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India Morning Note
    a       g
Wednesday, August 01, 20
                       012

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                   Views on markets t
                                                                             today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Jul 30        Jul 31   Change (%)
                                                        )   • India markets edged hig
                                                                  an         s            gher for th third straight
                                                                                                     he
 Sensex             17,143.68     17,236.18       0.54%       sesssion yesterd
                                                                             day as softw
                                                                                        ware service exporters such
                                                                                                     es          s
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,199.80     5,229.00       0.56%       as Tata Consul
                                                                  T           ltancy gained on cont   tinued hope for
                                                                                                                 es
 BSE Mid-cap          5,977.84     6,012.28       0.58%       mon netary stimulus from global cen    ntral banks. The
 BSE IT               5,303.44     5,345.02       0.78%       Reseerve Bank o India sou
                                                                              of         ught to imp prove liquidity by
                                                              cuttiing the proportion of s
                                                                                         securities th lenders must
                                                                                                     hat
 BSE Banks          11,943.42     11,910.46      -0.28%
                                                              hold, but the ac
                                                                             ction was offfset as the central bank also
FII A
    Activity                                      (`Cr)       raise its inflat
                                                                  ed          tion outlook casting doubt abou the
                                                                                          k,                     ut
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell        Net       future timing an scope of interest rat cuts.
                                                                              nd                     te
 30-Jul                 2,680         1,473        1206     • Montek Singh Ahluwalia said tha
                                                                                         a             at weaker-than-
 27-Jul                 2,685         2,043         642       expeected rains during the monsoon season are also
                                                                                         e                      e
 Tota Jul
    al                 47,833        37,882       10631       raising   worriees   about    inflation.    The  dr
                                                                                                                rought
 2012 YTD             371,358      320,397        51641       threatening the country co
                                                                             e            ould make it harder fo the
                                                                                                                or
MF A
   Activity                                        (`Cr)      goveernment to raise subs  sidised fuel prices. The BSE
                                                                                                                e
                                                              Senssex rose 92 2.50 points or 0.54%, up close to 232
                                                                                                                 o
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell        Net
                                                              points from the day's low aand off abou 17 points from
                                                                                                       ut       s
 27-Jul                   482           399          83       the day's high.
                                                                   d
 26-Jul                   799           398         401
                                                            • Fuel retailers such as Hind
                                                                                        dustan Petrroleum Corp also
                                                                                                              p
 Tota Jul
    al                  8,241         9,883        -2012
                                                              rose after the oil minist
                                                                 e                      try demand ded the finance
 2012 YTD              71,384        78,871        -7857
                                                              ministry to com mpensate tthese comp panies for l
                                                                                                              losses
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                  sustained in th April-June quarter fo selling fu at
                                                                             he         e          or         uel
                                      NSE           BSE       cheaaper rates. Software services ex xporters ros on
                                                                                                              se
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                61.47          20.22
                                                              hope the Federal Reserve and Europe
                                                                  es                   e           ean Central Bank
                                                                                                              l
                                                              would unveil fuurther moneetary stimul
                                                                                                   lus steps at their
                                                                                                              t
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                    10,839          2,038
                                                              polic meetings this week.
                                                                  cy         s
 Advances                             761          1,435
 Declines                             676          1,296    • Bharrti Airtel ffell 2.9% a  after the Economic T  Times
                                                              newspaper rep  ported that the company is exp     ploring
 Unchanged                             87           135
                                                                  ing new sha
                                                              issui          ares to raise funds amo
                                                                                          e          ong other opptions
 Tota
    al                              1,524          2,866
                                                              to ra
                                                                  aise. Titan IIndustries fell 4.74% after the wa
                                                                                                     a          atches
Glob Markets
   bal                                                        and jewelry ma   aker missed analyst estimates w
                                                                                                     e          with a
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est              Change (%)
                                                        )     8.33 rise in Ap
                                                                 3%           pril-June net profit.
                                                                                           t
 DJIA
    A                            13,008.68       -0.49%     • Markket breadth was posit
                                                                             h           tive at ~1.11x as inveestors
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,939.52       -0.21%       bougght large c cap stocks. On provissional basis FIIs
                                                                                                               s,
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,601.63       -1.07%       bougght equity of `8.80bn while dom mestic institu
                                                                                                               utions
 Hang Seng *                     19,848.68        0.26%       sold equity of `4
                                                                              4.93bn in ca segmen
                                                                                         ash       nt.
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                     • Asian markets a mixed to
                                                                             are     oday but sh
                                                                                               howing weak
                                                                                                         kness,
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                      as US stocks fall and China's factory data was
                                                                                                         a
                                    Latest      Previous      disappointing.
                                    Quote          Close    • We expect a w  weak opening for the Indian ma
                                                                                                          arkets,
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.60         55.43
                                                              following the cu from the Asian mar
                                                                             ues      e          rkets.
 Indian Rupee per €                  68.38         67.95
                                                            Econom and Cor
                                                                 mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                   velopments
                                                                                            s
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              87.84         88.06
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,613.80      1,610.50    • Goveernment approves `1   1900Cr pac
                                                                                                 ckage to s
                                                                                                          states
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              27.91         27.91      facin drought-like situatio
                                                                  ng                    on.



