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FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF
TESLA AND ITS SURVIVAL
By Kuslyva Kateryna
UVA3D1
strategy
Outline
• Situational analysis
• Company's overview
• Independent research
• Key data
• DuPont
• Credit rating
• Date of potential shutdown
• Conclusions and Recommendations
Tesla history
Founded in 2003
By Martin Eberhard
and Marc Tarpenning
In 2004, Elon Musk
Provided $7,4B to
Tesla and become a
chairman
In July 19, 2006,
the first Tesla car
introduced to world
June 30, 2008 Tesla
introduced Model S
Started from $50,000
In February 9, 2012,
the Tesla Model X is
presented
The same 2012 year
200 charging station
established in USA
In March 31, 2016
was presented Tesla
Model 3
In 2018:
Gigafactory, Roadster
And the greatest loss.
Ever…
Product Line
• Model S
• Model X
• Model 3
• Roadster
Cars
2008 2012
20162018
Product Line
• Solar roof
• Powerwall
• Solar panels
• Gigafactory
Energy
Organizational Chart
Functional based hierarchy
Number of employees 2017: 37 543
Position Name
Chairman & CEO Elon Musk
Technical manager JB Straubel
Chief financial officer Deepak Ahuja
Manufacturing vice
president
Gilbert Passin
Business Developer Diamond O´Connel
HR vice president Amon Geshiru
Supply Chain Peter Carlsson
Manager of the Model S Jerome Guillen
Key figures:
Tesla and CSR
• There are 5 main groups, according
to CSR prioritizing
Communities
Customers
Employees
Investors /
Shareholders
Governments
• Tesla is one of the leading companies in
renewable energy.
Tesla as Radical innovation
• Technical differences
• Powertrain differences
• Service differences
• Development differences
• Manufacturing differences
Competitors of Tesla
Jaguar I-Pace in 2018
By 2025 company planning
all its car to be produced
with electric engine
Competitors of Tesla
Porsche Mission in 2019
By 2020 together with
Ford, Audi and Mercedes
plan to built charges
around the world
Competitors of Tesla
Hyundai Cona in 2018
Competitors of Tesla
Aston Martin Rapide in
2019
Strategic alliance with
Le Eco for developing
the car
Limited edition 155 cars
Competitors of Tesla
Aston Martin Rapide in
2019
Strategic alliance with
Le Eco for developing
the car
Limited edition 155 cars
Competitors of Tesla
Mercedes EQ in 2019
Competitors of Tesla
Audi Etron in 2019
Perception map
1. Strong contribution to CSR
2. Provides solution to limited
amount of oil
3. Intellectual property
4. Strong brand
5. Strategical alliances
6. Vision
7. Elon Musk
1. BRICS countries
2. Cooperation with governments
3. Strategical alliances
1. Stable and huge investments in
R&D
2. Customer’s perception toward
electric cars
3. Little personal experience
4. Charging time
1. Competition
2. Loss making
3. Luck of production
SWOT
Financial analysis
Key data
Market capitalization $51.8B
Enterprise value $57.9B
Main shareholders
• Elon Musk for the end of December
2017 – $19,6B worth, which equal to,
approximately (19,6B / $305) = 62.4M
shares
• Jeffrey B. Strudel = 326,301 shares
• Kimbal Musk = 148,333 shares
DuPont
IMPUTS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net Loss -$74,014 -$294,040 -$888,663 -$773,046 -$2,240,578
Sales $2,013,496 $3,198,356 $4,046,025 $7,000,132 $11,758,751
Total Assets $2,416,930 $5,849,251 $8,067,939 $22,664,076 $28,655,372
Equity $667,120 $911,710 $1,083,704 $4,752,911 $4,237,242
OUTPUTS
ROE -11.09% -32.25% -82.00% -16.26% -52.88%
NPM -3.7% -9.2% -22.0% -11.0% -19.1%
AT 0.83 0.55 0.50 0.31 0.41
EM 3.62 6.42 7.44 4.77 6.76
DuPont
IMPUTS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net Loss -$74,014 -$294,040 -$888,663 -$773,046 -$2,240,578
Sales $2,013,496 $3,198,356 $4,046,025 $7,000,132 $11,758,751
Total Assets $2,416,930 $5,849,251 $8,067,939 $22,664,076 $28,655,372
Equity $667,120 $911,710 $1,083,704 $4,752,911 $4,237,242
OUTPUTS
ROE -11.09% -32.25% -82.00% -16.26% -52.88%
NPM -3.7% -9.2% -22.0% -11.0% -19.1%
AT 0.83 0.55 0.50 0.31 0.41
EM 3.62 6.42 7.44 4.77 6.76
Revenue
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Revenue $2,013,496 $3,198,356 $4,046,025 $7,000,132 $11,758,751
Cost of
Revenue
$1,557,234 $2,316,685 $3,122,522 $5,400,875 $9,536,264
• In the beginning cost of the
battery itself was about
90,000$, nowadays tis price
has dropped to 36,000$.
