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Navigating	Project	Uncertainty
An	Explorers	Toolkit
Kim	Ballestrin
kimballestrin
kb2bkb
elabor8
elabor8
Context	– Project-Based	Work
Idea	Collaboration	Sessions
List	the	capabilities	– Broad	and	Shallow
Narrow	the	Scope
Argue	Scope	In	- Easier
Argue Scope Out - Harder
Classify	the	Capabilities
Easy
Can	ask	for	an	Estimate
Analysis
Can	be	Solved	by	Subject	Matter	Experts
Workshops	Derailed
Causes	of	Derailment
Can of Worms
Difficult to contained once opened
Rabbit Hole
A deep dark place that leads nowhere
Wild Goose Chase
A pointless waste of time and energy
Can	of	Worms
Tricky	to	Tackle	or	No	Obvious	Answers
Name	the	People	and	Groups	
for	Easy	and	Analysis	Items
Cans	of	Worms	– Experiments	
turn	Assumptions	into	Facts
Expertise
'Expertise can also get us in trouble. It can lead us to view
problems in stereotyped ways. The sense of typicality can
be so strong that we miss subtle signs of trouble...these
shortcomings seem a small price to pay; however, there
may be times when a fresh set of eyes proves helpful‘
Klein, G. 1998. Sources of Power:
How People Make Decisions. MIT Press.
Experts Non-Experts
Some	of	the	Theory	Behind	the	Context	
and	Experience
Idea	Collaboration	Sessions
Stop	Unfeasible	Ideas	Early
Using	Cynefin in	Context
The Cynefin Framework
by Dave Snowden 2014
Using	Cynefin in	Context
Obvious
Easy
Using	Cynefin in	Context
Obvious
Easy
Complicated
Analysis
Using	Cynefin in	Context
Obvious
Easy
Complicated
Analysis
Complex
'Can of Worms'
Using	Cynefin in	Context
Obvious
Easy
Complicated
Analysis
Complex
'Can of Worms'
Principles
•Cover scope broadly and shallowly
•Narrow the scope as early as possible
•Argue scope in rather than argue scope out
•Classify the work – Easy,Analysis,Cans of Worms
•Plan workshops around the different classifications
Principles
.....And	Quarantine	Those	Cans	of	Worms
Thank	you
Kim	Ballestrin
kimballestrin
kb2bkb
elabor8
elabor8

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Navigating Project Uncertainty, An Explorers Toolkit using Cynefin