Keyn
   note Capitals Research
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                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
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TOP GAINERS                                         Buzzin Stocks
                                                         ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                    • DoT to ask GS Telcos like Bharti, Vodafone and
                                                         T           SM
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       Idea to stop 3G roaming se
                                                         a          G          ervices.
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Essa Oil
    ar               50.45
                         5      55.60     10.21     • God
                                                        drej Properrties to     d
                                                                                develop   1.85   lakh   sqft
 Man
   nappuram Fin
              n      30.85
                         5      33.70      9.24       Gha
                                                        atkopar Tow
                                                                  wnship.
 Muthoot Fin        126.30
                         0     133.00      5.30     • 3i In
                                                          nfotech allo 2.14 Cr shares at `19.74per share
                                                                     ots                   `
 Unit
    ted Spirits     771.05
                         5     809.30      4.96       as per CDR pac
                                                         p           ckage to var
                                                                                rious lender
                                                                                           rs.
 TTK Prestige      3403.30
                         0    3565.65      4.77
                                                    • Karv files for
                                                         vy                            eccan Chronicle
                                                                   rgery case against De
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  (DCHL).
                   Previous   Currennt   Change     • MOE recomm
                                                         EF       mends OMD             sahi Mines for
                                                                               DC Bhadras
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
                                                      environmental clearance.
 COX KINGS
   X                124.35     139.50     12.18
 Essa Oil
    ar               50.45      55.60     10.21     • Coal India Boar agrees to 80% trigge level, 65% on
                                                                     rd        o           er          %
 Man
   nappuram Fin
              n      30.85      33.70       9.24      dom
                                                        mestic coal, 15% impo   ort. Penalty clause to be
                                                                                           y          o
 Shoppers Stop      350.35     370.00       5.61      revised in the n
                                                                     next meetin Board ag
                                                                               ng.         grees for im
                                                                                                      mport
                                                      & prrice pooling Import am
                                                                     g.        mounts to 188-20 MT for this
                                                                                                      r
 Muthoot Fin        126.30     133.00       5.30
                                                      year.
TOP LOSERS                                          US markets
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                US ma arkets fell after pessim
                                                                                 mism over Europe rose and
                   Previous   Currennt   Change     the investors kept caution ahead of Fed's liquidity
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)           on.
                                                    decisio
 Titan Inds         232.10
                         0    222.25
                                   5       -4.24
 Suzl
    lon Energy       19.10
                         0      18.45
                                    5      -3.40
 GMR Infra
   R                 24.05
                         5      23.30
                                    0      -3.12
 WEL
   LCORP            105.35
                         5    102.20
                                   0       -2.99
 God
   drej Inds        245.15
                         5    237.85
                                   5       -2.98

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Shre Global Trd
    ee         d     76.70      72.85      -5.02
 Glod
    dyne Tech       208.00     197.65      -4.98
 Jinda Saw
     al             124.65     119.85      -3.85
 Suzl
    lon Energy       19.10      18.45      -3.40
 INDI
    IAB POWER        13.21      12.78      -3.26




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                  (resea
                                                arch@keyno
                                                         otecapitals.net)            (+912
                                                                                         22-3026600
                                                                                                  00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

