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OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
MISSION ANALYSIS BRIEFING
JOPG (#GROUPE) JJ MMM, AAAA
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Joint Force Commander to :
 Approve
- the mission analysis,
- the operational analysis,
- and the operational framework developed by the JOPG
 Provide additional guidance for the COAs development stage
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PURPOSE
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
 Summarize the key points of the initial guidance received from the
COMANFOR to set the stage for the analysis that follows
 Do not simply cut and paste the entire initial guidance onto slides
COM’S GUIDANCE FOR MISSION ANALYSIS
Utile
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
SOMMAIRE INTERACTIF (EN MODE PANORAMA!)
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S DIRECTION AND GUIDANCE
MISSION ANALYSIS
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE
COMMAND AND CONTROL
CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS
CRITICAL TIMINGS
PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE
CONCLUSION
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
 Current Strategic Conditions
 Opposing Forces Estimate
 Opposing Forces Situation
 Conventional Armed Forces CoG
 Irregular Groups CoG
 Most Likely Scenario
 Most Dangerous Scenario
 Friendly / Neutral Estimate
 Partners Armed Forces situation
 Partner #1 situation
 Partner #2 situation
 Civil-Military Situation
 Information and Media Situation
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Indicate the situation as
know or portrayed by the
strategic level.
No operational level
analysis
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
AGENDA
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
CURRENT STRATEGIC CONDITIONS
 As necessary, state your overall assessment or the key message that you
want the COMANFOR to take away from your review of the Strategic
Conditions.
 Situation development
 Situation of the different actor
 Political and strategic levels D&G
 Assumptions
 Limitations
 Risk analysis
 ….
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
 Zone d’intérêt : géographique,
hydrographique,
météorologique, sanitaire, etc.
 Lister les Informations et
conclusions partielles les plus
importantes
 Le texte peut utilement être
remplacée par une carte
CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT
Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées- force que
vous souhaitez souligner
Compléter
par une carte
Requis
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
AREA OF INTEREST
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
 Facteurs généraux : Contexte
général historique, politique,
juridique, économique, social, etc)
 Lister ici les Informations et
Conclusions partielles les plus
importantes
 Le Texte peut utilement être
complété ou remplacée par une
Carte
Compléter
par une carte
Requis
CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT
Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées- force que
vous souhaitez souligner
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
GENERAL FACTORS
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CONCLUSIONS PRINCIPALES TIRÉES DE LA CPOE
Caractéristique Impact au niveau opératif
Théâtre- géométrie du théâtre
d’opération
Accès, zones de mise en place, zones d’opération, bases, distances, lignes de communication, soutien
logistique. etc.
Géographie physique Observation, obstacles, mobilité, espaces clé, littoral, goulots d’étranglement, zones internationales,
Météorologie Visibilité, mobilité, opérations aériennes et maritimes, risques
Populations Développement humain, mouvement de population, populations réfugiées, déplacées, dépendance à l’aide
humanitaire, population à risque, chômage.
Situation Politique Crédibilité, popularité du gouvernement, capacité du gouvernement à satisfaire les besoins essentiels de
la population, rôle des oppositions, degré de stabilité, accord de stationnement de forces, respect de l’état
de droit, etc...
Situation Militaire et sécuritaire Menaces externes et internes, forces régulières paramilitaires) et irrégulières, groupes terroristes, zone
d'opération, situation militaire en cours.
Situation Economique Disponibilité de ressources financières, alimentaires, énergétiques, matières premières, industrie, services.
situation Socio culturelle Cohésion sociale, conflits interethnique, groupes dominants, extrémisme.
Situation sanitaire Risques de famines, d maladies, d'épidémie, risques environnementaux, dispositif sanitaire en place
Infrastructure Qualité des réseaux de transport et de communication, capacité de stockage et réseau de distribution de
carburants.
Information et média Contrôle des médias, accès du public à l’information, utilisation de la propagande, résilience des réseaux.
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Factor Deduction Conclusion
A significant factual statement of
information known to be true that has
operational implication.
What is the current state of affairs or
trends?
The implications, issues or
considerations, derived from fact(s) that
have operational significance.
So what is the significance of the
factor?
The outcome or result reached that
requires action in planning or further
analysis.
So, what can or should be done?
Existing SPODs have limited
throughput capacity
Identified ports are not adequate
for rapid deployment of large
heavy forces
Pre-deployment of enabling forces
to maximize/expand SPOD capacity
is required (action, forces)
SPOD usage requires detailed de-
confliction with HN/IOs/NGOs
(operational action, liaison)
Need ready alternatives (risk, branch,
CCIR)
Overall conclusion of the domain. What matters for the operation, at
commander’s level
Requis
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
POLITICAL FACTORS
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
CIVIL-MILITARY SITUATION
 Mettre en relief les Facteurs et les Acteurs (institutions politiques,
administratives ou sécuritaires en place, économie, situation
humanitaire, etc.) qui pourraient avoir une Influence positive ou
négative sur la Conduite des Opérations.
 Évaluer l’Impact des Opérations sur les Populations
 Étudier les Organisations internationales et les Organisations non
gouvernementales présentes sur place ainsi que leurs Motivations et
leurs Moyens d’action.
 Envisager la Problématique de Sortie de Crise.
Requis
CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT
Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées-force que
vous souhaitez souligner
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
 Media situation
 Médias internationaux & nationaux : situation, risques potentiels ou
opportunites, etc.
 Médias locaux : panorama, tendances, capacité de diffusion, audiences,
niveau d'indépendance, crédibilité, etc.
 Estimation des Effets (en cours/a venir) sur les différentes audiences.
 Info/Cyber context
 Thèmes & Capacités (offensives et défensives) de la Propagande locale à
usage domestique et international
 Capacités d’agression & Vulnérabilités de l’Adversaire
 Faiblesses & Forces du Système de Commandement adverse, politique et
militaire.
Requis
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
INFO-MEDIA SITUATION
CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT
Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées-force que
vous souhaitez souligner
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
INFLUENCE : ACTORS RELATIONS, INTERACTIONS, AND INFLUENCE
 Résultat de l’étude systémique en précisant la probabilité des liens
établis (simples hypothèses ou faits avérés)
CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT
Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées-force
que vous souhaitez souligner
Utile
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
REVIEW OF THE SITUATION
INFLUENCE DIAGRAM : ACTORS RELATIONS, INTERACTIONS, AND INFLUENCE
 Les interactions entre les acteurs et entités : amis, neutres et opposé peuvent être
synthétisées sous forme de modèle systémique :
Mafia
Milice
Ethnie X
Ethnie Y
TV ZZZ
Aide à la construction
des écoles de langue Y
Aide ONU
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OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
REVIEW OF THE CURRENT SITUATION
ACTORS ANALYSIS
Adversaries, Friends and Neutrals -1 set of slide per actor
 Slide 1: General
 (1) Goals and objectives
 (2) Primarily and supporting instruments of power.