• investment in purchasing of
property and equipment in
2017 was $3,414,814,
compare to the previous
2016 year - $1,280,802
Net profit margin
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
NPM -3.7% -9.2% -22.0% -11.0% -19.1%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Net Loss -$74,014 -$294,040 -$888,663 -$773,046 -$2,240,578
Sales $2,013,496 $3,198,356 $4,046,025 $7,000,132 $11,758,751
Greatest loss
Lowest NPM
Assets Turnover
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
AT 0.83 0.55 0.50 0.31 0.41
In order to perform
better in this ratio,
Tesla has to increase
the number of outputs
Equity Multiplier
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Total Assets $2,416,930 $5,849,251 $8,067,939 $22,664,076 $28,655,372
Equity $667,120 $911,710 $1,083,704 $4,752,911 $4,237,242
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
EM 3.62 6.42 7.44 4.77 6.76
Tesla is supported by loans, investors and shares issuing
For 2017
Debt: $9.4B
Financing: $4.4B
Equity: $4,2B
Credit Rating
….
2013 2014 2015 2016 207
Financial
Debit
$586,119 $1,806,518 $2,021,093 $5,860,049 $9,415,700
Cash &
Equivalents
$845,889 $1,905,713 $1,963,216 $3,393,216 $3,367,914
NFD -$259,770 -$99,195 $57,877 $2,466,833 $6,047,786
EBITDA $517,545 $1,068,360 $1,640,132 $2,266,597 $3,854,573
Credit rate -0.5 -0.1 0.0 1.1 1.6
Fitch AAA AAA AAA AA A
Date of potential shut down
• loss per month
$5,054,500
• loss per day
$168,483
• loss per hour
$7,020
Cash &
Equivalents
$3,367,914,000
Long-term
Debt
$9,415,700,000
Net Cash
available
($6,047,786,000)
Operating
cash flow
per year
($60,654,000)
If no additional support provided
Date of potential shut down
Tesla has no survival capacity, and may shut down
each day of operations, if its run out of cash
Main source of cash: investors and shareholders
(Especially Elon Musk)
If no additional support provided
Survival strategy of Tesla
• Normalize its production speed. (5000 cars per month)
• Gigafactory
• Accomplish
pre-orders
Conclusions
• Tesla is a powerful brand with MC = $51.8B
• Primary goal is to make electro mobile affordable
• Elon Musk (CEO) is an influencer with strong vision and plans.
• In 2017-2018 competition becomes stronger than even before.
• Strengths of Tesla are its brand and innovations in renewable
energy
• Weaknesses are its loss and competition from more powerful brands.
• Tesla has stable financial support despite losses.
• The credit rate of Tesla decreased from AAA to A during 2015-
2017.
• Tesla has large amount of cash, and it burns $7,020 each hour.
• The possible way to overcome the crisis is to start gain profit from
tits operations, which will contribute to the income.
Recommendations
• Normalise production speed
• finish the building of Gigafactory
• Continue to innovate in order to overcome the competition
• Plan and develop more charging stations around the world
• Think about the collaboration, strategical alliances or joined
venture with companies, who are also in charge of innovation in the
same field.
