1. All-Island Atlas
Workshop 1
Justin Gleeson
Cavan, 30/01/14
Outline
• Population
• Age Cohorts
g
• Dependency Rate
• Religion
• Ethnicity
• Pl
Place of Birth
f Bi h
1

2. Population
•
6.4 million people living on the island (2011)
•
•
•
72% in RoI (4.58m)
28% in NI (1.81m)
Decrease of 27% f
D
f
from 1841 total of 8.17m
t t l f 8 17
•
-42% RoI
•
+9% NI
7,000,000
6,000,000
5,000,000
RoI, 4,588,252
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
NI, 1,810,863
1,000,000
0
1841
1851
1861
1871
1881
1891
1901
1911
1926
1951
1961
1971
1981*
1991* 2001/02
2011
Population
• 10 year Inter-censal change
•
Increase NI: 1901-1911 onwards
•
Increase RoI: 1961-1971 onwards
20.0
RoI: 17.1%
15.0
10.0
NI: 7.5%
5.0
0.0
-5.0
-10.0
-15.0
-20.0
-25.0
1851
1861
1871
1881
1891
1901
1911
1926
1951
1961
1971
1981*
1991*
2001/02
2011
2

3. Population
• Population Change 2001/02 to 2011
•
All-Island +14.25% from 5.6m to 6.4m (+798, 656)
•
RoI +17.2% from 3.9m to 4.58m (+671,049)
–
–
•
Natural Increase: 357, 426 (53%)
Est. Net Migration: 313,623 (47%)
NI +7.45% from 1.68m to 1.81m (+125,596)
–
Natural Increase: 99,192 (79%)
–
Est. Net Migration: 26,404 (21%)
Population
•
Population Change 2001/02 to 2011
•
All-Island +14.25% from 5.6m to 6.4m (+798, 656)
–
RoI +17.2% from 3.9m to 4.58m
–
NI +7.45% from 1.68m to 1.81m
Population Change, 01 to 11
50
40
37.1 37.4
39.5
28.3 29.4
30
20
9.8
10
4.8
12.4 13.5
11.0 11.2 11.8
11 0 11 2 11 8
14.7 15.0 15.3
20.5 20.7
18.7 18.8 19.1 19.2 19.9
17.1 17.8 17.8
22.3 23.1 23.3
24.6 25.5
6.4 7.5
0
-3.1
-10
-6.3
3

4. Population
•
Population Change 2001/02 to 2011
•
All-Island +14.25% from 5.6m to 6.4m (+798, 656)
–
RoI +17.2% from 3.9m to 4.58m
–
NI +7.45% from 1.68m to 1.81m
25
21.2
Population Change, 01 to 11
C
20
15.3
15
13.2 13.6
16.1
16.8
14.3
10.5 10.6
9.2
10
6.4
5
2.7
1.1
3.4
3.4
3.9
4.2
4.4
6.6
7.0
7.1
9.3
9.4
7.4
4.9
1.3
0
Population
•
Population Change 2001/02 to 2011
•
All-Island +14.25% from 5.6m to 6.4m (+798, 656)
–
RoI +17.2% from 3.9m to 4.58m
–
NI +7.45% from 1.68m to 1.81m
50
Population Ch
hange, 01 to 11
40
30
20
10
0
-10
4

5. Population Change
• It’s mostly growth ….
•
Commuter belts of all cities
• But not all growth….
g
•
22% of EDs/Wards witnessed
population decline since 2001/02
•
Mainly rural decline
•
Lots of urban decline too
Population Change
5

6. Population Change
Population Change
6

7. Population – Age Cohorts
• Very different age profile between
two jurisdictions
•
RoI has much higher rate in young
population, early working age and
lower old age
Population – Age Cohorts
• Very different age profile between
two jurisdictions
•
RoI has much higher rate in young
population, early working age and
lower old age
•
Lot of change since 2001
–
RoI: Increase in young
p p
population and working
g
populations, Big decrease in 1525 year olds
–
NI: Decrease in young
populations, increases towards
the elderly age groups
7

8. Population – Age Cohorts
• All-Island v EU27
•
1.27% of total population
•
Much younger population, age
40+ sees a shift towards higher EU
rates
Population – Birth Rates
• Birth Rates 2011
•
Highest birth rate in EU27
–
RoI: 16.2 per 1,000 inhabitants
–
NI: 14 per 1,000 inhabitants
18
16.2
Crude Birth Rate. 2011
16
14
14
12.6 12.8
12
10
8.8
9
9.1 9.2 9.3
9.6 9.6 9.6 9.7
10
10 10.1 10.1
11.3 11.3
10.9 11 11.1
10.7
10.6 10 7 10.8
10.4 10.4 10 6
11.6 11.8
8.1
8
6
8