   Countries /             Wedn
                              nesday                   Thu
                                                         ursday                     Friday
                                                                                    F                         Monday
                                                                                                              M

   Reg
     gions                    1-A
                                Aug                      2-Aug                      3-Aug
                                                                                    3                          6-Aug

   Ind
     dia             Trade defi
                              icit                                         Forex Re
                                                                                  eserves Dat
                                                                                            ta

                                                                           Bank Loa Growth
                                                                                  an




   US                FED mone etary policy      Initial Job
                                                          bless Claims
                                                                     s     Average Hourly
                                                                                  e
                     & interest rate
                              t                                            Earnings (YoY) &
                                                                                  s
                                                                           Average Weekly
                                                                                  e
                                                                           Hours

                     ISM mfg P
                             PMI                Factory O
                                                        Orders             Nonfarm Payrolls &
                                                                                 m
                                                (MoM)                      Unemplooyment Rate

                     Construction                                          ISM Non-
                     spending                                              Manufac
                                                                                 cturing PMI

   Glo
     obal            Germany market             UK's Halif
                                                         fax House         UK Mark Services
                                                                                 ket                   Japan In
                                                                                                              ndustrial
                     mfg data                   Prices (MoM)               PMI                         Producttion Data

                                                UK's BoE Interest          Germany Market
                                                                                   y
                                                Rate Dec
                                                       cision              Services PMI
                                                                                  s