• Focus on the BRICS countries and its needs toward green vehicles
Tesla. Financian and marketing analysis. 2018

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Tesla. Financian and marketing analysis. 2018

  • 1. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF TESLA AND ITS SURVIVAL By Kuslyva Kateryna UVA3D1 strategy
  • 2. Outline • Situational analysis • Company's overview • Independent research • Key data • DuPont • Credit rating • Date of potential shutdown • Conclusions and Recommendations
  • 3.
  • 4. Tesla history Founded in 2003 By Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning In 2004, Elon Musk Provided $7,4B to Tesla and become a chairman
  • 5. In July 19, 2006, the first Tesla car introduced to world June 30, 2008 Tesla introduced Model S Started from $50,000
  • 6. In February 9, 2012, the Tesla Model X is presented The same 2012 year 200 charging station established in USA
  • 7. In March 31, 2016 was presented Tesla Model 3 In 2018: Gigafactory, Roadster And the greatest loss. Ever…
  • 8. Product Line • Model S • Model X • Model 3 • Roadster Cars 2008 2012 20162018
  • 9. Product Line • Solar roof • Powerwall • Solar panels • Gigafactory Energy
  • 10. Organizational Chart Functional based hierarchy Number of employees 2017: 37 543 Position Name Chairman & CEO Elon Musk Technical manager JB Straubel Chief financial officer Deepak Ahuja Manufacturing vice president Gilbert Passin Business Developer Diamond O´Connel HR vice president Amon Geshiru Supply Chain Peter Carlsson Manager of the Model S Jerome Guillen Key figures:
  • 11. Tesla and CSR • There are 5 main groups, according to CSR prioritizing Communities Customers Employees Investors / Shareholders Governments • Tesla is one of the leading companies in renewable energy.
  • 12. Tesla as Radical innovation • Technical differences • Powertrain differences • Service differences • Development differences • Manufacturing differences
  • 13. Competitors of Tesla Jaguar I-Pace in 2018 By 2025 company planning all its car to be produced with electric engine
  • 14. Competitors of Tesla Porsche Mission in 2019 By 2020 together with Ford, Audi and Mercedes plan to built charges around the world
  • 16. Competitors of Tesla Aston Martin Rapide in 2019 Strategic alliance with Le Eco for developing the car Limited edition 155 cars
  • 17. Competitors of Tesla Aston Martin Rapide in 2019 Strategic alliance with Le Eco for developing the car Limited edition 155 cars
  • 19. Competitors of Tesla Audi Etron in 2019
  • 20.
  • 22. 1. Strong contribution to CSR 2. Provides solution to limited amount of oil 3. Intellectual property 4. Strong brand 5. Strategical alliances 6. Vision 7. Elon Musk 1. BRICS countries 2. Cooperation with governments 3. Strategical alliances 1. Stable and huge investments in R&D 2. Customer’s perception toward electric cars 3. Little personal experience 4. Charging time 1. Competition 2. Loss making 3. Luck of production SWOT
  • 23. Financial analysis Key data Market capitalization $51.8B Enterprise value $57.9B Main shareholders • Elon Musk for the end of December 2017 – $19,6B worth, which equal to, approximately (19,6B / $305) = 62.4M shares • Jeffrey B. Strudel = 326,301 shares • Kimbal Musk = 148,333 shares
  • 24. DuPont IMPUTS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Loss -$74,014 -$294,040 -$888,663 -$773,046 -$2,240,578 Sales $2,013,496 $3,198,356 $4,046,025 $7,000,132 $11,758,751 Total Assets $2,416,930 $5,849,251 $8,067,939 $22,664,076 $28,655,372 Equity $667,120 $911,710 $1,083,704 $4,752,911 $4,237,242 OUTPUTS ROE -11.09% -32.25% -82.00% -16.26% -52.88% NPM -3.7% -9.2% -22.0% -11.0% -19.1% AT 0.83 0.55 0.50 0.31 0.41 EM 3.62 6.42 7.44 4.77 6.76
