Join us monthly on a Friday lunchtime for Future Flight Fridays, a series of hour-long webinars ideal for anyone interested in becoming involved in the Future Flight programme. The series will cover diverse subjects and will help participants foster collaborations and share knowledge.
Kicking of Future Flight Fridays 2021 series with an introduction from PWC to the recently published Future Flight Challenge socio-economic study which showcases both the potential economic and societal benefits associated with six key use-cases. It will be followed by an investor panel discussion.
Future Flight Fridays is KTN’s webinar series that will help anyone interested in becoming involved in this programme to foster collaborations and share knowledge.
The Future Flight Challenge is a four year, £125m, Industrial Strategy Challenge Fund programme. Future Flight aims to revolutionise the way people, goods and services fly. It will support the development of a novel, integrated aviation system.
This challenge needs expertise from diverse sectors, not just aviation. The monthly webinar series will feature topics from various relevant sectors including creative industries, digital, infrastructure and law.
If you’re interested in building a diverse consortium, gaining new insights and finding technical expertise, find out what’s on in the series below.
Webinars in this series:
26th February | Economic Benefits of Future Flight
26th March | Women in Future Flight
23rd April | Dealing with Complexity
2. Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
Future Flight
Socio-Economic Study
KerissaKhan,InnovationLeadFFC
CraigRoberts,DronesLeadPwC
3. Socio-Economic Study
• Ensure that the UK develops an aviation system fit for purpose, addresses
actual needs, and is not rejected by public(s).
• Understand the societal benefits of the potential vehicles and services that
FFC offers, how life will be transformed by their existence, and how we can
work to ensure equitable access and shared benefit across all parts of
society.
• Establish an understanding of socio-economic levers and drivers to enable
introduction and adoption of novel air-based technologies, systems and
services as described by the Future Flight Challenge.
• UK Research and Innovation commissioned PwC UK to undertake a study to
develop a holistic framework that can be used to assess the potential costs
and benefits of certain use cases.
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
4. Socio-Economic Study
• The socio-economic study assisted the FFC by
• Developing and testing a holistic framework to assess the costs and
benefits of selected use cases
• Identifying key drivers of different costs and benefits across the selected
use cases
• Assessing the indicative scale of potential costs and benefits
• Performing sensitivity analysis to understand the impact of variations in
key cost/benefit drivers
• Identifying potential stakeholders impacted to inform the understanding
of incentives across the value chain
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
“The analysis carried out by PwC has been vital in providing us with the evidence to
help shape our funding decisions across a diverse range of projects. There is great
potential to be had from these new aviation technologies and I hope that businesses
in the sector will be encouraged by these results”
Future Flight Challenge Director, Gary Cutts
5. PwC’s Approach
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
• Total Impact
Measurement and
Management (TIMM)
framework
• Identify and assess
holistically the costs
associated with
selected use cases for
future aviation
technologies
• Use the TIMM
framework to compare
the potential costs of
each future use case
with “business as
usual”
6. Uses Cases
Use Case Use Case Description Sector
Powerline Inspection Inspection of the Beauly-
Denny powerline, Scotland
Utilities
Last mile delivery – prescribed
medicines
Delivery of prescribed
medicine to patient homes in
an urban area
Medical
Sub-regional Air Taxi Passenger journey - York to
Preston
Transport & Logistics
Rural Air Taxi Passenger journey – village to
village/village to town in a rural
area
Transport & Logistics
Urban Air Taxi Passenger journey within
urban area/major city
(London)
Transport & Logistics
Cargo Delivery - Mail Movement of mail from
Inverness to Kirkwall, Scotland
Transport & Logistics
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
7. Powerline Inspection
Business as Usual Use Case Delta
A two person team
travels from the
base location to the
site to capture
inspection
images using a
VLOS drone.
The team drives
and/or walks
between towers
(c.500m apart).
A VTOL drone
(hover endurance
for inspection
capture) flies to
the towers from
base.
Piloted at base.
Second team
member in the
field, responsible
for changing
batteries
periodically at
predefined
locations (which
are selected for
ease of access).