9. Population – Age Cohorts (0-14)
• Population 0-14
•
NI: 354k (19.6%)
•
RoI: 979k (21.3%)
•
All-Island: 1.33m (20.9%)
– High rates in new commuter zones
– Lower in urban centres
Population – Age Cohorts (0-14)
9

10. Population – Age Cohorts (15-24)
• Population 15-24
•
NI: 252k (13.9%)
•
RoI: 580k (12.6%)
•
All-Island: 832k (13%)
– Higher rates in NI, west of the
jurisdiction
– Distinct hot-spots in cities related to 3rd
level education locations
Population – Age Cohorts (15-24)
10

11. Population – Age Cohorts (25-44)
•
Population 25-44
•
NI: 498k (27.5%)
•
RoI: 1.45m (31.6%)
R I 1 45 (31 6%)
•
All-Island: 1.94m (30.4%)
–
Largest population cohort
–
Working population, highest rates both
commuter zones and close to main
employment zones (urban core in Dublin,
Dublin
Belfast)
Population – Age Cohorts (25-44)
11

12. Population – Age Cohorts (45-64)
•
Population 45-64
•
•
RoI:
R I 104k (22.7%)
(22 7%)
•
–
NI: 442k (24.5%)
All-Island: 1.48m (23.2%)
Higher rates in NI
•
–
Highest 7 Districts all in NI
Higher rates are generally in rural areas and
older suburban areas
ld
b b
Population – Age Cohorts (45-64)
12

13. Population – Age Cohorts (65 plus)
•
Population 65plus
•
NI: 263k (14.6%)
•
RoI:
R I 535k (11.7%)
(11 7%)
•
All-Island: 799k (12.5%)
–
Smallest population age cohort
–
Very clear rural/peripheral patterns
–
Highest 9 districts are in NI
Population – Age Cohorts (65 plus)
13

14. Population – Dependency Rates
•
Dependency Ratio is the population 65+
(retired) and population 0-14 (children)
expressed as a % of 15 64 (economically
15-64
active)
•
NI: 51.9%
•
RoI: 49.3%
•
All-Island: 50%
Population – Dependency Rates
•
Young Dependency Ratio is the population
0-14 (children) expressed as a % of 15-64
(economically active)
•
NI: 29.7%
•
RoI: 31.9%
•
All-Island: 31.3%
14

15. Population – Dependency Rates
•
Old Dependency Ratio is the population
65+ (retired) expressed as a % of 15-64
(economically active)
•
NI: 22.1%
•
RoI: 17.4%
•
All-Island: 18.7%
Religion
• Census Questions
•
RoI
–
•
What is your religion?
NI:
–
What religion do you belong to?
–
What religion were you brought
up in?
15

16. Religion
• Census Questions
•
RoI
–
•
What is your religion?
NI:
–
What religion do you belong to?
–
What religion were you brought
up in?
Religion
• All-Island
–
–
Other Christian (Presbyterian, Church of Ireland, Methodist)
–
Other Religion (Orthodox, Islam, Other, Not Stated)
–
90
Catholic
No Religion
84.2
80
70
60
50
40.8
NI
41.6
40
RoI
30
20
10
5.5
10.1
7.6
4.4
5.9
0
Catholic
Other Christian
Other Religion
No Religion
16

17. Religion - Catholics
• Catholics
•
•
RoI: 84.2%
•
–
NI: 40.8%
All-Island: 71.9%
Lowest rates in RoI in Dublin/East coast,
Galway City
–
Carrickfergus, Ards, North Down all less
than 12%
–
Omagh, D
O
h Derry and N
d Newry hi h t i NI >
highest in
65%
Religion - Catholics
17

18. Religion – Other Christian
• Other Christian
•
•
RoI: 5.5%
•
–
NI: 41.6%
All-Island: 15.7%
Donegal, Wicklow, Monaghan and Cavan
with highest rates in RoI (8-9%)
•
High rates also along east coast and
south-west
Religion – Other Christian
18

19. Religion – Other Religions
• Other Religions
•
•
RoI: 4.4%
•
–
NI: 7.4%
All-Island: 5.3%
Highest rates in Belfast, Newry and
Mourne, Derry and Dublin City
Religion – Other Religions
19

20. Religion – No Religion
• No Religion
•
•
RoI: (5.9%)
•
–
NI: (10.1%)
All-Island: (7.1%)
Highest rates in North Down, Carrickfergus
and Ards
–
Border counties/districts with lower rates
Religion – No Religion
20

