Forecasting, with Oranges

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The document discusses different methods for estimating the amount of juice that can be produced from a shipment of oranges, including traditional waterfall planning, planning poker, and averaging techniques. It mentions estimating the number of oranges that can be processed from each box and compares the estimates to actual production records from a juicing factory. The document considers factors like lead times, work-in-progress, and real-world constraints that affect the estimates.

Liderazgo y gestión

Won’t somebody please think of the
profits?

A little bit of knowledge about
averages

D-Day is coming
Maths Intelligence
June 1940 169 1000
June 1941 244 1550
August 1942 327 1550
Factory Records
122
271
342

…but we just did all that lead time
stuff…

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