 (3) System interaction, interdependencies, influences and vulnerabilities.
 (4) Military and other capabilities
 (5) Possible actions
 Slide 2: Target Audience Analysis
 Slide 3: Centre of gravity analysis
Note: in force on force scenario, the opposing force can be evaluated using: Order of
Battle and Current Disposition; Goals and Objectives; Capabilities, Strengths and
Weaknesses; Center of Gravity and Decisive Conditions; High-Value Targets; Likely
Intentions; Potential COAs.
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
REVIEW OF THE CURRENT SITUATION
ACTOR’S : TARGET AUDIENCE ANALYSIS
Operational Objective:
Assessed Actor’s behaviour towards
Operational Objective
Assessed Target Audience’s Behaviour
towards Operational Objective
Desired Target Audience’s Behaviour towards
Operational Objective
Actor’s Name
Target Audience’s Name & Type (Group,
Individual, Population)
Target Audience’s Name & Type (Group,
Individual, Population)
Target Audience’s Name & Type (Group,
Individual, Population)
Damafkat province insurgent
movement
Chief of political branch
Chief of armed branch
Armed groups
Supporting population
Key:
Favourable
Neutral
Opposed
List all actors and respective target audience’s behaviour towards each objective
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Requis
Assessed Aim and desired Outcome: What is the actor’s main goal and what conditions does he seek to achieve by his
actions?
Centre of Gravity: What is the primary element of
power upon which an actor depends to accomplish his
operational objectives
To be targeted in an opponent and protect in a friend)?
A noun; an entity; a complex system; a thing.
Critical Capabilities: What are the primary means that
enables the COG to gain and maintain dominant
influence over an opponent or situation?
To be influenced/denied to an opponent and exploited
in a friend).
The key word is the verb - the ability to….
Critical Vulnerabilities: What are the weaknesses, gaps
or deficiencies in the key system elements and essential
conditions, characteristics, capabilities, relationships,
specific resources or influences through which the COG
may be influenced or neutralised?
To be exploited in an opponent and protected in a
friend.
A noun with modifiers.
Critical requirements: What are those key system
elements and essential conditions, characteristics,
capabilities and influences required to generate and
sustain the COG’s critical capabilities, such as specific
assets, physical resources, or relationships with other
actors?
To be denied to an opponent and provided to a friend.
Nouns, things.
CONCLUSION
Which weaknesses, gaps or deficiencies in the key system elements and essential conditions, characteristics,
capabilities, relationships, specific resources or influences could be exploited to change the capabilities and
behaviour of the actor and improve conditions in the operational environment?
REVIEW OF THE CURRENT SITUATION
ACTOR’S CENTER OF GRAVITY
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S DIRECTION AND
GUIDANCE
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S DIRECTION AND GUIDANCE
AGENDA
 Review of the POL/MIL situation
 Strategic mission and objectives
 Strategic Intent
 Strategic Actions and Effects
 Strategic CoG
 Assumptions
 Limitations
Cette partie n’est présentée que s’il y a de la valeur ajoutée (conclusion de niveau opératif
sur les éléments de direction stratégique). Ne pas perdre de temps à répéter ce que le
COMANFOR sait déjà.
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G
REVIEW OF THE POL/MIL SITUATION
 As necessary, review the political set of directions and considerations as
they are conveyed within the SPD
 Political CoG
 Political assumptions
 Political limitations
 Risk analysis
 ….
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G
STRAT MISSION AND OBJECTIVES
 STRAT Mission
 STRAT Objectives
• MSO1
• MSO2
• MSO…
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G
STRAT INTENT
 Summarize the key points of the CHOD’s intent
 Do not simply cut and paste the entire intent statement from the
Strategic Planning Directive onto slides
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G
STRAT ACTIONS AND EFFECTS
 STRAT military effects
• …
• …
• …
 STRAT military actions
• …
• …
• …
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G
STRAT ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITATIONS
 STRAT Assumptions
• …
• …
• …
 STRAT Limitations
• …
• …
• …
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
MISSION ANALYSIS
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
MISSION ANALYSIS
AGENDA
 Key Factors and Conclusions
 Operational limitations
 Constraints
 Restraints
 Operational Assumptions
 Operational Risks
 Own Operational Centre of Gravity
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
MISSION ANALYSIS
KEY FACTORS & CONCLUSIONS
 Caractérisent la crise
 Ce qui la rend différente
d’autres crises antérieures
 Souvent présentées sous forme
de paradoxe ou de tensions
entre des effets à réaliser
 Nombre limité (3, 4)
 Doit dire ce que nous pouvons
tirer en terme de choses
décisives à réaliser, d’action de
grande importance, d’effets à
éviter…
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
MISSION ANALYSIS
KEY FACTORS & CONCLUSIONS
 Tension between need for HA and limited interference with regional
disputes.
 The swift improvement of humanitarian situation in TP has to be considered
as our primarily raison d’être thus our legitimacy to act. It mainly relies on
external actors’ capability and willing to provide food and care to refugees
camps.
 Message : Any opponent’s deliberate actions towards refugees may trigger a
legitimate response from us (red line)
 DC : Perception of refugees alleviation must be broadcasted
 Effect : A direct logistic support to refugees camp is to be envisaged
 CoA : Any interference in local disputes might hampered the Humanitarian
situation
 Action / Message / DC : Evidence of genocide intent has to be brought to
media to lower support from external actors
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
MISSION ANALYSIS
OPERATIONAL LIMITATIONS
 Restraints:
Directives constituant une limite ou correspondant à une interdiction de mener
certaines actions particulières, tirées de la DSP et de l’analyse
Pas d’action offensive dans la zone XX avant le DD
 Constraints:
Directives qui imposent des actions spécifiques qui doivent être menées, tirées
de la DSP et de l’analyse
Notification du franchissement LD aux autorités HN avec un préavis de 24h.
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
MISSION ANALYSIS
OPERATIONAL ASSUMPTIONS
 Présuppositions validées par le COMANFOR.
 Vérifier qu’elles sont :
 nécessaires à la poursuite des travaux de planification, c'est à dire porter sur
un facteur essentiel à la validité de l'étude ;
 plausibles, c'est-à-dire cohérente avec la situation actuelle ou future ;
 vérifiables, au plus tard au moment où sera décidée l'opération qu'elle
conditionne  Demande d’information (RFI)
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
MISSION ANALYSIS
OPERATIONAL RISKS
 Identify any risks to the accomplishment of the required operational
outcomes that results from the operational environment or the
capabilities and actions of the main actors.