-34%
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
• Annual inspection of 615 steel transmission towers which are located in
central Scotland and spread over c.220km
• Drone base location is Edinburgh
8. Last mile delivery
Business as Usual Use Case Delta %
A member of the
pharmacy staff
drives a van from
their pharmacy to
deliver prescribed
medicines to four
patients at their
homes.
The staff member
then drives back to
the pharmacy.
An autonomous,
battery powered
drone delivers the
prescribed
medicines to four
patients at their
homes from a
central hub.
Cargo is secure
and refrigerated.
Patients have a
kiosk which is
integrated with their
house
(not stand-alone).
-21%
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
• Drone delivery of prescribed medicines from a pharmacy to four patients
within an urban area
• One-way trip length of 15km-21km
9. Sub-regional Air Taxi
Business as Usual Use Case Delta %
The individual
commutes by train
from York to
Preston.
Total time spent on
the journey is 3
hours 23 minutes.
The use case is a
battery powered
air mobility vehicle.
The vehicle has 12
seats and we
assume that 6 are
occupied by the
passengers.
One seat is used by
the pilot.
Total time spent on
the journey is 1
hour and 23
minutes.
-47%
+3 pax
-53%
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
• Journey of c.108 km from York to Preston, which has no direct route by rail
• ‘Near term’ scenario, use cases assume global production of c.500 units p.a.
10. Rural Air Taxi
Business as Usual Use Case Delta %
Individual drives car
25 km from A to B,
starting in a rural
setting.
Battery powered
air mobility vehicle.
The vehicle has
four seats.
One passenger,
one pilot.
Vertiports are
distributed such
that an individual
spends an average
of 10 minutes
travelling to or
from a vertiport.
+65%
+1 pax
+8%
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
• 25 km journey undertaken by an individual from village to village or village to
town
• ‘Near term’ scenario, use cases assume global production of c.500 units p.a.
11. Urban Air Taxi
Business as Usual Use Case Delta %
One passenger,
using a ridesharing
service.
Journey time
depends partly on
the extent of
congestion; this can
cause wait and
journey times to
increase which
impacts personal
time cost and the
fare.
Battery powered
air mobility vehicle.
The vehicle has
four seats.
One passenger,
one pilot.
Vertiports are
distributed such
that an individual
spends an average
of 5 minutes
travelling to or
from a vertiport.
+23%
+1 pax
-22%
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
• 10km journey within a city, for business purposes
• ‘Near term’ scenario, use cases assume global production of c.500 units p.a.
12. Cargo Drone
Business as Usual Use Case Delta %
An ATR-42-500
turboprop cargo
plane is used to
transport 2,000 kg
of mail each way
between Inverness
and Kirkwall
airports.
Hydrocarbon
powered fixed wing
cargo drone is used
to complete the
round trip.
The drone has a
capacity of 350 kg
(3.5m3) which
means it requires
six return trips to
transport 2,000 kg
per day.
Trip is from landing
strip near Inverness
depot to Kirkwall
Airport.
-35%
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
• Week day transportation of 2,000kg of cargo (mail) from Inverness to Kirkwall
• One way distance is c.169 km
13. Summary
Future Flight | Socio-Economic Study
• The analysis suggests that in the majority of use cases there are significant
potential benefits with 4 use cases between 20 and 48% lower than current
• Rural and Urban air taxis are more costly than business as usual (based on
single occupancy) but offer time savings
• Note that the study does not consider the extent of societal acceptance of
these technologies, the regulatory implications, nor the supporting
infrastructure and technology ecosystem required for the use cases, which
may have implications for their attractiveness, refer to full report
Use Case Business as Usual Use Case Delta
Powerline Inspection £193,141 £127,856 -34%
Last mile delivery £15 £12 -20%
Sub-regional Air Taxi £126 £66 -48%
Rural Air Taxi £24 £40 +67%
Urban Air Taxi £31 £38 +23%
Cargo Delivery - Mail £1,722 £1,117 -35%
Note – the deltas may differ in this table compared to the individual use cases due to rounding