21. Ethnicity
• Ethnicity
•
Re-classified by CSO
•
White, Irish Traveller, Black, Asian, Other/Mixed
Ethnicity
• Ethnicity
•
•
100
98.2
Re-classified by CSO
White, Irish Traveller, Black, Asian, Other/Mixed
93.6
90
80
70
60
NI
50
RoI
40
30
20
10
0.1
0.7
0.2
1.4
1.1
1.9
0.5
0.9
0
White
Irish Traveller
Black
Asian
Other
21

22. Ethnicity - White
• White
•
NI: 98.2%
•
RoI: 93.6%
93 6%
•
All-Island: 94.9%
Ethnicity – Irish Traveller
• Irish Traveller
•
•
RoI: 0.7% (29,495)
•
–
NI: 0.1% (1,301)
All-Island: 0.48% (30,796)
Travellers living in only 17% of Small
Areas across the island
–
High rates in Tuam, Rathkeale, Athlone
urban areas and Dublin periphery
•
Galway County, Longford, Galway City
with highest rates
22

23. Ethnicity - Black
• Black
•
•
RoI: 1.4% (65,078)
1 4% (65 078)
•
–
NI: 0.2% (3,616)
All-Island: 1.1%
Highest rates are in Fingal, Galway City,
South Dublin and Louth
–
Very clear spatial distribution in Dublin
y p p y
City – periphery locations
–
Dungannon highest in NI (27/60)
Ethnicity - Black
23

24. Ethnicity - Asian
• Asian
•
•
RoI: 1.9% (84,690)
•
–
NI: 1.1% (19,130)
All-Island: 1.6% (103,820)
Highest in all cities
•
Dublin, Galway, Belfast all > 2%
•
Central locations in cities
Ethnicity - Asian
24

25. Place of Birth
• Place of Birth codes
•
NI: RoI, UK Countries, 7 EU countries, 7 African, 13 Asian, Other
•
RoI: Ireland, UK Poland Lithuania Other EU27 Rest of World
Ireland UK, Poland, Lithuania,
EU27,
•
All-Island: RoI, NI, Rest of UK, Pol, Lithuania, Rest of EU27, Rest
of World
Place of Birth
• Place of Birth codes
•
All-Island: RoI, NI, Rest of UK, Pol, Lithuania, Rest of EU27, Rest of World
100
88.8
90
83.1
80
70
60
NI
50
RoI
40
30
20
10
4.6
2.1
5.1
1.3
1.1
2.5
0.8
0.4
1
2.6
2
4.7
0
RoI
NI
Rest UK
Pol
Lit
Rest EU27
ROW
25

26. Place of Birth - RoI
• PoB - RoI
•
•
RoI: 83.1% (3.758m)
83 1% (3 758m)
•
–
NI: 2.1% (37,872)
All-Island: 59.9% (3.796m)
Highest rates living in NI are in border
areas: Fermanagh, Strabane, Newry, Derry
•
4 to 7%
Place of Birth - NI
• PoB - NI
•
•
RoI: 1.3% (58,470)
1 3% (58 470)
•
–
NI: 88.8% (1.608m)
All-Island: 26.3% (1.667m)
Border counties in RoI with highest rates
•
Donegal , Monaghan and Louth the
highest with rates 6-8%
26

27. Place of Birth – Rest of UK
• PoB – Rest of UK
•
•
RoI: 5.1% (230,157)
5 1% (230 157)
•
–
NI: 4.6% (83,517)
All-Island: 5% (313,674)
Highest rates in Mayo, Leitrim, Donegal,
North Down and Roscommon >8%
–
Very clear spatial pattern in rural /
p p
peripheral / holiday destinations
y
•
South-East, East Clare, Upper Shannon
Place of Birth – Outside Ireland/UK
• PoB – Outside Ireland/UK
•
•
RoI: 10.6% (478,143)
10 6% (478 143)
•
–
NI: 4.5% (80,621)
All-Island: 8.8% (558,764)
Highest rates in main cities and urban areas
•
Galway City, Fingal and Dublin City >16%
•
Highest in NI is Dungannon 10.3%
•
Belfast only 6.5%
27

28. Place of Birth – Outside Ireland/UK
Place of Birth - Poland
• Poland
•
Major influx in last decade, now highest
non national
non-national group in RoI
•
•
RoI: 2.5% (115,193)
•
–
NI: 1.1% (19,658)
All-Island: 2.1% (134,851)
Mostly concentrated in urban centres across
the island
–
District spatial pattern in main cities
28

29. Place of Birth - Poland
Thanks
Questions?
w: www.airo.ie
e: justin.gleeson@nuim.ie
twitter: airo_nuim
29