 A ce stade de l’étude, seuls l’identification du risque, sa source et sa
conséquence peuvent être présentés. La sévérité, la probabilité, les
mesures d’atténuation et donc les conclusions seront dépendants du
mode d’action choisi.
 Pour l’analyse, commencer à remplir les tableaux d’analyse du risque.
Pour la présentation, préférer le tableau de la planche suivante.
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
MISSION ANALYSIS
OPERATIONAL RISKS
Requis
Operational Risk Assessment
Source Consequence for Severity Probability
- Actions of the
opponent(s).
- Actions of friendly
forces.
- Operational
environmental factors.
- Overall mission
- Line of operation
- Decisive Points
- Desired effect.
Extremely high - could result failure to accomplish
mission.
High - could result in failure to accomplish one or more
objectives.
Moderate - could result in failure to meet criteria for
success or exceed time, space, forces/actors limits
Low - minimal impact on mission accomplishment
- High
- Moderate
- Low
Risk Management
• Can we neutralise the source?
• Can we reduce our vulnerability to the source of the risk?
• Can we limit the consequence and/or severity of the occurrence?
• Can we reduce the probability of occurrence?
Conclusion
• Unacceptable - risk management cannot reduce risk to an acceptable level!
• Conditionally acceptable - risk can be reduced to an acceptable level by taking actions to:
Modify force disposition/posture/composition.
Adjust current operations.
Prepare branch plan or sequel.
• Acceptable, no risk management actions required
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Risk Branch or Sequel CCIR
FFIR: Informations sur les forces amies dont le
COMANFOR a besoin pour mener la planification.
PIR: Renseignements, tirés de l’analyse, que le
COMANFOR doit recevoir en priorité pour être en
mesure de prendre ses décisions
EEFI: Informations sur les activites ou les forces
amies dont la divulgation aurait un impact critique
sur le risque opérationnel.
Degrading security in Tigray
area
Sequel: Expand mission, trigger strategic
reserve
BLA declaration on Tigray independence
Security situation in Massawa (TSF)
Security situation in Asmara (TSF)
MISSION ANALYSIS
OPERATIONAL RISKS
Branches are contingency options within a particular phase of an operation, planned and executed in
response to anticipated opportunity or reversal within that phase.
Sequels are options for subsequent operations within a campaign or the following phase(s) of an
operation.
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Requis
MISSION ANALYSIS
OWN OPERATIONAL CENTER OF GRAVITY
Assessed Aim and desired Outcome: What is the actor’s main goal and what conditions does he seek to achieve by his
actions?
Centre of Gravity: What is the primary element of power
upon which an actor depends to accomplish his
operational objectives (to be targeted in an opponent and
protect in a friend)?
Critical Capabilities: What are the primary means that
enables the COG to gain and maintain dominant influence
over an opponent or situation?
Critical Vulnerabilities: What are the weaknesses, gaps or
deficiencies in the key system elements and essential
conditions, characteristics, capabilities, relationships,
specific resources or influences through which the COG
may be influenced or neutralised?
Critical requirements: What are those key system elements
and essential conditions, characteristics, capabilities and
influences required to generate and sustain the COG’s
critical capabilities, such as specific assets, physical
resources, or relationships with other actors?
CONCLUSION:
Which weaknesses, gaps or deficiencies in the key system elements and essential conditions, characteristics, capabilities,
relationships, specific resources or influences could be exploited or should be protected.
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
AGENDA
 Mission
 Operational Objectives
 Operational Framework
 Possible Lines of Operations
 Decisive Conditions
 Operational effects and actions
 Complementary Non-Military Actions
 Provisional Component Mission and Objectives
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
OPS MISSION & OBJECTIVES
 Mission
 …
 Operational Objectives
 OO1
 OO2
 …
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Requis
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK
 Possible lines of operations
 …
 …
 …
 Decisive Conditions
 DC01
 DC02
 …
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Requis
Tirés des conclusions de l’analyse de la mission, des acteurs et de l’OE.
Mettre en évidence les relations DC / OE / OA
 Operational Effects
 OE01
 OE02
 OE xx: Défense portuaire de Y neutralisée
Un effet ou une condition décisive = un sujet (nom) + verbe au
participe passé + Complément (éventuellement)
 Operational Actions
 OA01
 OA02
 …
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Requis
Objective
OO1
Criteria for
Success
Decisive conditions Effect
TSF supported
by CU Forces
are able to
cope with
remaining
threat in TP
• Criteria of
Arusha agreement
in TP
• Kamon has stopped
supporting GRF
• Tyt-Kamon border controled
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK
Exemple :
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Requis
 Can be briefed “off the wall”
 Determine specific sustainable conditions to gaining or retaining
freedom of action or to the accomplishment of the objective
 List the DCs identified by the JOPG
 It is useful to do one or all of the following:
 List DCs in the sequence in which they must be accomplished
 Sort DCs according to the COG or line of operation to which they
correspond
 Develop a numbering system that reflects this sequencing and sorting
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Requis
Operational Design
Operational Framework
2
1
3
5
4
1
6
7
8
9
10
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
1
OO
1
OO 2
OO
3
OS
1
OS
2
SQL
BP
Eff
Eff Eff
Eff
Eff
Eff
Eff
Eff
LoO
LoO
LoO
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Requis
 Possible non military actions
 …
 …
 …
 Liaisons and coordination requirements
 …
 …
 …
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
CNMA
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
Requis
 Mission
 …
 …
 Objectives
 …
 …
Elabores et coordonnes avec les DL associes a la planification.
Une diapo par CC subordonne.
OPERATIONAL DESIGN
PROVISIONAL CC MISSION & OBJECTIVES
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE
AGENDA
 Forces Available for Planning
 Estimate of Forces/Capability Required
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE
FORCES AVAILABLE FOR PLANNING
 Les Capacités & Forces disponibles peuvent être utilement
récapitulées dans ce type de tableau
Requis
Status
Forces / Capacities Available
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE
ESTIMATE OF FORCES REQUIRED
 Les Capacités & Forces disponibles peuvent être utilement
récapitulées dans ce type de tableau
Requis
Related Tasks/Actions
Forces / Capacities Required
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
COMMAND AND CONTROL
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
COMMAND AND CONTROL
Preliminary C2 Arrangements
 Provide a graphic portraying your initial
concept for the organization of the Joint
Force.
 Determine required C2 functions and
locations.
 Determine critical liaison and
coordination requirements.
