR 6.2 BG 4.7 SI 3.9 SK 2.3 Others 5.3
  • 5. 5Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 Source: Bulgarian National Bank, IMF Bulgarian Market – NPL Development NPL Volume by Client (EURbn) Key insights 3.6 1.2 4.8 2012 3.7 1.2 4.9 2013 3.6 1.1 4.7 2014 RetailCorporate  NPL ratios increased in last 3 years up to 13% (Retail) and 21% (Corporate) in 2014  Corporate NPLs substantially ex- ceed housing & consumer NPLs  High level of NPLs and provision- ing leads to Banking willing to sell  Though sufficient NPL stock available service platforms limited  Type of potential investors attract- ed by (amongst others) total NPL portfolio size  Trend of increasing NPLs expected to continue as result of scheduled AQRs in 2016
  • 6. 6Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 Source: Publicly available information Bulgarian Market – Potential buyer side perspective Selected Transactions with Local Buyers Advisors Opinions Considering this environment, HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria to assess best option for envisaged exit strategy Seller Buyer Amount (EURmln) Segm‘t TBI Credit APS BG ~49 Retail BNP Paribas Frontex ~47 Retail BNP Paribas N/A ~45 Retail UBB EOS ~30-35 Retail N/A APS BG ~29 Corporate Source: Bulgarian Big4 Transaction Advisors (2015)
  • 7. 7Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
  • 8. 8Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 Quo Vadis HETA Asset Resolution  HETA Asset Resolution Group had been established in 2014 while having carved out good bank of former Hypo Alpe Adria Bank and successfully privatized  Remaining part is wind-down part, present in 11 countries in Central and South Eastern Europe including HETA Asset Resolution in Bulgaria  By 2020 latest, all entities shall have been closed; thus, both portfolio and structures are continuously shrinking  HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria consists of a gross exposure of 3-digit EURmln, o/w significant part non performing  Mostly unsecured NPL portfolio consists of both, Retail and Corporate loans/finance lease agreements; majority had been fully provisioned – signals in case of embezzlements  For preparing its wind-down, HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria carefully assessed all appropriate exit strategies HETA Asset Resolution („HAR“) is the wind-down part of the former Austrian bank Hypo Alpe Adria
  • 9. 9Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 Driving wind-down process via portfolio sales is preferred exit strategy for HAR Bulgaria  Fast execution  Transfer of staff  Eliminating potential close down cost  Preserving value  Staff transfer poss.  Combination of (PL and NPL) investor universe  Maximize value for individual large tickets  Use existing resources and systems  Write-off loans Corporate sale 1 Portfolio sale 2 Single tickets sale 3 Run off 4 Exit strategies analysis Preferred option How to structure one-off sale?ConPro  No value maximization  Questionable investor appetite for corporate sale  No immediate NPL resolution  More complex  Platform possibly not sold  Residual part of portfolio could be unsolved  Time consuming  Platform and staff not sold  Long time needed  Fix costs base remains  Decreasing profitability during time
  • 10. 10Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
  • 11. 11Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 Structuring the portfolio shall consider both, specifics of seller structure and addressing buyer expectations “Value drivers” of selected portfolio structure criteria to be assessed Source: Publicly available information Portfolio Sale – Size and Structure as essential criteria “to map” Buyer perspective Seller perspective – HAR view SizeStructure Supranational ~15-20 (e.g. EBRD, IFC, ..) International > ~50 (e.g. GS, LSF, DB1, ..) Regional ~15-20 (e.g. Artemis, PPF, ..) Local ~10-50 (e.g. EOS, APS, ..) Investor type Investm‘t capable (in EURm)  Client segment  Performance/DPD  Underlying asset  Size of loan/lease Criteria for portfolio tranching  Data quality & completeness  Stage of litigation  … Possible criterion, broken down e.g. by  partially provisioned (i.e. asset not yet repossessed),  fully provisioned (i.e. asset repossessed but not sold),  pure debts Possible criterion, considering envisaged  portfolio size ~EURm 100 (examplarily)  price range ~2-25% (depending on portfolio structuring and tranching) 1 GS - Goldman Sachs / LSF – Lone Star Funds / DB – Deutsche Bank
  • 12. 12Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 Leveraging quality of a portfolio structured by stages of litigation while focussing on „value drivers“ Source: Bulgarian Civil Code of Procedure Challenge “Litigation process” Possible solution  Legal due diligence: validity of receivable based on legal analysis of underlying contracts assessed  Appropriate tranching: structure portfolio by value drivers  Comprehensive documentation: high quality of documentation of validity of debt in data room (cooperating with externals) 1. Non performing lessee but recovery potential? 2. (Finance) lease agreement terminated? 3. Ignored notary invitation with voluntary payment? 4. Leased asset repossessed? 5. Criminal signal filed (in case of missing asset)? 6. Any outstanding exposure after asset sale? 7. Any documents (e.g. promissory notes) for accelerated writ of execution available? 8. Lessee ignored voluntary payment by bailiff? 9. Enforcement title issued by Court? 10. Decision not objected by defendant? 11. Declaratory claim filed? 12. … Potential value driver Potential value driver Potential value driver Potential value driver
  • 13. 13Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 I. NPL markets – CEE vs. Bulgaria II. HETA in Bulgaria – Key facts III. Portfolio sale – Challenges and solutions IV. Outlook / Questions and answers
  • 14. 14Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 Outlook / Q&A Outlook of envisaged portfolio sale – seller perspective Select advisor Determine appropriate transaction and legal advisor with required local market know-how and expertise Complete data room Ensure having data room with complete documentation in place fulfilling investor expectations Clarify servicing Define if service platform shall be offered as well acknowledging increasing investor interests Identify investors Approach suitable potential buyers (e.g. local or regional investors) considering portfolio specifics
  • 15. Germany Contact Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote Chief Executive Officer HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria OOD Julius.Grote@heta-asset-resolution.bg Web www.heta-asset-resolution.bg www.aaaplatform.com Thank you very much 15Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015
  • 16. 16Sale of distressed assets in CEE | Berlin 27th November 2015 Disclaimer HETA Asset Resolution Bulgaria OOD (the “Company”) does not make any representation or warranty, expressly or implicitly, as to the validity, accuracy, reliability, suitability or completeness of any of the information contained in the presentation. The Company accept no liability or responsibility to any person with respect to, or arising directly or indirectly out of the contents of or any omissions from this presentation. This presentation is being provided to the recipient and may not be reproduced, distributed, passed on or published, in whole or in part, to any person without the prior written consent of the Company. The content of the presentation is not to be construed as legal, business, investment or tax advice. Each recipient should consult with its own professional advisers for any such matters and advice. By viewing this presentation, the recipient acknowledges, and agrees to abide by, the aforementioned.
  • 17. Germany Dr. Julius Freiherr Grote Consumer Debt Sale conference Berlin, 27th November 2015 Portfolio sale of distressed assets by wind-down entity in CEE