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
                             by,      or,                                   ai        8
                                     Tel. : +9
                                             9122-30266
                                                      6000       •   www
                                                                       w.keynotec
                                                                                capitals.com
                                                                                           m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note august 1-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Wednesday, August 01, 20 012 Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jul 30 Jul 31 Change (%) ) • India markets edged hig an s gher for th third straight he Sensex 17,143.68 17,236.18 0.54% sesssion yesterd day as softw ware service exporters such es s CNX Nifty X 5,199.80 5,229.00 0.56% as Tata Consul T ltancy gained on cont tinued hope for es BSE Mid-cap 5,977.84 6,012.28 0.58% mon netary stimulus from global cen ntral banks. The BSE IT 5,303.44 5,345.02 0.78% Reseerve Bank o India sou of ught to imp prove liquidity by cuttiing the proportion of s securities th lenders must hat BSE Banks 11,943.42 11,910.46 -0.28% hold, but the ac ction was offfset as the central bank also FII A Activity (`Cr) raise its inflat ed tion outlook casting doubt abou the k, ut Date e Buy Sell Net future timing an scope of interest rat cuts. nd te 30-Jul 2,680 1,473 1206 • Montek Singh Ahluwalia said tha a at weaker-than- 27-Jul 2,685 2,043 642 expeected rains during the monsoon season are also e e Tota Jul al 47,833 37,882 10631 raising worriees about inflation. The dr rought 2012 YTD 371,358 320,397 51641 threatening the country co e ould make it harder fo the or MF A Activity (`Cr) goveernment to raise subs sidised fuel prices. The BSE e Senssex rose 92 2.50 points or 0.54%, up close to 232 o Date e Buy Sell Net points from the day's low aand off abou 17 points from ut s 27-Jul 482 399 83 the day's high. d 26-Jul 799 398 401 • Fuel retailers such as Hind dustan Petrroleum Corp also p Tota Jul al 8,241 9,883 -2012 rose after the oil minist e try demand ded the finance 2012 YTD 71,384 78,871 -7857 ministry to com mpensate tthese comp panies for l losses Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines sustained in th April-June quarter fo selling fu at he e or uel NSE BSE cheaaper rates. Software services ex xporters ros on se Trad ding Volume (Cr) 61.47 20.22 hope the Federal Reserve and Europe es e ean Central Bank l would unveil fuurther moneetary stimul lus steps at their t Turn nover (`Cr) 10,839 2,038 polic meetings this week. cy s Advances 761 1,435 Declines 676 1,296 • Bharrti Airtel ffell 2.9% a after the Economic T Times newspaper rep ported that the company is exp ploring Unchanged 87 135 ing new sha issui ares to raise funds amo e ong other opptions Tota al 1,524 2,866 to ra aise. Titan IIndustries fell 4.74% after the wa a atches Glob Markets bal and jewelry ma aker missed analyst estimates w e with a Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) 8.33 rise in Ap 3% pril-June net profit. t DJIA A 13,008.68 -0.49% • Markket breadth was posit h tive at ~1.11x as inveestors NAS SDAQ 2,939.52 -0.21% bougght large c cap stocks. On provissional basis FIIs s, Nikk * kei 8,601.63 -1.07% bougght equity of `8.80bn while dom mestic institu utions Hang Seng * 19,848.68 0.26% sold equity of `4 4.93bn in ca segmen ash nt. * as o 8.25AM IST of • Asian markets a mixed to are oday but sh howing weak kness, Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s as US stocks fall and China's factory data was a Latest Previous disappointing. Quote Close • We expect a w weak opening for the Indian ma arkets, Indian Rupee per $ 55.60 55.43 following the cu from the Asian mar ues e rkets. Indian Rupee per € 68.38 67.95 Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 87.84 88.06 Gold ($/oz) d 1,613.80 1,610.50 • Goveernment approves `1 1900Cr pac ckage to s states Silve ($/oz) er 27.91 27.91 facin drought-like situatio ng on. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • DoT to ask GS Telcos like Bharti, Vodafone and T SM Previous Currennt Change Idea to stop 3G roaming se a G ervices. Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Essa Oil ar 50.45 5 55.60 10.21 • God drej Properrties to d develop 1.85 lakh sqft Man nappuram Fin n 30.85 5 33.70 9.24 Gha atkopar Tow wnship. Muthoot Fin 126.30 0 133.00 5.30 • 3i In nfotech allo 2.14 Cr shares at `19.74per share ots ` Unit ted Spirits 771.05 5 809.30 4.96 as per CDR pac p ckage to var rious lender rs. TTK Prestige 3403.30 0 3565.65 4.77 • Karv files for vy eccan Chronicle rgery case against De (BSE Mid-Cap) E (DCHL). Previous Currennt Change • MOE recomm EF mends OMD sahi Mines for DC Bhadras Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) environmental clearance. COX KINGS X 124.35 139.50 12.18 Essa Oil ar 50.45 55.60 10.21 • Coal India Boar agrees to 80% trigge level, 65% on rd o er % Man nappuram Fin n 30.85 33.70 9.24 dom mestic coal, 15% impo ort. Penalty clause to be y o Shoppers Stop 350.35 370.00 5.61 revised in the n next meetin Board ag ng. grees for im mport & prrice pooling Import am g. mounts to 188-20 MT for this r Muthoot Fin 126.30 133.00 5.30 year. TOP LOSERS US markets (BSE A-Group) E US ma arkets fell after pessim mism over Europe rose and Previous Currennt Change the investors kept caution ahead of Fed's liquidity Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) on. decisio Titan Inds 232.10 0 222.25 5 -4.24 Suzl lon Energy 19.10 0 18.45 5 -3.40 GMR Infra R 24.05 5 23.30 0 -3.12 WEL LCORP 105.35 5 102.20 0 -2.99 God drej Inds 245.15 5 237.85 5 -2.98 (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Shre Global Trd ee d 76.70 72.85 -5.02 Glod dyne Tech 208.00 197.65 -4.98 Jinda Saw al 124.65 119.85 -3.85 Suzl lon Energy 19.10 18.45 -3.40 INDI IAB POWER 13.21 12.78 -3.26 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Wedn nesday Thu ursday Friday F Monday M Reg gions 1-A Aug 2-Aug 3-Aug 3 6-Aug Ind dia Trade defi icit Forex Re eserves Dat ta Bank Loa Growth an US FED mone etary policy Initial Job bless Claims s Average Hourly e & interest rate t Earnings (YoY) & s Average Weekly e Hours ISM mfg P PMI Factory O Orders Nonfarm Payrolls & m (MoM) Unemplooyment Rate Construction ISM Non- spending Manufac cturing PMI Glo obal Germany market UK's Halif fax House UK Mark Services ket Japan In ndustrial mfg data Prices (MoM) PMI Producttion Data UK's BoE Interest Germany Market y Rate Dec cision Services PMI s KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.