Illustrer par un graphique
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
COMMAND AND CONTROL
Determine TOO/JOA requirements
 Theatre of Operations and JOA
delineation
Illustrer par une carte
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS
AGENDA
 Critical Operational Support and Resources Requirements
 Pre-conditions for success
 Rules of Engagement / Use of Force
 Requirements for Interaction with Other Actors
 STRATCOM/Information Strategy Requirements
 Crisis Response Measures
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS
CRITICAL OPERATIONAL SUPPORT AND RESOURCES REQ
 Military requirements, sustainment and strategic support required to
accomplish the mission which must be reflected in a request to the COPER.
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS
PRE-CONDITIONS FOR SUCCESS
Essential conditions that are beyond the influence of the JHQ that must be
established to allow operational success.
These may include establishing transit authorities, legal agreements and Host
Nation Support.
These may also address the changes needed in the non-military domains to
facilitate the achievement of the operational commander’s objectives.
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS
ROES / USE OF FORCE
Identified additional requirements for the development of ROE which are to be
raised through the Commander to COPER as appropriate.
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS
INTERACTION REQUIREMENTS
At international and national levels, what/who are the actors there is a need to
interact for the following reasons:
(a) Complementary non-military activity in support of military action.
(b) Complementary military actions in support of non-military activity.
(c) Mutual support.
(d) De-confliction of critical activities.
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS
STRATCOM / INFORMATION STRATEGY REQUIREMENTS
Recommend as required additional actions to be taken at strategic level.
Identify specific audiences and key leaders as well as the basic themes that may
be required to achieve operational and military strategic objectives and
mitigate risks.
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS
CRM
Operational requirements that may call for the implementation of CRMs by the
Strategic Commander to ensure that necessary preparations are being made
and that capabilities will be ready and available.
Mesures (tirées de l’analyse ou prescrites) à mettre en œuvre rapidement,
immédiates ou devant être déclenchées à un moment particulier préalable à la
mise en œuvre du plan. Elles doivent être approuvées par le COMANFOR et le
commandant stratégique.
 xxxxxx
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL TIMINGS
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL TIMINGS
AGENDA
 Operational Timings
 Planning Milestones
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL TIMINGS
OPERATIONAL TIMINGS
Requis
Rappel/Definition des impératifs calendaires opérationnels
PREPARE RSOMI
Phase 4 Phase 5
DECISIVE OPERATIONS TRANSITION REDEPLOYMENT
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
FEB to AUG
01SEP XX 01SEP YY
Draft OPORDER 002
20JAN YY
Exemple
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CRITICAL TIMINGS
PLANNING MILESTONES
Rappel/Definition du calendrier de l’OPP
Exemple
F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S
25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
BREAK BACKBRIEF CONPLAN DEVELOPMENT
MAB DB CONOPS
INDUCTION BRIEF
- OPG Overview
- Situation Review
- Cdr's Guidance
- OPFORCES
- OPG Recommendations
- Q/A
Situation Review
Higher Level
Limitations
Assumptions
Key factors/actors
Friendly situation
Environment
Factor/Actor conclusions
Center of Gravity
OPS Design
Guidance MAB
Prep MAB
OPS Design conclusions
Rehearsal
Estimate COAs
CONOPS V.2
Reading Comitee 1
CONOPS V.3
Reading Comitee 2
MAB Conclusions
Cdr Intent
CPOE update
Backbrief V.2
Presentation
Validation
BACKBRIEF
LCC - LILLE
MISSION ANALYSIS
BRIEFING
- Mission Statement
- OPS Design
- Cdr's Planning
Guidance
- Estimate COAs
- Warning Order
CONOPS V.1
Main Body
Key Annexes
Backbrief orientation
DB conclusions
COA amendment
COA Validation
CONOPS Develop.
CONOPS Production.
CONOPS Validation.
DECISION BRIEF
- Recommended COA
- Cdr Intent
- CONOPS Guidance
COA recommended
Prep DB
Reherseal DB
Planning Guidange
Orientation CONOPS
Prep War
Game
War Game
Conclusions
Situation Analysis
Own COAs
Develop Own COAs
Specific COA elements
COA's Viability - Analysis
COA's Comparaison
COA proposed
CONOPS
Review
Backbrief V.1
Utile
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
REQUESTS TO THE STRATEGIC LEVEL
 xxxxx
Requis
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE
AGENDA
 Initial Intent
 Planning Guidance to Staff
 Direction to Subordinate Commanders
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE
INITIAL INTENT
L’intention initiale est personnelle au commandant de la force. Elle exprime sa viqion sur
COMMENT l’opération doit se dérouler. Il la rédige lorsqu’il estime qu’il dispose de
suffisamment d’éléments d’analyse (compréhension du QUOI). Elle est rarement
disponible au moment du MAB, qui présente la synthèse de l’analyse, à partir de laquelle
l’intention sera conçue.
Elle inclut:
(1) Conditions qu’il veut créer.
(2) Principales actions opératives devant être conduites en parrallèle ou en séquence.
(3) Identification de l’effort principal (initial) pour l’opération.
(4) Risques pouvant être acceptés ou devant être refusés.
(5) Mise en relation de son intention avec les objectifs stratégiques et l’état final
recherché.
Pour remplir la mission reçue et donc atteindre les objectifs opératifs fixés, mon intention
est de :
1) Obtenir les conditions décisives AA et BB en parallèle puis dans un deuxième temps
les conditions décisives CC et DD.
2) Dans ce contexte, l’effort principal initial portera sur la ligne d’opération JJ / la
région LL
3) J’accepte de prendre le risque de MM mais veux me prémunir contre celui de NN.
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE
GUIDANCE TO STAFF
To include guidance to the following issues:
(1) Opposing COA to develop
(2) Criteria for COA development and selection
(3) Broad terms on COAs to develop
Eventually:
Besoins critiques identifiés
Etudes complementaires à mener par l’état-major
Calendrier et rendez vous sur objectif
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE
DIRECTION TO SUBORDINATE COMMANDERS
Orientation en vue de la diffusion de l’OPG, notamment concernant le
calendrier et la définition des objectifs de planification.
Possible
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CONCLUSION
OPERATION XXXXX
OPERATION XXXXXX
CONCLUSION
 Résumé des principales conclusions du briefing.
 Confirmation des décisions/orientations prises, concernant en
particulier:
a. l’Operational framework.
b. les projets de mission des commandants subordonnés.
c. les preconditions for success
d. les demandes au commandant stratégique (ROE, CRM, OPS
requirements….).
