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Data is a Designer’s Best Friend
Kathryn Parkes
EuroIA 2016 Amsterdam
kathryn.parkes@gmail.com
@kathrynparkes
Visualisation @acatcalledfrank
@mikko
Salvador Dali’s Illustrations: Alice in Wonderland, 1969
I AM
NOT A
DATA
SCIENTIST
…but I sit next to one
MODELS
LOTS OF MODELS
SELECTION
PREPARATION
FITTING
TRAINING
REGRET
REGRESSION
BANDITS
Storyline
ZOOLANDER
So what is Data Science about?
#DTDT
MARKETING
BUSINESS
ANALYSIS
PRODUCT ENGINEER
DATA TEAM?
ART
&
SCIENCE
What does a Data Scientist do?
MATHS
CODING
NARRATIVE
Machine Learning
SUPERVISED
UNSUPERVISED
REINFORCEMENT
Machine Learning
SUPERVISED
Example
Inputs
Example
Outputs
Task: what is the
rule or function?
Machine Learning
SUPERVISED
How much/how many?Is this A or B?
CLASSIFICATION REGRESSION
Machine Learning
UNSUPERVISED
DEEP LEARNING GENERATIVE
Example
Inputs
Task: look for
patterns
The Next Rembrandt
Chair
Machine Learning
REINFORCEMENT
PUNISHMENTREWARD
Machine Learning
How is this organised?
What should I do now?
How much/how many?
Is this A or B?CLASSIFICATION
REGRESSION
SUPERVISED
UNSUPERVISED
REINFORCEMENT
Can you make me
something like this?
DEEP LEARNING
GENERATIVE
What is the price of a
1.35 carat diamond?
Fitting
X
Underfitting Just right Overfitting
Y
X
Y
X
Y
PROBABILITIES
PROBABILITIES
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
Bayes Theorem
P(A|B) P(B|A) P(B)
P(A)
=
A/B Testing
Variant A
Variant B
Variant C
A/B Testing
Variant A
Variant B
Variant C
WK
1
100%
0%
WK
2
WK
3
WK
4
WK
5
WK
6
A
B
C
KPI
A/B Testing Bandits
Variant A
Variant B
Variant C
WK
1
100%
0%
WK
2
WK
3
WK
4
WK
5
WK
6
WK
1
100%
0%
WK
2
WK
3
WK
4
WK
5
WK
6
We feel much more regret if we
miss a train by 1 minute than if we
miss it by 4 minutes
Narrative
Education
Ethnography
Psychology
Communication
Visualisation
Structure
“When I am working on a problem, I never think about beauty........ but
when I have finished, if the solution is not beautiful, I know it is wrong.”
― R. Buckminster Fuller
Uber
Uber
http://playground.tensorflow.org/
http://www.r2d3.us/visual-intro-to-machine-learning-part-1/
Global Service Jam
DIVERSE INPUTS
– Henry Ford
“Coming together is a beginning; keeping together
is progress; working together is success. My best
friend is the one who brings out the best in me.”
kathryn.parkes@gmail.com
@kathrynparkes
Thank you

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Data is a Designer's Best Friend - EuroIA 2016