  • 25. DuPont IMPUTS 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Loss -$74,014 -$294,040 -$888,663 -$773,046 -$2,240,578 Sales $2,013,496 $3,198,356 $4,046,025 $7,000,132 $11,758,751 Total Assets $2,416,930 $5,849,251 $8,067,939 $22,664,076 $28,655,372 Equity $667,120 $911,710 $1,083,704 $4,752,911 $4,237,242 OUTPUTS ROE -11.09% -32.25% -82.00% -16.26% -52.88% NPM -3.7% -9.2% -22.0% -11.0% -19.1% AT 0.83 0.55 0.50 0.31 0.41 EM 3.62 6.42 7.44 4.77 6.76
  • 26. Revenue 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Revenue $2,013,496 $3,198,356 $4,046,025 $7,000,132 $11,758,751 Cost of Revenue $1,557,234 $2,316,685 $3,122,522 $5,400,875 $9,536,264 • In the beginning cost of the battery itself was about 90,000$, nowadays tis price has dropped to 36,000$. • investment in purchasing of property and equipment in 2017 was $3,414,814, compare to the previous 2016 year - $1,280,802
  • 27. Net profit margin 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 NPM -3.7% -9.2% -22.0% -11.0% -19.1% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net Loss -$74,014 -$294,040 -$888,663 -$773,046 -$2,240,578 Sales $2,013,496 $3,198,356 $4,046,025 $7,000,132 $11,758,751 Greatest loss Lowest NPM
  • 28. Assets Turnover 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 AT 0.83 0.55 0.50 0.31 0.41 In order to perform better in this ratio, Tesla has to increase the number of outputs
  • 29. Equity Multiplier 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total Assets $2,416,930 $5,849,251 $8,067,939 $22,664,076 $28,655,372 Equity $667,120 $911,710 $1,083,704 $4,752,911 $4,237,242 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 EM 3.62 6.42 7.44 4.77 6.76 Tesla is supported by loans, investors and shares issuing For 2017 Debt: $9.4B Financing: $4.4B Equity: $4,2B
  • 30. Credit Rating …. 2013 2014 2015 2016 207 Financial Debit $586,119 $1,806,518 $2,021,093 $5,860,049 $9,415,700 Cash & Equivalents $845,889 $1,905,713 $1,963,216 $3,393,216 $3,367,914 NFD -$259,770 -$99,195 $57,877 $2,466,833 $6,047,786 EBITDA $517,545 $1,068,360 $1,640,132 $2,266,597 $3,854,573 Credit rate -0.5 -0.1 0.0 1.1 1.6 Fitch AAA AAA AAA AA A
  • 31. Date of potential shut down • loss per month $5,054,500 • loss per day $168,483 • loss per hour $7,020 Cash & Equivalents $3,367,914,000 Long-term Debt $9,415,700,000 Net Cash available ($6,047,786,000) Operating cash flow per year ($60,654,000) If no additional support provided
  • 32. Date of potential shut down Tesla has no survival capacity, and may shut down each day of operations, if its run out of cash Main source of cash: investors and shareholders (Especially Elon Musk) If no additional support provided
  • 33. Survival strategy of Tesla • Normalize its production speed. (5000 cars per month) • Gigafactory • Accomplish pre-orders
  • 34. Conclusions • Tesla is a powerful brand with MC = $51.8B • Primary goal is to make electro mobile affordable • Elon Musk (CEO) is an influencer with strong vision and plans. • In 2017-2018 competition becomes stronger than even before. • Strengths of Tesla are its brand and innovations in renewable energy • Weaknesses are its loss and competition from more powerful brands. • Tesla has stable financial support despite losses. • The credit rate of Tesla decreased from AAA to A during 2015- 2017. • Tesla has large amount of cash, and it burns $7,020 each hour. • The possible way to overcome the crisis is to start gain profit from tits operations, which will contribute to the income.
  • 35. Recommendations • Normalise production speed • finish the building of Gigafactory • Continue to innovate in order to overcome the competition • Plan and develop more charging stations around the world • Think about the collaboration, strategical alliances or joined venture with companies, who are also in charge of innovation in the same field. • Focus on the BRICS countries and its needs toward green vehicles