 Ouverture sur les prochains rendez vous clés et questions pendantes
Requis

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EDG_MAB_Template-v20200313.ppt

  • 1. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX MISSION ANALYSIS BRIEFING JOPG (#GROUPE) JJ MMM, AAAA
  • 2. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Joint Force Commander to :  Approve - the mission analysis, - the operational analysis, - and the operational framework developed by the JOPG  Provide additional guidance for the COAs development stage Utile PURPOSE
  • 3. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX  Summarize the key points of the initial guidance received from the COMANFOR to set the stage for the analysis that follows  Do not simply cut and paste the entire initial guidance onto slides COM’S GUIDANCE FOR MISSION ANALYSIS Utile
  • 4. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX SOMMAIRE INTERACTIF (EN MODE PANORAMA!) REVIEW OF THE SITUATION STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S DIRECTION AND GUIDANCE MISSION ANALYSIS OPERATIONAL DESIGN INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE COMMAND AND CONTROL CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS CRITICAL TIMINGS PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE CONCLUSION
  • 6. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX  Current Strategic Conditions  Opposing Forces Estimate  Opposing Forces Situation  Conventional Armed Forces CoG  Irregular Groups CoG  Most Likely Scenario  Most Dangerous Scenario  Friendly / Neutral Estimate  Partners Armed Forces situation  Partner #1 situation  Partner #2 situation  Civil-Military Situation  Information and Media Situation Utile Indicate the situation as know or portrayed by the strategic level. No operational level analysis REVIEW OF THE SITUATION AGENDA
  • 7. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX REVIEW OF THE SITUATION CURRENT STRATEGIC CONDITIONS  As necessary, state your overall assessment or the key message that you want the COMANFOR to take away from your review of the Strategic Conditions.  Situation development  Situation of the different actor  Political and strategic levels D&G  Assumptions  Limitations  Risk analysis  …. Possible
  • 8. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX  Zone d’intérêt : géographique, hydrographique, météorologique, sanitaire, etc.  Lister les Informations et conclusions partielles les plus importantes  Le texte peut utilement être remplacée par une carte CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées- force que vous souhaitez souligner Compléter par une carte Requis REVIEW OF THE SITUATION AREA OF INTEREST
  • 9. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX  Facteurs généraux : Contexte général historique, politique, juridique, économique, social, etc)  Lister ici les Informations et Conclusions partielles les plus importantes  Le Texte peut utilement être complété ou remplacée par une Carte Compléter par une carte Requis CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées- force que vous souhaitez souligner REVIEW OF THE SITUATION GENERAL FACTORS
  • 10. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CONCLUSIONS PRINCIPALES TIRÉES DE LA CPOE Caractéristique Impact au niveau opératif Théâtre- géométrie du théâtre d’opération Accès, zones de mise en place, zones d’opération, bases, distances, lignes de communication, soutien logistique. etc. Géographie physique Observation, obstacles, mobilité, espaces clé, littoral, goulots d’étranglement, zones internationales, Météorologie Visibilité, mobilité, opérations aériennes et maritimes, risques Populations Développement humain, mouvement de population, populations réfugiées, déplacées, dépendance à l’aide humanitaire, population à risque, chômage. Situation Politique Crédibilité, popularité du gouvernement, capacité du gouvernement à satisfaire les besoins essentiels de la population, rôle des oppositions, degré de stabilité, accord de stationnement de forces, respect de l’état de droit, etc... Situation Militaire et sécuritaire Menaces externes et internes, forces régulières paramilitaires) et irrégulières, groupes terroristes, zone d'opération, situation militaire en cours. Situation Economique Disponibilité de ressources financières, alimentaires, énergétiques, matières premières, industrie, services. situation Socio culturelle Cohésion sociale, conflits interethnique, groupes dominants, extrémisme. Situation sanitaire Risques de famines, d maladies, d'épidémie, risques environnementaux, dispositif sanitaire en place Infrastructure Qualité des réseaux de transport et de communication, capacité de stockage et réseau de distribution de carburants. Information et média Contrôle des médias, accès du public à l’information, utilisation de la propagande, résilience des réseaux.
  • 11. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Factor Deduction Conclusion A significant factual statement of information known to be true that has operational implication. What is the current state of affairs or trends? The implications, issues or considerations, derived from fact(s) that have operational significance. So what is the significance of the factor? The outcome or result reached that requires action in planning or further analysis. So, what can or should be done? Existing SPODs have limited throughput capacity Identified ports are not adequate for rapid deployment of large heavy forces Pre-deployment of enabling forces to maximize/expand SPOD capacity is required (action, forces) SPOD usage requires detailed de- confliction with HN/IOs/NGOs (operational action, liaison) Need ready alternatives (risk, branch, CCIR) Overall conclusion of the domain. What matters for the operation, at commander’s level Requis REVIEW OF THE SITUATION POLITICAL FACTORS
  • 12. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX REVIEW OF THE SITUATION CIVIL-MILITARY SITUATION  Mettre en relief les Facteurs et les Acteurs (institutions politiques, administratives ou sécuritaires en place, économie, situation humanitaire, etc.) qui pourraient avoir une Influence positive ou négative sur la Conduite des Opérations.  Évaluer l’Impact des Opérations sur les Populations  Étudier les Organisations internationales et les Organisations non gouvernementales présentes sur place ainsi que leurs Motivations et leurs Moyens d’action.  Envisager la Problématique de Sortie de Crise. Requis CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées-force que vous souhaitez souligner
  • 13. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX  Media situation  Médias internationaux & nationaux : situation, risques potentiels ou opportunites, etc.  Médias locaux : panorama, tendances, capacité de diffusion, audiences, niveau d'indépendance, crédibilité, etc.  Estimation des Effets (en cours/a venir) sur les différentes audiences.  Info/Cyber context  Thèmes & Capacités (offensives et défensives) de la Propagande locale à usage domestique et international  Capacités d’agression & Vulnérabilités de l’Adversaire  Faiblesses & Forces du Système de Commandement adverse, politique et militaire. Requis REVIEW OF THE SITUATION INFO-MEDIA SITUATION CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées-force que vous souhaitez souligner
  • 14. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX REVIEW OF THE SITUATION INFLUENCE : ACTORS RELATIONS, INTERACTIONS, AND INFLUENCE  Résultat de l’étude systémique en précisant la probabilité des liens établis (simples hypothèses ou faits avérés) CONCLUSION / ASSESSMENT Faire figurer ici votre évaluation générale sur cette rubrique ou les idées-force que vous souhaitez souligner Utile
  • 15. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX REVIEW OF THE SITUATION INFLUENCE DIAGRAM : ACTORS RELATIONS, INTERACTIONS, AND INFLUENCE  Les interactions entre les acteurs et entités : amis, neutres et opposé peuvent être synthétisées sous forme de modèle systémique : Mafia Milice Ethnie X Ethnie Y TV ZZZ Aide à la construction des écoles de langue Y Aide ONU Utile
  • 16. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX REVIEW OF THE CURRENT SITUATION ACTORS ANALYSIS Adversaries, Friends and Neutrals -1 set of slide per actor  Slide 1: General  (1) Goals and objectives  (2) Primarily and supporting instruments of power.  (3) System interaction, interdependencies, influences and vulnerabilities.  (4) Military and other capabilities  (5) Possible actions  Slide 2: Target Audience Analysis  Slide 3: Centre of gravity analysis Note: in force on force scenario, the opposing force can be evaluated using: Order of Battle and Current Disposition; Goals and Objectives; Capabilities, Strengths and Weaknesses; Center of Gravity and Decisive Conditions; High-Value Targets; Likely Intentions; Potential COAs. Requis
  • 17. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX REVIEW OF THE CURRENT SITUATION ACTOR’S : TARGET AUDIENCE ANALYSIS Operational Objective: Assessed Actor’s behaviour towards Operational Objective Assessed Target Audience’s Behaviour towards Operational Objective Desired Target Audience’s Behaviour towards Operational Objective Actor’s Name Target Audience’s Name & Type (Group, Individual, Population) Target Audience’s Name & Type (Group, Individual, Population) Target Audience’s Name & Type (Group, Individual, Population) Damafkat province insurgent movement Chief of political branch Chief of armed branch Armed groups Supporting population Key: Favourable Neutral Opposed List all actors and respective target audience’s behaviour towards each objective Requis
  • 18. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Requis Assessed Aim and desired Outcome: What is the actor’s main goal and what conditions does he seek to achieve by his actions? Centre of Gravity: What is the primary element of power upon which an actor depends to accomplish his operational objectives To be targeted in an opponent and protect in a friend)? A noun; an entity; a complex system; a thing. Critical Capabilities: What are the primary means that enables the COG to gain and maintain dominant influence over an opponent or situation? To be influenced/denied to an opponent and exploited in a friend). The key word is the verb - the ability to…. Critical Vulnerabilities: What are the weaknesses, gaps or deficiencies in the key system elements and essential conditions, characteristics, capabilities, relationships, specific resources or influences through which the COG may be influenced or neutralised? To be exploited in an opponent and protected in a friend. A noun with modifiers. Critical requirements: What are those key system elements and essential conditions, characteristics, capabilities and influences required to generate and sustain the COG’s critical capabilities, such as specific assets, physical resources, or relationships with other actors? To be denied to an opponent and provided to a friend. Nouns, things. CONCLUSION Which weaknesses, gaps or deficiencies in the key system elements and essential conditions, characteristics, capabilities, relationships, specific resources or influences could be exploited to change the capabilities and behaviour of the actor and improve conditions in the operational environment? REVIEW OF THE CURRENT SITUATION ACTOR’S CENTER OF GRAVITY
  • 19. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S DIRECTION AND GUIDANCE
  • 20. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S DIRECTION AND GUIDANCE AGENDA  Review of the POL/MIL situation  Strategic mission and objectives  Strategic Intent  Strategic Actions and Effects  Strategic CoG  Assumptions  Limitations Cette partie n’est présentée que s’il y a de la valeur ajoutée (conclusion de niveau opératif sur les éléments de direction stratégique). Ne pas perdre de temps à répéter ce que le COMANFOR sait déjà. Possible
  • 21. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G REVIEW OF THE POL/MIL SITUATION  As necessary, review the political set of directions and considerations as they are conveyed within the SPD  Political CoG  Political assumptions  Political limitations  Risk analysis  …. Possible
  • 22. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G STRAT MISSION AND OBJECTIVES  STRAT Mission  STRAT Objectives • MSO1 • MSO2 • MSO… Possible
  • 23. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G STRAT INTENT  Summarize the key points of the CHOD’s intent  Do not simply cut and paste the entire intent statement from the Strategic Planning Directive onto slides Possible
  • 24. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G STRAT ACTIONS AND EFFECTS  STRAT military effects • … • … • …  STRAT military actions • … • … • … Possible
  • 25. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX STRATEGIC COMMANDER’S D&G STRAT ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITATIONS  STRAT Assumptions • … • … • …  STRAT Limitations • … • … • … Possible
  • 27. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX MISSION ANALYSIS AGENDA  Key Factors and Conclusions  Operational limitations  Constraints  Restraints  Operational Assumptions  Operational Risks  Own Operational Centre of Gravity Requis
  • 28. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX MISSION ANALYSIS KEY FACTORS & CONCLUSIONS  Caractérisent la crise  Ce qui la rend différente d’autres crises antérieures  Souvent présentées sous forme de paradoxe ou de tensions entre des effets à réaliser  Nombre limité (3, 4)  Doit dire ce que nous pouvons tirer en terme de choses décisives à réaliser, d’action de grande importance, d’effets à éviter… Requis
  • 29. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX MISSION ANALYSIS KEY FACTORS & CONCLUSIONS  Tension between need for HA and limited interference with regional disputes.  The swift improvement of humanitarian situation in TP has to be considered as our primarily raison d’être thus our legitimacy to act. It mainly relies on external actors’ capability and willing to provide food and care to refugees camps.  Message : Any opponent’s deliberate actions towards refugees may trigger a legitimate response from us (red line)  DC : Perception of refugees alleviation must be broadcasted  Effect : A direct logistic support to refugees camp is to be envisaged  CoA : Any interference in local disputes might hampered the Humanitarian situation  Action / Message / DC : Evidence of genocide intent has to be brought to media to lower support from external actors Requis
  • 30. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX MISSION ANALYSIS OPERATIONAL LIMITATIONS  Restraints: Directives constituant une limite ou correspondant à une interdiction de mener certaines actions particulières, tirées de la DSP et de l’analyse Pas d’action offensive dans la zone XX avant le DD  Constraints: Directives qui imposent des actions spécifiques qui doivent être menées, tirées de la DSP et de l’analyse Notification du franchissement LD aux autorités HN avec un préavis de 24h. Requis
  • 31. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX MISSION ANALYSIS OPERATIONAL ASSUMPTIONS  Présuppositions validées par le COMANFOR.  Vérifier qu’elles sont :  nécessaires à la poursuite des travaux de planification, c'est à dire porter sur un facteur essentiel à la validité de l'étude ;  plausibles, c'est-à-dire cohérente avec la situation actuelle ou future ;  vérifiables, au plus tard au moment où sera décidée l'opération qu'elle conditionne  Demande d’information (RFI) Requis
  • 32. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX MISSION ANALYSIS OPERATIONAL RISKS  Identify any risks to the accomplishment of the required operational outcomes that results from the operational environment or the capabilities and actions of the main actors.  A ce stade de l’étude, seuls l’identification du risque, sa source et sa conséquence peuvent être présentés. La sévérité, la probabilité, les mesures d’atténuation et donc les conclusions seront dépendants du mode d’action choisi.  Pour l’analyse, commencer à remplir les tableaux d’analyse du risque. Pour la présentation, préférer le tableau de la planche suivante. Requis
  • 33. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX MISSION ANALYSIS OPERATIONAL RISKS Requis Operational Risk Assessment Source Consequence for Severity Probability - Actions of the opponent(s). - Actions of friendly forces. - Operational environmental factors. - Overall mission - Line of operation - Decisive Points - Desired effect. Extremely high - could result failure to accomplish mission. High - could result in failure to accomplish one or more objectives. Moderate - could result in failure to meet criteria for success or exceed time, space, forces/actors limits Low - minimal impact on mission accomplishment - High - Moderate - Low Risk Management • Can we neutralise the source? • Can we reduce our vulnerability to the source of the risk? • Can we limit the consequence and/or severity of the occurrence? • Can we reduce the probability of occurrence? Conclusion • Unacceptable - risk management cannot reduce risk to an acceptable level! • Conditionally acceptable - risk can be reduced to an acceptable level by taking actions to: Modify force disposition/posture/composition. Adjust current operations. Prepare branch plan or sequel. • Acceptable, no risk management actions required
  • 34. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Risk Branch or Sequel CCIR FFIR: Informations sur les forces amies dont le COMANFOR a besoin pour mener la planification. PIR: Renseignements, tirés de l’analyse, que le COMANFOR doit recevoir en priorité pour être en mesure de prendre ses décisions EEFI: Informations sur les activites ou les forces amies dont la divulgation aurait un impact critique sur le risque opérationnel. Degrading security in Tigray area Sequel: Expand mission, trigger strategic reserve BLA declaration on Tigray independence Security situation in Massawa (TSF) Security situation in Asmara (TSF) MISSION ANALYSIS OPERATIONAL RISKS Branches are contingency options within a particular phase of an operation, planned and executed in response to anticipated opportunity or reversal within that phase. Sequels are options for subsequent operations within a campaign or the following phase(s) of an operation. Requis
  • 35. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Requis MISSION ANALYSIS OWN OPERATIONAL CENTER OF GRAVITY Assessed Aim and desired Outcome: What is the actor’s main goal and what conditions does he seek to achieve by his actions? Centre of Gravity: What is the primary element of power upon which an actor depends to accomplish his operational objectives (to be targeted in an opponent and protect in a friend)? Critical Capabilities: What are the primary means that enables the COG to gain and maintain dominant influence over an opponent or situation? Critical Vulnerabilities: What are the weaknesses, gaps or deficiencies in the key system elements and essential conditions, characteristics, capabilities, relationships, specific resources or influences through which the COG may be influenced or neutralised? Critical requirements: What are those key system elements and essential conditions, characteristics, capabilities and influences required to generate and sustain the COG’s critical capabilities, such as specific assets, physical resources, or relationships with other actors? CONCLUSION: Which weaknesses, gaps or deficiencies in the key system elements and essential conditions, characteristics, capabilities, relationships, specific resources or influences could be exploited or should be protected.
  • 37. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX OPERATIONAL DESIGN AGENDA  Mission  Operational Objectives  Operational Framework  Possible Lines of Operations  Decisive Conditions  Operational effects and actions  Complementary Non-Military Actions  Provisional Component Mission and Objectives Requis
  • 38. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX OPERATIONAL DESIGN OPS MISSION & OBJECTIVES  Mission  …  Operational Objectives  OO1  OO2  … Requis
  • 39. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Requis OPERATIONAL DESIGN OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK  Possible lines of operations  …  …  …  Decisive Conditions  DC01  DC02  …
  • 40. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Requis Tirés des conclusions de l’analyse de la mission, des acteurs et de l’OE. Mettre en évidence les relations DC / OE / OA  Operational Effects  OE01  OE02  OE xx: Défense portuaire de Y neutralisée Un effet ou une condition décisive = un sujet (nom) + verbe au participe passé + Complément (éventuellement)  Operational Actions  OA01  OA02  … OPERATIONAL DESIGN OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK
  • 41. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Requis Objective OO1 Criteria for Success Decisive conditions Effect TSF supported by CU Forces are able to cope with remaining threat in TP • Criteria of Arusha agreement in TP • Kamon has stopped supporting GRF • Tyt-Kamon border controled OPERATIONAL DESIGN OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK Exemple :
  • 42. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Requis  Can be briefed “off the wall”  Determine specific sustainable conditions to gaining or retaining freedom of action or to the accomplishment of the objective  List the DCs identified by the JOPG  It is useful to do one or all of the following:  List DCs in the sequence in which they must be accomplished  Sort DCs according to the COG or line of operation to which they correspond  Develop a numbering system that reflects this sequencing and sorting OPERATIONAL DESIGN OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK
  • 43. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Requis Operational Design Operational Framework 2 1 3 5 4 1 6 7 8 9 10 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 1 OO 1 OO 2 OO 3 OS 1 OS 2 SQL BP Eff Eff Eff Eff Eff Eff Eff Eff LoO LoO LoO OPERATIONAL DESIGN OPERATIONAL FRAMEWORK
  • 44. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Requis  Possible non military actions  …  …  …  Liaisons and coordination requirements  …  …  … OPERATIONAL DESIGN CNMA
  • 45. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX Requis  Mission  …  …  Objectives  …  … Elabores et coordonnes avec les DL associes a la planification. Une diapo par CC subordonne. OPERATIONAL DESIGN PROVISIONAL CC MISSION & OBJECTIVES
  • 46. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE
  • 47. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE AGENDA  Forces Available for Planning  Estimate of Forces/Capability Required Requis
  • 48. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE FORCES AVAILABLE FOR PLANNING  Les Capacités & Forces disponibles peuvent être utilement récapitulées dans ce type de tableau Requis Status Forces / Capacities Available
  • 49. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX INITIAL FORCE/CAPABILITY ESTIMATE ESTIMATE OF FORCES REQUIRED  Les Capacités & Forces disponibles peuvent être utilement récapitulées dans ce type de tableau Requis Related Tasks/Actions Forces / Capacities Required
  • 51. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX COMMAND AND CONTROL Preliminary C2 Arrangements  Provide a graphic portraying your initial concept for the organization of the Joint Force.  Determine required C2 functions and locations.  Determine critical liaison and coordination requirements. Illustrer par un graphique Requis
  • 52. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX COMMAND AND CONTROL Determine TOO/JOA requirements  Theatre of Operations and JOA delineation Illustrer par une carte Requis
  • 54. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS AGENDA  Critical Operational Support and Resources Requirements  Pre-conditions for success  Rules of Engagement / Use of Force  Requirements for Interaction with Other Actors  STRATCOM/Information Strategy Requirements  Crisis Response Measures Requis
  • 55. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS CRITICAL OPERATIONAL SUPPORT AND RESOURCES REQ  Military requirements, sustainment and strategic support required to accomplish the mission which must be reflected in a request to the COPER. Requis
  • 56. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS PRE-CONDITIONS FOR SUCCESS Essential conditions that are beyond the influence of the JHQ that must be established to allow operational success. These may include establishing transit authorities, legal agreements and Host Nation Support. These may also address the changes needed in the non-military domains to facilitate the achievement of the operational commander’s objectives. Requis
  • 57. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS ROES / USE OF FORCE Identified additional requirements for the development of ROE which are to be raised through the Commander to COPER as appropriate. Requis
  • 58. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS INTERACTION REQUIREMENTS At international and national levels, what/who are the actors there is a need to interact for the following reasons: (a) Complementary non-military activity in support of military action. (b) Complementary military actions in support of non-military activity. (c) Mutual support. (d) De-confliction of critical activities. Requis
  • 59. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS STRATCOM / INFORMATION STRATEGY REQUIREMENTS Recommend as required additional actions to be taken at strategic level. Identify specific audiences and key leaders as well as the basic themes that may be required to achieve operational and military strategic objectives and mitigate risks. Requis
  • 60. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL OPS REQUIREMENTS CRM Operational requirements that may call for the implementation of CRMs by the Strategic Commander to ensure that necessary preparations are being made and that capabilities will be ready and available. Mesures (tirées de l’analyse ou prescrites) à mettre en œuvre rapidement, immédiates ou devant être déclenchées à un moment particulier préalable à la mise en œuvre du plan. Elles doivent être approuvées par le COMANFOR et le commandant stratégique.  xxxxxx Possible
  • 62. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL TIMINGS AGENDA  Operational Timings  Planning Milestones Requis
  • 63. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL TIMINGS OPERATIONAL TIMINGS Requis Rappel/Definition des impératifs calendaires opérationnels PREPARE RSOMI Phase 4 Phase 5 DECISIVE OPERATIONS TRANSITION REDEPLOYMENT Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 FEB to AUG 01SEP XX 01SEP YY Draft OPORDER 002 20JAN YY Exemple
  • 64. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CRITICAL TIMINGS PLANNING MILESTONES Rappel/Definition du calendrier de l’OPP Exemple F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 BREAK BACKBRIEF CONPLAN DEVELOPMENT MAB DB CONOPS INDUCTION BRIEF - OPG Overview - Situation Review - Cdr's Guidance - OPFORCES - OPG Recommendations - Q/A Situation Review Higher Level Limitations Assumptions Key factors/actors Friendly situation Environment Factor/Actor conclusions Center of Gravity OPS Design Guidance MAB Prep MAB OPS Design conclusions Rehearsal Estimate COAs CONOPS V.2 Reading Comitee 1 CONOPS V.3 Reading Comitee 2 MAB Conclusions Cdr Intent CPOE update Backbrief V.2 Presentation Validation BACKBRIEF LCC - LILLE MISSION ANALYSIS BRIEFING - Mission Statement - OPS Design - Cdr's Planning Guidance - Estimate COAs - Warning Order CONOPS V.1 Main Body Key Annexes Backbrief orientation DB conclusions COA amendment COA Validation CONOPS Develop. CONOPS Production. CONOPS Validation. DECISION BRIEF - Recommended COA - Cdr Intent - CONOPS Guidance COA recommended Prep DB Reherseal DB Planning Guidange Orientation CONOPS Prep War Game War Game Conclusions Situation Analysis Own COAs Develop Own COAs Specific COA elements COA's Viability - Analysis COA's Comparaison COA proposed CONOPS Review Backbrief V.1 Utile
  • 65. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX REQUESTS TO THE STRATEGIC LEVEL  xxxxx Requis
  • 66. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE
  • 67. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE AGENDA  Initial Intent  Planning Guidance to Staff  Direction to Subordinate Commanders Possible
  • 68. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE INITIAL INTENT L’intention initiale est personnelle au commandant de la force. Elle exprime sa viqion sur COMMENT l’opération doit se dérouler. Il la rédige lorsqu’il estime qu’il dispose de suffisamment d’éléments d’analyse (compréhension du QUOI). Elle est rarement disponible au moment du MAB, qui présente la synthèse de l’analyse, à partir de laquelle l’intention sera conçue. Elle inclut: (1) Conditions qu’il veut créer. (2) Principales actions opératives devant être conduites en parrallèle ou en séquence. (3) Identification de l’effort principal (initial) pour l’opération. (4) Risques pouvant être acceptés ou devant être refusés. (5) Mise en relation de son intention avec les objectifs stratégiques et l’état final recherché. Pour remplir la mission reçue et donc atteindre les objectifs opératifs fixés, mon intention est de : 1) Obtenir les conditions décisives AA et BB en parallèle puis dans un deuxième temps les conditions décisives CC et DD. 2) Dans ce contexte, l’effort principal initial portera sur la ligne d’opération JJ / la région LL 3) J’accepte de prendre le risque de MM mais veux me prémunir contre celui de NN. Possible
  • 69. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE GUIDANCE TO STAFF To include guidance to the following issues: (1) Opposing COA to develop (2) Criteria for COA development and selection (3) Broad terms on COAs to develop Eventually: Besoins critiques identifiés Etudes complementaires à mener par l’état-major Calendrier et rendez vous sur objectif Possible
  • 70. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX PROPOSED COM’S PLANNING GUIDANCE DIRECTION TO SUBORDINATE COMMANDERS Orientation en vue de la diffusion de l’OPG, notamment concernant le calendrier et la définition des objectifs de planification. Possible
  • 72. OPERATION XXXXX OPERATION XXXXXX CONCLUSION  Résumé des principales conclusions du briefing.  Confirmation des décisions/orientations prises, concernant en particulier: a. l’Operational framework. b. les projets de mission des commandants subordonnés. c. les preconditions for success d. les demandes au commandant stratégique (ROE, CRM, OPS requirements….).  Ouverture sur les prochains rendez vous clés et questions pendantes Requis